Binance USDT-MUAIUSDT rose 61% on 31 August 2026
Picked after the rise, on one market.
Next stepWhat happened
Price opened the 05:00 hour at 0.3766 and reached a highest trade of 0.6062 in the 21:00 hour; the tested readings were taken at 04:59.
What stood out at 04:59
- Sweep + reclaim (15m)bullishTested: is bullish
- How many times the broken descending resistance had been tested4Tested: 3 or higher
- How long ago the descending resistance broke22.98Tested: between 12 and 720
04:59 always meets its own rules.
What the record says
Less often than any UAI minute, in this sample
Price at least 2% higher after 30 minutes
111 matches in 40,682 minutes checked.
Picked after the rise, on one market.
Evidence
Does it hold on other dates?
Nothing runs until you press Run.
Exactly what was counted3 conditions · 111 of 40,682 minutes · saved text
- Sweep + reclaim (15m) is bullish.Sweep + reclaim · 15m bullish · feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_15m
- How many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higher.how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3 · feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches
- How long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720.how long ago the descending resistance broke 12 to 720 · feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break
Read at 1 minute before the move.
Read at 04:59 UTC on 31 August, one minute before the selected 05:00 start.
UAI only, 8 August to 6 September 2026 (UTC, ending 7 September 00:00); all 3 readings had values on 40,682 of those minutes.
Reference: every UAI minute over the same dates, matches included; it is not a matched control group.
Outcome: the close exactly 30 minutes later, not the highest or lowest price along the way.
The 05:00 start was picked automatically after the move.
UAIUSDT stored readings end 2026-09-07 00:00 UTC (exclusive). Prices and tick replay have separate coverage.
The feature manifest spans the lead-up. Individual minutes or inputs can still be unavailable.
This is not a similarity search. Each count matches the exact readings above and nothing else.
Picked in hindsight: the counts include every other time these readings appeared, not just this move.
Fires often arrive as clusters of consecutive minutes, and forward windows overlap. A cluster is one episode, not many independent trials.
If these counts read weaker than the move suggested, that is the tool working: the lead-up of a picked move always looks special until it is counted everywhere else.
Saved study q#188b68ac @ dataset c5654b7b, counted 7 Sep 2026 08:34 UTC.
Saved summary text, as written 7 Sep 2026
Written automatically when this study was saved and kept as written; where a line differs from the counts above, the counts govern.
Minutes like this appeared 111 times in the 40,682 minutes searched (0.3%). What followed was close to a coin flip: 59 rose and 52 fell over the next 30 minutes (111 of the 111 matches have a complete 30 minutes forward).
After 1 hour this setup rose 2% or more in 6 of 111 complete windows (5.4%), against 13.3% with no condition (5,752 of 43,094): 0.40x.
This reports the time frame with the biggest gap from any minute, chosen after counting. At least 4 of its 111 windows overlap the rise.
Best point inside 1 hour reached +5% or more in 7 of 111 complete windows; worst point fell 5% or more in 9 of 111.
About 3.6 a day, on 29 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
It counts the single minute on 7 September as a day.
The other reading times, as written
From 15 minutes before
Minutes like this appeared 32 times in the 43,167 minutes searched (<0.1%). What followed was more often lower: 21 of the 32 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward fell (66%).
After 30 minutes this setup rose 2% or more in 1 of 32 complete windows (3.1%), against 8.2% with no condition (3,526 of 43,123): 0.38x.
About 1 a day, on 18 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
From 1 hour before
Minutes like this appeared only 6 times in the 43,167 minutes searched. What followed was more often lower: 4 of the 6 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward fell (67%).
2 rose and 4 fell over 6 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
About 0.2 a day, on 6 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 111 matches came on 29 of 30 days, 4 during the rise.
When the matches happened29 of 30 days
- 8 Aug4 matches
- 9 Aug2 matches
- 10 Aug3 matches
- 11 Aug3 matches
- 12 Aug2 matches
- 13 Aug6 matches
- 14 Aug5 matches
- 15 Aug6 matches
- 16 Aug5 matches
- 17 Aug6 matches
- 18 Aug3 matches
- 19 Aug2 matches
- 20 Aug7 matches
- 21 Aug1 match
- 22 Aug1 match
- 23 Aug2 matches
- 24 Aug4 matches
- 25 Aug8 matches
- 26 Aug3 matches
- 27 Aug5 matches
- 28 Aug6 matches
- 30 Aug1 match
- 31 Aug4 matches
- 1 Sep1 match
- 2 Sep4 matches
- 3 Sep6 matches
- 4 Sep2 matches
- 5 Sep4 matches
- 6 Sep5 matches
No matches on the other 1 day.
