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Binance USDT-MSOONUSDT rose 86% on 25 September 2026
Picked after the rise, on one market.
Next stepWhat happened
Price opened the 09:00 hour at 0.1994 and reached a highest trade of 0.3714 in the 00:00 hour; the tested readings were taken at 08:59.
What stood out at 08:59
- Order book tilt0.7121Tested: 0.71 or higher
- 15-minute range against usual0.3934Tested: 0.4 or lower
- 4-hour range against usual0.4654Tested: 0.47 or lower
08:59 always meets its own rules.
What the record says
Too few results to compare
Price at least 2% higher after 30 minutes
7 matches in 43,201 minutes checked.
Picked after the rise, on one market.
Evidence
Does it hold on other markets?
No result for these markets has been measured; nothing runs until you press Run.
Exactly what was counted3 conditions · 7 of 43,201 minutes · saved text
- Order book tilt 0.71 or higher. Size at the best bid against the best ask; above 0 means more bids, below 0 more asks.Book imbalance · top levels ≥ 0.71 · feature.book_imbalance
- 15-minute range against usual 0.4 or lower. The last finished 15-minute candle's high to low range, as a multiple of its usual range.Compression · 15m ≤ 0.4 · feature.candle_compression_15m
- 4-hour range against usual 0.47 or lower. The last finished 4-hour candle's high to low range, as a multiple of its usual range.Compression · 4h ≤ 0.47 · feature.candle_compression_4h
Read at 1 minute before the move.
Read at 08:59 UTC on 25 September, one minute before the selected 09:00 start.
SOON only, 31 August to 29 September 2026 (UTC, ending 30 September 00:00); all 3 readings had values on 43,201 of those minutes.
Reference: every SOON minute over the same dates, matches included; it is not a matched control group.
Outcome: the close exactly 30 minutes later, not the highest or lowest price along the way.
The 09:00 start was picked automatically after the move.
SOONUSDT stored readings end 2026-09-30 00:00 UTC (exclusive). Prices and tick replay have separate coverage.
The feature manifest spans the lead-up. Individual minutes or inputs can still be unavailable.
This is not a similarity search. Each count matches the exact readings above and nothing else.
Picked in hindsight: the counts include every other time these readings appeared, not just this move.
Fires often arrive as clusters of consecutive minutes, and forward windows overlap. A cluster is one episode, not many independent trials.
If these counts read weaker than the move suggested, that is the tool working: the lead-up of a picked move always looks special until it is counted everywhere else.
Saved study q#f4fc9b27 @ dataset a0160256, counted 30 Sep 2026 21:17 UTC.
Saved summary text, as written 30 Sep 2026
Written automatically when this study was saved and kept as written; where a line differs from the counts above, the counts govern.
Minutes like this appeared only 7 times in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed was more often higher: 5 of the 7 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward rose (71%).
5 rose and 2 fell over 7 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
About 0.2 a day over 31 days, but 2026-09-12 alone holds 43% of them: this is close to a single episode.
The other reading times, as written
From 15 minutes before
Minutes like this appeared only 7 times in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed was more often higher: 5 of the 6 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward rose (83%).
5 rose and 1 fell over 6 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
About 0.2 a day over 31 days, but 2026-09-12 alone holds 43% of them: this is close to a single episode.
From 1 hour before
Minutes like this appeared only 2 times in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed was more often higher: 1 of the 1 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward rose (100%).
1 rose and 0 fell over 1 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
About 0.1 a day over 31 days, but 2026-09-17 alone holds 50% of them: this is close to a single episode.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 7 matches came on 4 of 30 days.
When the matches happened4 of 30 days
- 10 Sep2 matches
- 12 Sep3 matches
- 17 Sep1 match
- 25 Sep1 match
No matches on the other 26 days.
Of the 7 matches, 7 came before the rise began, 0 during it and 0 after it.
Neighbouring minutes overlap, so these are not 7 separate trials.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 7 matches came on 4 of 30 days.
Other time frames30 minutes to 7 days
The answer uses 30 minutes, the time frame this study counted by default. Each row counts the same matches at a later close, in both directions. The bars show how often price was 2% or more higher at each time frame: first the matches, then any SOON minute.
