Research is a work in progress. Estimated release: 1 December 2026. Our goal is to make it a search engine for trading setups in recorded crypto markets.
Binance USDT-MQNTUSDT rose 344% on 24 September 2026
Picked after the rise, on one market.
Next stepWhat happened
Price opened the 19:00 hour at 84.37 and reached a highest trade of 374.5 in the 22:00 hour; the tested readings were taken at 18:45.
What stood out at 18:45
- Order book tilt-0.5294Tested: -0.52 or lower
- 4-hour range against usual4.392Tested: 4.3 or higher
- Containment (15m)insideTested: is inside
18:45 always meets its own rules.
What the record says
Too few results to compare
Price at least 2% higher after 30 minutes
9 matches in 43,201 minutes checked.
Picked after the rise, on one market.
Evidence
Does it hold on other markets?
No result for these markets has been measured; nothing runs until you press Run.
Exactly what was counted3 conditions · 9 of 43,201 minutes · saved text
- Order book tilt -0.52 or lower. Size at the best bid against the best ask; above 0 means more bids, below 0 more asks.Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.52 · feature.book_imbalance
- 4-hour range against usual 4.3 or higher. The last finished 4-hour candle's high to low range, as a multiple of its usual range.Compression · 4h ≥ 4.3 · feature.candle_compression_4h
- Containment (15m) is inside.Containment · 15m inside · feature.candle_containment_15m
Read at 15 minutes before the move.
Read at 18:45 UTC on 24 September, 15 minutes before the selected 19:00 start.
QNT only, 31 August to 29 September 2026 (UTC, ending 30 September 00:00); all 3 readings had values on 43,201 of those minutes.
Reference: every QNT minute over the same dates, matches included; it is not a matched control group.
Outcome: the close exactly 30 minutes later, not the highest or lowest price along the way.
The 19:00 start was picked automatically after the move.
QNTUSDT stored readings end 2026-09-30 00:00 UTC (exclusive). Prices and tick replay have separate coverage.
The feature manifest spans the lead-up. Individual minutes or inputs can still be unavailable.
This is not a similarity search. Each count matches the exact readings above and nothing else.
Picked in hindsight: the counts include every other time these readings appeared, not just this move.
Fires often arrive as clusters of consecutive minutes, and forward windows overlap. A cluster is one episode, not many independent trials.
If these counts read weaker than the move suggested, that is the tool working: the lead-up of a picked move always looks special until it is counted everywhere else.
Saved study q#abb29248 @ dataset a0160256, counted 30 Sep 2026 21:17 UTC.
Saved summary text, as written 30 Sep 2026
Written automatically when this study was saved and kept as written; where a line differs from the counts above, the counts govern.
Minutes like this appeared only 9 times in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed was more often higher: 6 of the 9 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward rose (67%).
6 rose and 3 fell over 9 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
About 0.3 a day over 31 days, but 2026-09-27 alone holds 44% of them: this is close to a single episode.
The other reading times, as written
From 1 minute before
Minutes like this appeared only 1 time in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed was more often higher: 1 of the 1 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward rose (100%).
1 rose and 0 fell over 1 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
About 0 a day over 31 days, but 2026-09-24 alone holds 100% of them: this is close to a single episode.
From 1 hour before
Minutes like this appeared only 5 times in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed was more often higher: 3 of the 5 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward rose (60%).
3 rose and 2 fell over 5 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
About 0.2 a day over 31 days, but 2026-09-27 alone holds 60% of them: this is close to a single episode.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 9 matches came on 3 of 30 days, 5 during the rise.
When the matches happened3 of 30 days
- 24 Sep3 matches
- 27 Sep4 matches
- 28 Sep2 matches
No matches on the other 27 days.
Of the 9 matches, 2 came before the rise began, 5 during it and 2 after it.
Neighbouring minutes overlap, so these are not 9 separate trials.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 9 matches came on 3 of 30 days, 5 during the rise.
Other time frames30 minutes to 7 days
The answer uses 30 minutes, the time frame this study counted by default. Each row counts the same matches at a later close, in both directions. The bars show how often price was 2% or more higher at each time frame: first the matches, then any QNT minute.
- 30 minutes
2 of 9 were 2% or more lower; any QNT minute 1,213 of 42,111 (2.9%).
Every match has a 30-minute close.
At least 5 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 1 hour
3 of 9 were 2% or more lower; any QNT minute 1,671 of 42,083 (4.0%).
Every match has a 1-hour close.
At least 5 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 4 hours
4 of 9 were 2% or more lower; any QNT minute 3,171 of 41,888 (7.6%).
Every match has a 4-hour close.
At least 5 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 24 hours
2 of 9 were 2% or more lower; any QNT minute 6,953 of 40,714 (17.1%).
Every match has a 24-hour close.
At least 5 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 72 hours
0 of 3 were 2% or more lower; any QNT minute 7,965 of 37,834 (21.1%).
6 without a 72-hour close yet, left out.
- 7 days
None of the 9 matches has a 7-day close yet, so there is no rate.
Any QNT minute: 18,222 of 32,206 (56.6%) were 2% or more higher, 7,659 of 32,206 (23.8%) lower.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 9 matches came on 3 of 30 days, 5 during the rise.
