ONUSDT rose into Jul 28
+72%
Counted on 2026-08-05, against a record covering to 2026-08-04 00:00 UTC. These numbers are frozen: this page will always say what it said the day it was written.
Exact setup countedBook imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.58 and Containment · 15m inside and Sweep + reclaim · 1h bearish · Read at 1 hour before the move.
Minutes like this appeared 39 times in the 43,201 minutes searched (<0.1%). What followed leaned up: 22 of the 39 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward rose (56%).
Watch the ignition replay Free replay covers the latest fully archived UTC day on 6 major markets. Pro reaches 90 days; Research reaches the whole recorded order book, which begins 15 May 2026. Earlier days are searchable but hold no book, so they cannot be replayed. Access is checked when you open a replay.
Evidence and counting
Read at 1 hour before the move.
Of the 39 fires, 32 came before the move began and 1 happened while it was already under way. A fire during the move sees it; it does not telegraph it.
About 1.3 a day, on 21 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
This is not a similarity search. Each count matches the exact readings above and nothing else.
Picked in hindsight: the counts include every other time these readings appeared, not just this move.
Fires often arrive as clusters of consecutive minutes, and forward windows overlap. A cluster is one episode, not many independent trials.
If these counts read weaker than the move suggested, that is the tool working: the lead-up of a picked move always looks special until it is counted everywhere else.
Explore the move and its lead-up
Hourly candles. The marked lines are the minutes the readings came from: 1 minute, 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours and 24 hours before the selected start. These five samples test the lead-up only, not the full move. Use the minute inspector to explore during or after the move.
Explore historical state
Current-minute reads are free after sign-in. Pro and Research include historical-minute inspection and comparison with an hour earlier.
Past readings use stored inputs where available. Recent minutes may use the live buffer and are labelled unpinned. Missing minutes remain visible.
Read the available analytical inputs at one minute, including measurements over the preceding windows. Compare with an hour earlier, then take a reading into Research to test it. Dates are UTC.
These additional reads are separate from the five pre-start samples. Observations during or after the selected move describe what had already happened; they are not advance evidence.
Selected time: 2026-07-28 05:00 UTC. During the selected move: hindsight. Choose Read this minute to request it. Missing minutes remain unavailable.
Follow positioning and flow through the move
Read 22 sampled minutes from the selected start through one hour after the selected end. The peak hour has extra 15-minute samples. The end marks the peak hour, not the exact peak tick. These are separate snapshots, not a continuous tape or an advance-warning test.
Historical access applies. Reads preserve each source revision; missing values stay unavailable. Contract OI, turnover and direct spot basis are not supplied by this table. Published premium is a different measure from direct basis.
No additional reads have run.
The OI score measures absolute USD-notional change, not signed contract growth. Zero 15-second liquidation intensity can coexist with substantial hourly liquidations. Binance liquidation amounts are observed publications, not complete venue totals.
Pre-start evidence: five separate snapshots
Highlighted readings and exact search conditions
Highlighted readings meet fixed rules, not a statistical-significance test. The observed value and proposed search condition are different: a condition rounds a value or selects an interval for a repeatable search.
Could not read 1 minute, 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours and 24 hours before the move. The engine did not answer for those minutes, so nothing is claimed about them. Reload to try again.
- -24h2026-07-27 05:00 UTC
At 24 hours before the move, 6 of the 39 readings met a highlight rule.
Book imbalance · top levels ≥ 0.68Containment · 15m insideRealized vol percentile ≥ 0.91Return · 15m ≥ 0.01Return · 1h ≥ 0.067VWAP distance · day ≥ 0.061Show the full readings
READING BEFORE THE MOVE SEARCHES FOR Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance 0.6831 ≥ 0.68 Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m inside inside Realized vol percentile feature.realized_vol_pctrank 0.9157 ≥ 0.91 Return · 15m feature.ret_15m 0.0104 ≥ 0.01 Return · 1h feature.ret_1h 0.06746 ≥ 0.067 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist 0.06116 ≥ 0.061 - -4h2026-07-28 01:00 UTC
At 4 hours before the move, 9 of the 39 readings met a highlight rule.
Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.89Book imbalance percentile ≤ 0.084Compression · 15m ≥ 4.1Engulfing · 1h bearishSweep + reclaim · 15m bearishUpper wick · 15m ≥ 0.68Realized vol percentile ≥ 0.99Return · 15m ≥ 0.039Return · 1h ≤ -0.037Show the full readings
READING BEFORE THE MOVE SEARCHES FOR Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance -0.8927 ≤ -0.89 Book imbalance percentile feature.book_imbalance_pctrank 0.08305 ≤ 0.084 Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m 4.123 ≥ 4.1 Engulfing · 1h feature.candle_engulfing_1h bearish bearish Sweep + reclaim · 15m feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_15m bearish bearish Upper wick · 15m feature.candle_upper_wick_15m 0.6824 ≥ 0.68 Realized vol percentile feature.realized_vol_pctrank 0.998 ≥ 0.99 Return · 15m feature.ret_15m 0.0396 ≥ 0.039 Return · 1h feature.ret_1h -0.03755 ≤ -0.037 - -1h2026-07-28 04:00 UTC
At 1 hour before the move, 6 of the 39 readings met a highlight rule.
Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.58Containment · 15m insideSweep + reclaim · 1h bearishReturn · 15m ≤ -0.031Return · 1h ≥ 0.045VWAP distance · day ≥ 0.097Show the full readings
READING BEFORE THE MOVE SEARCHES FOR Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance -0.5878 ≤ -0.58 Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m inside inside Sweep + reclaim · 1h feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_1h bearish bearish Return · 15m feature.ret_15m -0.0317 ≤ -0.031 Return · 1h feature.ret_1h 0.04525 ≥ 0.045 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist 0.0977 ≥ 0.097 - -15m2026-07-28 04:45 UTC
At 15 minutes before the move, 4 of the 39 readings met a highlight rule.
Sweep + reclaim · 1h bearishReturn · 15m ≤ -0.019Return · 1h ≤ -0.034VWAP distance · day ≥ 0.072Show the full readings
READING BEFORE THE MOVE SEARCHES FOR Sweep + reclaim · 1h feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_1h bearish bearish Return · 15m feature.ret_15m -0.01931 ≤ -0.019 Return · 1h feature.ret_1h -0.03429 ≤ -0.034 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist 0.07232 ≥ 0.072 - -1m2026-07-28 04:59 UTC
At 1 minute before the move, 3 of the 39 readings met a highlight rule.
Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.96Sweep + reclaim · 1h bearishVWAP distance · day ≥ 0.053Show the full readings
READING BEFORE THE MOVE SEARCHES FOR Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance -0.968 ≤ -0.96 Sweep + reclaim · 1h feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_1h bearish bearish VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist 0.0532 ≥ 0.053
Also counted
Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.96 and Sweep + reclaim · 1h bearish and VWAP distance · day ≥ 0.05317 matches
Read at 1 minute before the move.
Minutes like this appeared only 17 times in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed was close to a coin flip: 8 rose and 9 fell over the next 30 minutes (17 of the 17 matches have a complete 30 minutes forward).
Of the 17 fires, 12 came before the move began and 2 happened while it was already under way. A fire during the move sees it; it does not telegraph it.
About 0.5 a day, on 8 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
Sweep + reclaim · 1h bearish and Return · 15m ≤ -0.019 and Return · 1h ≤ -0.03412 matches
Read at 15 minutes before the move.
Minutes like this appeared only 12 times in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed was close to a coin flip: 6 rose and 6 fell over the next 30 minutes (12 of the 12 matches have a complete 30 minutes forward).
Of the 12 fires, 8 came before the move began and 1 happened while it was already under way. A fire during the move sees it; it does not telegraph it.
About 0.4 a day, on 8 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
Every night the record counts what fired and what usually followed: the daily brief.
No account? Replay a real move tick by tick, free: TUT short squeeze · 9 Aug 2026.