Binance USDT-MBRUSDT rose 576% on 16 September 2026
Picked after the rise, on one market.
What happened
Price opened the 09:00 hour at 0.2073 and reached a highest trade of 1.402 in the 10:00 hour; the tested readings were taken at 08:59.
What stood out at 08:59
- Order book lopsidedness0.05201Tested: 0.053 or lower
- Book capturenativeTested: is native
- 4-hour range against usual0.263Tested: 0.27 or lower
08:59 always meets its own rules.
What the record says
Too few results to compare
Price at least 2% higher after 30 minutes
16 matches in 43,201 minutes checked.
Picked after the rise, on one market.
Evidence
No test to open
Multiple recorded sectors: sector_crypto, sector_defi. Choose one explicitly.
Exactly what was counted3 conditions · 16 of 43,201 minutes · saved text
- Order book lopsidedness 0.053 or lower. How lopsided the sizes at the best bid and ask were, either way, against recent readings; low means unusually even.Book imbalance percentile ≤ 0.053 · feature.book_imbalance_pctrank
- Book capture is native.Book capture native · feature.book_source
- 4-hour range against usual 0.27 or lower. The last finished 4-hour candle's high to low range, as a multiple of its usual range.Compression · 4h ≤ 0.27 · feature.candle_compression_4h
Read at 1 minute before the move.
Read at 08:59 UTC on 16 September, one minute before the selected 09:00 start.
BR only, 23 August to 21 September 2026 (UTC, ending 22 September 00:00); all 3 readings had values on 43,201 of those minutes.
Reference: every BR minute over the same dates, matches included; it is not a matched control group.
Outcome: the close exactly 30 minutes later, not the highest or lowest price along the way.
The 09:00 start was picked automatically after the move.
BRUSDT stored readings end 2026-09-22 00:00 UTC (exclusive). Prices and tick replay have separate coverage.
The feature manifest spans the lead-up. Individual minutes or inputs can still be unavailable.
This is not a similarity search. Each count matches the exact readings above and nothing else.
Picked in hindsight: the counts include every other time these readings appeared, not just this move.
Fires often arrive as clusters of consecutive minutes, and forward windows overlap. A cluster is one episode, not many independent trials.
If these counts read weaker than the move suggested, that is the tool working: the lead-up of a picked move always looks special until it is counted everywhere else.
Saved study q#b1d3ecb3 @ dataset 85fdc316, counted 22 Sep 2026 08:33 UTC.
Saved summary text, as written 22 Sep 2026
Written automatically when this study was saved and kept as written; where a line differs from the counts above, the counts govern.
Minutes like this appeared only 16 times in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed was more often higher: 10 of the 16 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward rose (63%).
10 rose and 6 fell over 16 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
About 0.5 a day over 31 days, but 2026-09-18 alone holds 50% of them: this is close to a single episode.
The other reading times, as written
From 15 minutes before
Minutes like this appeared only 16 times in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed was more often higher: 9 of the 16 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward rose (56%).
9 rose and 7 fell over 16 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
About 0.5 a day over 31 days, but 2026-09-18 alone holds 50% of them: this is close to a single episode.
From 1 hour before
Minutes like this appeared only 6 times in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed was more often higher: 5 of the 6 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward rose (83%).
5 rose and 1 fell over 6 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
About 0.2 a day over 31 days, but 2026-09-18 alone holds 50% of them: this is close to a single episode.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 16 matches came on 3 of 30 days, 11 during the rise.
When the matches happened3 of 30 days
- 5 Sep4 matches
- 16 Sep4 matches
- 18 Sep8 matches
No matches on the other 27 days.
Of the 16 matches, 5 came before the rise began, 11 during it and 0 after it.
Neighbouring minutes overlap, so these are not 16 separate trials.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 16 matches came on 3 of 30 days, 11 during the rise.
Other time frames30 minutes to 7 days
The answer uses 30 minutes, the time frame this study counted by default. Each row counts the same matches at a later close, in both directions. The bars show how often price was 2% or more higher at each time frame: first the matches, then any BR minute.
- 30 minutes
0 of 16 were 2% or more lower; any BR minute 3,159 of 43,161 (7.3%).
Every match has a 30-minute close.
At least 11 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 1 hour
1 of 16 was 2% or more lower; any BR minute 5,115 of 43,131 (11.9%).
Every match has a 1-hour close.
At least 11 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 4 hours
1 of 16 was 2% or more lower; any BR minute 11,191 of 42,951 (26.1%).
Every match has a 4-hour close.
At least 11 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 24 hours
4 of 16 were 2% or more lower; any BR minute 17,964 of 41,751 (43.0%).
Every match has a 24-hour close.
At least 11 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 72 hours
4 of 16 were 2% or more lower; any BR minute 15,001 of 38,871 (38.6%).
Every match has a 72-hour close.
- 7 days
4 of 4 were 2% or more lower; any BR minute 10,687 of 33,111 (32.3%).
12 without a 7-day close yet, left out.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 16 matches came on 3 of 30 days, 11 during the rise.
Readings at five times before the rise24 hours to 1 minute before · 2 other times tried
Highlights follow fixed rules, not significance tests. Proposed conditions round values or use ranges; inspect them before running.
