Research is a work in progress. Estimated release: 1 December 2026. Our goal is to make it a search engine for trading setups in recorded crypto markets.
Binance USDT-MRAYSOLUSDT rose 57% on 6 September 2026
Picked after the rise, on one market.
Next stepWhat happened
Price opened the 01:00 hour at 0.9185 and reached a highest trade of 1.442 in the 17:00 hour; the tested readings were taken at 00:45.
What stood out at 00:45
- Order book lopsidedness0.0826Tested: 0.083 or lower
- 4-hour range against usual2.511Tested: 2.5 or higher
- Volatility rank0.938Tested: 0.93 or higher
00:45 always meets its own rules.
What the record says
Too few results to compare
Price at least 2% higher after 30 minutes
7 matches in 43,201 minutes checked.
Picked after the rise, on one market.
Evidence
Does it hold on other markets?
No result for these markets has been measured; nothing runs until you press Run.
Exactly what was counted3 conditions · 7 of 43,201 minutes · saved text
- Order book lopsidedness 0.083 or lower. How lopsided the sizes at the best bid and ask were, either way, against recent readings; low means unusually even.Book imbalance percentile ≤ 0.083 · feature.book_imbalance_pctrank
- 4-hour range against usual 2.5 or higher. The last finished 4-hour candle's high to low range, as a multiple of its usual range.the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline ≥ 2.5 · feature.candle_compression_4h
- Volatility rank 0.93 or higher. How volatile the last hour was against this market's history, on a 0 to 1 scale.Realized vol percentile ≥ 0.93 · feature.realized_vol_pctrank
Read at 15 minutes before the move.
Read at 00:45 UTC on 6 September, 15 minutes before the selected 01:00 start.
RAYSOL only, 14 August to 12 September 2026 (UTC, ending 13 September 00:00); all 3 readings had values on 43,201 of those minutes.
Reference: every RAYSOL minute over the same dates, matches included; it is not a matched control group.
Outcome: the close exactly 30 minutes later, not the highest or lowest price along the way.
The 01:00 start was picked automatically after the move.
RAYSOLUSDT stored readings end 2026-09-13 00:00 UTC (exclusive). Prices and tick replay have separate coverage.
The feature manifest spans the lead-up. Individual minutes or inputs can still be unavailable.
This is not a similarity search. Each count matches the exact readings above and nothing else.
Picked in hindsight: the counts include every other time these readings appeared, not just this move.
Fires often arrive as clusters of consecutive minutes, and forward windows overlap. A cluster is one episode, not many independent trials.
If these counts read weaker than the move suggested, that is the tool working: the lead-up of a picked move always looks special until it is counted everywhere else.
Saved study q#be2eda9f @ dataset 0848795c, counted 13 Sep 2026 08:14 UTC.
Saved summary text, as written 13 Sep 2026
Written automatically when this study was saved and kept as written; where a line differs from the counts above, the counts govern.
Minutes like this appeared only 7 times in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed was more often higher: 5 of the 7 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward rose (71%).
5 rose and 2 fell over 7 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
About 0.2 a day over 31 days, but 2026-09-06 alone holds 57% of them: this is close to a single episode.
The other reading times, as written
From 1 minute before
Minutes like this appeared only 6 times in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed was more often lower: 4 of the 6 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward fell (67%).
2 rose and 4 fell over 6 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
About 0.2 a day, on 4 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
From 1 hour before
Minutes like this appeared only 6 times in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed was more often higher: 4 of the 6 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward rose (67%).
4 rose and 2 fell over 6 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
About 0.2 a day over 31 days, but 2026-09-06 alone holds 67% of them: this is close to a single episode.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 7 matches came on 4 of 30 days, 3 during the rise.
When the matches happened4 of 30 days
- 19 Aug1 match
- 20 Aug1 match
- 31 Aug1 match
- 6 Sep4 matches
No matches on the other 26 days.
Of the 7 matches, 4 came before the rise began, 3 during it and 0 after it.
Neighbouring minutes overlap, so these are not 7 separate trials.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 7 matches came on 4 of 30 days, 3 during the rise.
