UAIUSDT rose into Sep 6
+83%
Counted on 2026-09-09, against a record covering to 2026-09-09 00:00 UTC. These numbers are frozen: this page will always say what it said the day it was written.
This move is in the event archive as a pump 4h on 2026-09-05. Open the archived event
Exact setup countedBook imbalance · top levels ≥ 0.8 and Book imbalance percentile ≥ 0.9 and Realized vol percentile ≥ 0.9 · Read at 1 minute before the move.
After 30 minutes this setup rose 2% or more in 10 of 53 complete windows (18.9%), against 9.0% with no condition (3,865 of 43,123): 2.11x.
Best point inside 30 minutes reached +5% or more in 6 of 53 complete windows; worst point fell 5% or more in 3 of 53.
Counts above cover this market only. Suggested starting scope: 71 sector alpha markets. Sector counts have not been computed here. This market only · Every recorded market
Watch the ignition replay Free replay covers the latest fully archived UTC day on 6 major markets. Pro reaches 90 days; Research reaches the whole recorded order book, which begins 15 May 2026. Earlier days are searchable but hold no book, so they cannot be replayed. Access is checked when you open a replay.
Evidence and counting
Read at 1 minute before the move.
Of the 53 fires, 48 came before the move began and 2 happened while it was already under way. A fire during the move sees it; it does not telegraph it.
About 1.7 a day, on 25 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
This is not a similarity search. Each count matches the exact readings above and nothing else.
Picked in hindsight: the counts include every other time these readings appeared, not just this move.
Fires often arrive as clusters of consecutive minutes, and forward windows overlap. A cluster is one episode, not many independent trials.
If these counts read weaker than the move suggested, that is the tool working: the lead-up of a picked move always looks special until it is counted everywhere else.
Explore the move and its lead-up
Hourly candles. The marked lines are the minutes the readings came from: 1 minute, 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours and 24 hours before the selected start. These five samples test the lead-up only, not the full move. Use the minute inspector to explore during or after the move.
Explore historical state
Current-minute reads are free after sign-in. Pro and Research include historical-minute inspection and comparison with an hour earlier.
Past readings use stored inputs where available. Recent minutes may use the live buffer and are labelled unpinned. Missing minutes remain visible.
Read the available analytical inputs at one minute, including measurements over the preceding windows. Compare with an hour earlier, then take a reading into Research to test it. Dates are UTC.
These additional reads are separate from the five pre-start samples. Observations during or after the selected move describe what had already happened; they are not advance evidence.
Selected time: 2026-09-04 07:00 UTC. During the selected move: hindsight. Choose Read this minute to request it. Missing minutes remain unavailable.
Follow positioning and flow through the move
Read 20 sampled minutes from the selected start through one hour after the selected end. The peak hour has extra 15-minute samples. The end marks the peak hour, not the exact peak tick. These are separate snapshots, not a continuous tape or an advance-warning test.
Historical access applies. Reads preserve each source revision; missing values stay unavailable. Contract OI, turnover and direct spot basis are not supplied by this table. Published premium is a different measure from direct basis.
No additional reads have run.
The OI score measures absolute USD-notional change, not signed contract growth. Zero 15-second liquidation intensity can coexist with substantial hourly liquidations. Binance liquidation amounts are observed publications, not complete venue totals.
Pre-start evidence: five separate snapshots
Highlighted readings and exact search conditions
Highlighted readings meet fixed rules, not a statistical-significance test. The observed value and proposed search condition are different: a condition rounds a value or selects an interval for a repeatable search.
- -24h2026-09-03 07:00 UTC
At 24 hours before the move, 11 of the 58 readings met a highlight rule.
Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.99Compression · 15m ≥ 2.4the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline ≥ 3how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the descending resistance broke 12 to 720how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720Realized vol percentile ≥ 0.99Return · 15m ≤ -0.076Return · 1h ≤ -0.17VWAP distance · day ≤ -0.19Show the full readings
READING BEFORE THE MOVE SEARCHES FOR Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance -0.9973 ≤ -0.99 Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m 2.406 ≥ 2.4 the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_1h 3.055 ≥ 3 how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 97 12 to 720 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 46 12 to 720 Realized vol percentile feature.realized_vol_pctrank 0.9969 ≥ 0.99 Return · 15m feature.ret_15m -0.07662 ≤ -0.076 Return · 1h feature.ret_1h -0.1748 ≤ -0.17 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist -0.1969 ≤ -0.19 - -4h2026-09-04 03:00 UTC
At 4 hours before the move, 6 of the 58 readings met a highlight rule.
the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline ≤ 0.33Cascade clustering ≥ 0.5how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the descending resistance broke 12 to 720how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720Show the full readings
READING BEFORE THE MOVE SEARCHES FOR the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_4h 0.3214 ≤ 0.33 Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.5062 ≥ 0.5 how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 117 12 to 720 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 66 12 to 720 - -1h2026-09-04 06:00 UTC
At 1 hour before the move, 12 of the 58 readings met a highlight rule.
