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ONUSDT rose 181% into Jul 28. The record covers the whole lead-up.

Move window: 2026-07-27 04:00 to 2026-07-28 22:00 UTC. The record for ONUSDT currently ends 2026-08-03 00:00 UTC.

Counted on 2026-08-03, against a record covering to 2026-08-03 00:00 UTC. These numbers are frozen: this page will always say what it said the day it was written.

Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.74 and Compression · 15m ≤ 0.48 and Containment · 15m inside

feature.book_imbalance + feature.candle_compression_15m + feature.candle_containment_15m

Read at 1 hour before the move.

Minutes like this appeared 93 times in the 43,201 minutes searched (0.2%). What followed was close to a coin flip: 50 rose and 43 fell over the next 30 minutes (93 of the 93 matches have a complete 30 minutes forward).

Of the 93 fires, 74 came before the move began and 7 happened while it was already under way. A fire during the move sees it; it does not telegraph it.

About 3 a day, on 29 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.

q#6e71c5f3 @ dataset b91f2197

WATCH FOR THIS Watch the ignition replay

Best supported: Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.74 and Compression · 15m ≤ 0.48 and Containment · 15m inside, the combination with the most fires before the move began.

Opens this exact search in the research tool. Nothing runs until you confirm it there, and arming it as an alert sends a message when it next becomes true.

Picked in hindsight: the counts include every other time these readings appeared, not just this move.

What the minutes before it looked like

Where these readings were taken

Hourly candles. The marked lines are the minutes the readings came from: 1 minute, 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours and 24 hours before the move began. Every one of them sits before the move, never inside it.

A reading stands out when it sits outside the range it usually holds. The rules are fixed: the same ones the moment reader on the research page uses.

At 1 minute before the move, 4 of the 33 readings stood out. 2026-07-27 03:59 UTC

READING	BEFORE THE MOVE	SEARCHES FOR
Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m	inside	inside
Engulfing · 15m feature.candle_engulfing_15m	bullish	bullish
Return · 1h feature.ret_1h	0.03287	≥ 0.032
VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist	0.03093	≥ 0.03

At 15 minutes before the move, 6 of the 33 readings stood out. 2026-07-27 03:45 UTC

READING	BEFORE THE MOVE	SEARCHES FOR
Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance	0.6895	≥ 0.68
Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m	inside	inside
Engulfing · 15m feature.candle_engulfing_15m	bullish	bullish
Return · 15m feature.ret_15m	0.02001	≥ 0.02
Return · 1h feature.ret_1h	0.04108	≥ 0.041
VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist	0.03466	≥ 0.034

At 1 hour before the move, 4 of the 33 readings stood out. 2026-07-27 03:00 UTC

READING	BEFORE THE MOVE	SEARCHES FOR
Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance	-0.7492	≤ -0.74
Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m	0.4795	≤ 0.48
Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m	inside	inside
Upper wick · 15m feature.candle_upper_wick_15m	0.6957	≥ 0.69

At 4 hours before the move, 5 of the 33 readings stood out. 2026-07-27 00:00 UTC

READING	BEFORE THE MOVE	SEARCHES FOR
Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance	0.9332	≥ 0.93
Book imbalance percentile feature.book_imbalance_pctrank	0.9047	≥ 0.9
Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m	inside	inside
Minutes to funding feature.mins_to_funding	0	≤ 1
VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist	0.03205	≥ 0.032

At 24 hours before the move, 4 of the 33 readings stood out. 2026-07-26 04:00 UTC

READING	BEFORE THE MOVE	SEARCHES FOR
Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m	0.4746	≤ 0.48
Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m	inside	inside
Return · 1h feature.ret_1h	-0.02251	≤ -0.022
VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist	-0.02904	≤ -0.029

Also counted

This is not a similarity search. Each count matches the exact readings above and nothing else.

Containment · 15m inside and Engulfing · 15m bullish and Return · 1h ≥ 0.032

feature.candle_containment_15m + feature.candle_engulfing_15m + feature.ret_1h

Read at 1 minute before the move.

Minutes like this appeared only 5 times in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed leaned up: 4 of the 5 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward rose (80%).

Of the 5 fires, 4 came before the move began; none were during it.

About 0.2 a day, on 5 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.

q#3b2e326a @ dataset b91f2197

Book imbalance · top levels ≥ 0.68 and Containment · 15m inside and Engulfing · 15m bullish

feature.book_imbalance + feature.candle_containment_15m + feature.candle_engulfing_15m

Read at 15 minutes before the move.

Minutes like this appeared only 16 times in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed was close to a coin flip: 8 rose and 8 fell over the next 30 minutes (16 of the 16 matches have a complete 30 minutes forward).

Of the 16 fires, 14 came before the move began; none were during it.

About 0.5 a day, on 12 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.

q#f2304873 @ dataset b91f2197

Fires often arrive as clusters of consecutive minutes, and forward windows overlap. A cluster is one episode, not many independent trials.

If these counts read weaker than the move suggested, that is the tool working: the lead-up of a picked move always looks special until it is counted everywhere else.