Binance USDT-MBULLAUSDT rose 309% on 3 September 2026
Picked after the rise, on one market.
Next stepWhat happened
Price opened the 00:00 hour at 0.02261 and reached a highest trade of 0.09239 in the 18:00 hour; the tested readings were taken at 23:45.
What stood out at 23:45
- Order book tilt-0.9842Tested: -0.98 or lower
- Order book lopsidedness0.903Tested: 0.9 or higher
- Open interest change rank0.9305Tested: 0.93 or higher
23:45 always meets its own rules.
What the record says
Too few results to compare
Price at least 2% higher after 30 minutes
8 matches in 43,168 minutes checked.
Picked after the rise, on one market.
Evidence
Does it hold on more dates?
Nothing runs until you press Run.
Exactly what was counted3 conditions · 8 of 43,168 minutes · saved text
- Order book tilt -0.98 or lower. Size at the best bid against the best ask; above 0 means more bids, below 0 more asks.Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.98 · feature.book_imbalance
- Order book lopsidedness 0.9 or higher. How lopsided the sizes at the best bid and ask were, either way, against recent readings; low means unusually even.Book imbalance percentile ≥ 0.9 · feature.book_imbalance_pctrank
- Open interest change rank 0.93 or higher. How unusual the change in open positions was, opening or closing, on a 0 to 1 scale.OI velocity percentile ≥ 0.93 · feature.oi_velocity_pctrank
Read at 15 minutes before the move.
Read at 23:45 UTC on 2 September, 15 minutes before the selected 00:00 start.
BULLA only, 10 August to 8 September 2026 (UTC, ending 9 September 00:00); all 3 readings had values on 43,168 of those minutes.
Reference: every BULLA minute over the same dates, matches included; it is not a matched control group.
Outcome: the close exactly 30 minutes later, not the highest or lowest price along the way.
The 00:00 start was picked automatically after the move.
BULLAUSDT stored readings end 2026-09-09 00:00 UTC (exclusive). Prices and tick replay have separate coverage.
The feature manifest spans the lead-up. Individual minutes or inputs can still be unavailable.
This is not a similarity search. Each count matches the exact readings above and nothing else.
Picked in hindsight: the counts include every other time these readings appeared, not just this move.
Fires often arrive as clusters of consecutive minutes, and forward windows overlap. A cluster is one episode, not many independent trials.
If these counts read weaker than the move suggested, that is the tool working: the lead-up of a picked move always looks special until it is counted everywhere else.
Saved study q#1abfa421 @ dataset 418a74e4, counted 9 Sep 2026 09:58 UTC.
Saved summary text, as written 9 Sep 2026
Written automatically when this study was saved and kept as written; where a line differs from the counts above, the counts govern.
Minutes like this appeared only 8 times in the 43,168 minutes searched. What followed was more often higher: 5 of the 8 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward rose (63%).
5 rose and 3 fell over 8 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
About 0.3 a day, on 6 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
It counts the single minute on 9 September as a day.
The other reading times, as written
From 1 minute before
Minutes like this appeared only 2 times in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed was more often lower: 2 of the 2 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward fell (100%).
0 rose and 2 fell over 2 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
About 0.1 a day over 31 days, but 2026-09-02 alone holds 50% of them: this is close to a single episode.
From 1 hour before
Minutes like this appeared only 9 times in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed was more often higher: 5 of the 9 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward rose (56%).
5 rose and 4 fell over 9 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
About 0.3 a day, on 9 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 8 matches came on 6 of 30 days.
When the matches happened6 of 30 days
- 15 Aug1 match
- 21 Aug2 matches
- 23 Aug1 match
- 24 Aug1 match
- 29 Aug1 match
- 2 Sep2 matches
No matches on the other 24 days.
Of the 8 matches, 8 came before the rise began, 0 during it and 0 after it.
Neighbouring minutes overlap, so these are not 8 separate trials.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 8 matches came on 6 of 30 days.
