Research is a work in progress. Estimated release: 1 December 2026. Our goal is to make it a search engine for trading setups in recorded crypto markets.
Binance USDT-MRAYSOLUSDT rose 73% on 5 September 2026
Picked after the rise, on one market.
Next stepWhat happened
Price opened the 16:00 hour at 0.8343 and reached a highest trade of 1.442 in the 17:00 hour; the tested readings were taken at 15:00.
What stood out at 15:00
- Order book lopsidedness0.08733Tested: 0.088 or lower
- 4-hour range against usual0.2782Tested: 0.28 or lower
- How many times the broken descending resistance had been tested5Tested: 3 or higher
15:00 always meets its own rules.
What the record says
Too few results to compare
Price at least 2% higher after 30 minutes
11 matches in 34,442 minutes checked; 1 missing a 30-minute close, left out.
Picked after the rise, on one market.
Evidence
Does it hold on other markets?
No result for these markets has been measured; nothing runs until you press Run.
Exactly what was counted3 conditions · 11 of 34,442 minutes · saved text
- Order book lopsidedness 0.088 or lower. How lopsided the sizes at the best bid and ask were, either way, against recent readings; low means unusually even.Book imbalance percentile ≤ 0.088 · feature.book_imbalance_pctrank
- 4-hour range against usual 0.28 or lower. The last finished 4-hour candle's high to low range, as a multiple of its usual range.the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline ≤ 0.28 · feature.candle_compression_4h
- How many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higher.how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3 · feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches
Read at 1 hour before the move.
Read at 15:00 UTC on 5 September, one hour before the selected 16:00 start.
RAYSOL only, 12 August to 10 September 2026 (UTC, ending 11 September 00:00); all 3 readings had values on 34,442 of those minutes.
Reference: every RAYSOL minute over the same dates, matches included; it is not a matched control group.
Outcome: the close exactly 30 minutes later, not the highest or lowest price along the way.
The 16:00 start was picked automatically after the move.
RAYSOLUSDT stored readings end 2026-09-11 00:00 UTC (exclusive). Prices and tick replay have separate coverage.
The feature manifest spans the lead-up. Individual minutes or inputs can still be unavailable.
This is not a similarity search. Each count matches the exact readings above and nothing else.
Picked in hindsight: the counts include every other time these readings appeared, not just this move.
Fires often arrive as clusters of consecutive minutes, and forward windows overlap. A cluster is one episode, not many independent trials.
If these counts read weaker than the move suggested, that is the tool working: the lead-up of a picked move always looks special until it is counted everywhere else.
Saved study q#dba46de0 @ dataset d31fb5af, counted 12 Sep 2026 08:01 UTC.
Saved summary text, as written 12 Sep 2026
Written automatically when this study was saved and kept as written; where a line differs from the counts above, the counts govern.
Minutes like this appeared only 11 times in the 34,442 minutes searched. What followed was more often higher: 7 of the 10 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward rose (70%).
7 rose and 3 fell over 10 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
About 0.4 a day, on 3 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
It counts the single minute on 11 September as a day.
The other reading times, as written
From 1 minute before
Minutes like this appeared only 5 times in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed was more often higher: 3 of the 5 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward rose (60%).
3 rose and 2 fell over 5 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
About 0.2 a day over 31 days, but 2026-09-05 alone holds 60% of them: this is close to a single episode.
From 15 minutes before
Minutes like this appeared only 3 times in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed was more often lower: 2 of the 3 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward fell (67%).
1 rose and 2 fell over 3 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
About 0.1 a day over 31 days, but 2026-09-05 alone holds 67% of them: this is close to a single episode.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 11 matches came on 3 of 30 days.
When the matches happened3 of 30 days
- 29 Aug4 matches
- 5 Sep3 matches
- 8 Sep4 matches
No matches on the other 27 days.
Of the 11 matches, 7 came before the rise began, 0 during it and 4 after it.
Neighbouring minutes overlap, so these are not 11 separate trials.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 11 matches came on 3 of 30 days.
Other time frames30 minutes to 7 days
The answer uses 30 minutes, the time frame this study counted by default. Each row counts the same matches at a later close, in both directions. The bars show how often price was 2% or more higher at each time frame: first the matches, then any RAYSOL minute.
- 30 minutes
0 of 10 were 2% or more lower; any RAYSOL minute 1,037 of 40,205 (2.6%).
1 without a 30-minute close yet, left out.
- 1 hour
0 of 10 were 2% or more lower; any RAYSOL minute 1,949 of 40,198 (4.8%).
1 without a 1-hour close yet, left out.
- 4 hours
3 of 10 were 2% or more lower; any RAYSOL minute 4,627 of 39,985 (11.6%).
1 without a 4-hour close yet, left out.
- 24 hours
0 of 9 were 2% or more lower; any RAYSOL minute 7,551 of 38,880 (19.4%).
2 without a 24-hour close yet, left out.
- 72 hours
0 of 7 were 2% or more lower; any RAYSOL minute 3,419 of 36,244 (9.4%).
4 without a 72-hour close yet, left out.
- 7 days
0 of 3 were 2% or more lower; any RAYSOL minute 901 of 31,279 (2.9%).
8 without a 7-day close yet, left out.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 11 matches came on 3 of 30 days.
Readings at five times before the rise24 hours to 1 minute before · 2 other times tried
Highlights follow fixed rules, not significance tests. Proposed conditions round values or use ranges; inspect them before running.