- 30 minutes
0 of 7 were 2% or more lower; any SOON minute 814 of 39,905 (2.0%).
Every match has a 30-minute close.
- 1 hour
0 of 7 were 2% or more lower; any SOON minute 1,418 of 39,884 (3.6%).
Every match has a 1-hour close.
- 4 hours
1 of 6 was 2% or more lower; any SOON minute 3,255 of 39,634 (8.2%).
1 without a 4-hour close yet, left out.
- 24 hours
0 of 7 were 2% or more lower; any SOON minute 8,279 of 38,511 (21.5%).
Every match has a 24-hour close.
- 72 hours
0 of 7 were 2% or more lower; any SOON minute 7,326 of 35,672 (20.5%).
Every match has a 72-hour close.
- 7 days
0 of 5 were 2% or more lower; any SOON minute 10,405 of 30,164 (34.5%).
2 without a 7-day close yet, left out.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 7 matches came on 4 of 30 days.
Readings at five times before the rise24 hours to 1 minute before · 2 other times tried
Highlights follow fixed rules, not significance tests. Proposed conditions round values or use ranges; inspect them before running.
24 hours before · 24 Sep 09:00 UTC · 10 of 88 stood out
Lower wick (15m) 0.71 or higherSweep + reclaim (15m) is bullishLiquidation bunching 0.5 or higherHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720The short descending resistance line is active 4hTouches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursThe support under the short descending resistance is fallingTouches on the resistance 3 or moreShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Lower wick · 15m feature.candle_lower_wick_15m 0.7143 ≥ 0.71 Sweep + reclaim · 15m feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_15m bullish bullish Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.5051 ≥ 0.5 how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 152 12 to 720 the short descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_short_active active_4h active_4h how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 70 12 to 720 the support under the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_support falling falling how many times price has touched the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_touches 4 ≥ 3 4 hours before · 25 Sep 05:00 UTC · 11 of 88 stood out
Order book lopsidedness 0.049 or lowerContainment (15m) is insideLiquidation bunching 0.5 or higherHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720The short descending resistance line is active 4hTouches on the broken resistance 3 or moreThe distance from price to the short descending resistance between 0 and 1Time since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursThe support under the short descending resistance is fallingTouches on the resistance 3 or moreShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance percentile feature.book_imbalance_pctrank 0.04849 ≤ 0.049 Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m inside inside Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.5051 ≥ 0.5 how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 172 12 to 720 the short descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_short_active active_4h active_4h how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 the distance from price to the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_dist_atr 0.852 0 to 1 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 90 12 to 720 the support under the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_support falling falling how many times price has touched the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_touches 4 ≥ 3 1 hour before · 25 Sep 08:00 UTC · 15 of 88 stood out
Order book lopsidedness 0.049 or lower4-hour range against usual 0.47 or lowerEngulfing (1h) is bullishSweep + reclaim (1h) is bullishLiquidation bunching 0.5 or higherHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720The short descending resistance line is active 4hTouches on the broken resistance 3 or moreThe distance from price to the short descending resistance between 0 and 1Time since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursThe support under the short descending resistance is fallingTouches on the resistance 3 or moreMinutes to funding 1 or lowerTaker buy share (15m) 0.7 or higherShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance percentile feature.book_imbalance_pctrank 0.04815 ≤ 0.049 Compression · 4h feature.candle_compression_4h 0.4654 ≤ 0.47 Engulfing · 1h feature.candle_engulfing_1h bullish bullish Sweep + reclaim · 1h feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_1h bullish bullish Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.5051 ≥ 0.5 how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 175 12 to 720 the short descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_short_active active_4h active_4h how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 the distance from price to the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_dist_atr 0.7716 0 to 1 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 93 12 to 720 the support under the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_support falling falling how many times price has touched the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_touches 4 ≥ 3 Minutes to funding feature.mins_to_funding 0 ≤ 1 Taker buy share · 15m feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m 0.709 ≥ 0.7 15 minutes before · 25 Sep 08:45 UTC · 15 of 88 stood out
