Research is a work in progress. Estimated release: 1 December 2026. Our goal is to make it a search engine for trading setups in recorded crypto markets.
Binance USDT-MUAIUSDT rose 83% on 4 September 2026
Picked after the rise, on one market.
Next stepWhat happened
Price opened the 07:00 hour at 0.3778 and reached a highest trade of 0.6908 in the 02:00 hour; the tested readings were taken at 06:59.
What stood out at 06:59
- Order book tilt0.8069Tested: 0.8 or higher
- Order book lopsidedness0.9047Tested: 0.9 or higher
- Volatility rank0.9013Tested: 0.9 or higher
06:59 always meets its own rules.
What the record says
More often than any UAI minute, in this sample
Price at least 2% higher after 30 minutes
53 matches in 43,201 minutes checked.
Picked after the rise, on one market.
Evidence
Does it hold on other dates?
Nothing runs until you press Run.
Exactly what was counted3 conditions · 53 of 43,201 minutes · saved text
- Order book tilt 0.8 or higher. Size at the best bid against the best ask; above 0 means more bids, below 0 more asks.Book imbalance · top levels ≥ 0.8 · feature.book_imbalance
- Order book lopsidedness 0.9 or higher. How lopsided the sizes at the best bid and ask were, either way, against recent readings; low means unusually even.Book imbalance percentile ≥ 0.9 · feature.book_imbalance_pctrank
- Volatility rank 0.9 or higher. How volatile the last hour was against this market's history, on a 0 to 1 scale.Realized vol percentile ≥ 0.9 · feature.realized_vol_pctrank
Read at 1 minute before the move.
Read at 06:59 UTC on 4 September, one minute before the selected 07:00 start.
UAI only, 10 August to 8 September 2026 (UTC, ending 9 September 00:00); all 3 readings had values on 43,201 of those minutes.
Reference: every UAI minute over the same dates, matches included; it is not a matched control group.
Outcome: the close exactly 30 minutes later, not the highest or lowest price along the way.
The 07:00 start was picked automatically after the move.
UAIUSDT stored readings end 2026-09-09 00:00 UTC (exclusive). Prices and tick replay have separate coverage.
The feature manifest spans the lead-up. Individual minutes or inputs can still be unavailable.
This is not a similarity search. Each count matches the exact readings above and nothing else.
Picked in hindsight: the counts include every other time these readings appeared, not just this move.
Fires often arrive as clusters of consecutive minutes, and forward windows overlap. A cluster is one episode, not many independent trials.
If these counts read weaker than the move suggested, that is the tool working: the lead-up of a picked move always looks special until it is counted everywhere else.
Saved study q#6ccd38a3 @ dataset 418a74e4, counted 9 Sep 2026 09:58 UTC.
Saved summary text, as written 9 Sep 2026
Written automatically when this study was saved and kept as written; where a line differs from the counts above, the counts govern.
Minutes like this appeared 53 times in the 43,201 minutes searched (0.1%). What followed was more often higher: 33 of the 53 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward rose (62%).
After 30 minutes this setup rose 2% or more in 10 of 53 complete windows (18.9%), against 9.0% with no condition (3,865 of 43,123): 2.11x.
This reports the time frame with the biggest gap from any minute, chosen after counting. At least 2 of its 53 windows overlap the rise.
Best point inside 30 minutes reached +5% or more in 6 of 53 complete windows; worst point fell 5% or more in 3 of 53.
About 1.7 a day, on 25 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
It counts the single minute on 9 September as a day.
The other reading times, as written
From 15 minutes before
Minutes like this appeared only 1 time in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed was more often lower: 1 of the 1 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward fell (100%).
0 rose and 1 fell over 1 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
About 0 a day over 31 days, but 2026-09-04 alone holds 100% of them: this is close to a single episode.
From 1 hour before
Minutes like this appeared only 2 times in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed was close to a coin flip: 1 rose and 1 fell over the next 30 minutes (2 of the 2 matches have a complete 30 minutes forward).
1 rose and 1 fell over 2 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
About 0.1 a day over 31 days, but 2026-09-01 alone holds 50% of them: this is close to a single episode.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 53 matches came on 25 of 30 days, 2 during the rise.
