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Binance USDT-MWOOUSDT rose 29% on 6 September 2026
Picked after the rise, on one market; all matches came on one day.
What happened
Price opened the 01:00 hour at 0.01167 and reached a highest trade of 0.015 in the 02:00 hour; the tested readings were taken at 00:59.
What stood out at 00:59
- Order book tilt0.9384Tested: 0.93 or higher
- 4-hour range against usual0.2581Tested: 0.26 or lower
- Volatility rank0.9832Tested: 0.98 or higher
00:59 always meets its own rules.
What the record says
Too few results to compare
Price at least 2% higher after 30 minutes
2 matches in 43,201 minutes checked.
Picked after the rise, on one market.
Evidence
No test to open
Multiple recorded sectors: sector_crypto, sector_defi. Choose one explicitly.
Exactly what was counted3 conditions · 2 of 43,201 minutes · saved text
- Order book tilt 0.93 or higher. Size at the best bid against the best ask; above 0 means more bids, below 0 more asks.Book imbalance · top levels ≥ 0.93 · feature.book_imbalance
- 4-hour range against usual 0.26 or lower. The last finished 4-hour candle's high to low range, as a multiple of its usual range.the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline ≤ 0.26 · feature.candle_compression_4h
- Volatility rank 0.98 or higher. How volatile the last hour was against this market's history, on a 0 to 1 scale.Realized vol percentile ≥ 0.98 · feature.realized_vol_pctrank
Read at 1 minute before the move.
Read at 00:59 UTC on 6 September, one minute before the selected 01:00 start.
WOO only, 13 August to 11 September 2026 (UTC, ending 12 September 00:00); all 3 readings had values on 43,201 of those minutes.
Reference: every WOO minute over the same dates, matches included; it is not a matched control group.
Outcome: the close exactly 30 minutes later, not the highest or lowest price along the way.
The 01:00 start was picked automatically after the move.
WOOUSDT stored readings end 2026-09-12 00:00 UTC (exclusive). Prices and tick replay have separate coverage.
The feature manifest spans the lead-up. Individual minutes or inputs can still be unavailable.
This is not a similarity search. Each count matches the exact readings above and nothing else.
Picked in hindsight: the counts include every other time these readings appeared, not just this move.
Fires often arrive as clusters of consecutive minutes, and forward windows overlap. A cluster is one episode, not many independent trials.
If these counts read weaker than the move suggested, that is the tool working: the lead-up of a picked move always looks special until it is counted everywhere else.
Saved study q#e56d457e @ dataset 6f4da1c2, counted 12 Sep 2026 09:12 UTC.
Saved summary text, as written 12 Sep 2026
Written automatically when this study was saved and kept as written; where a line differs from the counts above, the counts govern.
Minutes like this appeared only 2 times in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed was more often lower: 2 of the 2 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward fell (100%).
0 rose and 2 fell over 2 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
About 0.1 a day over 31 days, but 2026-09-06 alone holds 100% of them: this is close to a single episode.
The other reading times, as written
From 15 minutes before
Minutes like this appeared only 2 times in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed was close to a coin flip: 1 rose and 1 fell over the next 30 minutes (2 of the 2 matches have a complete 30 minutes forward).
1 rose and 1 fell over 2 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
About 0.1 a day over 31 days, but 2026-09-06 alone holds 100% of them: this is close to a single episode.
From 1 hour before
Minutes like this appeared only 12 times in the 32,281 minutes searched. What followed was more often lower: 8 of the 12 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward fell (67%).
4 rose and 8 fell over 12 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
About 0.4 a day over 31 days, but 2026-09-07 alone holds 67% of them: this is close to a single episode.
Picked after the rise, on one market; all 2 matches came on 6 September.
When the matches happened1 day in a row
- 6 Sep2 matches
No matches on the other 29 days.
Of the 2 matches, 1 came before the rise began, 0 during it and 1 after it.
Neighbouring minutes overlap, so these are not 2 separate trials.
Picked after the rise, on one market; all 2 matches came on 6 September.
Other time frames30 minutes to 7 days
The answer uses 30 minutes, the time frame this study counted by default. Each row counts the same matches at a later close, in both directions. The bars show how often price was 2% or more higher at each time frame: first the matches, then any WOO minute.
- 30 minutes
2 of 2 were 2% or more lower; any WOO minute 367 of 40,738 (0.9%).
Every match has a 30-minute close.
- 1 hour
1 of 2 was 2% or more lower; any WOO minute 701 of 40,726 (1.7%).
Every match has a 1-hour close.
- 4 hours
1 of 2 was 2% or more lower; any WOO minute 2,800 of 40,501 (6.9%).