Readings at five times before the rise24 hours to 1 minute before · 2 other times tried
Highlights follow fixed rules, not significance tests. Proposed conditions round values or use ranges; inspect them before running.
24 hours before · 23 Sep 19:00 UTC · 7 of 88 stood out
Sweep + reclaim (1h) is bullishUpper wick (15m) 0.62 or higherHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720Touches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursDistance from the day's average price -0.036 or lowerShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Sweep + reclaim · 1h feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_1h bullish bullish Upper wick · 15m feature.candle_upper_wick_15m 0.625 ≥ 0.62 how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 6 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 369 12 to 720 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 61 12 to 720 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist -0.03687 ≤ -0.036 4 hours before · 24 Sep 15:00 UTC · 8 of 88 stood out
1-hour range against usual 2.8 or higherLower wick (15m) 0.73 or higherHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720Touches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursVolatility rank 0.98 or higherDistance from the day's average price 0.057 or higherShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Compression · 1h feature.candle_compression_1h 2.887 ≥ 2.8 Lower wick · 15m feature.candle_lower_wick_15m 0.7331 ≥ 0.73 how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 6 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 389 12 to 720 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 81 12 to 720 Realized vol percentile feature.realized_vol_pctrank 0.9881 ≥ 0.98 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist 0.05705 ≥ 0.057 1 hour before · 24 Sep 18:00 UTC · 9 of 88 stood out
Order book tilt -0.89 or lower4-hour range against usual 4.3 or higherContainment (15m) is insideSweep + reclaim (1h) is bearishHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720Touches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursDistance from the day's average price 0.08 or higherShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance -0.8962 ≤ -0.89 Compression · 4h feature.candle_compression_4h 4.392 ≥ 4.3 Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m inside inside Sweep + reclaim · 1h feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_1h bearish bearish how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 6 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 392 12 to 720 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 84 12 to 720 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist 0.08041 ≥ 0.08 15 minutes before · 24 Sep 18:45 UTC · 10 of 88 stood out
Order book tilt -0.52 or lower4-hour range against usual 4.3 or higherContainment (15m) is insideSweep + reclaim (1h) is bearishHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720Touches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hours15-minute price change -0.01 or lowerDistance from the day's average price 0.07 or higherShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance -0.5294 ≤ -0.52 Compression · 4h feature.candle_compression_4h 4.392 ≥ 4.3 Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m inside inside Sweep + reclaim · 1h feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_1h bearish bearish how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 6 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 392.8 12 to 720 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 84.75 12 to 720 Return · 15m feature.ret_15m -0.01015 ≤ -0.01 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist 0.07004 ≥ 0.07 1 minute before · 24 Sep 18:59 UTC · 10 of 88 stood out
Order book tilt -0.98 or lower4-hour range against usual 4.3 or higherContainment (15m) is insideSweep + reclaim (1h) is bearishHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720Touches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursOpen interest change rank 0.98 or higherDistance from the day's average price 0.06 or higherShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance -0.9899 ≤ -0.98 Compression · 4h feature.candle_compression_4h 4.392 ≥ 4.3 Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m inside inside Sweep + reclaim · 1h feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_1h bearish bearish how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 6 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 393 12 to 720 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 84.98 12 to 720 OI change magnitude score feature.oi_velocity_pctrank 0.9871 ≥ 0.98 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist 0.06012 ≥ 0.06
Two other reading times we tried 1 and 5 matches
1 minute before (18:59): order book tilt -0.98 or lower, 4-hour range against usual 4.3 or higher, open interest change rank 0.98 or higher.
Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.98 and Compression · 4h ≥ 4.3 and OI change magnitude score ≥ 0.98
1 match: price was 2% or more higher after 30 minutes in 1 of 1, and 2% or more lower in 0 of 1.
Of the 1 match, 1 came before the rise began, 0 during it and 0 after it.
1 hour before (18:00): order book tilt -0.89 or lower, 4-hour range against usual 4.3 or higher, containment (15m) is inside.
Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.89 and Compression · 4h ≥ 4.3 and Containment · 15m inside
5 matches: price was 2% or more higher after 30 minutes in 1 of 5, and 2% or more lower in 1 of 5.
Of the 5 matches, 1 came before the rise began, 4 during it and 0 after it.
Fewer than 30 results, so no rate is printed.
No set had 30 matches before the rise; the saved study leads with the one that had the most.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 9 matches came on 3 of 30 days, 5 during the rise.
Hourly candles around the risefull context, lead-up, move
The 19:00 start was picked after the move.
Hourly candles, UTC. The marked lines are the minutes the readings came from: 1 minute, 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours and 24 hours before the selected start.
Other ways to test itsame dates
- This market only
- The 608 eligible crypto markets · No result for these markets has been measured.
- Every recorded market
- 518 sector crypto markets
- 59 sector infrastructure markets
Each opens Review the test.
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Starting defaults and coverage
Starting defaults: 2026-08-31 to 2026-09-30 UTC; finishes up 2% or more after 1 hour. Review or change the markets, dates, conditions and outcome before running. Current recorded classification and sector tags, not point-in-time membership. Historical membership may differ. Instrument history does not guarantee every setup input or outcome is present; actual study exclusions remain authoritative.