Research is a work in progress. Estimated release: 1 December 2026. Our goal is to make it a search engine for trading setups in recorded crypto markets.
Binance USDT-MVTHOUSDT rose 133% on 11 September 2026
Picked after the rise, on one market.
What happened
Price opened the 07:00 hour at 0.000508 and reached a highest trade of 0.001183 in the 05:00 hour; the tested readings were taken at 06:59.
What stood out at 06:59
- Order book tilt0.8729Tested: 0.87 or higher
- 15-minute range against usual0.4349Tested: 0.44 or lower
- 1-hour range against usual0.2778Tested: 0.28 or lower
06:59 always meets its own rules.
What the record says
Too few results to compare
Price at least 2% higher after 30 minutes
4 matches in 43,201 minutes checked.
Picked after the rise, on one market.
Evidence
No test to open
Multiple recorded sectors: sector_crypto, sector_layer_1. Choose one explicitly.
Exactly what was counted3 conditions · 4 of 43,201 minutes · saved text
- Order book tilt 0.87 or higher. Size at the best bid against the best ask; above 0 means more bids, below 0 more asks.Book imbalance · top levels ≥ 0.87 · feature.book_imbalance
- 15-minute range against usual 0.44 or lower. The last finished 15-minute candle's high to low range, as a multiple of its usual range.Compression · 15m ≤ 0.44 · feature.candle_compression_15m
- 1-hour range against usual 0.28 or lower. The last finished 1-hour candle's high to low range, as a multiple of its usual range.Compression · 1h ≤ 0.28 · feature.candle_compression_1h
Read at 1 minute before the move.
Read at 06:59 UTC on 11 September, one minute before the selected 07:00 start.
VTHO only, 19 August to 17 September 2026 (UTC, ending 18 September 00:00); all 3 readings had values on 43,201 of those minutes.
Reference: every VTHO minute over the same dates, matches included; it is not a matched control group.
Outcome: the close exactly 30 minutes later, not the highest or lowest price along the way.
The 07:00 start was picked automatically after the move.
VTHOUSDT stored readings end 2026-09-18 00:00 UTC (exclusive). Prices and tick replay have separate coverage.
The feature manifest spans the lead-up. Individual minutes or inputs can still be unavailable.
This is not a similarity search. Each count matches the exact readings above and nothing else.
Picked in hindsight: the counts include every other time these readings appeared, not just this move.
Fires often arrive as clusters of consecutive minutes, and forward windows overlap. A cluster is one episode, not many independent trials.
If these counts read weaker than the move suggested, that is the tool working: the lead-up of a picked move always looks special until it is counted everywhere else.
Saved study q#8319f46a @ dataset 8904ef04, counted 18 Sep 2026 09:26 UTC.
Saved summary text, as written 18 Sep 2026
Written automatically when this study was saved and kept as written; where a line differs from the counts above, the counts govern.
Minutes like this appeared only 4 times in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed was more often higher: 3 of the 4 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward rose (75%).
3 rose and 1 fell over 4 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
About 0.1 a day, on 4 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
It counts the single minute on 18 September as a day.
The other reading times, as written
From 15 minutes before
Minutes like this appeared only 1 time in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed was more often higher: 1 of the 1 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward rose (100%).
1 rose and 0 fell over 1 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
About 0 a day over 31 days, but 2026-09-11 alone holds 100% of them: this is close to a single episode.
From 1 hour before
Minutes like this appeared only 3 times in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed was more often higher: 3 of the 3 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward rose (100%).
3 rose and 0 fell over 3 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
About 0.1 a day, on 3 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 4 matches came on 4 of 30 days.
When the matches happened4 of 30 days
- 28 Aug1 match
- 29 Aug1 match
- 11 Sep1 match
- 17 Sep1 match
No matches on the other 26 days.
Of the 4 matches, 3 came before the rise began, 0 during it and 1 after it.
Neighbouring minutes overlap, so these are not 4 separate trials.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 4 matches came on 4 of 30 days.
Other time frames30 minutes to 7 days
The answer uses 30 minutes, the time frame this study counted by default. Each row counts the same matches at a later close, in both directions. The bars show how often price was 2% or more higher at each time frame: first the matches, then any VTHO minute.
- 30 minutes
0 of 4 were 2% or more lower; any VTHO minute 1,666 of 41,310 (4.0%).
Every match has a 30-minute close.
- 1 hour
0 of 4 were 2% or more lower; any VTHO minute 2,788 of 41,285 (6.8%).
Every match has a 1-hour close.
- 4 hours
1 of 4 was 2% or more lower; any VTHO minute 6,360 of 41,099 (15.5%).
Every match has a 4-hour close.
- 24 hours
1 of 3 was 2% or more lower; any VTHO minute 8,975 of 39,966 (22.5%).
1 without a 24-hour close yet, left out.
- 72 hours
2 of 3 were 2% or more lower; any VTHO minute 5,040 of 37,086 (13.6%).
1 without a 72-hour close yet, left out.