24 hours before · 4 Sep 16:00 UTC · 15 of 63 stood out
Order book tilt -0.85 or lowerOrder book lopsidedness 0.91 or higherContainment (15m) is outsideEngulfing (15m) is bearishSweep + reclaim (1h) is bullishThe distance from price back to the broken descending resistance between -0.5 and 0.5How many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720The distance from price back to the broken short descending resistance between -0.5 and 0.5Touches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursMinutes to funding 1 or lowerTaker buy share (15m) 0.26 or lowerToxic flow (VPIN) 0.51 or higherVPIN regime is elevatedShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance -0.8576 ≤ -0.85 Book imbalance percentile feature.book_imbalance_pctrank 0.9107 ≥ 0.91 Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m outside outside Engulfing · 15m feature.candle_engulfing_15m bearish bearish Sweep + reclaim · 1h feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_1h bullish bullish the distance from price back to the broken descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_broken_dist_atr 0.1856 -0.5 to 0.5 how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 5 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 25 12 to 720 the distance from price back to the broken short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_dist_atr 0.1856 -0.5 to 0.5 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 5 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 25 12 to 720 Minutes to funding feature.mins_to_funding 0 ≤ 1 Taker buy share · 15m feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m 0.2529 ≤ 0.26 Toxic flow (VPIN) feature.vpin 0.5149 ≥ 0.51 VPIN regime feature.vpin_regime elevated elevated 4 hours before · 5 Sep 12:00 UTC · 7 of 63 stood out
15-minute range against usual 2.2 or higher4-hour range against usual 0.28 or lowerHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720Touches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursTaker buy share (15m) 0.81 or higherShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m 2.204 ≥ 2.2 the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_4h 0.2782 ≤ 0.28 how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 5 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 45 12 to 720 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 5 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 45 12 to 720 Taker buy share · 15m feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m 0.8122 ≥ 0.81 1 hour before · 5 Sep 15:00 UTC · 6 of 63 stood out
Order book lopsidedness 0.088 or lower4-hour range against usual 0.28 or lowerHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720Touches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance percentile feature.book_imbalance_pctrank 0.08733 ≤ 0.088 the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_4h 0.2782 ≤ 0.28 how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 5 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 48 12 to 720 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 5 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 48 12 to 720 15 minutes before · 5 Sep 15:45 UTC · 11 of 63 stood out
Order book lopsidedness 0.093 or lower4-hour range against usual 0.28 or lowerLower wick (15m) 0.6 or higherSweep + reclaim (15m) is bullishHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720Touches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursMinutes to funding 15 or lowerTaker buy share (15m) 0.74 or higherVPIN regime is elevatedShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance percentile feature.book_imbalance_pctrank 0.09234 ≤ 0.093 the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_4h 0.2782 ≤ 0.28 Lower wick · 15m feature.candle_lower_wick_15m 0.6071 ≥ 0.6 Sweep + reclaim · 15m feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_15m bullish bullish how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 5 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 48.75 12 to 720 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 5 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 48.75 12 to 720 Minutes to funding feature.mins_to_funding 15 ≤ 15 Taker buy share · 15m feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m 0.742 ≥ 0.74 VPIN regime feature.vpin_regime elevated elevated 1 minute before · 5 Sep 15:59 UTC · 11 of 63 stood out
Order book tilt 0.92 or higherOrder book lopsidedness 0.92 or higher4-hour range against usual 0.28 or lowerLower wick (15m) 0.6 or higherSweep + reclaim (15m) is bullishHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720Touches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursMinutes to funding 1 or lowerVPIN regime is elevatedShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance 0.9266 ≥ 0.92 Book imbalance percentile feature.book_imbalance_pctrank 0.9266 ≥ 0.92 the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_4h 0.2782 ≤ 0.28 Lower wick · 15m feature.candle_lower_wick_15m 0.6071 ≥ 0.6 Sweep + reclaim · 15m feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_15m bullish bullish how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 5 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 48.98 12 to 720 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 5 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 48.98 12 to 720 Minutes to funding feature.mins_to_funding 1 ≤ 1 VPIN regime feature.vpin_regime elevated elevated
Two other reading times we tried 5 and 3 matches
1 minute before (15:59): order book tilt 0.92 or higher, order book lopsidedness 0.92 or higher, 4-hour range against usual 0.28 or lower.
Book imbalance · top levels ≥ 0.92 and Book imbalance percentile ≥ 0.92 and the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline ≤ 0.28
5 matches: price was 2% or more higher after 30 minutes in 0 of 5, and 2% or more lower in 0 of 5.
Of the 5 matches, 5 came before the rise began, 0 during it and 0 after it.
15 minutes before (15:45): order book lopsidedness 0.093 or lower, 4-hour range against usual 0.28 or lower, lower wick (15m) 0.6 or higher.
Book imbalance percentile ≤ 0.093 and the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline ≤ 0.28 and Lower wick · 15m ≥ 0.6
3 matches: price was 2% or more higher after 30 minutes in 0 of 3, and 2% or more lower in 0 of 3.
Of the 3 matches, 2 came before the rise began, 0 during it and 1 after it.
Fewer than 30 results, so no rate is printed.
No set had 30 matches before the rise; the saved study leads with the one that had the most.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 11 matches came on 3 of 30 days.
Hourly candles around the risefull context, lead-up, move
The 16:00 start was picked after the move.
Hourly candles, UTC. The marked lines are the minutes the readings came from: 1 minute, 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours and 24 hours before the selected start.
Other ways to test itsame dates
- This market only
- The 520 sector crypto markets · No result for these markets has been measured.
- Every recorded market
- 520 sector crypto markets
Each opens Review the test.
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Starting defaults and coverage
Starting defaults: 2026-08-12 to 2026-09-11 UTC; finishes up 2% or more after 1 hour. Review or change the markets, dates, conditions and outcome before running. Current recorded classification and sector tags, not point-in-time membership. Historical membership may differ. Instrument history does not guarantee every setup input or outcome is present; actual study exclusions remain authoritative.