Research is a work in progress. Estimated release: 1 December 2026. Our goal is to make it a search engine for trading setups in recorded crypto markets.
Binance USDT-MIOSTUSDT rose 189% on 7 September 2026
Picked after the rise, on one market.
What happened
Price opened the 05:00 hour at 0.0007688 and reached a highest trade of 0.00222 in the 18:00 hour; the tested readings were taken at 04:59.
What stood out at 04:59
- Order book tilt-0.7093Tested: -0.7 or lower
- 15-minute range against usual2.105Tested: 2.1 or higher
- Volatility rank0.9863Tested: 0.98 or higher
04:59 always meets its own rules.
What the record says
Too few results to compare
Price at least 2% higher after 30 minutes
28 matches in 43,201 minutes checked.
Picked after the rise, on one market.
Evidence
No test to open
Multiple recorded sectors: sector_crypto, sector_layer_1. Choose one explicitly.
Exactly what was counted3 conditions · 28 of 43,201 minutes · saved text
- Order book tilt -0.7 or lower. Size at the best bid against the best ask; above 0 means more bids, below 0 more asks.Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.7 · feature.book_imbalance
- 15-minute range against usual 2.1 or higher. The last finished 15-minute candle's high to low range, as a multiple of its usual range.Compression · 15m ≥ 2.1 · feature.candle_compression_15m
- Volatility rank 0.98 or higher. How volatile the last hour was against this market's history, on a 0 to 1 scale.Realized vol percentile ≥ 0.98 · feature.realized_vol_pctrank
Read at 1 minute before the move.
Read at 04:59 UTC on 7 September, one minute before the selected 05:00 start.
IOST only, 14 August to 12 September 2026 (UTC, ending 13 September 00:00); all 3 readings had values on 43,201 of those minutes.
Reference: every IOST minute over the same dates, matches included; it is not a matched control group.
Outcome: the close exactly 30 minutes later, not the highest or lowest price along the way.
The 05:00 start was picked automatically after the move.
IOSTUSDT stored readings end 2026-09-13 00:00 UTC (exclusive). Prices and tick replay have separate coverage.
The feature manifest spans the lead-up. Individual minutes or inputs can still be unavailable.
This is not a similarity search. Each count matches the exact readings above and nothing else.
Picked in hindsight: the counts include every other time these readings appeared, not just this move.
Fires often arrive as clusters of consecutive minutes, and forward windows overlap. A cluster is one episode, not many independent trials.
If these counts read weaker than the move suggested, that is the tool working: the lead-up of a picked move always looks special until it is counted everywhere else.
Saved study q#03eed328 @ dataset 0848795c, counted 13 Sep 2026 08:14 UTC.
Saved summary text, as written 13 Sep 2026
Written automatically when this study was saved and kept as written; where a line differs from the counts above, the counts govern.
Minutes like this appeared only 28 times in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed was more often lower: 16 of the 28 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward fell (57%).
12 rose and 16 fell over 28 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
About 0.9 a day, on 18 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
It counts the single minute on 13 September as a day.
The other reading times, as written
From 15 minutes before
Minutes like this appeared only 12 times in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed was more often higher: 7 of the 12 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward rose (58%).
7 rose and 5 fell over 12 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
About 0.4 a day, on 11 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
From 1 hour before
Minutes like this appeared only 8 times in the 43,168 minutes searched. What followed was more often higher: 6 of the 8 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward rose (75%).
6 rose and 2 fell over 8 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
About 0.3 a day, on 8 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 28 matches came on 18 of 30 days, 5 during the rise.
When the matches happened18 of 30 days
- 14 Aug1 match
- 16 Aug1 match
- 17 Aug1 match
- 19 Aug2 matches
- 21 Aug1 match
- 22 Aug2 matches
- 23 Aug1 match
- 25 Aug2 matches
- 26 Aug1 match
- 28 Aug2 matches
- 30 Aug2 matches
- 1 Sep2 matches
- 2 Sep1 match
- 5 Sep2 matches
- 6 Sep1 match
- 7 Sep3 matches
- 8 Sep1 match
- 9 Sep2 matches
No matches on the other 12 days.