When the matches happened25 of 30 days
- 10 Aug3 matches
- 11 Aug3 matches
- 12 Aug1 match
- 13 Aug2 matches
- 14 Aug1 match
- 15 Aug4 matches
- 16 Aug1 match
- 18 Aug2 matches
- 19 Aug1 match
- 20 Aug2 matches
- 21 Aug2 matches
- 22 Aug1 match
- 23 Aug1 match
- 24 Aug3 matches
- 25 Aug2 matches
- 27 Aug3 matches
- 28 Aug2 matches
- 29 Aug1 match
- 30 Aug5 matches
- 31 Aug4 matches
- 1 Sep1 match
- 3 Sep2 matches
- 4 Sep2 matches
- 5 Sep1 match
- 7 Sep3 matches
No matches on the other 5 days.
Of the 53 matches, 48 came before the rise began, 2 during it and 3 after it.
Neighbouring minutes overlap, so these are not 53 separate trials.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 53 matches came on 25 of 30 days, 2 during the rise.
Other time frames30 minutes to 7 days
The answer uses 30 minutes, the time frame this study counted by default. Each row counts the same matches at a later close, in both directions. The bars show how often price was 2% or more higher at each time frame: first the matches, then any UAI minute.
- 30 minutes
5 of 53 (9.4%) were 2% or more lower; any UAI minute 2,744 of 43,123 (6.4%).
Every match has a 30-minute close.
At least 2 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 1 hour
8 of 53 (15.1%) were 2% or more lower; any UAI minute 4,551 of 43,094 (10.6%).
Every match has a 1-hour close.
At least 2 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 4 hours
10 of 53 (18.9%) were 2% or more lower; any UAI minute 8,568 of 42,913 (20.0%).
Every match has a 4-hour close.
At least 2 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 24 hours
17 of 53 (32.1%) were 2% or more lower; any UAI minute 10,689 of 41,713 (25.6%).
Every match has a 24-hour close.
At least 2 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 72 hours
14 of 50 (28.0%) were 2% or more lower; any UAI minute 11,821 of 38,837 (30.4%).
3 without a 72-hour close yet, left out.
At least 2 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 7 days
3 of 45 (6.7%) were 2% or more lower; any UAI minute 2,326 of 33,091 (7.0%).
8 without a 7-day close yet, left out.
At least 11 of these windows overlap the rise.
The saved summary picked, after counting, the time frame with the biggest gap from any minute: 30 minutes.
After 30 minutes this setup rose 2% or more in 10 of 53 complete windows (18.9%), against 9.0% with no condition (3,865 of 43,123): 2.11x.
At least 2 of those windows ran through the rise itself, so it partly counts the rise as an outcome.
Along the way (the highest and lowest price inside 30 minutes, not the close):
Best point inside 30 minutes reached +5% or more in 6 of 53 complete windows; worst point fell 5% or more in 3 of 53.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 53 matches came on 25 of 30 days, 2 during the rise.
Readings at five times before the rise24 hours to 1 minute before · 2 other times tried
Highlights follow fixed rules, not significance tests. Proposed conditions round values or use ranges; inspect them before running.
24 hours before · 3 Sep 07:00 UTC · 11 of 58 stood out
Order book tilt -0.99 or lower15-minute range against usual 2.4 or higher1-hour range against usual 3 or higherHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720Touches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursVolatility rank 0.99 or higher15-minute price change -0.076 or lower1-hour price change -0.17 or lowerDistance from the day's average price -0.19 or lowerShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance -0.9973 ≤ -0.99 Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m 2.406 ≥ 2.4 the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_1h 3.055 ≥ 3 how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 97 12 to 720 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 46 12 to 720 Realized vol percentile feature.realized_vol_pctrank 0.9969 ≥ 0.99 Return · 15m feature.ret_15m -0.07662 ≤ -0.076 Return · 1h feature.ret_1h -0.1748 ≤ -0.17 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist -0.1969 ≤ -0.19 4 hours before · 4 Sep 03:00 UTC · 6 of 58 stood out
4-hour range against usual 0.33 or lowerLiquidation bunching 0.5 or higherHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720Touches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_4h 0.3214 ≤ 0.33 Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.5062 ≥ 0.5 how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 117 12 to 720 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 66 12 to 720 1 hour before · 4 Sep 06:00 UTC · 12 of 58 stood out