Of the 111 matches, 86 came before the rise began, 4 during it and 21 after it.
Neighbouring minutes overlap, so these are not 111 separate trials.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 111 matches came on 29 of 30 days, 4 during the rise.
Other time frames30 minutes to 7 days
The answer uses 30 minutes, the time frame this study counted by default. Each row counts the same matches at a later close, in both directions. The bars show how often price was 2% or more higher at each time frame: first the matches, then any UAI minute.
- 30 minutes
14 of 111 (12.6%) were 2% or more lower; any UAI minute 2,524 of 43,123 (5.9%).
Every match has a 30-minute close.
At least 4 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 1 hour
12 of 111 (10.8%) were 2% or more lower; any UAI minute 4,368 of 43,094 (10.1%).
Every match has a 1-hour close.
At least 4 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 4 hours
19 of 109 (17.4%) were 2% or more lower; any UAI minute 8,600 of 42,913 (20.0%).
2 without a 4-hour close yet, left out.
At least 4 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 24 hours
29 of 106 (27.4%) were 2% or more lower; any UAI minute 11,500 of 41,713 (27.6%).
5 without a 24-hour close yet, left out.
At least 4 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 72 hours
25 of 100 (25.0%) were 2% or more lower; any UAI minute 11,821 of 38,833 (30.4%).
11 without a 72-hour close yet, left out.
At least 5 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 7 days
7 of 84 (8.3%) were 2% or more lower; any UAI minute 2,326 of 33,085 (7.0%).
27 without a 7-day close yet, left out.
At least 23 of these windows overlap the rise.
The saved summary picked, after counting, the time frame with the biggest gap from any minute: 1 hour.
After 1 hour this setup rose 2% or more in 6 of 111 complete windows (5.4%), against 13.3% with no condition (5,752 of 43,094): 0.40x.
At least 4 of those windows ran through the rise itself, so it partly counts the rise as an outcome.
Along the way (the highest and lowest price inside 1 hour, not the close):
Best point inside 1 hour reached +5% or more in 7 of 111 complete windows; worst point fell 5% or more in 9 of 111.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 111 matches came on 29 of 30 days, 4 during the rise.
Readings at five times before the rise24 hours to 1 minute before · 2 other times tried
Highlights follow fixed rules, not significance tests. Proposed conditions round values or use ranges; inspect them before running.
24 hours before · 30 Aug 05:00 UTC · 19 of 58 stood out
Order book tilt -0.54 or lowerOrder book lopsidedness 0.072 or lower1-hour range against usual 2.6 or higherContainment (15m) is insideLiquidation bunching 0.53 or higherThe descending resistance line is active 4hThe distance from price to the descending resistance between 0 and 1The short descending resistance line is active 4hTouches on the broken resistance 3 or moreThe distance from price to the short descending resistance between 0 and 1Time since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursThe support under the short descending resistance is risingTouches on the resistance 3 or moreThe support under the descending resistance is risingHow many times price has touched the descending resistance 3 or higherVolatility rank 0.96 or higher15-minute price change 0.023 or higher1-hour price change 0.064 or higherDistance from the day's average price 0.038 or higherShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance -0.5492 ≤ -0.54 Book imbalance percentile feature.book_imbalance_pctrank 0.07193 ≤ 0.072 the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_1h 2.663 ≥ 2.6 Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m inside inside Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.533 ≥ 0.53 the descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_active active_4h active_4h the distance from price to the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_dist_atr 0.2615 0 to 1 the short descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_short_active active_4h active_4h how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 the distance from price to the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_dist_atr 0.2615 0 to 1 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 70 12 to 720 the support under the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_support rising rising how many times price has touched the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_touches 4 ≥ 3 the support under the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_support rising rising how many times price has touched the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_touches 4 ≥ 3 Realized vol percentile feature.realized_vol_pctrank 0.9686 ≥ 0.96 Return · 15m feature.ret_15m 0.02371 ≥ 0.023 Return · 1h feature.ret_1h 0.06461 ≥ 0.064 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist 0.03861 ≥ 0.038 4 hours before · 31 Aug 01:00 UTC · 7 of 58 stood out
