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CAPUSDT rose 98% into Jul 31. The record covers the whole lead-up.

Move window: 2026-07-27 09:00 to 2026-07-31 17:00 UTC. The record for CAPUSDT currently ends 2026-08-03 00:00 UTC.

Counted on 2026-08-03, against a record covering to 2026-08-03 00:00 UTC. These numbers are frozen: this page will always say what it said the day it was written.

Book imbalance · top levels ≥ 0.84 and Book imbalance percentile ≥ 0.93 and Realized vol percentile ≥ 0.94

feature.book_imbalance + feature.book_imbalance_pctrank + feature.realized_vol_pctrank

Read at 1 minute before the move.

Minutes like this appeared only 24 times in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed was close to a coin flip: 13 rose and 11 fell over the next 30 minutes (24 of the 24 matches have a complete 30 minutes forward).

Of the 24 fires, 21 came before the move began and 3 happened while it was already under way. A fire during the move sees it; it does not telegraph it.

About 0.8 a day, on 18 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.

q#282243b7 @ dataset b91f2197

WATCH FOR THIS Watch the ignition replay

Best supported: Book imbalance · top levels ≥ 0.84 and Book imbalance percentile ≥ 0.93 and Realized vol percentile ≥ 0.94, the combination with the most fires before the move began.

Opens this exact search in the research tool. Nothing runs until you confirm it there, and arming it as an alert sends a message when it next becomes true.

Picked in hindsight: the counts include every other time these readings appeared, not just this move.

What the minutes before it looked like

Where these readings were taken

Hourly candles. The marked lines are the minutes the readings came from: 1 minute, 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours and 24 hours before the move began. Every one of them sits before the move, never inside it.

A reading stands out when it sits outside the range it usually holds. The rules are fixed: the same ones the moment reader on the research page uses.

At 1 minute before the move, 4 of the 33 readings stood out. 2026-07-27 08:59 UTC

READING	BEFORE THE MOVE	SEARCHES FOR
Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance	0.8425	≥ 0.84
Book imbalance percentile feature.book_imbalance_pctrank	0.9395	≥ 0.93
Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m	outside	outside
Realized vol percentile feature.realized_vol_pctrank	0.948	≥ 0.94

At 15 minutes before the move, 3 of the 33 readings stood out. 2026-07-27 08:45 UTC

READING	BEFORE THE MOVE	SEARCHES FOR
Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m	outside	outside
OI velocity percentile feature.oi_velocity_pctrank	1	≥ 0.99
Return · 15m feature.ret_15m	0.02571	≥ 0.025

At 1 hour before the move, 2 of the 33 readings stood out. 2026-07-27 08:00 UTC

READING	BEFORE THE MOVE	SEARCHES FOR
Minutes to funding feature.mins_to_funding	0	≤ 1
Realized vol percentile feature.realized_vol_pctrank	0.9683	≥ 0.96

At 4 hours before the move, 5 of the 33 readings stood out. 2026-07-27 05:00 UTC

READING	BEFORE THE MOVE	SEARCHES FOR
Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance	-0.6477	≤ -0.64
Sweep + reclaim · 1h feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_1h	bullish	bullish
OI velocity percentile feature.oi_velocity_pctrank	0.9962	≥ 0.99
Return · 15m feature.ret_15m	-0.01415	≤ -0.014
VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist	-0.03127	≤ -0.031

At 24 hours before the move, 4 of the 33 readings stood out. 2026-07-26 09:00 UTC

READING	BEFORE THE MOVE	SEARCHES FOR
Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance	0.6669	≥ 0.66
Book imbalance percentile feature.book_imbalance_pctrank	0.09855	≤ 0.099
Lower wick · 15m feature.candle_lower_wick_15m	0.7188	≥ 0.71
Return · 1h feature.ret_1h	0.03354	≥ 0.033

Also counted

This is not a similarity search. Each count matches the exact readings above and nothing else.

Containment · 15m outside and OI velocity percentile ≥ 0.99 and Return · 15m ≥ 0.025

feature.candle_containment_15m + feature.oi_velocity_pctrank + feature.ret_15m

Read at 15 minutes before the move.

Minutes like this appeared only 12 times in the 43,199 minutes searched. What followed leaned down: 7 of the 12 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward fell (58%).

Of the 12 fires, 8 came before the move began and 2 happened while it was already under way. A fire during the move sees it; it does not telegraph it.

About 0.4 a day, on 9 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.

q#118e43c7 @ dataset b91f2197

Minutes to funding ≤ 1 and Realized vol percentile ≥ 0.96

feature.mins_to_funding + feature.realized_vol_pctrank

Read at 1 hour before the move.

Minutes like this appeared only 6 times in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed leaned down: 5 of the 6 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward fell (83%).

Of the 6 fires, 5 came before the move began and 1 happened while it was already under way. A fire during the move sees it; it does not telegraph it.

About 0.2 a day, on 5 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.

q#c5163450 @ dataset b91f2197

Fires often arrive as clusters of consecutive minutes, and forward windows overlap. A cluster is one episode, not many independent trials.

If these counts read weaker than the move suggested, that is the tool working: the lead-up of a picked move always looks special until it is counted everywhere else.