Research is a work in progress. Estimated release: 1 December 2026. Our goal is to make it a search engine for trading setups in recorded crypto markets.
Binance USDT-MUAIUSDT rose 111% on 30 August 2026
Picked after the rise, on one market.
Next stepWhat happened
Price opened the 04:00 hour at 0.2879 and reached a highest trade of 0.6062 in the 21:00 hour; the tested readings were taken at 03:45.
What stood out at 03:45
- Order book tilt0.8904Tested: 0.89 or higher
- Order book lopsidedness0.9037Tested: 0.9 or higher
- Volatility rank0.9507Tested: 0.95 or higher
03:45 always meets its own rules.
What the record says
More often than any UAI minute, in this sample
Price at least 2% higher after 30 minutes
37 matches in 43,201 minutes checked.
Picked after the rise, on one market.
Evidence
Does it hold on other dates?
Nothing runs until you press Run.
Exactly what was counted3 conditions · 37 of 43,201 minutes · saved text
- Order book tilt 0.89 or higher. Size at the best bid against the best ask; above 0 means more bids, below 0 more asks.Book imbalance · top levels ≥ 0.89 · feature.book_imbalance
- Order book lopsidedness 0.9 or higher. How lopsided the sizes at the best bid and ask were, either way, against recent readings; low means unusually even.Book imbalance percentile ≥ 0.9 · feature.book_imbalance_pctrank
- Volatility rank 0.95 or higher. How volatile the last hour was against this market's history, on a 0 to 1 scale.Realized vol percentile ≥ 0.95 · feature.realized_vol_pctrank
Read at 15 minutes before the move.
Read at 03:45 UTC on 30 August, 15 minutes before the selected 04:00 start.
UAI only, 7 August to 5 September 2026 (UTC, ending 6 September 00:00); all 3 readings had values on 43,201 of those minutes.
Reference: every UAI minute over the same dates, matches included; it is not a matched control group.
Outcome: the close exactly 30 minutes later, not the highest or lowest price along the way.
The 04:00 start was picked automatically after the move.
UAIUSDT stored readings end 2026-09-06 00:00 UTC (exclusive). Prices and tick replay have separate coverage.
The feature manifest spans the lead-up. Individual minutes or inputs can still be unavailable.
This is not a similarity search. Each count matches the exact readings above and nothing else.
Picked in hindsight: the counts include every other time these readings appeared, not just this move.
Fires often arrive as clusters of consecutive minutes, and forward windows overlap. A cluster is one episode, not many independent trials.
If these counts read weaker than the move suggested, that is the tool working: the lead-up of a picked move always looks special until it is counted everywhere else.
Saved study q#128cbe89 @ dataset efb3e60c, counted 6 Sep 2026 07:59 UTC.
Saved summary text, as written 6 Sep 2026
Written automatically when this study was saved and kept as written; where a line differs from the counts above, the counts govern.
Minutes like this appeared 37 times in the 43,201 minutes searched (<0.1%). What followed was more often higher: 29 of the 37 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward rose (78%).
After 1 hour this setup fell 2% or more in 1 of 37 complete windows (2.7%), against 10.1% with no condition (4,342 of 43,094): 0.27x.
This reports the time frame with the biggest gap from any minute, chosen after counting. At least 5 of its 37 windows overlap the rise.
Best point inside 1 hour reached +5% or more in 5 of 37 complete windows; worst point fell 5% or more in 1 of 37.
About 1.2 a day, on 23 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
It counts the single minute on 6 September as a day.
The other reading times, as written
From 1 minute before
Minutes like this appeared only 5 times in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed was more often higher: 3 of the 5 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward rose (60%).
3 rose and 2 fell over 5 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
About 0.2 a day, on 5 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
From 1 hour before
Minutes like this appeared only 1 time in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed was more often lower: 1 of the 1 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward fell (100%).
0 rose and 1 fell over 1 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
About 0 a day over 31 days, but 2026-08-29 alone holds 100% of them: this is close to a single episode.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 37 matches came on 23 of 30 days, 5 during the rise.
When the matches happened23 of 30 days
- 7 Aug2 matches
- 8 Aug1 match
- 9 Aug2 matches
- 10 Aug3 matches
- 11 Aug2 matches
- 12 Aug1 match
- 13 Aug1 match
- 14 Aug1 match
- 15 Aug2 matches
- 16 Aug1 match
- 18 Aug1 match
- 19 Aug1 match
- 20 Aug1 match
- 21 Aug2 matches
- 22 Aug1 match
- 23 Aug1 match
- 24 Aug2 matches
- 27 Aug1 match
- 28 Aug2 matches
- 29 Aug1 match
- 30 Aug3 matches
- 31 Aug3 matches
- 3 Sep2 matches
No matches on the other 7 days.