- 7 days
0 of 2 were 2% or more lower; any VTHO minute 1,082 of 31,305 (3.5%).
2 without a 7-day close yet, left out.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 4 matches came on 4 of 30 days.
Readings at five times before the rise24 hours to 1 minute before · 2 other times tried
Highlights follow fixed rules, not significance tests. Proposed conditions round values or use ranges; inspect them before running.
24 hours before · 10 Sep 07:00 UTC · 8 of 65 stood out
15-minute range against usual 0.49 or lower4-hour range against usual 20 or higherContainment (15m) is insideHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720Touches on the broken resistance 3 or more15-minute price change 0.017 or higher1-hour price change 0.03 or higherShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m 0.4803 ≤ 0.49 Compression · 4h feature.candle_compression_4h 20.89 ≥ 20 Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m inside inside how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 45 12 to 720 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 Return · 15m feature.ret_15m 0.01718 ≥ 0.017 Return · 1h feature.ret_1h 0.03021 ≥ 0.03 4 hours before · 11 Sep 03:00 UTC · 7 of 65 stood out
Order book tilt -0.82 or lowerSweep + reclaim (1h) is bullishHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720Touches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursDistance from the day's average price -0.036 or lowerShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance -0.8298 ≤ -0.82 Sweep + reclaim · 1h feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_1h bullish bullish how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 65 12 to 720 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 26 12 to 720 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist -0.03621 ≤ -0.036 1 hour before · 11 Sep 06:00 UTC · 9 of 65 stood out
Order book tilt -0.86 or lower1-hour range against usual 0.28 or lowerContainment (15m) is outsideUpper wick (15m) 0.6 or higherHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720Touches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursDistance from the day's average price -0.022 or lowerShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance -0.8628 ≤ -0.86 Compression · 1h feature.candle_compression_1h 0.2778 ≤ 0.28 Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m outside outside Upper wick · 15m feature.candle_upper_wick_15m 0.6 ≥ 0.6 how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 68 12 to 720 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 29 12 to 720 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist -0.02242 ≤ -0.022 15 minutes before · 11 Sep 06:45 UTC · 8 of 65 stood out
15-minute range against usual 0.44 or lower1-hour range against usual 0.28 or lowerContainment (15m) is insideHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720Touches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursDistance from the day's average price -0.021 or lowerShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m 0.4349 ≤ 0.44 Compression · 1h feature.candle_compression_1h 0.2778 ≤ 0.28 Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m inside inside how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 68.75 12 to 720 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 29.75 12 to 720 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist -0.02148 ≤ -0.021 1 minute before · 11 Sep 06:59 UTC · 9 of 65 stood out
Order book tilt 0.87 or higher15-minute range against usual 0.44 or lower1-hour range against usual 0.28 or lowerContainment (15m) is insideHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720Touches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hours15-minute price change 0.011 or higherShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance 0.8729 ≥ 0.87 Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m 0.4349 ≤ 0.44 Compression · 1h feature.candle_compression_1h 0.2778 ≤ 0.28 Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m inside inside how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 68.98 12 to 720 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 29.98 12 to 720 Return · 15m feature.ret_15m 0.01136 ≥ 0.011
Two other reading times we tried 1 and 3 matches
15 minutes before (06:45): 15-minute range against usual 0.44 or lower, 1-hour range against usual 0.28 or lower, containment (15m) is inside.
Compression · 15m ≤ 0.44 and Compression · 1h ≤ 0.28 and Containment · 15m inside
1 match: price was 2% or more higher after 30 minutes in 1 of 1, and 2% or more lower in 0 of 1.
Of the 1 match, 1 came before the rise began, 0 during it and 0 after it.
1 hour before (06:00): order book tilt -0.86 or lower, 1-hour range against usual 0.28 or lower, containment (15m) is outside.
Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.86 and Compression · 1h ≤ 0.28 and Containment · 15m outside
3 matches: price was 2% or more higher after 30 minutes in 0 of 3, and 2% or more lower in 0 of 3.
Of the 3 matches, 2 came before the rise began, 0 during it and 1 after it.
Fewer than 30 results, so no rate is printed.
No set had 30 matches before the rise; the saved study leads with the one that had the most.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 4 matches came on 4 of 30 days.
Hourly candles around the risefull context, lead-up, move
The 07:00 start was picked after the move, and the hour before was already rising.
Hourly candles, UTC. The marked lines are the minutes the readings came from: 1 minute, 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours and 24 hours before the selected start.
Other ways to test itsame dates
Multiple recorded sectors: sector_crypto, sector_layer_1. Choose one explicitly.
Each opens Review the test; nothing runs until you press Run.
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Starting defaults and coverage
Starting defaults: 2026-08-19 to 2026-09-18 UTC; finishes up 2% or more after 1 hour. Review or change the markets, dates, conditions and outcome before running. Current recorded classification and sector tags, not point-in-time membership. Historical membership may differ. Instrument history does not guarantee every setup input or outcome is present; actual study exclusions remain authoritative.