Binance USDT-MUAIUSDT rose 59% on 1 September 2026
Picked after the rise, on one market.
Next stepWhat happened
Price opened the 07:00 hour at 0.3821 and reached a highest trade of 0.6062 in the 21:00 hour; the tested readings were taken at 06:00.
What stood out at 06:00
- Order book lopsidedness0.9203Tested: 0.92 or higher
- Containment (15m)insideTested: is inside
- Lower wick (15m)0.6296Tested: 0.62 or higher
06:00 always meets its own rules.
What the record says
Less often than any UAI minute, in this sample
Price at least 2% higher after 30 minutes
38 matches in 43,201 minutes checked.
Picked after the rise, on one market.
Evidence
Does it hold on other dates?
Nothing runs until you press Run.
Exactly what was counted3 conditions · 38 of 43,201 minutes · saved text
- Order book lopsidedness 0.92 or higher. How lopsided the sizes at the best bid and ask were, either way, against recent readings; low means unusually even.Book imbalance percentile ≥ 0.92 · feature.book_imbalance_pctrank
- Containment (15m) is inside.Containment · 15m inside · feature.candle_containment_15m
- Lower wick (15m) 0.62 or higher.Lower wick · 15m ≥ 0.62 · feature.candle_lower_wick_15m
Read at 1 hour before the move.
Read at 06:00 UTC on 1 September, one hour before the selected 07:00 start.
UAI only, 9 August to 7 September 2026 (UTC, ending 8 September 00:00); all 3 readings had values on 43,201 of those minutes.
Reference: every UAI minute over the same dates, matches included; it is not a matched control group.
Outcome: the close exactly 30 minutes later, not the highest or lowest price along the way.
The 07:00 start was picked automatically after the move.
UAIUSDT stored readings end 2026-09-08 00:00 UTC (exclusive). Prices and tick replay have separate coverage.
The feature manifest spans the lead-up. Individual minutes or inputs can still be unavailable.
This is not a similarity search. Each count matches the exact readings above and nothing else.
Picked in hindsight: the counts include every other time these readings appeared, not just this move.
Fires often arrive as clusters of consecutive minutes, and forward windows overlap. A cluster is one episode, not many independent trials.
If these counts read weaker than the move suggested, that is the tool working: the lead-up of a picked move always looks special until it is counted everywhere else.
Saved study q#176c83be @ dataset cbaead34, counted 8 Sep 2026 08:28 UTC.
Saved summary text, as written 8 Sep 2026
Written automatically when this study was saved and kept as written; where a line differs from the counts above, the counts govern.
Minutes like this appeared 38 times in the 43,201 minutes searched (<0.1%). What followed was close to a coin flip: 19 rose and 19 fell over the next 30 minutes (38 of the 38 matches have a complete 30 minutes forward).
After 7 days this setup fell 2% or more in 1 of 32 complete windows (3.1%), against 7.0% with no condition (2,326 of 33,088): 0.44x.
This reports the time frame with the biggest gap from any minute, chosen after counting. At least 9 of its 32 windows overlap the rise.
Best point inside 7 days reached +5% or more in 31 of 32 complete windows; worst point fell 5% or more in 25 of 32.
At least 24 windows did both.
About 1.2 a day, on 20 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
It counts the single minute on 8 September as a day.
The other reading times, as written
From 1 minute before
Minutes like this appeared only 5 times in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed was more often higher: 3 of the 5 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward rose (60%).
3 rose and 2 fell over 5 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
About 0.2 a day, on 5 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
From 15 minutes before
Minutes like this appeared only 23 times in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed was more often higher: 16 of the 23 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward rose (70%).
16 rose and 7 fell over 23 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
About 0.7 a day, on 15 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 38 matches came on 20 of 30 days.
When the matches happened20 of 30 days
- 11 Aug3 matches
- 13 Aug2 matches
- 14 Aug1 match
- 15 Aug1 match
- 16 Aug2 matches
- 19 Aug2 matches
- 20 Aug1 match
- 21 Aug1 match
- 22 Aug4 matches
- 23 Aug1 match
- 24 Aug2 matches
- 25 Aug3 matches
- 26 Aug1 match
- 27 Aug3 matches
- 28 Aug2 matches
- 29 Aug2 matches
- 31 Aug1 match
- 1 Sep1 match
- 2 Sep2 matches
- 4 Sep3 matches
No matches on the other 10 days.