Order book tilt 0.58 or higher15-minute range against usual 0.4 or lower4-hour range against usual 0.47 or lowerContainment (15m) is insideEngulfing (1h) is bullishSweep + reclaim (1h) is bullishLiquidation bunching 0.5 or higherHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720The short descending resistance line is active 4hTouches on the broken resistance 3 or moreThe distance from price to the short descending resistance between 0 and 1Time since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursThe support under the short descending resistance is fallingTouches on the resistance 3 or moreShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance 0.5893 ≥ 0.58 Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m 0.3934 ≤ 0.4 Compression · 4h feature.candle_compression_4h 0.4654 ≤ 0.47 Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m inside inside Engulfing · 1h feature.candle_engulfing_1h bullish bullish Sweep + reclaim · 1h feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_1h bullish bullish Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.5051 ≥ 0.5 how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 175.8 12 to 720 the short descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_short_active active_4h active_4h how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 the distance from price to the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_dist_atr 0.6114 0 to 1 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 93.75 12 to 720 the support under the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_support falling falling how many times price has touched the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_touches 4 ≥ 3 1 minute before · 25 Sep 08:59 UTC · 15 of 88 stood out
Order book tilt 0.71 or higher15-minute range against usual 0.4 or lower4-hour range against usual 0.47 or lowerContainment (15m) is insideEngulfing (1h) is bullishSweep + reclaim (1h) is bullishLiquidation bunching 0.5 or higherHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720The short descending resistance line is active 4hTouches on the broken resistance 3 or moreThe distance from price to the short descending resistance between 0 and 1Time since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursThe support under the short descending resistance is fallingTouches on the resistance 3 or moreShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance 0.7121 ≥ 0.71 Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m 0.3934 ≤ 0.4 Compression · 4h feature.candle_compression_4h 0.4654 ≤ 0.47 Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m inside inside Engulfing · 1h feature.candle_engulfing_1h bullish bullish Sweep + reclaim · 1h feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_1h bullish bullish Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.5051 ≥ 0.5 how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 176 12 to 720 the short descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_short_active active_4h active_4h how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 the distance from price to the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_dist_atr 0.5406 0 to 1 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 93.98 12 to 720 the support under the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_support falling falling how many times price has touched the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_touches 4 ≥ 3
Two other reading times we tried 7 and 2 matches
15 minutes before (08:45): order book tilt 0.58 or higher, 15-minute range against usual 0.4 or lower, 4-hour range against usual 0.47 or lower.
Book imbalance · top levels ≥ 0.58 and Compression · 15m ≤ 0.4 and Compression · 4h ≤ 0.47
7 matches: price was 2% or more higher after 30 minutes in 0 of 6, and 2% or more lower in 0 of 6.
Of the 7 matches, 7 came before the rise began, 0 during it and 0 after it.
1 hour before (08:00): order book lopsidedness 0.049 or lower, 4-hour range against usual 0.47 or lower, engulfing (1h) is bullish.
Book imbalance percentile ≤ 0.049 and Compression · 4h ≤ 0.47 and Engulfing · 1h bullish
2 matches: price was 2% or more higher after 30 minutes in 0 of 1, and 2% or more lower in 0 of 1.
Of the 2 matches, 2 came before the rise began, 0 during it and 0 after it.
Fewer than 30 results, so no rate is printed.
No set had 30 matches before the rise; the saved study leads with the one that had the most.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 7 matches came on 4 of 30 days.
Hourly candles around the risefull context, lead-up, move
The 09:00 start was picked after the move, and the hour before was already rising.
Hourly candles, UTC. The marked lines are the minutes the readings came from: 1 minute, 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours and 24 hours before the selected start.
Other ways to test itsame dates
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Starting defaults and coverage
Starting defaults: 2026-08-31 to 2026-09-30 UTC; finishes up 2% or more after 1 hour. Review or change the markets, dates, conditions and outcome before running. Current recorded classification and sector tags, not point-in-time membership. Historical membership may differ. Instrument history does not guarantee every setup input or outcome is present; actual study exclusions remain authoritative.