Research is a work in progress. Estimated release: 1 December 2026. Our goal is to make it a search engine for trading setups in recorded crypto markets.
Binance USDT-MLYNUSDT rose 87% on 23 September 2026
Picked after the rise, on one market.
Next stepWhat happened
Price opened the 14:00 hour at 0.04007 and reached a highest trade of 0.07477 in the 17:00 hour; the tested readings were taken at 13:00.
What stood out at 13:00
- Order book tilt-0.5658Tested: -0.56 or lower
- 4-hour range against usual0.3732Tested: 0.38 or lower
- Open interest change rank1Tested: 0.99 or higher
13:00 always meets its own rules.
What the record says
Too few results to compare
Price at least 2% higher after 30 minutes
18 matches in 43,201 minutes checked.
Picked after the rise, on one market.
Evidence
Does it hold on other markets?
No result for these markets has been measured; nothing runs until you press Run.
Exactly what was counted3 conditions · 18 of 43,201 minutes · saved text
- Order book tilt -0.56 or lower. Size at the best bid against the best ask; above 0 means more bids, below 0 more asks.Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.56 · feature.book_imbalance
- 4-hour range against usual 0.38 or lower. The last finished 4-hour candle's high to low range, as a multiple of its usual range.Compression · 4h ≤ 0.38 · feature.candle_compression_4h
- Open interest change rank 0.99 or higher. How unusual the change in open positions was, opening or closing, on a 0 to 1 scale.OI change magnitude score ≥ 0.99 · feature.oi_velocity_pctrank
Read at 1 hour before the move.
Read at 13:00 UTC on 23 September, one hour before the selected 14:00 start.
LYN only, 29 August to 27 September 2026 (UTC, ending 28 September 00:00); all 3 readings had values on 43,201 of those minutes.
Reference: every LYN minute over the same dates, matches included; it is not a matched control group.
Outcome: the close exactly 30 minutes later, not the highest or lowest price along the way.
The 14:00 start was picked automatically after the move.
LYNUSDT stored readings end 2026-09-28 00:00 UTC (exclusive). Prices and tick replay have separate coverage.
The feature manifest spans the lead-up. Individual minutes or inputs can still be unavailable.
This is not a similarity search. Each count matches the exact readings above and nothing else.
Picked in hindsight: the counts include every other time these readings appeared, not just this move.
Fires often arrive as clusters of consecutive minutes, and forward windows overlap. A cluster is one episode, not many independent trials.
If these counts read weaker than the move suggested, that is the tool working: the lead-up of a picked move always looks special until it is counted everywhere else.
Saved study q#948063ab @ dataset 1ae64ce7, counted 28 Sep 2026 08:22 UTC.
Saved summary text, as written 28 Sep 2026
Written automatically when this study was saved and kept as written; where a line differs from the counts above, the counts govern.
Minutes like this appeared only 18 times in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed was more often higher: 13 of the 18 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward rose (72%).
13 rose and 5 fell over 18 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
About 0.6 a day, on 7 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
It counts the single minute on 28 September as a day.
The other reading times, as written
From 1 minute before
Minutes like this appeared only 22 times in the 21,362 minutes searched. What followed was more often lower: 12 of the 21 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward fell (57%).
9 rose and 12 fell over 21 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
About 0.7 a day over 31 days, but 2026-09-27 alone holds 59% of them: this is close to a single episode.
From 15 minutes before
Minutes like this appeared only 5 times in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed was more often higher: 2 of the 3 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward rose (67%).
2 rose and 1 fell over 3 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
About 0.2 a day over 31 days, but 2026-09-11 alone holds 40% of them: this is close to a single episode.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 18 matches came on 7 of 30 days, 3 during the rise.
When the matches happened7 of 30 days
- 4 Sep2 matches
- 11 Sep1 match
- 12 Sep1 match
- 13 Sep2 matches
- 23 Sep4 matches
- 24 Sep2 matches
- 27 Sep6 matches
No matches on the other 23 days.
Of the 18 matches, 9 came before the rise began, 3 during it and 6 after it.
Neighbouring minutes overlap, so these are not 18 separate trials.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 18 matches came on 7 of 30 days, 3 during the rise.
Other time frames30 minutes to 7 days
The answer uses 30 minutes, the time frame this study counted by default. Each row counts the same matches at a later close, in both directions. The bars show how often price was 2% or more higher at each time frame: first the matches, then any LYN minute.
- 30 minutes
0 of 18 were 2% or more lower; any LYN minute 567 of 42,252 (1.3%).
Every match has a 30-minute close.
At least 3 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 1 hour
0 of 18 were 2% or more lower; any LYN minute 1,091 of 42,231 (2.6%).
Every match has a 1-hour close.
At least 3 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 4 hours
2 of 18 were 2% or more lower; any LYN minute 3,254 of 42,034 (7.7%).
Every match has a 4-hour close.
At least 3 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 24 hours
2 of 11 were 2% or more lower; any LYN minute 9,967 of 40,832 (24.4%).
7 without a 24-hour close yet, left out.
At least 3 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 72 hours
3 of 12 were 2% or more lower; any LYN minute 9,712 of 37,981 (25.6%).
6 without a 72-hour close yet, left out.
