Research is a work in progress. Estimated release: 1 December 2026. Our goal is to make it a search engine for trading setups in recorded crypto markets.
Binance USDT-MVTHOUSDT rose 76% on 8 September 2026
Picked after the rise, on one market.
What happened
Price opened the 03:00 hour at 0.0004175 and reached a highest trade of 0.0007346 in the 11:00 hour; the tested readings were taken at 02:45.
What stood out at 02:45
- Order book tilt0.8966Tested: 0.89 or higher
- The descending resistance lineactive_4hTested: is active 4h
- How many times the broken descending resistance had been tested4Tested: 3 or higher
02:45 always meets its own rules.
What the record says
Less often than any VTHO minute, in this sample
Price at least 2% higher after 30 minutes
70 matches in 43,201 minutes checked; 3 missing a 30-minute close, left out.
Picked after the rise, on one market.
Evidence
No test to open
Multiple recorded sectors: sector_crypto, sector_layer_1. Choose one explicitly.
Exactly what was counted3 conditions · 70 of 43,201 minutes · saved text
- Order book tilt 0.89 or higher. Size at the best bid against the best ask; above 0 means more bids, below 0 more asks.Book imbalance · top levels ≥ 0.89 · feature.book_imbalance
- The descending resistance line is active 4h.the descending resistance line active_4h · feature.desc_resistance_active
- How many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higher.how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3 · feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches
Read at 15 minutes before the move.
Read at 02:45 UTC on 8 September, 15 minutes before the selected 03:00 start.
VTHO only, 13 August to 11 September 2026 (UTC, ending 12 September 00:00); all 3 readings had values on 43,201 of those minutes.
Reference: every VTHO minute over the same dates, matches included; it is not a matched control group.
Outcome: the close exactly 30 minutes later, not the highest or lowest price along the way.
The 03:00 start was picked automatically after the move.
VTHOUSDT stored readings end 2026-09-12 00:00 UTC (exclusive). Prices and tick replay have separate coverage.
The feature manifest spans the lead-up. Individual minutes or inputs can still be unavailable.
This is not a similarity search. Each count matches the exact readings above and nothing else.
Picked in hindsight: the counts include every other time these readings appeared, not just this move.
Fires often arrive as clusters of consecutive minutes, and forward windows overlap. A cluster is one episode, not many independent trials.
If these counts read weaker than the move suggested, that is the tool working: the lead-up of a picked move always looks special until it is counted everywhere else.
Saved study q#cc84310f @ dataset 6f4da1c2, counted 12 Sep 2026 09:12 UTC.
Saved summary text, as written 12 Sep 2026
Written automatically when this study was saved and kept as written; where a line differs from the counts above, the counts govern.
Minutes like this appeared 70 times in the 43,201 minutes searched (0.2%). What followed was close to a coin flip: 31 rose and 36 fell over the next 30 minutes (67 of the 70 matches have a complete 30 minutes forward).
After 30 minutes this setup fell 2% or more in 0 of 67 complete windows (0.0%), against 1.8% with no condition (701 of 39,423): 0.00x.
This reports the time frame with the biggest gap from any minute, chosen after counting. At least 3 of its 67 windows overlap the rise.
Best point inside 30 minutes reached +5% or more in 1 of 70 complete windows; worst point fell 5% or more in 0 of 70.
About 2.3 a day, on 9 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
It counts the single minute on 12 September as a day.
The other reading times, as written
From 1 minute before
Minutes like this appeared only 5 times in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed was more often higher: 3 of the 5 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward rose (60%).
3 rose and 2 fell over 5 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
About 0.2 a day, on 5 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
From 1 hour before
Minutes like this appeared 90 times in the 43,201 minutes searched (0.2%). What followed was close to a coin flip: 44 rose and 36 fell over the next 30 minutes (80 of the 90 matches have a complete 30 minutes forward).
After 30 minutes this setup rose 2% or more in 0 of 80 complete windows (0.0%), against 2.1% with no condition (836 of 39,423): 0.00x.
About 2.9 a day, on 9 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 70 matches came on 9 of 30 days, 3 during the rise.
When the matches happened9 of 30 days
- 23 Aug15 matches
- 24 Aug4 matches
- 25 Aug3 matches
- 1 Sep7 matches
- 2 Sep14 matches
- 3 Sep8 matches
- 4 Sep11 matches
- 7 Sep3 matches
- 8 Sep5 matches
No matches on the other 21 days.