Other time frames30 minutes to 7 days
The answer uses 30 minutes, the time frame this study counted by default. Each row counts the same matches at a later close, in both directions. The bars show how often price was 2% or more higher at each time frame: first the matches, then any BULLA minute.
- 30 minutes
1 of 8 was 2% or more lower; any BULLA minute 2,589 of 43,119 (6.0%).
Every match has a 30-minute close.
- 1 hour
0 of 8 were 2% or more lower; any BULLA minute 3,603 of 43,089 (8.4%).
Every match has a 1-hour close.
- 4 hours
2 of 8 were 2% or more lower; any BULLA minute 6,127 of 42,909 (14.3%).
Every match has a 4-hour close.
- 24 hours
0 of 8 were 2% or more lower; any BULLA minute 8,702 of 41,709 (20.9%).
Every match has a 24-hour close.
- 72 hours
2 of 8 were 2% or more lower; any BULLA minute 9,872 of 38,831 (25.4%).
Every match has a 72-hour close.
At least 2 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 7 days
3 of 6 were 2% or more lower; any BULLA minute 11,756 of 33,074 (35.5%).
2 without a 7-day close yet, left out.
At least 1 of these windows overlap the rise.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 8 matches came on 6 of 30 days.
Readings at five times before the rise24 hours to 1 minute before · 2 other times tried
Highlights follow fixed rules, not significance tests. Proposed conditions round values or use ranges; inspect them before running.
24 hours before · 2 Sep 00:00 UTC · 11 of 58 stood out
15-minute range against usual 3.2 or higherLiquidation bunching 0.54 or higherThe short descending resistance line is active 4hTouches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursThe support under the short descending resistance is risingTouches on the resistance 3 or moreMinutes to funding 1 or lowerOpen interest change rank 0.99 or higher15-minute price change -0.019 or lowerTaker buy share (15m) 0.26 or lowerShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m 3.25 ≥ 3.2 Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.5483 ≥ 0.54 the short descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_short_active active_4h active_4h how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 32 12 to 720 the support under the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_support rising rising how many times price has touched the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_touches 3 ≥ 3 Minutes to funding feature.mins_to_funding 0 ≤ 1 OI velocity percentile feature.oi_velocity_pctrank 1 ≥ 0.99 Return · 15m feature.ret_15m -0.01958 ≤ -0.019 Taker buy share · 15m feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m 0.2589 ≤ 0.26 4 hours before · 2 Sep 20:00 UTC · 7 of 58 stood out
4-hour range against usual 3.5 or higherLiquidation bunching 0.63 or higherTouches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hours15-minute price change 0.04 or higher1-hour price change 0.052 or higherDistance from the day's average price 0.21 or higherShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_4h 3.526 ≥ 3.5 Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.6393 ≥ 0.63 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 14 12 to 720 Return · 15m feature.ret_15m 0.04059 ≥ 0.04 Return · 1h feature.ret_1h 0.05263 ≥ 0.052 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist 0.2155 ≥ 0.21 1 hour before · 2 Sep 23:00 UTC · 12 of 58 stood out
Order book tilt 0.87 or higherOrder book lopsidedness 0.055 or lower1-hour range against usual 5.3 or higher4-hour range against usual 3.5 or higherSweep + reclaim (1h) is bullishLiquidation bunching 0.76 or higherTouches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursVolatility rank 0.98 or higher15-minute price change 0.038 or higher1-hour price change -0.21 or lowerDistance from the day's average price -0.085 or lowerShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance 0.8746 ≥ 0.87 Book imbalance percentile feature.book_imbalance_pctrank 0.05407 ≤ 0.055 the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_1h 5.302 ≥ 5.3 the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_4h 3.526 ≥ 3.5 Sweep + reclaim · 1h feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_1h bullish bullish Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.7648 ≥ 0.76 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 17 12 to 720 Realized vol percentile feature.realized_vol_pctrank 0.9803 ≥ 0.98 Return · 15m feature.ret_15m 0.03863 ≥ 0.038 Return · 1h feature.ret_1h -0.2122 ≤ -0.21 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist -0.08554 ≤ -0.085 15 minutes before · 2 Sep 23:45 UTC · 13 of 58 stood out
