Research is a work in progress. Estimated release: 1 December 2026. Our goal is to make it a search engine for trading setups in recorded crypto markets.
Binance USDT-MNOMUSDT rose 59% on 23 September 2026
Picked after the rise, on one market.
Next stepWhat happened
Price opened the 14:00 hour at 0.00177 and reached a highest trade of 0.002818 in the 06:00 hour; the tested readings were taken at 13:59.
What stood out at 13:59
- Order book tilt-0.888Tested: -0.88 or lower
- 4-hour range against usual2.301Tested: 2.3 or higher
- Lower wick (15m)0.6667Tested: 0.66 or higher
13:59 always meets its own rules.
What the record says
Too few results to compare
Price at least 2% higher after 30 minutes
5 matches in 43,201 minutes checked.
Picked after the rise, on one market.
Evidence
Does it hold on other markets?
No result for these markets has been measured; nothing runs until you press Run.
Exactly what was counted3 conditions · 5 of 43,201 minutes · saved text
- Order book tilt -0.88 or lower. Size at the best bid against the best ask; above 0 means more bids, below 0 more asks.Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.88 · feature.book_imbalance
- 4-hour range against usual 2.3 or higher. The last finished 4-hour candle's high to low range, as a multiple of its usual range.Compression · 4h ≥ 2.3 · feature.candle_compression_4h
- Lower wick (15m) 0.66 or higher.Lower wick · 15m ≥ 0.66 · feature.candle_lower_wick_15m
Read at 1 minute before the move.
Read at 13:59 UTC on 23 September, one minute before the selected 14:00 start.
NOM only, 31 August to 29 September 2026 (UTC, ending 30 September 00:00); all 3 readings had values on 43,201 of those minutes.
Reference: every NOM minute over the same dates, matches included; it is not a matched control group.
Outcome: the close exactly 30 minutes later, not the highest or lowest price along the way.
The 14:00 start was picked automatically after the move.
NOMUSDT stored readings end 2026-09-30 00:00 UTC (exclusive). Prices and tick replay have separate coverage.
The feature manifest spans the lead-up. Individual minutes or inputs can still be unavailable.
This is not a similarity search. Each count matches the exact readings above and nothing else.
Picked in hindsight: the counts include every other time these readings appeared, not just this move.
Fires often arrive as clusters of consecutive minutes, and forward windows overlap. A cluster is one episode, not many independent trials.
If these counts read weaker than the move suggested, that is the tool working: the lead-up of a picked move always looks special until it is counted everywhere else.
Saved study q#ae35bd30 @ dataset a0160256, counted 30 Sep 2026 21:17 UTC.
Saved summary text, as written 30 Sep 2026
Written automatically when this study was saved and kept as written; where a line differs from the counts above, the counts govern.
Minutes like this appeared only 5 times in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed was more often higher: 3 of the 5 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward rose (60%).
3 rose and 2 fell over 5 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
About 0.2 a day over 31 days, but 2026-09-23 alone holds 60% of them: this is close to a single episode.
The other reading times, as written
From 15 minutes before
Minutes like this appeared only 1 time in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed was more often lower: 1 of the 1 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward fell (100%).
0 rose and 1 fell over 1 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
About 0 a day over 31 days, but 2026-09-23 alone holds 100% of them: this is close to a single episode.
From 1 hour before
Minutes like this appeared only 1 time in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed was more often lower: 1 of the 1 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward fell (100%).
0 rose and 1 fell over 1 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
About 0 a day over 31 days, but 2026-09-23 alone holds 100% of them: this is close to a single episode.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 5 matches came on 3 of 30 days, 3 during the rise.
When the matches happened3 of 30 days
- 5 Sep1 match
- 23 Sep3 matches
- 24 Sep1 match
No matches on the other 27 days.
Of the 5 matches, 2 came before the rise began, 3 during it and 0 after it.
