Research is a work in progress. Estimated release: 1 December 2026. Our goal is to make it a search engine for trading setups in recorded crypto markets.
Binance USDT-MIOSTUSDT rose 214% on 5 September 2026
Picked after the rise, on one market.
What happened
Price opened the 23:00 hour at 0.0007075 and reached a highest trade of 0.00222 in the 18:00 hour; the tested readings were taken at 22:00.
What stood out at 22:00
- Order book tilt0.5533Tested: 0.55 or higher
- 4-hour range against usual3.553Tested: 3.5 or higher
- How many times the broken descending resistance had been tested5Tested: 3 or higher
22:00 always meets its own rules.
What the record says
More often than any IOST minute, in this sample
Price at least 2% higher after 30 minutes
36 matches in 43,201 minutes checked.
Picked after the rise, on one market.
Evidence
No test to open
Multiple recorded sectors: sector_crypto, sector_layer_1. Choose one explicitly.
Exactly what was counted3 conditions · 36 of 43,201 minutes · saved text
- Order book tilt 0.55 or higher. Size at the best bid against the best ask; above 0 means more bids, below 0 more asks.Book imbalance · top levels ≥ 0.55 · feature.book_imbalance
- 4-hour range against usual 3.5 or higher. The last finished 4-hour candle's high to low range, as a multiple of its usual range.the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline ≥ 3.5 · feature.candle_compression_4h
- How many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higher.how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3 · feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches
Read at 1 hour before the move.
Read at 22:00 UTC on 5 September, one hour before the selected 23:00 start.
IOST only, 13 August to 11 September 2026 (UTC, ending 12 September 00:00); all 3 readings had values on 43,201 of those minutes.
Reference: every IOST minute over the same dates, matches included; it is not a matched control group.
Outcome: the close exactly 30 minutes later, not the highest or lowest price along the way.
The 23:00 start was picked automatically after the move.
IOSTUSDT stored readings end 2026-09-12 00:00 UTC (exclusive). Prices and tick replay have separate coverage.
The feature manifest spans the lead-up. Individual minutes or inputs can still be unavailable.
This is not a similarity search. Each count matches the exact readings above and nothing else.
Picked in hindsight: the counts include every other time these readings appeared, not just this move.
Fires often arrive as clusters of consecutive minutes, and forward windows overlap. A cluster is one episode, not many independent trials.
If these counts read weaker than the move suggested, that is the tool working: the lead-up of a picked move always looks special until it is counted everywhere else.
Saved study q#b50ee3bd @ dataset 6f4da1c2, counted 12 Sep 2026 09:12 UTC.
Saved summary text, as written 12 Sep 2026
Written automatically when this study was saved and kept as written; where a line differs from the counts above, the counts govern.
Minutes like this appeared 36 times in the 43,201 minutes searched (<0.1%). What followed was more often higher: 23 of the 36 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward rose (64%).
After 30 minutes this setup rose 2% or more in 7 of 36 complete windows (19.4%), against 4.5% with no condition (1,906 of 42,425): 4.33x.
This reports the time frame with the biggest gap from any minute, chosen after counting. At least 11 of its 36 windows overlap the rise.
Best point inside 30 minutes reached +5% or more in 4 of 36 complete windows; worst point fell 5% or more in 3 of 36.
About 1.2 a day, on 9 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
It counts the single minute on 12 September as a day.
The other reading times, as written
From 1 minute before
Minutes like this appeared only 20 times in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed was more often higher: 13 of the 20 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward rose (65%).
13 rose and 7 fell over 20 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
About 0.6 a day, on 9 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
From 15 minutes before
Minutes like this appeared only 14 times in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed was more often higher: 8 of the 14 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward rose (57%).
8 rose and 6 fell over 14 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
About 0.5 a day, on 8 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 36 matches came on 9 of 30 days, 11 during the rise.
When the matches happened9 of 30 days
- 17 Aug4 matches
- 19 Aug4 matches
- 22 Aug4 matches
- 31 Aug4 matches
- 1 Sep4 matches
- 5 Sep4 matches
- 6 Sep4 matches
- 7 Sep4 matches
- 9 Sep4 matches
No matches on the other 21 days.
