RAYSOLUSDT rose into Sep 6
+57%
Counted on 2026-09-13, against a record covering to 2026-09-13 00:00 UTC. These numbers are frozen: this page will always say what it said the day it was written.
This move is in the event archive as a pump 4h on 2026-09-05. Open the archived event
Exact setup countedBook imbalance percentile ≤ 0.083 and the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline ≥ 2.5 and Realized vol percentile ≥ 0.93 · Read at 15 minutes before the move.
5 rose and 2 fell over 7 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
Starting defaults and coverage
Starting defaults: 2026-08-14 to 2026-09-13 UTC; finishes up 2% or more after 1 hour. Review or change the markets, dates, conditions and outcome before running. Current recorded classification and sector tags, not point-in-time membership. Historical membership may differ. Instrument history does not guarantee every setup input or outcome is present; actual study exclusions remain authoritative.
Counts above cover this market only. Suggested starting scope: 520 sector crypto markets. Sector counts have not been computed here. This market only · Every recorded market
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Evidence and counting
Read at 15 minutes before the move.
Of the 7 fires, 4 came before the move began and 3 happened while it was already under way. A fire during the move sees it; it does not telegraph it.
About 0.2 a day over 31 days, but 2026-09-06 alone holds 57% of them: this is close to a single episode.
This is not a similarity search. Each count matches the exact readings above and nothing else.
Picked in hindsight: the counts include every other time these readings appeared, not just this move.
Fires often arrive as clusters of consecutive minutes, and forward windows overlap. A cluster is one episode, not many independent trials.
If these counts read weaker than the move suggested, that is the tool working: the lead-up of a picked move always looks special until it is counted everywhere else.
Explore the move and its lead-up
Hourly candles. The marked lines are the minutes the readings came from: 1 minute, 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours and 24 hours before the selected start. These five samples test the lead-up only, not the full move. Use the minute inspector to explore during or after the move.
Explore historical state
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Read the available analytical inputs at one minute, including measurements over the preceding windows. Compare with an hour earlier, then take a reading into Research to test it. Dates are UTC.
These additional reads are separate from the five pre-start samples. Observations during or after the selected move describe what had already happened; they are not advance evidence.
Selected time: 2026-09-06 01:00 UTC. During the selected move: hindsight. Choose Read this minute to request it. Missing minutes remain unavailable.
Follow positioning and flow through the move
Read 21 sampled minutes from the selected start through one hour after the selected end. The peak hour has extra 15-minute samples. The end marks the peak hour, not the exact peak tick. These are separate snapshots, not a continuous tape or an advance-warning test.
Historical access applies. Reads preserve each source revision; missing values stay unavailable. Contract OI, turnover and direct spot basis are not supplied by this table. Published premium is a different measure from direct basis.
No additional reads have run.
The OI score measures absolute USD-notional change, not signed contract growth. Zero 15-second liquidation intensity can coexist with substantial hourly liquidations. Binance liquidation amounts are observed publications, not complete venue totals.
Pre-start evidence: five separate snapshots
Highlighted readings and exact search conditions
Highlighted readings meet fixed rules, not a statistical-significance test. The observed value and proposed search condition are different: a condition rounds a value or selects an interval for a repeatable search.
- -24h2026-09-05 01:00 UTC
At 24 hours before the move, 9 of the 63 readings met a highlight rule.
Book imbalance percentile ≥ 0.94the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline ≤ 0.33the distance from price back to the broken descending resistance -0.5 to 0.5how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the descending resistance broke 12 to 720the distance from price back to the broken short descending resistance -0.5 to 0.5how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720Taker buy share · 15m ≤ 0.22Show the full readings
READING BEFORE THE MOVE SEARCHES FOR Book imbalance percentile feature.book_imbalance_pctrank 0.9413 ≥ 0.94 the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_1h 0.3264 ≤ 0.33 the distance from price back to the broken descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_broken_dist_atr -0.0826 -0.5 to 0.5 how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 5 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 34 12 to 720 the distance from price back to the broken short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_dist_atr -0.0826 -0.5 to 0.5 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 5 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 34 12 to 720 Taker buy share · 15m feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m 0.2154 ≤ 0.22 - -4h2026-09-05 21:00 UTC
At 4 hours before the move, 9 of the 63 readings met a highlight rule.
the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline ≥ 2.1Engulfing · 15m bearishSweep + reclaim · 1h bearishhow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the descending resistance broke 12 to 720how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720VPIN regime elevatedVWAP distance · day ≥ 0.02Show the full readings
READING BEFORE THE MOVE SEARCHES FOR the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_4h 2.151 ≥ 2.1 Engulfing · 15m feature.candle_engulfing_15m bearish bearish Sweep + reclaim · 1h feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_1h bearish bearish how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 5 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 54 12 to 720 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 5 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 54 12 to 720 VPIN regime feature.vpin_regime elevated elevated VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist 0.02027 ≥ 0.02 - -1h2026-09-06 00:00 UTC
At 1 hour before the move, 13 of the 63 readings met a highlight rule.