Of the 28 matches, 23 came before the rise began, 5 during it and 0 after it.
Neighbouring minutes overlap, so these are not 28 separate trials.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 28 matches came on 18 of 30 days, 5 during the rise.
Other time frames30 minutes to 7 days
The answer uses 30 minutes, the time frame this study counted by default. Each row counts the same matches at a later close, in both directions. The bars show how often price was 2% or more higher at each time frame: first the matches, then any IOST minute.
- 30 minutes
4 of 28 were 2% or more lower; any IOST minute 1,790 of 42,469 (4.2%).
Every match has a 30-minute close.
At least 5 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 1 hour
2 of 28 were 2% or more lower; any IOST minute 2,724 of 42,451 (6.4%).
Every match has a 1-hour close.
At least 5 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 4 hours
2 of 28 were 2% or more lower; any IOST minute 5,620 of 42,260 (13.3%).
Every match has a 4-hour close.
At least 5 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 24 hours
6 of 28 were 2% or more lower; any IOST minute 10,065 of 41,079 (24.5%).
Every match has a 24-hour close.
At least 5 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 72 hours
6 of 28 were 2% or more lower; any IOST minute 7,664 of 38,233 (20.0%).
Every match has a 72-hour close.
At least 8 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 7 days
2 of 21 were 2% or more lower; any IOST minute 1,553 of 32,586 (4.8%).
7 without a 7-day close yet, left out.
At least 5 of these windows overlap the rise.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 28 matches came on 18 of 30 days, 5 during the rise.
Readings at five times before the rise24 hours to 1 minute before · 2 other times tried
Highlights follow fixed rules, not significance tests. Proposed conditions round values or use ranges; inspect them before running.
24 hours before · 6 Sep 05:00 UTC · 14 of 63 stood out
Order book tilt -0.88 or lower1-hour range against usual 2.3 or higher4-hour range against usual 6.9 or higherContainment (15m) is insideSweep + reclaim (1h) is bearishLiquidation bunching 0.51 or higherHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720Touches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursVolatility rank 0.96 or higher15-minute price change -0.013 or lower1-hour price change 0.036 or higherDistance from the day's average price 0.046 or higherShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance -0.8857 ≤ -0.88 the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_1h 2.388 ≥ 2.3 the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_4h 6.964 ≥ 6.9 Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m inside inside Sweep + reclaim · 1h feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_1h bearish bearish Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.5129 ≥ 0.51 how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 5 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 16 12 to 720 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 5 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 16 12 to 720 Realized vol percentile feature.realized_vol_pctrank 0.9652 ≥ 0.96 Return · 15m feature.ret_15m -0.01384 ≤ -0.013 Return · 1h feature.ret_1h 0.03685 ≥ 0.036 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist 0.04661 ≥ 0.046 4 hours before · 7 Sep 01:00 UTC · 8 of 63 stood out
Order book lopsidedness 0.91 or higher4-hour range against usual 0.37 or lowerLiquidation bunching 0.62 or higherHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720Touches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hours1-hour price change -0.028 or lowerShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance percentile feature.book_imbalance_pctrank 0.9122 ≥ 0.91 the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_4h 0.3679 ≤ 0.37 Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.6293 ≥ 0.62 how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 5 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 36 12 to 720 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 5 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 36 12 to 720 Return · 1h feature.ret_1h -0.02895 ≤ -0.028 1 hour before · 7 Sep 04:00 UTC · 11 of 63 stood out
15-minute range against usual 2.2 or higher1-hour range against usual 2.2 or higherLiquidation bunching 0.64 or higherHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720Touches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursOpen interest change rank 0.99 or higher15-minute price change 0.023 or higher1-hour price change 0.045 or higherDistance from the day's average price 0.042 or higherShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m 2.232 ≥ 2.2 the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_1h 2.226 ≥ 2.2 Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.6436 ≥ 0.64 how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 5 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 39 12 to 720 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 5 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 39 12 to 720 OI change magnitude score feature.oi_velocity_pctrank 0.9974 ≥ 0.99 Return · 15m feature.ret_15m 0.0237 ≥ 0.023 Return · 1h feature.ret_1h 0.04574 ≥ 0.045 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist 0.042 ≥ 0.042 15 minutes before · 7 Sep 04:45 UTC · 12 of 63 stood out