Of the 36 matches, 23 came before the rise began, 11 during it and 2 after it.
Neighbouring minutes overlap, so these are not 36 separate trials.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 36 matches came on 9 of 30 days, 11 during the rise.
Other time frames30 minutes to 7 days
The answer uses 30 minutes, the time frame this study counted by default. Each row counts the same matches at a later close, in both directions. The bars show how often price was 2% or more higher at each time frame: first the matches, then any IOST minute.
- 30 minutes
1 of 36 (2.8%) was 2% or more lower; any IOST minute 1,713 of 42,425 (4.0%).
Every match has a 30-minute close.
At least 11 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 1 hour
2 of 36 (5.6%) were 2% or more lower; any IOST minute 2,543 of 42,409 (6.0%).
Every match has a 1-hour close.
At least 11 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 4 hours
5 of 36 (13.9%) were 2% or more lower; any IOST minute 5,443 of 42,211 (12.9%).
Every match has a 4-hour close.
At least 11 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 24 hours
10 of 36 (27.8%) were 2% or more lower; any IOST minute 9,070 of 41,032 (22.1%).
Every match has a 24-hour close.
At least 11 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 72 hours
3 of 31 (9.7%) were 2% or more lower; any IOST minute 6,433 of 38,204 (16.8%).
5 without a 72-hour close yet, left out.
- 7 days
1 of 20 was 2% or more lower; any IOST minute 1,553 of 32,551 (4.8%).
16 without a 7-day close yet, left out.
At least 8 of these windows overlap the rise.
The saved summary picked, after counting, the time frame with the biggest gap from any minute: 30 minutes.
After 30 minutes this setup rose 2% or more in 7 of 36 complete windows (19.4%), against 4.5% with no condition (1,906 of 42,425): 4.33x.
At least 11 of those windows ran through the rise itself, so it partly counts the rise as an outcome.
Along the way (the highest and lowest price inside 30 minutes, not the close):
Best point inside 30 minutes reached +5% or more in 4 of 36 complete windows; worst point fell 5% or more in 3 of 36.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 36 matches came on 9 of 30 days, 11 during the rise.
Readings at five times before the rise24 hours to 1 minute before · 2 other times tried
Highlights follow fixed rules, not significance tests. Proposed conditions round values or use ranges; inspect them before running.
24 hours before · 4 Sep 23:00 UTC · 13 of 63 stood out
Order book lopsidedness 0.078 or lowerEngulfing (1h) is bullishThe descending resistance line is active 4hThe distance from price back to the broken descending resistance between -0.5 and 0.5How many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720The short descending resistance line is active 4hTouches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursThe support under the short descending resistance is fallingTouches on the resistance 3 or moreThe support under the descending resistance is fallingHow many times price has touched the descending resistance 3 or higherShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance percentile feature.book_imbalance_pctrank 0.07707 ≤ 0.078 Engulfing · 1h feature.candle_engulfing_1h bullish bullish the descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_active active_4h active_4h the distance from price back to the broken descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_broken_dist_atr -0.3008 -0.5 to 0.5 how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 85 12 to 720 the short descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_short_active active_4h active_4h how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 85 12 to 720 the support under the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_support falling falling how many times price has touched the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_touches 5 ≥ 3 the support under the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_support falling falling how many times price has touched the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_touches 5 ≥ 3 4 hours before · 5 Sep 19:00 UTC · 10 of 63 stood out
1-hour range against usual 3.8 or higher4-hour range against usual 3.4 or higherContainment (15m) is outsideSweep + reclaim (15m) is bearishSweep + reclaim (1h) is bearishHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherTouches on the broken resistance 3 or more15-minute price change -0.023 or lowerTaker buy share (15m) 0.35 or lowerDistance from the day's average price 0.026 or higherShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_1h 3.809 ≥ 3.8 the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_4h 3.447 ≥ 3.4 Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m outside outside Sweep + reclaim · 15m feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_15m bearish bearish Sweep + reclaim · 1h feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_1h bearish bearish how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 5 ≥ 3 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 5 ≥ 3 Return · 15m feature.ret_15m -0.02304 ≤ -0.023 Taker buy share · 15m feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m 0.3455 ≤ 0.35 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist 0.02658 ≥ 0.026 1 hour before · 5 Sep 22:00 UTC · 6 of 63 stood out