Neighbouring minutes overlap, so these are not 5 separate trials.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 5 matches came on 3 of 30 days, 3 during the rise.
Other time frames30 minutes to 7 days
The answer uses 30 minutes, the time frame this study counted by default. Each row counts the same matches at a later close, in both directions. The bars show how often price was 2% or more higher at each time frame: first the matches, then any NOM minute.
- 30 minutes
1 of 5 was 2% or more lower; any NOM minute 1,189 of 42,994 (2.8%).
Every match has a 30-minute close.
At least 3 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 1 hour
1 of 5 was 2% or more lower; any NOM minute 2,175 of 42,965 (5.1%).
Every match has a 1-hour close.
At least 3 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 4 hours
1 of 5 was 2% or more lower; any NOM minute 5,715 of 42,784 (13.4%).
Every match has a 4-hour close.
At least 3 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 24 hours
2 of 5 were 2% or more lower; any NOM minute 11,417 of 41,592 (27.4%).
Every match has a 24-hour close.
At least 3 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 72 hours
2 of 5 were 2% or more lower; any NOM minute 12,990 of 38,738 (33.5%).
Every match has a 72-hour close.
At least 3 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 7 days
1 of 1 was 2% or more lower; any NOM minute 7,666 of 33,005 (23.2%).
4 without a 7-day close yet, left out.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 5 matches came on 3 of 30 days, 3 during the rise.
Readings at five times before the rise24 hours to 1 minute before · 2 other times tried
Highlights follow fixed rules, not significance tests. Proposed conditions round values or use ranges; inspect them before running.
24 hours before · 22 Sep 14:00 UTC · 8 of 88 stood out
Liquidation bunching 0.63 or higherHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720The short descending resistance line is active 4hTouches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursThe support under the short descending resistance is fallingTouches on the resistance 3 or moreShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.6374 ≥ 0.63 how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 14 12 to 720 the short descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_short_active active_4h active_4h how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 14 12 to 720 the support under the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_support falling falling how many times price has touched the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_touches 4 ≥ 3 4 hours before · 23 Sep 10:00 UTC · 10 of 88 stood out
Order book tilt 0.97 or higher1-hour range against usual 3.1 or higherSweep + reclaim (15m) is bearishUpper wick (15m) 0.66 or higherLiquidation bunching 0.63 or higherHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherTouches on the broken resistance 3 or moreVolatility rank 0.99 or higher1-hour price change 0.033 or higherDistance from the day's average price 0.025 or higherShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance 0.9785 ≥ 0.97 Compression · 1h feature.candle_compression_1h 3.185 ≥ 3.1 Sweep + reclaim · 15m feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_15m bearish bearish Upper wick · 15m feature.candle_upper_wick_15m 0.6667 ≥ 0.66 Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.6371 ≥ 0.63 how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 Realized vol percentile feature.realized_vol_pctrank 0.999 ≥ 0.99 Return · 1h feature.ret_1h 0.03358 ≥ 0.033 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist 0.02596 ≥ 0.025 1 hour before · 23 Sep 13:00 UTC · 8 of 88 stood out
Order book tilt 0.94 or higher4-hour range against usual 2.3 or higherLower wick (15m) 0.77 or higherLiquidation bunching 0.63 or higherThe distance from price back to the broken descending resistance between -0.5 and 0.5How many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherThe distance from price back to the broken short descending resistance between -0.5 and 0.5Touches on the broken resistance 3 or moreShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance 0.9407 ≥ 0.94 Compression · 4h feature.candle_compression_4h 2.301 ≥ 2.3 Lower wick · 15m feature.candle_lower_wick_15m 0.7727 ≥ 0.77 Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.6371 ≥ 0.63 the distance from price back to the broken descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_broken_dist_atr -0.179 -0.5 to 0.5 how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 the distance from price back to the broken short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_dist_atr -0.179 -0.5 to 0.5 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 15 minutes before · 23 Sep 13:45 UTC · 9 of 88 stood out