Other time frames30 minutes to 7 days
The answer uses 30 minutes, the time frame this study counted by default. Each row counts the same matches at a later close, in both directions. The bars show how often price was 2% or more higher at each time frame: first the matches, then any RAYSOL minute.
- 30 minutes
1 of 7 was 2% or more lower; any RAYSOL minute 1,291 of 40,777 (3.2%).
Every match has a 30-minute close.
At least 3 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 1 hour
1 of 7 was 2% or more lower; any RAYSOL minute 2,448 of 40,770 (6.0%).
Every match has a 1-hour close.
At least 3 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 4 hours
1 of 7 was 2% or more lower; any RAYSOL minute 5,520 of 40,558 (13.6%).
Every match has a 4-hour close.
At least 4 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 24 hours
0 of 7 were 2% or more lower; any RAYSOL minute 7,910 of 39,472 (20.0%).
Every match has a 24-hour close.
At least 4 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 72 hours
0 of 7 were 2% or more lower; any RAYSOL minute 2,787 of 37,033 (7.5%).
Every match has a 72-hour close.
At least 4 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 7 days
0 of 4 were 2% or more lower; any RAYSOL minute 234 of 31,639 (0.7%).
3 without a 7-day close yet, left out.
At least 1 of these windows overlap the rise.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 7 matches came on 4 of 30 days, 3 during the rise.
Readings at five times before the rise24 hours to 1 minute before · 2 other times tried
Highlights follow fixed rules, not significance tests. Proposed conditions round values or use ranges; inspect them before running.
24 hours before · 5 Sep 01:00 UTC · 9 of 63 stood out
Order book lopsidedness 0.94 or higher1-hour range against usual 0.33 or lowerThe distance from price back to the broken descending resistance between -0.5 and 0.5How many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720The distance from price back to the broken short descending resistance between -0.5 and 0.5Touches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursTaker buy share (15m) 0.22 or lowerShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance percentile feature.book_imbalance_pctrank 0.9413 ≥ 0.94 the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_1h 0.3264 ≤ 0.33 the distance from price back to the broken descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_broken_dist_atr -0.0826 -0.5 to 0.5 how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 5 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 34 12 to 720 the distance from price back to the broken short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_dist_atr -0.0826 -0.5 to 0.5 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 5 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 34 12 to 720 Taker buy share · 15m feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m 0.2154 ≤ 0.22 4 hours before · 5 Sep 21:00 UTC · 9 of 63 stood out
4-hour range against usual 2.1 or higherEngulfing (15m) is bearishSweep + reclaim (1h) is bearishHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720Touches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursVPIN regime is elevatedDistance from the day's average price 0.02 or higherShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_4h 2.151 ≥ 2.1 Engulfing · 15m feature.candle_engulfing_15m bearish bearish Sweep + reclaim · 1h feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_1h bearish bearish how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 5 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 54 12 to 720 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 5 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 54 12 to 720 VPIN regime feature.vpin_regime elevated elevated VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist 0.02027 ≥ 0.02 1 hour before · 6 Sep 00:00 UTC · 13 of 63 stood out
Order book lopsidedness 0.066 or lower4-hour range against usual 2.5 or higherSweep + reclaim (15m) is bearishUpper wick (15m) 0.88 or higherHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720Touches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursMinutes to funding 1 or lowerVolatility rank 0.99 or higherToxic flow (VPIN) 0.51 or higherVPIN regime is elevatedDistance from the day's average price 0.042 or higherShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance percentile feature.book_imbalance_pctrank 0.06597 ≤ 0.066 the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_4h 2.511 ≥ 2.5 Sweep + reclaim · 15m feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_15m bearish bearish Upper wick · 15m feature.candle_upper_wick_15m 0.8865 ≥ 0.88 how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 5 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 57 12 to 720 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 5 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 57 12 to 720 Minutes to funding feature.mins_to_funding 0 ≤ 1 Realized vol percentile feature.realized_vol_pctrank 0.9968 ≥ 0.99 Toxic flow (VPIN) feature.vpin 0.5194 ≥ 0.51 VPIN regime feature.vpin_regime elevated elevated VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist 0.04266 ≥ 0.042 15 minutes before · 6 Sep 00:45 UTC · 11 of 63 stood out
