Research is a work in progress. Estimated release: 1 December 2026. Our goal is to make it a search engine for trading setups in recorded crypto markets.
Binance USDT-MHEMIUSDT rose 91% on 26 August 2026
Picked after the rise, on one market.
Next stepWhat happened
Price opened the 17:00 hour at 0.007306 and reached a highest trade of 0.01395 in the 15:00 hour; the tested readings were taken at 13:00.
What stood out at 13:00
- Order book tilt0.5993Tested: 0.59 or higher
- Containment (15m)insideTested: is inside
- Sweep + reclaim (1h)bullishTested: is bullish
13:00 always meets its own rules.
What the record says
30 minutes later, 9 of 19 were at or above the match price and 10 below; no reference was saved
Picked after the rise, on one market.
Evidence
Does it hold on other dates?
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Exactly what was counted3 conditions · 19 of 43,201 minutes · saved text
- Order book tilt 0.59 or higher. Size at the best bid against the best ask; above 0 means more bids, below 0 more asks.Book imbalance · top levels ≥ 0.59 · feature.book_imbalance
- Containment (15m) is inside.Containment · 15m inside · feature.candle_containment_15m
- Sweep + reclaim (1h) is bullish.Sweep + reclaim · 1h bullish · feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_1h
Read at 4 hours before the move.
Read at 13:00 UTC on 26 August, four hours before the selected 17:00 start.
HEMI only, 3 August to 1 September 2026 (UTC, ending 2 September 00:00); all 3 readings had values on 43,201 of those minutes.
Reference: every HEMI minute over the same dates, matches included; it is not a matched control group.
Outcome: the close exactly 30 minutes later, not the highest or lowest price along the way.
The 17:00 start was picked automatically after the move.
HEMIUSDT stored readings end 2026-09-02 00:00 UTC (exclusive). Prices and tick replay have separate coverage.
The feature manifest spans the lead-up. Individual minutes or inputs can still be unavailable.
This is not a similarity search. Each count matches the exact readings above and nothing else.
Picked in hindsight: the counts include every other time these readings appeared, not just this move.
Fires often arrive as clusters of consecutive minutes, and forward windows overlap. A cluster is one episode, not many independent trials.
If these counts read weaker than the move suggested, that is the tool working: the lead-up of a picked move always looks special until it is counted everywhere else.
Saved study q#c49a4a17 @ dataset 489ec93a, counted 3 Sep 2026 07:51 UTC.
Saved summary text, as written 3 Sep 2026
Written automatically when this study was saved and kept as written; where a line differs from the counts above, the counts govern.
Minutes like this appeared only 19 times in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed was close to a coin flip: 9 rose and 10 fell over the next 30 minutes (19 of the 19 matches have a complete 30 minutes forward).
About 0.6 a day, on 13 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
Picked after the rise, on one market.
When the matches happened
Of the 19 matches, 16 came before the rise began, 0 during it and 3 after it.
Neighbouring minutes overlap, so these are not 19 separate trials.
Picked after the rise, on one market.
Readings at five times before the rise24 hours to 1 minute before
Highlights follow fixed rules, not significance tests. Proposed conditions round values or use ranges; inspect them before running.
24 hours before
No readings were recorded for this minute.
4 hours before · 26 Aug 13:00 UTC · 5 of 41 stood out
Order book tilt 0.59 or higherContainment (15m) is insideSweep + reclaim (1h) is bullishUpper wick (15m) 0.63 or higherLiquidation bunching 0.6 or higherShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance 0.5993 ≥ 0.59 Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m inside inside Sweep + reclaim · 1h feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_1h bullish bullish Upper wick · 15m feature.candle_upper_wick_15m 0.6304 ≥ 0.63 Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.6029 ≥ 0.6 1 hour before
No readings were recorded for this minute.
15 minutes before
No readings were recorded for this minute.
1 minute before
No readings were recorded for this minute.
Hourly candles around the risefull context, lead-up, move
The 17:00 start was picked after the move, and the hour before was already rising.
Hourly candles, UTC. The marked lines are the minutes the readings came from: 1 minute, 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours and 24 hours before the selected start.
Other ways to test itsame dates
Same 3 conditions on HEMI, 4 July to 2 August 2026.
Each opens Review the test.
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