24 hours before · 15 Sep 09:00 UTC · 10 of 87 stood out
Order book tilt 0.62 or higherBook capture is native1-hour range against usual 0.42 or lower4-hour range against usual 2.2 or higherLiquidation bunching 0.63 or higherDepth capture is liveTouches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hours15-minute price change -0.011 or lowerDistance from the day's average price -0.19 or lowerShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance 0.6231 ≥ 0.62 Book capture feature.book_source native native Compression · 1h feature.candle_compression_1h 0.4116 ≤ 0.42 Compression · 4h feature.candle_compression_4h 2.21 ≥ 2.2 Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.632 ≥ 0.63 Depth capture feature.depth_source live live how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 509 12 to 720 Return · 15m feature.ret_15m -0.01102 ≤ -0.011 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist -0.1934 ≤ -0.19 4 hours before · 16 Sep 05:00 UTC · 11 of 87 stood out
Order book tilt 0.78 or higherBook capture is nativeEngulfing (15m) is bearishSweep + reclaim (15m) is bullishSweep + reclaim (1h) is bullishLiquidation bunching 0.62 or higherDepth capture is liveTouches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hours15-minute price change -0.012 or lowerDistance from the day's average price -0.054 or lowerShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance 0.79 ≥ 0.78 Book capture feature.book_source native native Engulfing · 15m feature.candle_engulfing_15m bearish bearish Sweep + reclaim · 15m feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_15m bullish bullish Sweep + reclaim · 1h feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_1h bullish bullish Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.6245 ≥ 0.62 Depth capture feature.depth_source live live how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 529 12 to 720 Return · 15m feature.ret_15m -0.0129 ≤ -0.012 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist -0.05425 ≤ -0.054 1 hour before · 16 Sep 08:00 UTC · 12 of 87 stood out
Order book tilt 0.98 or higherBook capture is native4-hour range against usual 0.27 or lowerSweep + reclaim (15m) is bullishSweep + reclaim (1h) is bullishLiquidation bunching 0.6 or higherDepth capture is liveTouches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursMinutes to funding 1 or lower1-hour price change -0.034 or lowerDistance from the day's average price -0.074 or lowerShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance 0.9845 ≥ 0.98 Book capture feature.book_source native native Compression · 4h feature.candle_compression_4h 0.263 ≤ 0.27 Sweep + reclaim · 15m feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_15m bullish bullish Sweep + reclaim · 1h feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_1h bullish bullish Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.604 ≥ 0.6 Depth capture feature.depth_source live live how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 532 12 to 720 Minutes to funding feature.mins_to_funding 0 ≤ 1 Return · 1h feature.ret_1h -0.03401 ≤ -0.034 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist -0.07481 ≤ -0.074 15 minutes before · 16 Sep 08:45 UTC · 11 of 87 stood out
Order book tilt 0.63 or higherBook capture is native4-hour range against usual 0.27 or lowerContainment (15m) is insideSweep + reclaim (1h) is bullishLiquidation bunching 0.59 or higherDepth capture is liveTouches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hours15-minute price change -0.017 or lowerDistance from the day's average price -0.073 or lowerShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance 0.6376 ≥ 0.63 Book capture feature.book_source native native Compression · 4h feature.candle_compression_4h 0.263 ≤ 0.27 Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m inside inside Sweep + reclaim · 1h feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_1h bullish bullish Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.5968 ≥ 0.59 Depth capture feature.depth_source live live how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 532.8 12 to 720 Return · 15m feature.ret_15m -0.01728 ≤ -0.017 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist -0.07397 ≤ -0.073 1 minute before · 16 Sep 08:59 UTC · 10 of 87 stood out
Order book lopsidedness 0.053 or lowerBook capture is native4-hour range against usual 0.27 or lowerContainment (15m) is insideSweep + reclaim (1h) is bullishLiquidation bunching 0.59 or higherDepth capture is liveTouches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursDistance from the day's average price -0.077 or lowerShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance percentile feature.book_imbalance_pctrank 0.05201 ≤ 0.053 Book capture feature.book_source native native Compression · 4h feature.candle_compression_4h 0.263 ≤ 0.27 Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m inside inside Sweep + reclaim · 1h feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_1h bullish bullish Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.5968 ≥ 0.59 Depth capture feature.depth_source live live how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 533 12 to 720 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist -0.07706 ≤ -0.077
Two other reading times we tried 16 and 6 matches
15 minutes before (08:45): order book tilt 0.63 or higher, book capture is native, 4-hour range against usual 0.27 or lower.
Book imbalance · top levels ≥ 0.63 and Book capture native and Compression · 4h ≤ 0.27
16 matches: price was 2% or more higher after 30 minutes in 3 of 16, and 2% or more lower in 1 of 16.
Of the 16 matches, 5 came before the rise began, 11 during it and 0 after it.
1 hour before (08:00): order book tilt 0.98 or higher, book capture is native, 4-hour range against usual 0.27 or lower.
Book imbalance · top levels ≥ 0.98 and Book capture native and Compression · 4h ≤ 0.27
6 matches: price was 2% or more higher after 30 minutes in 1 of 6, and 2% or more lower in 1 of 6.
Of the 6 matches, 2 came before the rise began, 4 during it and 0 after it.
Fewer than 30 results, so no rate is printed.
No set had 30 matches before the rise; the saved study leads with the one that had the most.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 16 matches came on 3 of 30 days, 11 during the rise.
Hourly candles around the risefull context, lead-up, move
The 09:00 start was picked after the move.
Hourly candles, UTC. The marked lines are the minutes the readings came from: 1 minute, 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours and 24 hours before the selected start.
Other ways to test itsame dates
Multiple recorded sectors: sector_crypto, sector_defi. Choose one explicitly.
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Starting defaults and coverage
Starting defaults: 2026-08-23 to 2026-09-22 UTC; finishes up 2% or more after 1 hour. Review or change the markets, dates, conditions and outcome before running. Current recorded classification and sector tags, not point-in-time membership. Historical membership may differ. Instrument history does not guarantee every setup input or outcome is present; actual study exclusions remain authoritative.