Book imbalance percentile ≤ 0.066the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline ≥ 2.5Sweep + reclaim · 15m bearishUpper wick · 15m ≥ 0.88how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the descending resistance broke 12 to 720how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720Minutes to funding ≤ 1Realized vol percentile ≥ 0.99Toxic flow (VPIN) ≥ 0.51VPIN regime elevatedVWAP distance · day ≥ 0.042Show the full readings
READING BEFORE THE MOVE SEARCHES FOR Book imbalance percentile feature.book_imbalance_pctrank 0.06597 ≤ 0.066 the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_4h 2.511 ≥ 2.5 Sweep + reclaim · 15m feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_15m bearish bearish Upper wick · 15m feature.candle_upper_wick_15m 0.8865 ≥ 0.88 how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 5 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 57 12 to 720 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 5 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 57 12 to 720 Minutes to funding feature.mins_to_funding 0 ≤ 1 Realized vol percentile feature.realized_vol_pctrank 0.9968 ≥ 0.99 Toxic flow (VPIN) feature.vpin 0.5194 ≥ 0.51 VPIN regime feature.vpin_regime elevated elevated VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist 0.04266 ≥ 0.042 - -15m2026-09-06 00:45 UTC
At 15 minutes before the move, 11 of the 63 readings met a highlight rule.
Book imbalance percentile ≤ 0.083the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline ≥ 2.5Engulfing · 15m bullishhow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the descending resistance broke 12 to 720how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720Realized vol percentile ≥ 0.93Return · 15m ≥ 0.012Toxic flow (VPIN) ≥ 0.52VPIN regime elevatedShow the full readings
READING BEFORE THE MOVE SEARCHES FOR Book imbalance percentile feature.book_imbalance_pctrank 0.0826 ≤ 0.083 the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_4h 2.511 ≥ 2.5 Engulfing · 15m feature.candle_engulfing_15m bullish bullish how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 5 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 57.75 12 to 720 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 5 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 57.75 12 to 720 Realized vol percentile feature.realized_vol_pctrank 0.938 ≥ 0.93 Return · 15m feature.ret_15m 0.01296 ≥ 0.012 Toxic flow (VPIN) feature.vpin 0.5281 ≥ 0.52 VPIN regime feature.vpin_regime elevated elevated - -1m2026-09-06 00:59 UTC
At 1 minute before the move, 11 of the 63 readings met a highlight rule.
Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.95Book imbalance percentile ≤ 0.059the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline ≥ 2.5Engulfing · 15m bullishhow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the descending resistance broke 12 to 720how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720Realized vol percentile ≥ 0.9Toxic flow (VPIN) ≥ 0.5VPIN regime elevatedShow the full readings
READING BEFORE THE MOVE SEARCHES FOR Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance -0.9537 ≤ -0.95 Book imbalance percentile feature.book_imbalance_pctrank 0.05899 ≤ 0.059 the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_4h 2.511 ≥ 2.5 Engulfing · 15m feature.candle_engulfing_15m bullish bullish how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 5 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 57.98 12 to 720 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 5 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 57.98 12 to 720 Realized vol percentile feature.realized_vol_pctrank 0.9033 ≥ 0.9 Toxic flow (VPIN) feature.vpin 0.5064 ≥ 0.5 VPIN regime feature.vpin_regime elevated elevated
Also counted
Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.95 and Book imbalance percentile ≤ 0.059 and Realized vol percentile ≥ 0.96 matches, 2 rose, 4 fell
Read at 1 minute before the move.
2 rose and 4 fell over 6 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
Of the 6 fires, 2 came before the move began; none were during it.
About 0.2 a day, on 4 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
Book imbalance percentile ≤ 0.066 and the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline ≥ 2.5 and Realized vol percentile ≥ 0.996 matches, 4 rose, 2 fell
Read at 1 hour before the move.
4 rose and 2 fell over 6 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
Of the 6 fires, 3 came before the move began and 3 happened while it was already under way. A fire during the move sees it; it does not telegraph it.
About 0.2 a day over 31 days, but 2026-09-06 alone holds 67% of them: this is close to a single episode.
Every night the record counts what fired and what usually followed: the daily brief.
No account? Replay a real move tick by tick, free: TUT short squeeze · 9 Aug 2026.