15-minute range against usual 2.1 or higher1-hour range against usual 2.2 or higherContainment (15m) is insideLiquidation bunching 0.65 or higherHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720Touches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursVolatility rank 0.97 or higher15-minute price change 0.016 or higher1-hour price change 0.075 or higherDistance from the day's average price 0.062 or higherShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m 2.105 ≥ 2.1 the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_1h 2.226 ≥ 2.2 Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m inside inside Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.6562 ≥ 0.65 how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 5 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 39.75 12 to 720 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 5 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 39.75 12 to 720 Realized vol percentile feature.realized_vol_pctrank 0.9705 ≥ 0.97 Return · 15m feature.ret_15m 0.01694 ≥ 0.016 Return · 1h feature.ret_1h 0.0755 ≥ 0.075 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist 0.06259 ≥ 0.062 1 minute before · 7 Sep 04:59 UTC · 12 of 63 stood out
Order book tilt -0.7 or lower15-minute range against usual 2.1 or higher1-hour range against usual 2.2 or higherContainment (15m) is insideLiquidation bunching 0.65 or higherHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720Touches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursVolatility rank 0.98 or higher1-hour price change 0.036 or higherDistance from the day's average price 0.043 or higherShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance -0.7093 ≤ -0.7 Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m 2.105 ≥ 2.1 the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_1h 2.226 ≥ 2.2 Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m inside inside Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.6562 ≥ 0.65 how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 5 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 39.98 12 to 720 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 5 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 39.98 12 to 720 Realized vol percentile feature.realized_vol_pctrank 0.9863 ≥ 0.98 Return · 1h feature.ret_1h 0.03665 ≥ 0.036 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist 0.04301 ≥ 0.043
Two other reading times we tried 12 and 8 matches
15 minutes before (04:45): 15-minute range against usual 2.1 or higher, 1-hour range against usual 2.2 or higher, volatility rank 0.97 or higher.
Compression · 15m ≥ 2.1 and the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline ≥ 2.2 and Realized vol percentile ≥ 0.97
12 matches: price was 2% or more higher after 30 minutes in 2 of 12, and 2% or more lower in 2 of 12.
Of the 12 matches, 9 came before the rise began, 3 during it and 0 after it.
1 hour before (04:00): 15-minute range against usual 2.2 or higher, 1-hour range against usual 2.2 or higher, open interest change rank 0.99 or higher.
Compression · 15m ≥ 2.2 and the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline ≥ 2.2 and OI change magnitude score ≥ 0.99
8 matches: price was 2% or more higher after 30 minutes in 2 of 8, and 2% or more lower in 0 of 8.
Of the 8 matches, 7 came before the rise began, 1 during it and 0 after it.
Fewer than 30 results, so no rate is printed.
No set had 30 matches before the rise; the saved study leads with the one that had the most.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 28 matches came on 18 of 30 days, 5 during the rise.
Hourly candles around the risefull context, lead-up, move
The 05:00 start was picked after the move, and the hour before was already rising.
Hourly candles, UTC. The marked lines are the minutes the readings came from: 1 minute, 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours and 24 hours before the selected start.
Other ways to test itsame dates
Multiple recorded sectors: sector_crypto, sector_layer_1. Choose one explicitly.
Each opens Review the test; nothing runs until you press Run.
Running needs a free account and uses your allowance; you see the cost first.
Starting defaults and coverage
Starting defaults: 2026-08-14 to 2026-09-13 UTC; finishes up 2% or more after 1 hour. Review or change the markets, dates, conditions and outcome before running. Current recorded classification and sector tags, not point-in-time membership. Historical membership may differ. Instrument history does not guarantee every setup input or outcome is present; actual study exclusions remain authoritative.