Order book tilt 0.55 or higher4-hour range against usual 3.5 or higherHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherTouches on the broken resistance 3 or more15-minute price change 0.019 or higherDistance from the day's average price 0.059 or higherShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance 0.5533 ≥ 0.55 the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_4h 3.553 ≥ 3.5 how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 5 ≥ 3 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 5 ≥ 3 Return · 15m feature.ret_15m 0.01921 ≥ 0.019 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist 0.05997 ≥ 0.059 15 minutes before · 5 Sep 22:45 UTC · 6 of 63 stood out
4-hour range against usual 3.5 or higherContainment (15m) is insideHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherTouches on the broken resistance 3 or more1-hour price change 0.029 or higherDistance from the day's average price 0.063 or higherShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_4h 3.553 ≥ 3.5 Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m inside inside how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 5 ≥ 3 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 5 ≥ 3 Return · 1h feature.ret_1h 0.02985 ≥ 0.029 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist 0.0635 ≥ 0.063 1 minute before · 5 Sep 22:59 UTC · 9 of 63 stood out
Order book tilt -0.64 or lowerOrder book lopsidedness 0.91 or higher4-hour range against usual 3.5 or higherContainment (15m) is insideHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherTouches on the broken resistance 3 or more15-minute price change 0.011 or higher1-hour price change 0.025 or higherDistance from the day's average price 0.074 or higherShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance -0.6489 ≤ -0.64 Book imbalance percentile feature.book_imbalance_pctrank 0.9172 ≥ 0.91 the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_4h 3.553 ≥ 3.5 Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m inside inside how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 5 ≥ 3 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 5 ≥ 3 Return · 15m feature.ret_15m 0.01161 ≥ 0.011 Return · 1h feature.ret_1h 0.02513 ≥ 0.025 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist 0.07456 ≥ 0.074
Two other reading times we tried 20 and 14 matches
1 minute before (22:59): order book tilt -0.64 or lower, order book lopsidedness 0.91 or higher, 4-hour range against usual 3.5 or higher.
Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.64 and Book imbalance percentile ≥ 0.91 and the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline ≥ 3.5
20 matches: price was 2% or more higher after 30 minutes in 1 of 20, and 2% or more lower in 0 of 20.
Of the 20 matches, 15 came before the rise began, 5 during it and 0 after it.
15 minutes before (22:45): 4-hour range against usual 3.5 or higher, containment (15m) is inside, how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higher.
the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline ≥ 3.5 and Containment · 15m inside and how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3
14 matches: price was 2% or more higher after 30 minutes in 4 of 14, and 2% or more lower in 1 of 14.
Of the 14 matches, 8 came before the rise began, 5 during it and 1 after it.
Fewer than 30 results, so no rate is printed.
No set had 30 matches before the rise; the saved study leads with the one that had the most.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 36 matches came on 9 of 30 days, 11 during the rise.
Hourly candles around the risefull context, lead-up, move
The 23:00 start was picked after the move, and the hour before was already rising.
Hourly candles, UTC. The marked lines are the minutes the readings came from: 1 minute, 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours and 24 hours before the selected start.
Other ways to test itsame dates
Multiple recorded sectors: sector_crypto, sector_layer_1. Choose one explicitly.
Each opens Review the test; nothing runs until you press Run.
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Starting defaults and coverage
Starting defaults: 2026-08-13 to 2026-09-12 UTC; finishes up 2% or more after 1 hour. Review or change the markets, dates, conditions and outcome before running. Current recorded classification and sector tags, not point-in-time membership. Historical membership may differ. Instrument history does not guarantee every setup input or outcome is present; actual study exclusions remain authoritative.