BULLAUSDT rose into Sep 5
+309%
Counted on 2026-09-09, against a record covering to 2026-09-09 00:00 UTC. These numbers are frozen: this page will always say what it said the day it was written.
This move is in the event archive as a volatility spike on 2026-09-02. Open the archived event
Exact setup countedBook imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.98 and Book imbalance percentile ≥ 0.9 and OI velocity percentile ≥ 0.93 · Read at 15 minutes before the move.
5 rose and 3 fell over 8 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
Counts above cover this market only. Suggested starting scope: 71 sector alpha markets. Sector counts have not been computed here. This market only · Every recorded market
Watch the ignition replay Free replay covers the latest fully archived UTC day on 6 major markets. Pro reaches 90 days; Research reaches the whole recorded order book, which begins 15 May 2026. Earlier days are searchable but hold no book, so they cannot be replayed. Access is checked when you open a replay.
Evidence and counting
Read at 15 minutes before the move.
Of the 8 fires, 8 came before the move began; none were during it.
About 0.3 a day, on 6 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
This is not a similarity search. Each count matches the exact readings above and nothing else.
Picked in hindsight: the counts include every other time these readings appeared, not just this move.
Fires often arrive as clusters of consecutive minutes, and forward windows overlap. A cluster is one episode, not many independent trials.
If these counts read weaker than the move suggested, that is the tool working: the lead-up of a picked move always looks special until it is counted everywhere else.
Explore the move and its lead-up
Hourly candles. The marked lines are the minutes the readings came from: 1 minute, 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours and 24 hours before the selected start. These five samples test the lead-up only, not the full move. Use the minute inspector to explore during or after the move.
Explore historical state
Current-minute reads are free after sign-in. Pro and Research include historical-minute inspection and comparison with an hour earlier.
Past readings use stored inputs where available. Recent minutes may use the live buffer and are labelled unpinned. Missing minutes remain visible.
Read the available analytical inputs at one minute, including measurements over the preceding windows. Compare with an hour earlier, then take a reading into Research to test it. Dates are UTC.
These additional reads are separate from the five pre-start samples. Observations during or after the selected move describe what had already happened; they are not advance evidence.
Selected time: 2026-09-03 00:00 UTC. During the selected move: hindsight. Choose Read this minute to request it. Missing minutes remain unavailable.
Follow positioning and flow through the move
Read 22 sampled minutes from the selected start through one hour after the selected end. The peak hour has extra 15-minute samples. The end marks the peak hour, not the exact peak tick. These are separate snapshots, not a continuous tape or an advance-warning test.
Historical access applies. Reads preserve each source revision; missing values stay unavailable. Contract OI, turnover and direct spot basis are not supplied by this table. Published premium is a different measure from direct basis.
No additional reads have run.
The OI score measures absolute USD-notional change, not signed contract growth. Zero 15-second liquidation intensity can coexist with substantial hourly liquidations. Binance liquidation amounts are observed publications, not complete venue totals.
Pre-start evidence: five separate snapshots
Highlighted readings and exact search conditions
Highlighted readings meet fixed rules, not a statistical-significance test. The observed value and proposed search condition are different: a condition rounds a value or selects an interval for a repeatable search.
- -24h2026-09-02 00:00 UTC
At 24 hours before the move, 11 of the 58 readings met a highlight rule.
Compression · 15m ≥ 3.2Cascade clustering ≥ 0.54the short descending resistance line active_4hhow many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720the support under the short descending resistance risinghow many times price has touched the short descending resistance ≥ 3Minutes to funding ≤ 1OI velocity percentile ≥ 0.99Return · 15m ≤ -0.019Taker buy share · 15m ≤ 0.26Show the full readings
READING BEFORE THE MOVE SEARCHES FOR Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m 3.25 ≥ 3.2 Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.5483 ≥ 0.54 the short descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_short_active active_4h active_4h how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 32 12 to 720 the support under the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_support rising rising how many times price has touched the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_touches 3 ≥ 3 Minutes to funding feature.mins_to_funding 0 ≤ 1 OI velocity percentile feature.oi_velocity_pctrank 1 ≥ 0.99 Return · 15m feature.ret_15m -0.01958 ≤ -0.019 Taker buy share · 15m feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m 0.2589 ≤ 0.26 - -4h2026-09-02 20:00 UTC
At 4 hours before the move, 7 of the 58 readings met a highlight rule.
the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline ≥ 3.5Cascade clustering ≥ 0.63how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720Return · 15m ≥ 0.04Return · 1h ≥ 0.052VWAP distance · day ≥ 0.21Show the full readings
READING BEFORE THE MOVE SEARCHES FOR the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_4h 3.526 ≥ 3.5 Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.6393 ≥ 0.63 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 14 12 to 720 Return · 15m feature.ret_15m 0.04059 ≥ 0.04 Return · 1h feature.ret_1h 0.05263 ≥ 0.052 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist 0.2155 ≥ 0.21 - -1h2026-09-02 23:00 UTC
At 1 hour before the move, 12 of the 58 readings met a highlight rule.