Book imbalance percentile ≥ 0.93Compression · 15m ≥ 2the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline ≤ 0.3Engulfing · 1h bullishCascade clustering ≥ 0.5how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the descending resistance broke 12 to 720how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720Return · 15m ≥ 0.014Return · 1h ≥ 0.036VWAP distance · day ≥ 0.026Show the full readings
READING BEFORE THE MOVE SEARCHES FOR Book imbalance percentile feature.book_imbalance_pctrank 0.9303 ≥ 0.93 Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m 2.003 ≥ 2 the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_4h 0.2957 ≤ 0.3 Engulfing · 1h feature.candle_engulfing_1h bullish bullish Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.5066 ≥ 0.5 how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 120 12 to 720 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 69 12 to 720 Return · 15m feature.ret_15m 0.01434 ≥ 0.014 Return · 1h feature.ret_1h 0.03665 ≥ 0.036 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist 0.02681 ≥ 0.026 - -15m2026-09-04 06:45 UTC
At 15 minutes before the move, 12 of the 58 readings met a highlight rule.
Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.97Compression · 15m ≥ 2.3the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline ≤ 0.3Engulfing · 1h bullishCascade clustering ≥ 0.5how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the descending resistance broke 12 to 720how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720Return · 15m ≥ 0.026Return · 1h ≥ 0.033VWAP distance · day ≥ 0.039Show the full readings
READING BEFORE THE MOVE SEARCHES FOR Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance -0.9795 ≤ -0.97 Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m 2.375 ≥ 2.3 the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_4h 0.2957 ≤ 0.3 Engulfing · 1h feature.candle_engulfing_1h bullish bullish Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.5037 ≥ 0.5 how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 120.8 12 to 720 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 69.75 12 to 720 Return · 15m feature.ret_15m 0.02685 ≥ 0.026 Return · 1h feature.ret_1h 0.03393 ≥ 0.033 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist 0.0392 ≥ 0.039 - -1m2026-09-04 06:59 UTC
At 1 minute before the move, 14 of the 58 readings met a highlight rule.
Book imbalance · top levels ≥ 0.8Book imbalance percentile ≥ 0.9Compression · 15m ≥ 2.3the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline ≤ 0.3Engulfing · 1h bullishCascade clustering ≥ 0.5how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the descending resistance broke 12 to 720how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720Realized vol percentile ≥ 0.9Return · 15m ≥ 0.013Return · 1h ≥ 0.025VWAP distance · day ≥ 0.04Show the full readings
READING BEFORE THE MOVE SEARCHES FOR Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance 0.8069 ≥ 0.8 Book imbalance percentile feature.book_imbalance_pctrank 0.9047 ≥ 0.9 Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m 2.375 ≥ 2.3 the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_4h 0.2957 ≤ 0.3 Engulfing · 1h feature.candle_engulfing_1h bullish bullish Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.5015 ≥ 0.5 how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 121 12 to 720 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 69.98 12 to 720 Realized vol percentile feature.realized_vol_pctrank 0.9013 ≥ 0.9 Return · 15m feature.ret_15m 0.01399 ≥ 0.013 Return · 1h feature.ret_1h 0.02503 ≥ 0.025 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist 0.0401 ≥ 0.04
Also counted
Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.97 and Compression · 15m ≥ 2.3 and the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline ≤ 0.31 match, 0 rose, 1 fell
Read at 15 minutes before the move.
0 rose and 1 fell over 1 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
Its one fire came before the move began.
About 0 a day over 31 days, but 2026-09-04 alone holds 100% of them: this is close to a single episode.
Book imbalance percentile ≥ 0.93 and Compression · 15m ≥ 2 and the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline ≤ 0.32 matches, 1 rose, 1 fell
Read at 1 hour before the move.
1 rose and 1 fell over 2 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
Of the 2 fires, 2 came before the move began; none were during it.
About 0.1 a day over 31 days, but 2026-09-01 alone holds 50% of them: this is close to a single episode.
Every night the record counts what fired and what usually followed: the daily brief.
No account? Replay a real move tick by tick, free: TUT short squeeze · 9 Aug 2026.