Of the 38 matches, 33 came before the rise began, 0 during it and 5 after it.
Neighbouring minutes overlap, so these are not 38 separate trials.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 38 matches came on 20 of 30 days.
Other time frames30 minutes to 7 days
The answer uses 30 minutes, the time frame this study counted by default. Each row counts the same matches at a later close, in both directions. The bars show how often price was 2% or more higher at each time frame: first the matches, then any UAI minute.
- 30 minutes
2 of 38 (5.3%) were 2% or more lower; any UAI minute 2,701 of 43,123 (6.3%).
Every match has a 30-minute close.
- 1 hour
5 of 38 (13.2%) were 2% or more lower; any UAI minute 4,544 of 43,094 (10.5%).
Every match has a 1-hour close.
- 4 hours
10 of 38 (26.3%) were 2% or more lower; any UAI minute 8,562 of 42,913 (20.0%).
Every match has a 4-hour close.
- 24 hours
16 of 38 (42.1%) were 2% or more lower; any UAI minute 10,693 of 41,713 (25.6%).
Every match has a 24-hour close.
At least 1 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 72 hours
16 of 38 (42.1%) were 2% or more lower; any UAI minute 11,821 of 38,834 (30.4%).
Every match has a 72-hour close.
At least 2 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 7 days
1 of 32 (3.1%) was 2% or more lower; any UAI minute 2,326 of 33,088 (7.0%).
6 without a 7-day close yet, left out.
At least 9 of these windows overlap the rise.
The saved summary picked, after counting, the time frame with the biggest gap from any minute: 7 days.
After 7 days this setup fell 2% or more in 1 of 32 complete windows (3.1%), against 7.0% with no condition (2,326 of 33,088): 0.44x.
Only 32 of the 38 matches have a 7-day close, all from 11 to 31 August, and at least 9 of those windows ran through the rise itself, so it partly counts the rise as an outcome.
Along the way (the highest and lowest price inside 7 days, not the close):
Best point inside 7 days reached +5% or more in 31 of 32 complete windows; worst point fell 5% or more in 25 of 32.
At least 24 windows did both, so this describes a very jumpy stretch, not a direction.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 38 matches came on 20 of 30 days.
Readings at five times before the rise24 hours to 1 minute before · 2 other times tried
Highlights follow fixed rules, not significance tests. Proposed conditions round values or use ranges; inspect them before running.
24 hours before · 31 Aug 07:00 UTC · 9 of 58 stood out
Order book tilt 0.59 or higherContainment (15m) is insideHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720Touches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursVolatility rank 0.94 or higher1-hour price change 0.026 or higherDistance from the day's average price 0.04 or higherShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance 0.591 ≥ 0.59 Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m inside inside how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 25 12 to 720 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 25 12 to 720 Realized vol percentile feature.realized_vol_pctrank 0.9409 ≥ 0.94 Return · 1h feature.ret_1h 0.0261 ≥ 0.026 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist 0.04077 ≥ 0.04 4 hours before · 1 Sep 03:00 UTC · 10 of 58 stood out
15-minute range against usual 0.26 or lower4-hour range against usual 0.26 or lowerLiquidation bunching 0.51 or higherHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720The short descending resistance line is active 4hTouches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursThe support under the short descending resistance is risingTouches on the resistance 3 or moreShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m 0.2513 ≤ 0.26 the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_4h 0.2584 ≤ 0.26 Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.5115 ≥ 0.51 how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 45 12 to 720 the short descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_short_active active_4h active_4h how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 45 12 to 720 the support under the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_support rising rising how many times price has touched the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_touches 3 ≥ 3 1 hour before · 1 Sep 06:00 UTC · 13 of 58 stood out
Order book lopsidedness 0.92 or higherContainment (15m) is insideLower wick (15m) 0.62 or higherLiquidation bunching 0.52 or higherHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720The short descending resistance line is active 4hTouches on the broken resistance 3 or moreThe distance from price to the short descending resistance between 0 and 1Time since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursThe support under the short descending resistance is risingTouches on the resistance 3 or moreTaker buy share (15m) 0.68 or higherShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance percentile feature.book_imbalance_pctrank 0.9203 ≥ 0.92 Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m inside inside Lower wick · 15m feature.candle_lower_wick_15m 0.6296 ≥ 0.62 Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.5282 ≥ 0.52 how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 48 12 to 720 the short descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_short_active active_4h active_4h how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 the distance from price to the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_dist_atr 0.9163 0 to 1 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 48 12 to 720 the support under the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_support rising rising how many times price has touched the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_touches 3 ≥ 3 Taker buy share · 15m feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m 0.6888 ≥ 0.68 15 minutes before · 1 Sep 06:45 UTC · 12 of 58 stood out
