PROMUSDT rose into Aug 30
+97%
Counted on 2026-09-03, against a record covering to 2026-09-02 00:00 UTC. These numbers are frozen: this page will always say what it said the day it was written.
This move is in the event archive as a pump 4h on 2026-08-28. Open the archived event
Exact setup countedfeature.candle_compression_1h ≤ 0.47 and Containment · 15m inside and Return · 15m ≥ 0.018 · Read at 4 hours before the move.
Usually lower after 30 minutes: 2 of 3 completed matches fell.
Both are true: these readings sat before this rise, and the other times they appeared, what followed more often fell. That disagreement is the finding: a lead-up that looks special is not the same as one that usually comes before rises.
Evidence and counting
Read at 4 hours before the move.
Of the 3 fires, 3 came before the move began; none were during it.
About 0.1 a day, on 3 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
This is not a similarity search. Each count matches the exact readings above and nothing else.
Picked in hindsight: the counts include every other time these readings appeared, not just this move.
Fires often arrive as clusters of consecutive minutes, and forward windows overlap. A cluster is one episode, not many independent trials.
If these counts read weaker than the move suggested, that is the tool working: the lead-up of a picked move always looks special until it is counted everywhere else.
What the minutes before it looked like
Hourly candles. The marked lines are the minutes the readings came from: 1 minute, 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours and 24 hours before the move began. Every one of them sits before the move, never inside it.
A reading stands out when it sits outside the range it usually holds. The rules are fixed: the same ones the moment reader on the research page uses.
No recorded readings at 1 minute, 24 hours before the move.
- -4h2026-08-26 13:00 UTC
At 4 hours before the move, 4 of the 41 readings stood out.
feature.candle_compression_1h ≤ 0.47Containment · 15m insideReturn · 15m ≥ 0.018VWAP distance · day ≤ -0.033Show the full readings
READING BEFORE THE MOVE SEARCHES FOR feature.candle_compression_1h feature.candle_compression_1h 0.4646 ≤ 0.47 Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m inside inside Return · 15m feature.ret_15m 0.01811 ≥ 0.018 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist -0.03389 ≤ -0.033 - -1h2026-08-26 16:00 UTC
At 1 hour before the move, 5 of the 41 readings stood out.
Sweep + reclaim · 1h bullishMinutes to funding ≤ 1Return · 15m ≤ -0.015Return · 1h ≥ 0.032VWAP distance · day ≤ -0.031Show the full readings
READING BEFORE THE MOVE SEARCHES FOR Sweep + reclaim · 1h feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_1h bullish bullish Minutes to funding feature.mins_to_funding 0 ≤ 1 Return · 15m feature.ret_15m -0.0151 ≤ -0.015 Return · 1h feature.ret_1h 0.03296 ≥ 0.032 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist -0.03163 ≤ -0.031 - -15m2026-08-26 16:45 UTC
At 15 minutes before the move, 6 of the 41 readings stood out.
Book imbalance · top levels ≥ 0.97Book imbalance percentile ≤ 0.05Sweep + reclaim · 1h bullishReturn · 15m ≥ 0.021Return · 1h ≤ -0.02VWAP distance · day ≤ -0.035Show the full readings
READING BEFORE THE MOVE SEARCHES FOR Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance 0.9706 ≥ 0.97 Book imbalance percentile feature.book_imbalance_pctrank 0.04944 ≤ 0.05 Sweep + reclaim · 1h feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_1h bullish bullish Return · 15m feature.ret_15m 0.02114 ≥ 0.021 Return · 1h feature.ret_1h -0.02004 ≤ -0.02 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist -0.03526 ≤ -0.035
Also counted
Book imbalance · top levels ≥ 0.97 and Book imbalance percentile ≤ 0.05 and Sweep + reclaim · 1h bullish1 match, 1 rose, 0 fell
Read at 15 minutes before the move.
Minutes like this appeared only 1 time in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed was more often higher: 1 of the 1 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward rose (100%).
Its one fire came before the move began.
About 0 a day over 31 days, but 2026-08-26 alone holds 100% of them: this is close to a single episode.
Sweep + reclaim · 1h bullish and Minutes to funding ≤ 1 and Return · 15m ≤ -0.0152 matches, 0 rose, 2 fell
Read at 1 hour before the move.
Minutes like this appeared only 2 times in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed was more often lower: 2 of the 2 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward fell (100%).
Both are true: these readings sat before this rise, and the other times they appeared, what followed more often fell. That disagreement is the finding: a lead-up that looks special is not the same as one that usually comes before rises.
Of the 2 fires, 2 came before the move began; none were during it.
About 0.1 a day over 31 days, but 2026-08-13 alone holds 50% of them: this is close to a single episode.
Every night the record counts what fired and what usually followed: the daily brief.
No account? Replay a real move tick by tick, free: TUT short squeeze · 9 Aug 2026.