Order book lopsidedness 0.93 or higher15-minute range against usual 2 or higher4-hour range against usual 0.3 or lowerEngulfing (1h) is bullishLiquidation bunching 0.5 or higherHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720Touches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hours15-minute price change 0.014 or higher1-hour price change 0.036 or higherDistance from the day's average price 0.026 or higherShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance percentile feature.book_imbalance_pctrank 0.9303 ≥ 0.93 Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m 2.003 ≥ 2 the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_4h 0.2957 ≤ 0.3 Engulfing · 1h feature.candle_engulfing_1h bullish bullish Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.5066 ≥ 0.5 how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 120 12 to 720 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 69 12 to 720 Return · 15m feature.ret_15m 0.01434 ≥ 0.014 Return · 1h feature.ret_1h 0.03665 ≥ 0.036 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist 0.02681 ≥ 0.026 15 minutes before · 4 Sep 06:45 UTC · 12 of 58 stood out
Order book tilt -0.97 or lower15-minute range against usual 2.3 or higher4-hour range against usual 0.3 or lowerEngulfing (1h) is bullishLiquidation bunching 0.5 or higherHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720Touches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hours15-minute price change 0.026 or higher1-hour price change 0.033 or higherDistance from the day's average price 0.039 or higherShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance -0.9795 ≤ -0.97 Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m 2.375 ≥ 2.3 the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_4h 0.2957 ≤ 0.3 Engulfing · 1h feature.candle_engulfing_1h bullish bullish Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.5037 ≥ 0.5 how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 120.8 12 to 720 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 69.75 12 to 720 Return · 15m feature.ret_15m 0.02685 ≥ 0.026 Return · 1h feature.ret_1h 0.03393 ≥ 0.033 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist 0.0392 ≥ 0.039 1 minute before · 4 Sep 06:59 UTC · 14 of 58 stood out
Order book tilt 0.8 or higherOrder book lopsidedness 0.9 or higher15-minute range against usual 2.3 or higher4-hour range against usual 0.3 or lowerEngulfing (1h) is bullishLiquidation bunching 0.5 or higherHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720Touches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursVolatility rank 0.9 or higher15-minute price change 0.013 or higher1-hour price change 0.025 or higherDistance from the day's average price 0.04 or higherShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance 0.8069 ≥ 0.8 Book imbalance percentile feature.book_imbalance_pctrank 0.9047 ≥ 0.9 Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m 2.375 ≥ 2.3 the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_4h 0.2957 ≤ 0.3 Engulfing · 1h feature.candle_engulfing_1h bullish bullish Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.5015 ≥ 0.5 how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 121 12 to 720 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 69.98 12 to 720 Realized vol percentile feature.realized_vol_pctrank 0.9013 ≥ 0.9 Return · 15m feature.ret_15m 0.01399 ≥ 0.013 Return · 1h feature.ret_1h 0.02503 ≥ 0.025 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist 0.0401 ≥ 0.04
Two other reading times we tried 1 and 2 matches
15 minutes before (06:45): order book tilt -0.97 or lower, 15-minute range against usual 2.3 or higher, 4-hour range against usual 0.3 or lower.
Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.97 and Compression · 15m ≥ 2.3 and the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline ≤ 0.3
1 match: price was 2% or more higher after 30 minutes in 0 of 1, and 2% or more lower in 1 of 1.
Of the 1 match, 1 came before the rise began, 0 during it and 0 after it.
1 hour before (06:00): order book lopsidedness 0.93 or higher, 15-minute range against usual 2 or higher, 4-hour range against usual 0.3 or lower.
Book imbalance percentile ≥ 0.93 and Compression · 15m ≥ 2 and the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline ≤ 0.3
2 matches: price was 2% or more higher after 30 minutes in 0 of 2, and 2% or more lower in 0 of 2.
Of the 2 matches, 2 came before the rise began, 0 during it and 0 after it.
Fewer than 30 results, so no rate is printed.
The saved study leads with 06:59 because it is the only set with at least 30 matches before the rise.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 53 matches came on 25 of 30 days, 2 during the rise.
Hourly candles around the risefull context, lead-up, move
The 07:00 start was picked after the move, and the hour before was already rising.
Hourly candles, UTC. The marked lines are the minutes the readings came from: 1 minute, 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours and 24 hours before the selected start.
Other ways to test itsame dates
- This market only
- The 71 sector alpha markets · No result for these markets has been measured.
- Every recorded market
Same 3 conditions on UAI, 11 July to 9 August 2026.
Each opens Review the test.
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