Of the 70 matches, 67 came before the rise began, 3 during it and 0 after it.
Neighbouring minutes overlap, so these are not 70 separate trials.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 70 matches came on 9 of 30 days, 3 during the rise.
Other time frames30 minutes to 7 days
The answer uses 30 minutes, the time frame this study counted by default. Each row counts the same matches at a later close, in both directions. The bars show how often price was 2% or more higher at each time frame: first the matches, then any VTHO minute.
- 30 minutes
0 of 67 (0.0%) were 2% or more lower; any VTHO minute 701 of 39,423 (1.8%).
3 without a 30-minute close yet, left out.
At least 3 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 1 hour
1 of 70 (1.4%) was 2% or more lower; any VTHO minute 1,070 of 39,410 (2.7%).
Every match has a 1-hour close.
At least 3 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 4 hours
2 of 68 (2.9%) were 2% or more lower; any VTHO minute 2,939 of 39,200 (7.5%).
2 without a 4-hour close yet, left out.
At least 3 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 24 hours
6 of 70 (8.6%) were 2% or more lower; any VTHO minute 6,384 of 38,123 (16.7%).
Every match has a 24-hour close.
At least 3 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 72 hours
0 of 64 (0.0%) were 2% or more lower; any VTHO minute 4,849 of 35,482 (13.7%).
6 without a 72-hour close yet, left out.
At least 3 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 7 days
0 of 62 (0.0%) were 2% or more lower; any VTHO minute 1,023 of 30,572 (3.3%).
8 without a 7-day close yet, left out.
At least 33 of these windows overlap the rise.
The saved summary picked, after counting, the time frame with the biggest gap from any minute: 30 minutes.
After 30 minutes this setup fell 2% or more in 0 of 67 complete windows (0.0%), against 1.8% with no condition (701 of 39,423): 0.00x.
Only 67 of the 70 matches have a 30-minute close, and at least 3 of those windows ran through the rise itself, so it partly counts the rise as an outcome.
Along the way (the highest and lowest price inside 30 minutes, not the close):
Best point inside 30 minutes reached +5% or more in 1 of 70 complete windows; worst point fell 5% or more in 0 of 70.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 70 matches came on 9 of 30 days, 3 during the rise.
Readings at five times before the rise24 hours to 1 minute before · 2 other times tried
Highlights follow fixed rules, not significance tests. Proposed conditions round values or use ranges; inspect them before running.
24 hours before · 7 Sep 03:00 UTC · 11 of 63 stood out
Order book tilt -0.73 or lowerContainment (15m) is insideHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720The short descending resistance line is active 4hTouches on the broken resistance 3 or moreThe distance from price to the short descending resistance between 0 and 1Time since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursThe support under the short descending resistance is fallingTouches on the resistance 3 or moreVolatility rank 0.92 or higherShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance -0.7358 ≤ -0.73 Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m inside inside how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 43 12 to 720 the short descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_short_active active_4h active_4h how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 the distance from price to the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_dist_atr 0.4086 0 to 1 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 44 12 to 720 the support under the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_support falling falling how many times price has touched the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_touches 3 ≥ 3 Realized vol percentile feature.realized_vol_pctrank 0.925 ≥ 0.92 4 hours before · 7 Sep 23:00 UTC · 12 of 63 stood out
The descending resistance line is active 4hHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720The short descending resistance line is active 4hTouches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursThe support under the short descending resistance is fallingTouches on the resistance 3 or moreThe support under the descending resistance is fallingHow many times price has touched the descending resistance 3 or higherVolatility rank 0.97 or higherTaker buy share (15m) 0.72 or higherShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule the descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_active active_4h active_4h how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 63 12 to 720 the short descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_short_active active_4h active_4h how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 64 12 to 720 the support under the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_support falling falling how many times price has touched the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_touches 3 ≥ 3 the support under the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_support falling falling how many times price has touched the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_touches 4 ≥ 3 Realized vol percentile feature.realized_vol_pctrank 0.9719 ≥ 0.97 Taker buy share · 15m feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m 0.7272 ≥ 0.72 1 hour before · 8 Sep 02:00 UTC · 13 of 63 stood out
