BTWUSDT rose into Aug 29
+26%
Counted on 2026-09-03, against a record covering to 2026-09-02 00:00 UTC. These numbers are frozen: this page will always say what it said the day it was written.
Exact setup countedBook imbalance percentile ≤ 0.08 and feature.candle_compression_1h ≤ 0.29 and feature.candle_compression_4h ≤ 0.43 · Read at 24 hours before the move.
Usually lower after 30 minutes: 7 of 10 completed matches fell.
Both are true: these readings sat before this rise, and the other times they appeared, what followed more often fell. That disagreement is the finding: a lead-up that looks special is not the same as one that usually comes before rises.
Evidence and counting
Read at 24 hours before the move.
Of the 10 fires, 5 came before the move began and 1 happened while it was already under way. A fire during the move sees it; it does not telegraph it.
About 0.3 a day over 31 days, but 2026-08-30 alone holds 40% of them: this is close to a single episode.
This is not a similarity search. Each count matches the exact readings above and nothing else.
Picked in hindsight: the counts include every other time these readings appeared, not just this move.
Fires often arrive as clusters of consecutive minutes, and forward windows overlap. A cluster is one episode, not many independent trials.
If these counts read weaker than the move suggested, that is the tool working: the lead-up of a picked move always looks special until it is counted everywhere else.
What the minutes before it looked like
Hourly candles. The marked lines are the minutes the readings came from: 1 minute, 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours and 24 hours before the move began. Every one of them sits before the move, never inside it.
A reading stands out when it sits outside the range it usually holds. The rules are fixed: the same ones the moment reader on the research page uses.
No recorded readings at 1 minute, 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours before the move.
- -24h2026-08-26 04:00 UTC
At 24 hours before the move, 5 of the 41 readings stood out.
Book imbalance percentile ≤ 0.08feature.candle_compression_1h ≤ 0.29feature.candle_compression_4h ≤ 0.43Containment · 15m insideCascade clustering ≥ 0.67Show the full readings
READING BEFORE THE MOVE SEARCHES FOR Book imbalance percentile feature.book_imbalance_pctrank 0.07932 ≤ 0.08 feature.candle_compression_1h feature.candle_compression_1h 0.287 ≤ 0.29 feature.candle_compression_4h feature.candle_compression_4h 0.4294 ≤ 0.43 Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m inside inside Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.6727 ≥ 0.67
Also counted
Every night the record counts what fired and what usually followed: the daily brief.
No account? Replay a real move tick by tick, free: TUT short squeeze · 9 Aug 2026.