Order book tilt -0.79 or lower15-minute range against usual 0.48 or lower4-hour range against usual 3.6 or higherHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720Touches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance -0.7945 ≤ -0.79 Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m 0.4756 ≤ 0.48 the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_4h 3.626 ≥ 3.6 how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 19 12 to 720 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 19 12 to 720 1 hour before · 31 Aug 04:00 UTC · 10 of 58 stood out
15-minute range against usual 3.5 or higherContainment (15m) is outsideHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720Touches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursOpen interest change rank 0.98 or higher15-minute price change -0.033 or lower1-hour price change -0.021 or lowerDistance from the day's average price -0.022 or lowerShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m 3.504 ≥ 3.5 Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m outside outside how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 22 12 to 720 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 22 12 to 720 OI velocity percentile feature.oi_velocity_pctrank 0.988 ≥ 0.98 Return · 15m feature.ret_15m -0.03332 ≤ -0.033 Return · 1h feature.ret_1h -0.02112 ≤ -0.021 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist -0.02248 ≤ -0.022 15 minutes before · 31 Aug 04:45 UTC · 10 of 58 stood out
Order book tilt -0.65 or lowerSweep + reclaim (15m) is bullishHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720Touches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursOpen interest change rank 0.91 or higher15-minute price change -0.015 or lower1-hour price change -0.034 or lowerDistance from the day's average price -0.021 or lowerShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance -0.6503 ≤ -0.65 Sweep + reclaim · 15m feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_15m bullish bullish how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 22.75 12 to 720 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 22.75 12 to 720 OI velocity percentile feature.oi_velocity_pctrank 0.9119 ≥ 0.91 Return · 15m feature.ret_15m -0.01582 ≤ -0.015 Return · 1h feature.ret_1h -0.0346 ≤ -0.034 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist -0.02138 ≤ -0.021 1 minute before · 31 Aug 04:59 UTC · 7 of 58 stood out
Sweep + reclaim (15m) is bullishHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720Touches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hours15-minute price change -0.012 or lowerDistance from the day's average price -0.034 or lowerShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Sweep + reclaim · 15m feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_15m bullish bullish how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 22.98 12 to 720 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 22.98 12 to 720 Return · 15m feature.ret_15m -0.01215 ≤ -0.012 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist -0.03412 ≤ -0.034
Two other reading times we tried 32 and 6 matches
15 minutes before (04:45): order book tilt -0.65 or lower, sweep + reclaim (15m) is bullish, open interest change rank 0.91 or higher.
Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.65 and Sweep + reclaim · 15m bullish and OI velocity percentile ≥ 0.91
32 matches: price was 2% or more higher after 30 minutes in 1 of 32 (3.1%), and 2% or more lower in 4 of 32 (12.5%).
Of the 32 matches, 23 came before the rise began, 1 during it and 8 after it.
1 hour before (04:00): 15-minute range against usual 3.5 or higher, containment (15m) is outside, open interest change rank 0.98 or higher.
Compression · 15m ≥ 3.5 and Containment · 15m outside and OI velocity percentile ≥ 0.98
6 matches: price was 2% or more higher after 30 minutes in 1 of 6, and 2% or more lower in 2 of 6.
Of the 6 matches, 4 came before the rise began, 1 during it and 1 after it.
Rows with fewer than 30 results print counts only.
The saved study leads with 04:59 because it is the only set with at least 30 matches before the rise.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 111 matches came on 29 of 30 days, 4 during the rise.
Hourly candles around the risefull context, lead-up, move
The 05:00 start was picked after the move.
Hourly candles, UTC. The marked lines are the minutes the readings came from: 1 minute, 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours and 24 hours before the selected start.
Other ways to test itsame dates
- This market only
- The 71 sector alpha markets · No result for these markets has been measured.
- Every recorded market
Same 3 conditions on UAI, 9 July to 7 August 2026.
Each opens Review the test.
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