Move read

BTWUSDT rose into Sep 2

+94%

Move window

Move window: 2026-09-01 13:00 to 2026-09-02 21:00 UTC.

The record for BTWUSDT currently ends 2026-09-04 00:00 UTC.

The record covers the whole lead-up.

Counted on 2026-09-05, against a record covering to 2026-09-04 00:00 UTC. These numbers are frozen: this page will always say what it said the day it was written.

Exact setup countedBook imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.8 and Compression · 15m ≤ 0.47 and the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline ≤ 0.36 · Read at 15 minutes before the move.

22MATCHES of 43,201 minutes
13ROSE
9FELL
22 of 22 (0 unavailable)COMPLETE 30M
What the record says

13 rose and 9 fell over 22 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.

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Opens this exact setup in Research. Confirm it, search every prior match, then arm an alert for the next one.

Counts above cover this market only. The proposed Research handoff expands to 467 small cap markets; its counts have not been computed here. This market only · Every recorded market

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Evidence and counting
feature.book_imbalance + feature.candle_compression_15m + feature.candle_compression_1h

Read at 15 minutes before the move.

Of the 22 fires, 19 came before the move began; none were during it.

About 0.7 a day, on 14 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.

q#53b88315 @ dataset ea3968f0

This is not a similarity search. Each count matches the exact readings above and nothing else.

Picked in hindsight: the counts include every other time these readings appeared, not just this move.

Fires often arrive as clusters of consecutive minutes, and forward windows overlap. A cluster is one episode, not many independent trials.

If these counts read weaker than the move suggested, that is the tool working: the lead-up of a picked move always looks special until it is counted everywhere else.

> Full BTWUSDT research page

What the minutes before it looked like

Where these readings were taken
the move beginsreadings taken here+94%0.365940.537050.78817Aug 31 11:00Sep 1 13:00Sep 3 01:00UTC · log price scale

Hourly candles. The marked lines are the minutes the readings came from: 1 minute, 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours and 24 hours before the move began. Every one of them sits before the move, never inside it.

Highlighted readings and exact search conditions

Highlighted readings meet fixed rules, not a statistical-significance test. The observed value and proposed search condition are different: a condition rounds a value or selects an interval for a repeatable search.

  1. -24h2026-08-31 13:00 UTC

    At 24 hours before the move, 5 of the 58 readings met a highlight rule.

    Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.93the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline ≤ 0.26Lower wick · 15m ≥ 0.74Sweep + reclaim · 15m bullishCascade clustering ≥ 0.55
    Show the full readings
    READINGBEFORE THE MOVESEARCHES FOR
    Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance-0.9323≤ -0.93
    the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_4h0.2572≤ 0.26
    Lower wick · 15m feature.candle_lower_wick_15m0.7424≥ 0.74
    Sweep + reclaim · 15m feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_15mbullishbullish
    Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index0.5517≥ 0.55
  2. -4h2026-09-01 09:00 UTC

    At 4 hours before the move, 6 of the 58 readings met a highlight rule.

    the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline ≤ 0.45the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline ≥ 2.2Engulfing · 1h bearishSweep + reclaim · 1h bullishCascade clustering ≥ 0.56VWAP distance · day ≤ -0.063
    Show the full readings
    READINGBEFORE THE MOVESEARCHES FOR
    the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_1h0.4412≤ 0.45
    the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_4h2.276≥ 2.2
    Engulfing · 1h feature.candle_engulfing_1hbearishbearish
    Sweep + reclaim · 1h feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_1hbullishbullish
    Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index0.5666≥ 0.56
    VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist-0.06389≤ -0.063
  3. -1h2026-09-01 12:00 UTC

    At 1 hour before the move, 6 of the 58 readings met a highlight rule.

    Compression · 15m ≤ 0.4the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline ≤ 0.36Containment · 15m insideUpper wick · 15m ≥ 0.61Cascade clustering ≥ 0.56VWAP distance · day ≤ -0.047
    Show the full readings
    READINGBEFORE THE MOVESEARCHES FOR
    Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m0.3998≤ 0.4
    the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_1h0.3526≤ 0.36
    Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15minsideinside
    Upper wick · 15m feature.candle_upper_wick_15m0.6121≥ 0.61
    Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index0.568≥ 0.56
    VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist-0.0477≤ -0.047
  4. -15m2026-09-01 12:45 UTC

    At 15 minutes before the move, 6 of the 58 readings met a highlight rule.

    Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.8Compression · 15m ≤ 0.47the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline ≤ 0.36Containment · 15m insideCascade clustering ≥ 0.56VWAP distance · day ≤ -0.046
    Show the full readings
    READINGBEFORE THE MOVESEARCHES FOR
    Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance-0.8045≤ -0.8
    Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m0.4698≤ 0.47
    the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_1h0.3526≤ 0.36
    Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15minsideinside
    Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index0.568≥ 0.56
    VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist-0.04655≤ -0.046
  5. -1m2026-09-01 12:59 UTC

    At 1 minute before the move, 7 of the 58 readings met a highlight rule.

    Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.95Book imbalance percentile ≤ 0.061Compression · 15m ≤ 0.47the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline ≤ 0.36Containment · 15m insideCascade clustering ≥ 0.56VWAP distance · day ≤ -0.045
    Show the full readings
    READINGBEFORE THE MOVESEARCHES FOR
    Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance-0.9595≤ -0.95
    Book imbalance percentile feature.book_imbalance_pctrank0.06072≤ 0.061
    Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m0.4698≤ 0.47
    the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_1h0.3526≤ 0.36
    Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15minsideinside
    Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index0.568≥ 0.56
    VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist-0.04596≤ -0.045

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Also counted

Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.95 and Book imbalance percentile ≤ 0.061 and Compression · 15m ≤ 0.4713 matches, 10 rose, 3 fell
feature.book_imbalance + feature.book_imbalance_pctrank + feature.candle_compression_15m

Read at 1 minute before the move.

10 rose and 3 fell over 13 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.

Of the 13 fires, 11 came before the move began and 1 happened while it was already under way. A fire during the move sees it; it does not telegraph it.

About 0.4 a day, on 10 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.

q#55ca8f34 @ dataset ea3968f0
Compression · 15m ≤ 0.4 and the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline ≤ 0.36 and Containment · 15m inside13 matches, 7 rose, 6 fell
feature.candle_compression_15m + feature.candle_compression_1h + feature.candle_containment_15m

Read at 1 hour before the move.

7 rose and 6 fell over 13 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.

Of the 13 fires, 12 came before the move began; none were during it.

About 0.4 a day, on 10 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.

q#502510a8 @ dataset ea3968f0

Every night the record counts what fired and what usually followed: the daily brief.

No account? Replay a real move tick by tick, free: TUT short squeeze · 9 Aug 2026.