Of the 37 matches, 30 came before the rise began, 5 during it and 2 after it.
Neighbouring minutes overlap, so these are not 37 separate trials.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 37 matches came on 23 of 30 days, 5 during the rise.
Other time frames30 minutes to 7 days
The answer uses 30 minutes, the time frame this study counted by default. Each row counts the same matches at a later close, in both directions. The bars show how often price was 2% or more higher at each time frame: first the matches, then any UAI minute.
- 30 minutes
1 of 37 (2.7%) was 2% or more lower; any UAI minute 2,389 of 43,123 (5.5%).
Every match has a 30-minute close.
At least 5 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 1 hour
1 of 37 (2.7%) was 2% or more lower; any UAI minute 4,342 of 43,094 (10.1%).
Every match has a 1-hour close.
At least 5 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 4 hours
7 of 37 (18.9%) were 2% or more lower; any UAI minute 8,576 of 42,913 (20.0%).
Every match has a 4-hour close.
At least 5 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 24 hours
8 of 37 (21.6%) were 2% or more lower; any UAI minute 11,982 of 41,713 (28.7%).
Every match has a 24-hour close.
At least 5 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 72 hours
10 of 35 (28.6%) were 2% or more lower; any UAI minute 12,352 of 38,833 (31.8%).
2 without a 72-hour close yet, left out.
At least 8 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 7 days
1 of 29 was 2% or more lower; any UAI minute 2,520 of 33,080 (7.6%).
8 without a 7-day close yet, left out.
At least 6 of these windows overlap the rise.
The saved summary picked, after counting, the time frame with the biggest gap from any minute: 1 hour.
After 1 hour this setup fell 2% or more in 1 of 37 complete windows (2.7%), against 10.1% with no condition (4,342 of 43,094): 0.27x.
At least 5 of those windows ran through the rise itself, so it partly counts the rise as an outcome.
Along the way (the highest and lowest price inside 1 hour, not the close):
Best point inside 1 hour reached +5% or more in 5 of 37 complete windows; worst point fell 5% or more in 1 of 37.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 37 matches came on 23 of 30 days, 5 during the rise.
Readings at five times before the rise24 hours to 1 minute before · 2 other times tried
Highlights follow fixed rules, not significance tests. Proposed conditions round values or use ranges; inspect them before running.
24 hours before · 29 Aug 04:00 UTC · 9 of 58 stood out
Order book tilt -0.64 or lower4-hour range against usual 0.45 or lowerContainment (15m) is outsideLiquidation bunching 0.53 or higherThe short descending resistance line is active 4hTouches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursThe support under the short descending resistance is risingTouches on the resistance 3 or moreShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance -0.6405 ≤ -0.64 the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_4h 0.4427 ≤ 0.45 Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m outside outside Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.531 ≥ 0.53 the short descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_short_active active_4h active_4h how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 45 12 to 720 the support under the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_support rising rising how many times price has touched the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_touches 3 ≥ 3 4 hours before · 30 Aug 00:00 UTC · 14 of 58 stood out
1-hour range against usual 0.4 or lowerContainment (15m) is outsideLiquidation bunching 0.53 or higherThe descending resistance line is active 4hThe short descending resistance line is active 4hTouches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursThe support under the short descending resistance is risingTouches on the resistance 3 or moreThe support under the descending resistance is risingHow many times price has touched the descending resistance 3 or higherMinutes to funding 1 or lowerTaker buy share (15m) 0.34 or lowerDistance from the day's average price 0.032 or higherShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_1h 0.3979 ≤ 0.4 Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m outside outside Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.5319 ≥ 0.53 the descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_active active_4h active_4h the short descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_short_active active_4h active_4h how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 65 12 to 720 the support under the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_support rising rising how many times price has touched the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_touches 4 ≥ 3 the support under the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_support rising rising how many times price has touched the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_touches 4 ≥ 3 Minutes to funding feature.mins_to_funding 0 ≤ 1 Taker buy share · 15m feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m 0.3333 ≤ 0.34 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist 0.03241 ≥ 0.032 1 hour before · 30 Aug 03:00 UTC · 9 of 58 stood out
