BULLAUSDT rose into Sep 5
+350%
Counted on 2026-09-07, against a record covering to 2026-09-07 00:00 UTC. These numbers are frozen: this page will always say what it said the day it was written.
This move is in the event archive as a volatility spike on 2026-09-02. Open the archived event
Exact setup countedBook imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.8 and OI velocity percentile ≥ 0.94 and Realized vol percentile ≥ 0.99 · Read at 1 hour before the move.
14 rose and 9 fell over 23 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
Counts above cover this market only. Suggested starting scope: 71 sector alpha markets. Sector counts have not been computed here. This market only · Every recorded market
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Evidence and counting
Read at 1 hour before the move.
Of the 23 fires, 21 came before the move began and 1 happened while it was already under way. A fire during the move sees it; it does not telegraph it.
About 0.7 a day, on 20 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
This is not a similarity search. Each count matches the exact readings above and nothing else.
Picked in hindsight: the counts include every other time these readings appeared, not just this move.
Fires often arrive as clusters of consecutive minutes, and forward windows overlap. A cluster is one episode, not many independent trials.
If these counts read weaker than the move suggested, that is the tool working: the lead-up of a picked move always looks special until it is counted everywhere else.
Explore the move and its lead-up
Hourly candles. The marked lines are the minutes the readings came from: 1 minute, 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours and 24 hours before the selected start. These five samples test the lead-up only, not the full move. Use the minute inspector to explore during or after the move.
Explore historical state
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Past readings use stored inputs where available. Recent minutes may use the live buffer and are labelled unpinned. Missing minutes remain visible.
Read the available analytical inputs at one minute, including measurements over the preceding windows. Compare with an hour earlier, then take a reading into Research to test it. Dates are UTC.
These additional reads are separate from the five pre-start samples. Observations during or after the selected move describe what had already happened; they are not advance evidence.
Selected time: 2026-09-02 23:00 UTC. During the selected move: hindsight. Choose Read this minute to request it. Missing minutes remain unavailable.
Follow positioning and flow through the move
Read 22 sampled minutes from the selected start through one hour after the selected end. The peak hour has extra 15-minute samples. The end marks the peak hour, not the exact peak tick. These are separate snapshots, not a continuous tape or an advance-warning test.
Historical access applies. Reads preserve each source revision; missing values stay unavailable. Contract OI, turnover and direct spot basis are not supplied by this table. Published premium is a different measure from direct basis.
No additional reads have run.
The OI score measures absolute USD-notional change, not signed contract growth. Zero 15-second liquidation intensity can coexist with substantial hourly liquidations. Binance liquidation amounts are observed publications, not complete venue totals.
Pre-start evidence: five separate snapshots
Highlighted readings and exact search conditions
Highlighted readings meet fixed rules, not a statistical-significance test. The observed value and proposed search condition are different: a condition rounds a value or selects an interval for a repeatable search.
- -24h2026-09-01 23:00 UTC
At 24 hours before the move, 9 of the 58 readings met a highlight rule.
Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.5the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline ≤ 0.3Cascade clustering ≥ 0.54the short descending resistance line active_4hhow many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720the support under the short descending resistance risinghow many times price has touched the short descending resistance ≥ 3VWAP distance · day ≥ 0.023Show the full readings
READING BEFORE THE MOVE SEARCHES FOR Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance -0.5 ≤ -0.5 the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_1h 0.297 ≤ 0.3 Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.5483 ≥ 0.54 the short descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_short_active active_4h active_4h how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 31 12 to 720 the support under the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_support rising rising how many times price has touched the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_touches 3 ≥ 3 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist 0.02301 ≥ 0.023 - -4h2026-09-02 19:00 UTC
At 4 hours before the move, 9 of the 58 readings met a highlight rule.
Book imbalance percentile ≤ 0.097the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline ≥ 2the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline ≥ 3.4Cascade clustering ≥ 0.62how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720Return · 15m ≥ 0.034Return · 1h ≥ 0.074VWAP distance · day ≥ 0.17Show the full readings
READING BEFORE THE MOVE SEARCHES FOR Book imbalance percentile feature.book_imbalance_pctrank 0.09648 ≤ 0.097 the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_1h 2.06 ≥ 2 the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_4h 3.484 ≥ 3.4 Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.6239 ≥ 0.62 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 13 12 to 720 Return · 15m feature.ret_15m 0.03485 ≥ 0.034 Return · 1h feature.ret_1h 0.07416 ≥ 0.074 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist 0.1725 ≥ 0.17 - -1h2026-09-02 22:00 UTC
At 1 hour before the move, 17 of the 58 readings met a highlight rule.
Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.8Compression · 15m ≥ 3.9the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline ≥ 3.9the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline ≥ 3.5Containment · 15m outsideEngulfing · 15m bearishEngulfing · 1h bullishSweep + reclaim · 15m bearishSweep + reclaim · 1h bearishCascade clustering ≥ 0.71how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720OI velocity percentile ≥ 0.94Realized vol percentile ≥ 0.99Return · 15m ≤ -0.058Return · 1h ≥ 0.04VWAP distance · day ≥ 0.15Show the full readings
READING BEFORE THE MOVE SEARCHES FOR Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance -0.8066 ≤ -0.8 Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m 3.923 ≥ 3.9 the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_1h 3.947 ≥ 3.9 the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_4h 3.526 ≥ 3.5 Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m outside outside Engulfing · 15m feature.candle_engulfing_15m bearish bearish Engulfing · 1h feature.candle_engulfing_1h bullish bullish Sweep + reclaim · 15m feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_15m bearish bearish Sweep + reclaim · 1h feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_1h bearish bearish Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.7199 ≥ 0.71 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 16 12 to 720 OI velocity percentile feature.oi_velocity_pctrank 0.9477 ≥ 0.94 Realized vol percentile feature.realized_vol_pctrank 1 ≥ 0.99 Return · 15m feature.ret_15m -0.05853 ≤ -0.058 Return · 1h feature.ret_1h 0.04076 ≥ 0.04 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist 0.1537 ≥ 0.15 - -15m2026-09-02 22:45 UTC
At 15 minutes before the move, 14 of the 58 readings met a highlight rule.
Book imbalance percentile ≤ 0.05Compression · 15m ≤ 0.31the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline ≥ 3.9the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline ≥ 3.5Containment · 15m insideEngulfing · 1h bullishSweep + reclaim · 1h bearishCascade clustering ≥ 0.76how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720Realized vol percentile ≥ 0.99Return · 15m ≥ 0.011Return · 1h ≤ -0.28VWAP distance · day ≤ -0.12Show the full readings
READING BEFORE THE MOVE SEARCHES FOR Book imbalance percentile feature.book_imbalance_pctrank 0.04933 ≤ 0.05 Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m 0.3031 ≤ 0.31 the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_1h 3.947 ≥ 3.9 the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_4h 3.526 ≥ 3.5 Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m inside inside Engulfing · 1h feature.candle_engulfing_1h bullish bullish Sweep + reclaim · 1h feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_1h bearish bearish Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.7643 ≥ 0.76 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 16.75 12 to 720 Realized vol percentile feature.realized_vol_pctrank 0.9987 ≥ 0.99 Return · 15m feature.ret_15m 0.01104 ≥ 0.011 Return · 1h feature.ret_1h -0.2859 ≤ -0.28 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist -0.1221 ≤ -0.12 - -1m2026-09-02 22:59 UTC
At 1 minute before the move, 14 of the 58 readings met a highlight rule.
Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.99Compression · 15m ≤ 0.31the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline ≥ 3.9the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline ≥ 3.5Containment · 15m insideEngulfing · 1h bullishSweep + reclaim · 1h bearishCascade clustering ≥ 0.76how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720Realized vol percentile ≥ 0.98Return · 15m ≥ 0.028Return · 1h ≤ -0.21VWAP distance · day ≤ -0.084Show the full readings
READING BEFORE THE MOVE SEARCHES FOR Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance -0.9996 ≤ -0.99 Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m 0.3031 ≤ 0.31 the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_1h 3.947 ≥ 3.9 the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_4h 3.526 ≥ 3.5 Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m inside inside Engulfing · 1h feature.candle_engulfing_1h bullish bullish Sweep + reclaim · 1h feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_1h bearish bearish Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.7648 ≥ 0.76 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 16.98 12 to 720 Realized vol percentile feature.realized_vol_pctrank 0.981 ≥ 0.98 Return · 15m feature.ret_15m 0.0285 ≥ 0.028 Return · 1h feature.ret_1h -0.2188 ≤ -0.21 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist -0.08437 ≤ -0.084
Also counted
Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.99 and Compression · 15m ≤ 0.31 and Realized vol percentile ≥ 0.981 match, 0 rose, 1 fell
Read at 1 minute before the move.
0 rose and 1 fell over 1 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
Its one fire came before the move began.
About 0 a day over 31 days, but 2026-09-02 alone holds 100% of them: this is close to a single episode.
Book imbalance percentile ≤ 0.05 and Compression · 15m ≤ 0.31 and Realized vol percentile ≥ 0.992 matches, 0 rose, 2 fell
Read at 15 minutes before the move.
0 rose and 2 fell over 2 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
Of the 2 fires, 2 came before the move began; none were during it.
About 0.1 a day over 31 days, but 2026-09-02 alone holds 100% of them: this is close to a single episode.
Every night the record counts what fired and what usually followed: the daily brief.
No account? Replay a real move tick by tick, free: TUT short squeeze · 9 Aug 2026.