Order book tilt -0.72 or lower15-minute range against usual 0.32 or lowerContainment (15m) is insideLiquidation bunching 0.53 or higherHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720The short descending resistance line is active 4hTouches on the broken resistance 3 or moreThe distance from price to the short descending resistance between 0 and 1Time since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursThe support under the short descending resistance is risingTouches on the resistance 3 or moreShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance -0.724 ≤ -0.72 Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m 0.3173 ≤ 0.32 Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m inside inside Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.5311 ≥ 0.53 how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 48.75 12 to 720 the short descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_short_active active_4h active_4h how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 the distance from price to the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_dist_atr 0.9018 0 to 1 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 48.75 12 to 720 the support under the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_support rising rising how many times price has touched the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_touches 3 ≥ 3 1 minute before · 1 Sep 06:59 UTC · 11 of 58 stood out
15-minute range against usual 0.32 or lowerContainment (15m) is insideLiquidation bunching 0.53 or higherHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720The short descending resistance line is active 4hTouches on the broken resistance 3 or moreThe distance from price to the short descending resistance between 0 and 1Time since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursThe support under the short descending resistance is risingTouches on the resistance 3 or moreShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m 0.3173 ≤ 0.32 Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m inside inside Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.5311 ≥ 0.53 how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 48.98 12 to 720 the short descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_short_active active_4h active_4h how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 the distance from price to the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_dist_atr 0.956 0 to 1 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 48.98 12 to 720 the support under the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_support rising rising how many times price has touched the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_touches 3 ≥ 3
Two other reading times we tried 5 and 23 matches
1 minute before (06:59): 15-minute range against usual 0.32 or lower, containment (15m) is inside, liquidation bunching 0.53 or higher.
Compression · 15m ≤ 0.32 and Containment · 15m inside and Cascade clustering ≥ 0.53
5 matches: price was 2% or more higher after 30 minutes in 0 of 5, and 2% or more lower in 0 of 5.
Of the 5 matches, 2 came before the rise began, 0 during it and 3 after it.
15 minutes before (06:45): order book tilt -0.72 or lower, 15-minute range against usual 0.32 or lower, containment (15m) is inside.
Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.72 and Compression · 15m ≤ 0.32 and Containment · 15m inside
23 matches: price was 2% or more higher after 30 minutes in 2 of 23, and 2% or more lower in 0 of 23.
Of the 23 matches, 15 came before the rise began, 0 during it and 8 after it.
Fewer than 30 results, so no rate is printed.
The saved study leads with 06:00 because it is the only set with at least 30 matches before the rise.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 38 matches came on 20 of 30 days.
Hourly candles around the risefull context, lead-up, move
The 07:00 start was picked after the move.
Hourly candles, UTC. The marked lines are the minutes the readings came from: 1 minute, 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours and 24 hours before the selected start.
Other ways to test itsame dates
- This market only
- The 71 sector alpha markets · No result for these markets has been measured.
- Every recorded market
Same 3 conditions on UAI, 10 July to 8 August 2026.
Each opens Review the test.
Running needs a free account and uses your allowance; you see the cost first.