Order book tilt -0.98 or lowerOrder book lopsidedness 0.9 or higher1-hour range against usual 5.3 or higher4-hour range against usual 3.5 or higherSweep + reclaim (1h) is bullishLiquidation bunching 0.77 or higherTouches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursMinutes to funding 15 or lowerOpen interest change rank 0.93 or higher15-minute price change 0.1 or higher1-hour price change 0.09 or higherDistance from the day's average price -0.034 or lowerShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance -0.9842 ≤ -0.98 Book imbalance percentile feature.book_imbalance_pctrank 0.903 ≥ 0.9 the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_1h 5.302 ≥ 5.3 the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_4h 3.526 ≥ 3.5 Sweep + reclaim · 1h feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_1h bullish bullish Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.7734 ≥ 0.77 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 17.75 12 to 720 Minutes to funding feature.mins_to_funding 15 ≤ 15 OI velocity percentile feature.oi_velocity_pctrank 0.9305 ≥ 0.93 Return · 15m feature.ret_15m 0.1004 ≥ 0.1 Return · 1h feature.ret_1h 0.09092 ≥ 0.09 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist -0.03483 ≤ -0.034 1 minute before · 2 Sep 23:59 UTC · 10 of 58 stood out
Order book lopsidedness 0.047 or lower1-hour range against usual 5.3 or higher4-hour range against usual 3.5 or higherSweep + reclaim (1h) is bullishLiquidation bunching 0.77 or higherTouches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursMinutes to funding 1 or lower15-minute price change 0.061 or higher1-hour price change 0.091 or higherShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance percentile feature.book_imbalance_pctrank 0.04673 ≤ 0.047 the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_1h 5.302 ≥ 5.3 the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_4h 3.526 ≥ 3.5 Sweep + reclaim · 1h feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_1h bullish bullish Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.7747 ≥ 0.77 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 17.98 12 to 720 Minutes to funding feature.mins_to_funding 1 ≤ 1 Return · 15m feature.ret_15m 0.06174 ≥ 0.061 Return · 1h feature.ret_1h 0.09116 ≥ 0.091
Two other reading times we tried 2 and 9 matches
1 minute before (23:59): order book lopsidedness 0.047 or lower, 1-hour range against usual 5.3 or higher, 4-hour range against usual 3.5 or higher.
Book imbalance percentile ≤ 0.047 and the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline ≥ 5.3 and the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline ≥ 3.5
2 matches: price was 2% or more higher after 30 minutes in 0 of 2, and 2% or more lower in 1 of 2.
Of the 2 matches, 1 came before the rise began, 1 during it and 0 after it.
1 hour before (23:00): order book tilt 0.87 or higher, order book lopsidedness 0.055 or lower, volatility rank 0.98 or higher.
Book imbalance · top levels ≥ 0.87 and Book imbalance percentile ≤ 0.055 and Realized vol percentile ≥ 0.98
9 matches: price was 2% or more higher after 30 minutes in 2 of 9, and 2% or more lower in 2 of 9.
Of the 9 matches, 6 came before the rise began, 2 during it and 1 after it.
Fewer than 30 results, so no rate is printed.
No set had 30 matches before the rise; the saved study leads with the one that had the most.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 8 matches came on 6 of 30 days.
Hourly candles around the risefull context, lead-up, move
The 00:00 start was picked after the move, and the hour before was already rising.
Hourly candles, UTC. The marked lines are the minutes the readings came from: 1 minute, 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours and 24 hours before the selected start.
Other ways to test itsame dates
- This market only
- The 71 sector alpha markets · No result for these markets has been measured.
- Every recorded market
Same 3 conditions on BULLA, 11 July to 9 August 2026.
Each opens Review the test.
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