Order book tilt 0.99 or higherOrder book lopsidedness 0.9 or higher4-hour range against usual 2.3 or higherLower wick (15m) 0.66 or higherLiquidation bunching 0.63 or higherThe distance from price back to the broken descending resistance between -0.5 and 0.5How many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherThe distance from price back to the broken short descending resistance between -0.5 and 0.5Touches on the broken resistance 3 or moreShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance 0.9948 ≥ 0.99 Book imbalance percentile feature.book_imbalance_pctrank 0.9019 ≥ 0.9 Compression · 4h feature.candle_compression_4h 2.301 ≥ 2.3 Lower wick · 15m feature.candle_lower_wick_15m 0.6667 ≥ 0.66 Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.6371 ≥ 0.63 the distance from price back to the broken descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_broken_dist_atr -0.009374 -0.5 to 0.5 how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 the distance from price back to the broken short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_dist_atr -0.009374 -0.5 to 0.5 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 1 minute before · 23 Sep 13:59 UTC · 8 of 88 stood out
Order book tilt -0.88 or lower4-hour range against usual 2.3 or higherLower wick (15m) 0.66 or higherLiquidation bunching 0.63 or higherThe distance from price back to the broken descending resistance between -0.5 and 0.5How many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherThe distance from price back to the broken short descending resistance between -0.5 and 0.5Touches on the broken resistance 3 or moreShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance -0.888 ≤ -0.88 Compression · 4h feature.candle_compression_4h 2.301 ≥ 2.3 Lower wick · 15m feature.candle_lower_wick_15m 0.6667 ≥ 0.66 Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.6371 ≥ 0.63 the distance from price back to the broken descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_broken_dist_atr 0.1448 -0.5 to 0.5 how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 the distance from price back to the broken short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_dist_atr 0.1448 -0.5 to 0.5 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3
Two other reading times we tried 1 and 1 matches
15 minutes before (13:45): order book tilt 0.99 or higher, order book lopsidedness 0.9 or higher, 4-hour range against usual 2.3 or higher.
Book imbalance · top levels ≥ 0.99 and Book imbalance percentile ≥ 0.9 and Compression · 4h ≥ 2.3
1 match: price was 2% or more higher after 30 minutes in 0 of 1, and 2% or more lower in 0 of 1.
Of the 1 match, 1 came before the rise began, 0 during it and 0 after it.
1 hour before (13:00): order book tilt 0.94 or higher, 4-hour range against usual 2.3 or higher, lower wick (15m) 0.77 or higher.
Book imbalance · top levels ≥ 0.94 and Compression · 4h ≥ 2.3 and Lower wick · 15m ≥ 0.77
1 match: price was 2% or more higher after 30 minutes in 0 of 1, and 2% or more lower in 0 of 1.
Of the 1 match, 1 came before the rise began, 0 during it and 0 after it.
Fewer than 30 results, so no rate is printed.
No set had 30 matches before the rise; the saved study leads with the one that had the most.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 5 matches came on 3 of 30 days, 3 during the rise.
Hourly candles around the risefull context, lead-up, move
The 14:00 start was picked after the move.
Hourly candles, UTC. The marked lines are the minutes the readings came from: 1 minute, 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours and 24 hours before the selected start.
Other ways to test itsame dates
- This market only
- The 608 eligible crypto markets · No result for these markets has been measured.
- Every recorded market
- 518 sector crypto markets
- 115 DeFi sector markets
Each opens Review the test.
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Starting defaults and coverage
Starting defaults: 2026-08-31 to 2026-09-30 UTC; finishes up 2% or more after 1 hour. Review or change the markets, dates, conditions and outcome before running. Current recorded classification and sector tags, not point-in-time membership. Historical membership may differ. Instrument history does not guarantee every setup input or outcome is present; actual study exclusions remain authoritative.