Book imbalance · top levels ≥ 0.87Book imbalance percentile ≤ 0.055the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline ≥ 5.3the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline ≥ 3.5Sweep + reclaim · 1h bullishCascade clustering ≥ 0.76how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720Realized vol percentile ≥ 0.98Return · 15m ≥ 0.038Return · 1h ≤ -0.21VWAP distance · day ≤ -0.085Show the full readings
READING BEFORE THE MOVE SEARCHES FOR Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance 0.8746 ≥ 0.87 Book imbalance percentile feature.book_imbalance_pctrank 0.05407 ≤ 0.055 the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_1h 5.302 ≥ 5.3 the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_4h 3.526 ≥ 3.5 Sweep + reclaim · 1h feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_1h bullish bullish Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.7648 ≥ 0.76 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 17 12 to 720 Realized vol percentile feature.realized_vol_pctrank 0.9803 ≥ 0.98 Return · 15m feature.ret_15m 0.03863 ≥ 0.038 Return · 1h feature.ret_1h -0.2122 ≤ -0.21 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist -0.08554 ≤ -0.085 - -15m2026-09-02 23:45 UTC
At 15 minutes before the move, 13 of the 58 readings met a highlight rule.
Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.98Book imbalance percentile ≥ 0.9the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline ≥ 5.3the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline ≥ 3.5Sweep + reclaim · 1h bullishCascade clustering ≥ 0.77how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720Minutes to funding ≤ 15OI velocity percentile ≥ 0.93Return · 15m ≥ 0.1Return · 1h ≥ 0.09VWAP distance · day ≤ -0.034Show the full readings
READING BEFORE THE MOVE SEARCHES FOR Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance -0.9842 ≤ -0.98 Book imbalance percentile feature.book_imbalance_pctrank 0.903 ≥ 0.9 the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_1h 5.302 ≥ 5.3 the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_4h 3.526 ≥ 3.5 Sweep + reclaim · 1h feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_1h bullish bullish Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.7734 ≥ 0.77 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 17.75 12 to 720 Minutes to funding feature.mins_to_funding 15 ≤ 15 OI velocity percentile feature.oi_velocity_pctrank 0.9305 ≥ 0.93 Return · 15m feature.ret_15m 0.1004 ≥ 0.1 Return · 1h feature.ret_1h 0.09092 ≥ 0.09 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist -0.03483 ≤ -0.034 - -1m2026-09-02 23:59 UTC
At 1 minute before the move, 10 of the 58 readings met a highlight rule.
Book imbalance percentile ≤ 0.047the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline ≥ 5.3the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline ≥ 3.5Sweep + reclaim · 1h bullishCascade clustering ≥ 0.77how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720Minutes to funding ≤ 1Return · 15m ≥ 0.061Return · 1h ≥ 0.091Show the full readings
READING BEFORE THE MOVE SEARCHES FOR Book imbalance percentile feature.book_imbalance_pctrank 0.04673 ≤ 0.047 the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_1h 5.302 ≥ 5.3 the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_4h 3.526 ≥ 3.5 Sweep + reclaim · 1h feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_1h bullish bullish Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.7747 ≥ 0.77 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 17.98 12 to 720 Minutes to funding feature.mins_to_funding 1 ≤ 1 Return · 15m feature.ret_15m 0.06174 ≥ 0.061 Return · 1h feature.ret_1h 0.09116 ≥ 0.091
Also counted
Book imbalance percentile ≤ 0.047 and the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline ≥ 5.3 and the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline ≥ 3.52 matches, 0 rose, 2 fell
Read at 1 minute before the move.
0 rose and 2 fell over 2 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
Of the 2 fires, 1 came before the move began and 1 happened while it was already under way. A fire during the move sees it; it does not telegraph it.
About 0.1 a day over 31 days, but 2026-09-02 alone holds 50% of them: this is close to a single episode.
Book imbalance · top levels ≥ 0.87 and Book imbalance percentile ≤ 0.055 and Realized vol percentile ≥ 0.989 matches, 5 rose, 4 fell
Read at 1 hour before the move.
5 rose and 4 fell over 9 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
Of the 9 fires, 6 came before the move began and 2 happened while it was already under way. A fire during the move sees it; it does not telegraph it.
About 0.3 a day, on 9 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
Every night the record counts what fired and what usually followed: the daily brief.
No account? Replay a real move tick by tick, free: TUT short squeeze · 9 Aug 2026.