Every match has a 4-hour close.
At least 1 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 24 hours
1 of 2 was 2% or more lower; any WOO minute 9,347 of 39,396 (23.7%).
Every match has a 24-hour close.
At least 1 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 72 hours
1 of 2 was 2% or more lower; any WOO minute 11,590 of 36,636 (31.6%).
Every match has a 72-hour close.
At least 1 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 7 days
None of the 2 matches has a 7-day close yet, so there is no rate.
Any WOO minute: 16,806 of 31,164 (53.9%) were 2% or more higher, 9,808 of 31,164 (31.5%) lower.
Picked after the rise, on one market; all 2 matches came on 6 September.
Readings at five times before the rise24 hours to 1 minute before · 2 other times tried
Highlights follow fixed rules, not significance tests. Proposed conditions round values or use ranges; inspect them before running.
24 hours before · 5 Sep 01:00 UTC · 4 of 63 stood out
1-hour range against usual 0.47 or lowerTouches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursTaker buy share (15m) 0.29 or lowerShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_1h 0.4641 ≤ 0.47 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 6 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 44 12 to 720 Taker buy share · 15m feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m 0.2849 ≤ 0.29 4 hours before · 5 Sep 21:00 UTC · 5 of 63 stood out
Order book tilt -0.55 or lower4-hour range against usual 0.36 or lowerTouches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursTaker buy share (15m) 0.69 or higherShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance -0.553 ≤ -0.55 the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_4h 0.3501 ≤ 0.36 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 6 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 64 12 to 720 Taker buy share · 15m feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m 0.6959 ≥ 0.69 1 hour before · 6 Sep 00:00 UTC · 5 of 63 stood out
Order book tilt -0.63 or lower4-hour range against usual 0.26 or lowerTouches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursMinutes to funding 1 or lowerShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance -0.6376 ≤ -0.63 the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_4h 0.2581 ≤ 0.26 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 6 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 67 12 to 720 Minutes to funding feature.mins_to_funding 0 ≤ 1 15 minutes before · 6 Sep 00:45 UTC · 5 of 63 stood out
4-hour range against usual 0.26 or lowerContainment (15m) is insideTouches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursVolatility rank 0.98 or higherShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_4h 0.2581 ≤ 0.26 Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m inside inside how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 6 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 67.75 12 to 720 Realized vol percentile feature.realized_vol_pctrank 0.9893 ≥ 0.98 1 minute before · 6 Sep 00:59 UTC · 6 of 63 stood out
Order book tilt 0.93 or higher4-hour range against usual 0.26 or lowerContainment (15m) is insideTouches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursVolatility rank 0.98 or higherShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance 0.9384 ≥ 0.93 the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_4h 0.2581 ≤ 0.26 Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m inside inside how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 6 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 67.98 12 to 720 Realized vol percentile feature.realized_vol_pctrank 0.9832 ≥ 0.98
Two other reading times we tried 2 and 12 matches
15 minutes before (00:45): 4-hour range against usual 0.26 or lower, containment (15m) is inside, volatility rank 0.98 or higher.
the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline ≤ 0.26 and Containment · 15m inside and Realized vol percentile ≥ 0.98
2 matches: price was 2% or more higher after 30 minutes in 0 of 2, and 2% or more lower in 1 of 2.
Of the 2 matches, 1 came before the rise began, 1 during it and 0 after it.
1 hour before (00:00): order book tilt -0.63 or lower, 4-hour range against usual 0.26 or lower, touches on the broken resistance 3 or more.
Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.63 and the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline ≤ 0.26 and how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3
12 matches: price was 2% or more higher after 30 minutes in 0 of 12, and 2% or more lower in 2 of 12.
Of the 12 matches, 1 came before the rise began, 1 during it and 10 after it.
Fewer than 30 results, so no rate is printed.
No set had 30 matches before the rise; the saved study leads with the one that had the most.
Picked after the rise, on one market; all 2 matches came on 6 September.
Hourly candles around the risefull context, lead-up, move
The 01:00 start was picked after the move.
Hourly candles, UTC. The marked lines are the minutes the readings came from: 1 minute, 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours and 24 hours before the selected start.
Other ways to test itsame dates
Multiple recorded sectors: sector_crypto, sector_defi. Choose one explicitly.
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Starting defaults and coverage
Starting defaults: 2026-08-13 to 2026-09-12 UTC; finishes up 2% or more after 1 hour. Review or change the markets, dates, conditions and outcome before running. Current recorded classification and sector tags, not point-in-time membership. Historical membership may differ. Instrument history does not guarantee every setup input or outcome is present; actual study exclusions remain authoritative.