- 7 days
1 of 6 was 2% or more lower; any LYN minute 7,800 of 32,293 (24.2%).
12 without a 7-day close yet, left out.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 18 matches came on 7 of 30 days, 3 during the rise.
Readings at five times before the rise24 hours to 1 minute before · 2 other times tried
Highlights follow fixed rules, not significance tests. Proposed conditions round values or use ranges; inspect them before running.
24 hours before · 22 Sep 14:00 UTC · 10 of 88 stood out
Order book tilt 0.79 or higher1-hour range against usual 0.32 or lowerContainment (15m) is insideUpper wick (15m) 0.84 or higherHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720Touches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursTaker buy share (15m) 0.71 or higherDistance from the day's average price -0.035 or lowerShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance 0.791 ≥ 0.79 Compression · 1h feature.candle_compression_1h 0.3102 ≤ 0.32 Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m inside inside Upper wick · 15m feature.candle_upper_wick_15m 0.8437 ≥ 0.84 how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 29 12 to 720 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 34 12 to 720 Taker buy share · 15m feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m 0.7131 ≥ 0.71 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist -0.03516 ≤ -0.035 4 hours before · 23 Sep 10:00 UTC · 8 of 88 stood out
Order book lopsidedness 0.049 or lowerContainment (15m) is outsideSweep + reclaim (15m) is bullishUpper wick (15m) 0.62 or higherHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720Touches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance percentile feature.book_imbalance_pctrank 0.04893 ≤ 0.049 Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m outside outside Sweep + reclaim · 15m feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_15m bullish bullish Upper wick · 15m feature.candle_upper_wick_15m 0.625 ≥ 0.62 how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 49 12 to 720 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 54 12 to 720 1 hour before · 23 Sep 13:00 UTC · 9 of 88 stood out
Order book tilt -0.56 or lower4-hour range against usual 0.38 or lowerSweep + reclaim (15m) is bullishHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720Touches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursOpen interest change rank 0.99 or higherTaker buy share (15m) 0.13 or lowerShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance -0.5658 ≤ -0.56 Compression · 4h feature.candle_compression_4h 0.3732 ≤ 0.38 Sweep + reclaim · 15m feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_15m bullish bullish how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 52 12 to 720 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 57 12 to 720 OI change magnitude score feature.oi_velocity_pctrank 1 ≥ 0.99 Taker buy share · 15m feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m 0.1271 ≤ 0.13 15 minutes before · 23 Sep 13:45 UTC · 8 of 88 stood out
Order book tilt 0.96 or higherOrder book lopsidedness 0.96 or higher4-hour range against usual 0.38 or lowerContainment (15m) is insideHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720Touches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance 0.9617 ≥ 0.96 Book imbalance percentile feature.book_imbalance_pctrank 0.9664 ≥ 0.96 Compression · 4h feature.candle_compression_4h 0.3732 ≤ 0.38 Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m inside inside how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 52.75 12 to 720 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 57.75 12 to 720 1 minute before · 23 Sep 13:59 UTC · 6 of 88 stood out
4-hour range against usual 0.38 or lowerContainment (15m) is insideHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720Touches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Compression · 4h feature.candle_compression_4h 0.3732 ≤ 0.38 Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m inside inside how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 52.98 12 to 720 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 57.98 12 to 720
Two other reading times we tried 22 and 5 matches
1 minute before (13:59): 4-hour range against usual 0.38 or lower, containment (15m) is inside, how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higher.
Compression · 4h ≤ 0.38 and Containment · 15m inside and how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3
22 matches: price was 2% or more higher after 30 minutes in 0 of 21, and 2% or more lower in 1 of 21.
Of the 22 matches, 4 came before the rise began, 5 during it and 13 after it.
15 minutes before (13:45): order book tilt 0.96 or higher, order book lopsidedness 0.96 or higher, 4-hour range against usual 0.38 or lower.
Book imbalance · top levels ≥ 0.96 and Book imbalance percentile ≥ 0.96 and Compression · 4h ≤ 0.38
5 matches: price was 2% or more higher after 30 minutes in 0 of 3, and 2% or more lower in 1 of 3.
Of the 5 matches, 5 came before the rise began, 0 during it and 0 after it.
Fewer than 30 results, so no rate is printed.
No set had 30 matches before the rise; the saved study leads with the one that had the most.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 18 matches came on 7 of 30 days, 3 during the rise.
Hourly candles around the risefull context, lead-up, move
The 14:00 start was picked after the move.
Hourly candles, UTC. The marked lines are the minutes the readings came from: 1 minute, 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours and 24 hours before the selected start.
Other ways to test itsame dates
- This market only
- The 608 eligible crypto markets · No result for these markets has been measured.
- Every recorded market
- 70 sector alpha markets
- 518 sector crypto markets
Each opens Review the test.
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Starting defaults and coverage
Starting defaults: 2026-08-29 to 2026-09-28 UTC; finishes up 2% or more after 1 hour. Review or change the markets, dates, conditions and outcome before running. Current recorded classification and sector tags, not point-in-time membership. Historical membership may differ. Instrument history does not guarantee every setup input or outcome is present; actual study exclusions remain authoritative.