UAIUSDT rose into Sep 1
+61%
Counted on 2026-09-07, against a record covering to 2026-09-07 00:00 UTC. These numbers are frozen: this page will always say what it said the day it was written.
This move is in the event archive as a volatility spike on 2026-08-31. Open the archived event
Exact setup countedSweep + reclaim · 15m bullish and how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3 and how long ago the descending resistance broke 12 to 720 · Read at 1 minute before the move.
After 1 hour this setup rose 2% or more in 6 of 111 complete windows (5.4%), against 13.3% with no condition (5,752 of 43,094): 0.40x.
Best point inside 1 hour reached +5% or more in 7 of 111 complete windows; worst point fell 5% or more in 9 of 111.
Counts above cover this market only. Suggested starting scope: 71 sector alpha markets. Sector counts have not been computed here. This market only · Every recorded market
Watch the ignition replay Free replay covers the latest fully archived UTC day on 6 major markets. Pro reaches 90 days; Research reaches the whole recorded order book, which begins 15 May 2026. Earlier days are searchable but hold no book, so they cannot be replayed. Access is checked when you open a replay.
Evidence and counting
Read at 1 minute before the move.
Of the 111 fires, 86 came before the move began and 4 happened while it was already under way. A fire during the move sees it; it does not telegraph it.
About 3.6 a day, on 29 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
This is not a similarity search. Each count matches the exact readings above and nothing else.
Picked in hindsight: the counts include every other time these readings appeared, not just this move.
Fires often arrive as clusters of consecutive minutes, and forward windows overlap. A cluster is one episode, not many independent trials.
If these counts read weaker than the move suggested, that is the tool working: the lead-up of a picked move always looks special until it is counted everywhere else.
Explore the move and its lead-up
Hourly candles. The marked lines are the minutes the readings came from: 1 minute, 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours and 24 hours before the selected start. These five samples test the lead-up only, not the full move. Use the minute inspector to explore during or after the move.
Explore historical state
Current-minute reads are free after sign-in. Pro and Research include historical-minute inspection and comparison with an hour earlier.
Past readings use stored inputs where available. Recent minutes may use the live buffer and are labelled unpinned. Missing minutes remain visible.
Read the available analytical inputs at one minute, including measurements over the preceding windows. Compare with an hour earlier, then take a reading into Research to test it. Dates are UTC.
These additional reads are separate from the five pre-start samples. Observations during or after the selected move describe what had already happened; they are not advance evidence.
Selected time: 2026-08-31 05:00 UTC. During the selected move: hindsight. Choose Read this minute to request it. Missing minutes remain unavailable.
Follow positioning and flow through the move
Read 19 sampled minutes from the selected start through one hour after the selected end. The peak hour has extra 15-minute samples. The end marks the peak hour, not the exact peak tick. These are separate snapshots, not a continuous tape or an advance-warning test.
Historical access applies. Reads preserve each source revision; missing values stay unavailable. Contract OI, turnover and direct spot basis are not supplied by this table. Published premium is a different measure from direct basis.
No additional reads have run.
The OI score measures absolute USD-notional change, not signed contract growth. Zero 15-second liquidation intensity can coexist with substantial hourly liquidations. Binance liquidation amounts are observed publications, not complete venue totals.
Pre-start evidence: five separate snapshots
Highlighted readings and exact search conditions
Highlighted readings meet fixed rules, not a statistical-significance test. The observed value and proposed search condition are different: a condition rounds a value or selects an interval for a repeatable search.
- -24h2026-08-30 05:00 UTC
At 24 hours before the move, 19 of the 58 readings met a highlight rule.
Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.54Book imbalance percentile ≤ 0.072the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline ≥ 2.6Containment · 15m insideCascade clustering ≥ 0.53the descending resistance line active_4hthe distance from price to the descending resistance 0 to 1the short descending resistance line active_4hhow many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3the distance from price to the short descending resistance 0 to 1how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720the support under the short descending resistance risinghow many times price has touched the short descending resistance ≥ 3the support under the descending resistance risinghow many times price has touched the descending resistance ≥ 3Realized vol percentile ≥ 0.96Return · 15m ≥ 0.023Return · 1h ≥ 0.064VWAP distance · day ≥ 0.038Show the full readings
READING BEFORE THE MOVE SEARCHES FOR Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance -0.5492 ≤ -0.54 Book imbalance percentile feature.book_imbalance_pctrank 0.07193 ≤ 0.072 the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_1h 2.663 ≥ 2.6 Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m inside inside Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.533 ≥ 0.53 the descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_active active_4h active_4h the distance from price to the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_dist_atr 0.2615 0 to 1 the short descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_short_active active_4h active_4h how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 the distance from price to the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_dist_atr 0.2615 0 to 1 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 70 12 to 720 the support under the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_support rising rising how many times price has touched the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_touches 4 ≥ 3 the support under the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_support rising rising how many times price has touched the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_touches 4 ≥ 3 Realized vol percentile feature.realized_vol_pctrank 0.9686 ≥ 0.96 Return · 15m feature.ret_15m 0.02371 ≥ 0.023 Return · 1h feature.ret_1h 0.06461 ≥ 0.064 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist 0.03861 ≥ 0.038 - -4h2026-08-31 01:00 UTC
At 4 hours before the move, 7 of the 58 readings met a highlight rule.
Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.79Compression · 15m ≤ 0.48the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline ≥ 3.6how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the descending resistance broke 12 to 720how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720Show the full readings
READING BEFORE THE MOVE SEARCHES FOR Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance -0.7945 ≤ -0.79 Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m 0.4756 ≤ 0.48 the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_4h 3.626 ≥ 3.6 how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 19 12 to 720 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 19 12 to 720 - -1h2026-08-31 04:00 UTC
At 1 hour before the move, 10 of the 58 readings met a highlight rule.
Compression · 15m ≥ 3.5Containment · 15m outsidehow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the descending resistance broke 12 to 720how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720OI velocity percentile ≥ 0.98Return · 15m ≤ -0.033Return · 1h ≤ -0.021VWAP distance · day ≤ -0.022Show the full readings
READING BEFORE THE MOVE SEARCHES FOR Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m 3.504 ≥ 3.5 Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m outside outside how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 22 12 to 720 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 22 12 to 720 OI velocity percentile feature.oi_velocity_pctrank 0.988 ≥ 0.98 Return · 15m feature.ret_15m -0.03332 ≤ -0.033 Return · 1h feature.ret_1h -0.02112 ≤ -0.021 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist -0.02248 ≤ -0.022 - -15m2026-08-31 04:45 UTC
At 15 minutes before the move, 10 of the 58 readings met a highlight rule.
Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.65Sweep + reclaim · 15m bullishhow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the descending resistance broke 12 to 720how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720OI velocity percentile ≥ 0.91Return · 15m ≤ -0.015Return · 1h ≤ -0.034VWAP distance · day ≤ -0.021Show the full readings
READING BEFORE THE MOVE SEARCHES FOR Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance -0.6503 ≤ -0.65 Sweep + reclaim · 15m feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_15m bullish bullish how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 22.75 12 to 720 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 22.75 12 to 720 OI velocity percentile feature.oi_velocity_pctrank 0.9119 ≥ 0.91 Return · 15m feature.ret_15m -0.01582 ≤ -0.015 Return · 1h feature.ret_1h -0.0346 ≤ -0.034 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist -0.02138 ≤ -0.021 - -1m2026-08-31 04:59 UTC
At 1 minute before the move, 7 of the 58 readings met a highlight rule.
Sweep + reclaim · 15m bullishhow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the descending resistance broke 12 to 720how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720Return · 15m ≤ -0.012VWAP distance · day ≤ -0.034Show the full readings
READING BEFORE THE MOVE SEARCHES FOR Sweep + reclaim · 15m feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_15m bullish bullish how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 22.98 12 to 720 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 22.98 12 to 720 Return · 15m feature.ret_15m -0.01215 ≤ -0.012 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist -0.03412 ≤ -0.034
Also counted
Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.65 and Sweep + reclaim · 15m bullish and OI velocity percentile ≥ 0.9132 matches, 11 rose, 21 fell
Read at 15 minutes before the move.
After 30 minutes this setup rose 2% or more in 1 of 32 complete windows (3.1%), against 8.2% with no condition (3,526 of 43,123): 0.38x.
Best point inside 30 minutes reached +5% or more in 0 of 32 complete windows; worst point fell 5% or more in 2 of 32.
Both are true: these readings sat before this rise, and the other times they appeared, what followed more often fell. That disagreement is the finding: a lead-up that looks special is not the same as one that usually comes before rises.
Of the 32 fires, 23 came before the move began and 1 happened while it was already under way. A fire during the move sees it; it does not telegraph it.
About 1 a day, on 18 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
Compression · 15m ≥ 3.5 and Containment · 15m outside and OI velocity percentile ≥ 0.986 matches, 2 rose, 4 fell
Read at 1 hour before the move.
2 rose and 4 fell over 6 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
Of the 6 fires, 4 came before the move began and 1 happened while it was already under way. A fire during the move sees it; it does not telegraph it.
About 0.2 a day, on 6 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
Every night the record counts what fired and what usually followed: the daily brief.
No account? Replay a real move tick by tick, free: TUT short squeeze · 9 Aug 2026.