Liquidation bunching 0.53 or higherThe descending resistance line is active 4hThe short descending resistance line is active 4hTouches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursThe support under the short descending resistance is risingTouches on the resistance 3 or moreThe support under the descending resistance is risingHow many times price has touched the descending resistance 3 or higherShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.5321 ≥ 0.53 the descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_active active_4h active_4h the short descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_short_active active_4h active_4h how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 68 12 to 720 the support under the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_support rising rising how many times price has touched the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_touches 4 ≥ 3 the support under the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_support rising rising how many times price has touched the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_touches 4 ≥ 3 15 minutes before · 30 Aug 03:45 UTC · 15 of 58 stood out
Order book tilt 0.89 or higherOrder book lopsidedness 0.9 or higher15-minute range against usual 5.7 or higherContainment (15m) is outsideLiquidation bunching 0.53 or higherThe descending resistance line is active 4hThe short descending resistance line is active 4hTouches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursThe support under the short descending resistance is risingTouches on the resistance 3 or moreThe support under the descending resistance is risingHow many times price has touched the descending resistance 3 or higherVolatility rank 0.95 or higher15-minute price change 0.028 or higherShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance 0.8904 ≥ 0.89 Book imbalance percentile feature.book_imbalance_pctrank 0.9037 ≥ 0.9 Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m 5.704 ≥ 5.7 Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m outside outside Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.5321 ≥ 0.53 the descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_active active_4h active_4h the short descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_short_active active_4h active_4h how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 68.75 12 to 720 the support under the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_support rising rising how many times price has touched the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_touches 4 ≥ 3 the support under the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_support rising rising how many times price has touched the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_touches 4 ≥ 3 Realized vol percentile feature.realized_vol_pctrank 0.9507 ≥ 0.95 Return · 15m feature.ret_15m 0.0281 ≥ 0.028 1 minute before · 30 Aug 03:59 UTC · 14 of 58 stood out
Order book lopsidedness 0.082 or lower15-minute range against usual 5.7 or higherContainment (15m) is outsideLiquidation bunching 0.53 or higherThe descending resistance line is active 4hThe short descending resistance line is active 4hTouches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursThe support under the short descending resistance is risingTouches on the resistance 3 or moreThe support under the descending resistance is risingHow many times price has touched the descending resistance 3 or higherVolatility rank 0.97 or higher1-hour price change 0.023 or higherShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance percentile feature.book_imbalance_pctrank 0.08147 ≤ 0.082 Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m 5.704 ≥ 5.7 Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m outside outside Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.5321 ≥ 0.53 the descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_active active_4h active_4h the short descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_short_active active_4h active_4h how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 68.98 12 to 720 the support under the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_support rising rising how many times price has touched the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_touches 4 ≥ 3 the support under the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_support rising rising how many times price has touched the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_touches 4 ≥ 3 Realized vol percentile feature.realized_vol_pctrank 0.9703 ≥ 0.97 Return · 1h feature.ret_1h 0.02314 ≥ 0.023
Two other reading times we tried 5 and 1 matches
1 minute before (03:59): order book lopsidedness 0.082 or lower, 15-minute range against usual 5.7 or higher, volatility rank 0.97 or higher.
Book imbalance percentile ≤ 0.082 and Compression · 15m ≥ 5.7 and Realized vol percentile ≥ 0.97
5 matches: price was 2% or more higher after 30 minutes in 2 of 5, and 2% or more lower in 0 of 5.
Of the 5 matches, 2 came before the rise began, 2 during it and 1 after it.
1 hour before (03:00): liquidation bunching 0.53 or higher, the descending resistance line is active 4h, the short descending resistance line is active 4h.
Cascade clustering ≥ 0.53 and the descending resistance line active_4h and the short descending resistance line active_4h
1 match: price was 2% or more higher after 30 minutes in 0 of 1, and 2% or more lower in 0 of 1.
Of the 1 match, 1 came before the rise began, 0 during it and 0 after it.
Fewer than 30 results, so no rate is printed.
The saved study leads with 03:45 because it is the only set with at least 30 matches before the rise.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 37 matches came on 23 of 30 days, 5 during the rise.
Hourly candles around the risefull context, lead-up, move
The 04:00 start was picked after the move, and the hour before was already rising.
Hourly candles, UTC. The marked lines are the minutes the readings came from: 1 minute, 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours and 24 hours before the selected start.
Other ways to test itsame dates
- This market only
- The 71 sector alpha markets · No result for these markets has been measured.
- Every recorded market
Same 3 conditions on UAI, 8 July to 6 August 2026.
Each opens Review the test.
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