Order book lopsidedness 0.084 or lowerThe descending resistance line is active 4hHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherThe distance from price to the descending resistance between 0 and 1How long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720The short descending resistance line is active 4hTouches on the broken resistance 3 or moreThe distance from price to the short descending resistance between 0 and 1Time since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursThe support under the short descending resistance is fallingTouches on the resistance 3 or moreThe support under the descending resistance is fallingHow many times price has touched the descending resistance 3 or higherShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance percentile feature.book_imbalance_pctrank 0.08329 ≤ 0.084 the descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_active active_4h active_4h how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 the distance from price to the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_dist_atr 0.8705 0 to 1 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 66 12 to 720 the short descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_short_active active_4h active_4h how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 the distance from price to the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_dist_atr 0.8333 0 to 1 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 67 12 to 720 the support under the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_support falling falling how many times price has touched the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_touches 3 ≥ 3 the support under the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_support falling falling how many times price has touched the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_touches 4 ≥ 3 15 minutes before · 8 Sep 02:45 UTC · 12 of 63 stood out
Order book tilt 0.89 or higherThe descending resistance line is active 4hHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720The short descending resistance line is active 4hTouches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursThe support under the short descending resistance is fallingTouches on the resistance 3 or moreThe support under the descending resistance is fallingHow many times price has touched the descending resistance 3 or higherTaker buy share (15m) 0.21 or lowerShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance 0.8966 ≥ 0.89 the descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_active active_4h active_4h how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 66.75 12 to 720 the short descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_short_active active_4h active_4h how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 67.75 12 to 720 the support under the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_support falling falling how many times price has touched the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_touches 3 ≥ 3 the support under the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_support falling falling how many times price has touched the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_touches 4 ≥ 3 Taker buy share · 15m feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m 0.2085 ≤ 0.21 1 minute before · 8 Sep 02:59 UTC · 11 of 63 stood out
The descending resistance line is active 4hHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720The short descending resistance line is active 4hTouches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursThe support under the short descending resistance is fallingTouches on the resistance 3 or moreThe support under the descending resistance is fallingHow many times price has touched the descending resistance 3 or higherTaker buy share (15m) 0.22 or lowerShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule the descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_active active_4h active_4h how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 66.98 12 to 720 the short descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_short_active active_4h active_4h how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 67.98 12 to 720 the support under the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_support falling falling how many times price has touched the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_touches 3 ≥ 3 the support under the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_support falling falling how many times price has touched the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_touches 4 ≥ 3 Taker buy share · 15m feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m 0.22 ≤ 0.22
Two other reading times we tried 5 and 90 matches
1 minute before (02:59): the descending resistance line is active 4h, how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higher, how long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720.
the descending resistance line active_4h and how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3 and how long ago the descending resistance broke 12 to 720
5 matches: price was 2% or more higher after 30 minutes in 0 of 5, and 2% or more lower in 0 of 5.
Of the 5 matches, 5 came before the rise began, 0 during it and 0 after it.
1 hour before (02:00): order book lopsidedness 0.084 or lower, the descending resistance line is active 4h, how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higher.
Book imbalance percentile ≤ 0.084 and the descending resistance line active_4h and how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3
90 matches: price was 2% or more higher after 30 minutes in 0 of 80 (0.0%), and 2% or more lower in 1 of 80 (1.3%).
Of the 90 matches, 84 came before the rise began, 6 during it and 0 after it.
Rows with fewer than 30 results print counts only.
The saved study leads with 02:45: the narrowest set with at least 30 matches before the rise.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 70 matches came on 9 of 30 days, 3 during the rise.
Hourly candles around the risefull context, lead-up, move
The 03:00 start was picked after the move.
Hourly candles, UTC. The marked lines are the minutes the readings came from: 1 minute, 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours and 24 hours before the selected start.
Other ways to test itsame dates
Multiple recorded sectors: sector_crypto, sector_layer_1. Choose one explicitly.
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Starting defaults and coverage
Starting defaults: 2026-08-13 to 2026-09-12 UTC; finishes up 2% or more after 1 hour. Review or change the markets, dates, conditions and outcome before running. Current recorded classification and sector tags, not point-in-time membership. Historical membership may differ. Instrument history does not guarantee every setup input or outcome is present; actual study exclusions remain authoritative.