Order book lopsidedness 0.083 or lower4-hour range against usual 2.5 or higherEngulfing (15m) is bullishHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720Touches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursVolatility rank 0.93 or higher15-minute price change 0.012 or higherToxic flow (VPIN) 0.52 or higherVPIN regime is elevatedShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance percentile feature.book_imbalance_pctrank 0.0826 ≤ 0.083 the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_4h 2.511 ≥ 2.5 Engulfing · 15m feature.candle_engulfing_15m bullish bullish how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 5 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 57.75 12 to 720 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 5 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 57.75 12 to 720 Realized vol percentile feature.realized_vol_pctrank 0.938 ≥ 0.93 Return · 15m feature.ret_15m 0.01296 ≥ 0.012 Toxic flow (VPIN) feature.vpin 0.5281 ≥ 0.52 VPIN regime feature.vpin_regime elevated elevated 1 minute before · 6 Sep 00:59 UTC · 11 of 63 stood out
Order book tilt -0.95 or lowerOrder book lopsidedness 0.059 or lower4-hour range against usual 2.5 or higherEngulfing (15m) is bullishHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720Touches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursVolatility rank 0.9 or higherToxic flow (VPIN) 0.5 or higherVPIN regime is elevatedShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance -0.9537 ≤ -0.95 Book imbalance percentile feature.book_imbalance_pctrank 0.05899 ≤ 0.059 the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_4h 2.511 ≥ 2.5 Engulfing · 15m feature.candle_engulfing_15m bullish bullish how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 5 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 57.98 12 to 720 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 5 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 57.98 12 to 720 Realized vol percentile feature.realized_vol_pctrank 0.9033 ≥ 0.9 Toxic flow (VPIN) feature.vpin 0.5064 ≥ 0.5 VPIN regime feature.vpin_regime elevated elevated
Two other reading times we tried 6 and 6 matches
1 minute before (00:59): order book tilt -0.95 or lower, order book lopsidedness 0.059 or lower, volatility rank 0.9 or higher.
Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.95 and Book imbalance percentile ≤ 0.059 and Realized vol percentile ≥ 0.9
6 matches: price was 2% or more higher after 30 minutes in 0 of 6, and 2% or more lower in 1 of 6.
Of the 6 matches, 2 came before the rise began, 0 during it and 4 after it.
1 hour before (00:00): order book lopsidedness 0.066 or lower, 4-hour range against usual 2.5 or higher, volatility rank 0.99 or higher.
Book imbalance percentile ≤ 0.066 and the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline ≥ 2.5 and Realized vol percentile ≥ 0.99
6 matches: price was 2% or more higher after 30 minutes in 1 of 6, and 2% or more lower in 0 of 6.
Of the 6 matches, 3 came before the rise began, 3 during it and 0 after it.
Fewer than 30 results, so no rate is printed.
No set had 30 matches before the rise; the saved study leads with the one that had the most.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 7 matches came on 4 of 30 days, 3 during the rise.
Hourly candles around the risefull context, lead-up, move
The 01:00 start was picked after the move, and the hour before was already rising.
Hourly candles, UTC. The marked lines are the minutes the readings came from: 1 minute, 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours and 24 hours before the selected start.
Other ways to test itsame dates
- This market only
- The 520 sector crypto markets · No result for these markets has been measured.
- Every recorded market
- 520 sector crypto markets
Each opens Review the test.
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Starting defaults and coverage
Starting defaults: 2026-08-14 to 2026-09-13 UTC; finishes up 2% or more after 1 hour. Review or change the markets, dates, conditions and outcome before running. Current recorded classification and sector tags, not point-in-time membership. Historical membership may differ. Instrument history does not guarantee every setup input or outcome is present; actual study exclusions remain authoritative.