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All times are UTC. Chart history only changes the display. Historical comparisons use the 30 days before the selected start and measure their own outcome horizon.

Move read

AINUSDT rose into Sep 15

+212%

Move window

Move window: 2026-09-14 05:00 to 2026-09-15 17:00 UTC.

36 hours. The automatic start is the last covered hourly candle touching the bottom 5% of the episode range (top 5% for a fall), measured using the eventual extreme. It is a hindsight anchor, not a detected causal onset. Change the start above to inspect a later acceleration. The end marks the hour containing the price extreme, not an exact tick.

Stored analytical feature coverage for AINUSDT ends 2026-09-20 00:00 UTC (exclusive). Price candles can continue beyond it; feature availability and tick replay are separate.

The feature manifest spans the lead-up. Individual minutes or inputs can still be unavailable.

11 historical matches for the proposed conditions. This is an exploratory investigation. The combined trendline, compression and microstructure hypothesis still needs validation.

> Full AINUSDT research page

Explore the move and its lead-up

Price history: lead-up and selected move
selected startreadings taken here+212%0.063460.121490.23261Sep 13 03:00Sep 14 05:00Sep 15 21:00UTC · log price scale

Hourly candles. The marked lines are the minutes the readings came from: 1 minute, 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours and 24 hours before the selected start. These five samples test the lead-up only, not the full move. Use the minute inspector to explore during or after the move.

Explore historical state

Current-minute reads are free after sign-in. Pro and Research include historical-minute inspection and comparison with an hour earlier.

Past readings use stored inputs where available. Recent minutes may use the live buffer and are labelled unpinned. Missing minutes remain visible.

Read the available analytical inputs at one minute, including measurements over the preceding windows. Compare with an hour earlier, then take a reading into Research to test it. Dates are UTC.

These additional reads are separate from the five pre-start samples. Observations during or after the selected move describe what had already happened; they are not advance evidence.

Selected time: 2026-09-14 05:00 UTC. During the selected move: hindsight. Choose Read this minute to request it. Missing minutes remain unavailable.

Before the time above:

Follow positioning and flow through the move

Read 23 sampled minutes from the selected start through one hour after the selected end. The peak hour has extra 15-minute samples. The end marks the peak hour, not the exact peak tick. These are separate snapshots, not a continuous tape or an advance-warning test.

Historical access applies. Reads preserve each source revision; missing values stay unavailable. Contract OI, turnover and direct spot basis are not supplied by this table. Published premium is a different measure from direct basis.

No additional reads have run.

The OI score measures absolute USD-notional change, not signed contract growth. Zero 15-second liquidation intensity can coexist with substantial hourly liquidations. Binance liquidation amounts are observed publications, not complete venue totals.

Pre-start evidence: five separate snapshots

Geometry and microstructure, on the same clock

Read left to right: 24h → 4h → 1h → 15m → 1m before the selected start. These are five snapshots, not a continuous tape. Neutral readings stay visible; unavailable values are never zero.

Descending resistance
Reading-24h-4h-1h-15m-1m
Time since resistance breakhours · Highlight: 12 to 720 (inclusive)4464Read failed67.75Read failed
Resistance line spandays47.3378Read failed78Read failed
Resistance touchescount · Highlight: ≥ 344Read failed4Read failed
Touches before resistance breakcount · Highlight: ≥ 366Read failed6Read failed
Line ATR contractionmultiple0.6770.2924Read failed0.2924Read failed
Resistance line statelabel · Highlight: State other than none or normalactive_4hactive_bothRead failedactive_bothRead failed
Distance to broken resistancemultiple · Highlight: -0.5 to 0.5 (inclusive)-0.43350.2433Read failed-0.1613Read failed
Distance to resistancemultiple · Highlight: 0 to 1 (inclusive)2.2081.258Read failed0.8869Read failed
Support shapelabel · Highlight: State other than none or normalfallingflatRead failedflatRead failed
Candle compression
Reading-24h-4h-1h-15m-1m
last 15-minute candle range versus its baselinemultiple · Highlight: ≤ 0.5 or ≥ 20.53970.5871Read failed3.103Read failed
last four-hour candle range versus its baselinemultiple0.70711.314Read failed0.9037Read failed
last one-hour candle range versus its baselinemultiple0.57141.091Read failed1.21Read failed
Order book
Reading-24h-4h-1h-15m-1m
Order-book imbalanceratio · Highlight: ≤ -0.5 or ≥ 0.5-0.48340.2948Read failed-0.8727Read failed
normalized spreadratio0.11130.1462Read failed0.08555Read failed
order-book imbalance rankpercentile0.12940.6107Read failed0.8668Read failed
Trade flow
Reading-24h-4h-1h-15m-1m
Informed-trading pressureratio0.33460.2776Read failed0.3003Read failed
Net taker flow over the trailing four hoursratio0.15720.03977Read failed0.1035Read failed
Net taker flow over the trailing hourratio0.1839-0.02903Read failed0.5418Read failed
large-trade share of recent flowratio00Read failed0Read failed
taker-buy share of recent flowratio · Highlight: ≤ 0.35 or ≥ 0.650.42450.4191Read failed0.7869Read failed
VPIN regimelabelnormalnormalRead failednormalRead failed
Turnover against its recent hoursratioUnavailableUnavailableRead failedUnavailableRead failed
Funding and positioning
Reading-24h-4h-1h-15m-1m
Funding minus premium indexsigned_fraction-0.0008468-0.0009041Read failed0.0001391Read failed
Minutes until funding settlesminutes180420Read failed195Read failed
Premium index change over 1hsigned_fraction0.0011190.001026Read failed-0.000805Read failed
Premium index rank over 30dpercentile0.69240.6743Read failed0.3181Read failed
Published premium indexsigned_fraction0.0011190.001026Read failed0.00009519Read failed
funding raterate0.00027180.0001216Read failed0.0002343Read failed
global long ratioratio0.69560.6936Read failed0.6861Read failed
hourly change in open contractssigned_fraction-0.0001718UnavailableRead failed0.002068Read failed
normalized funding rateratio0.090590.04054Read failed0.07811Read failed
open-interest velocity rankpercentile0.4460.3901Read failed0.2379Read failed
top-trader long ratioratio0.6390.642Read failed0.6422Read failed
top-versus-crowd long skewratio_difference-0.0566-0.0516Read failed-0.0439Read failed
Liquidations
Reading-24h-4h-1h-15m-1m
Cascade clusteringratio0.48980.4886Read failed0.4886Read failed
Liquidation intensityratio00Read failed0Read failed
Liquidations in the trailing hourusd00Read failed0Read failed
Longs liquidated in the trailing hourusd00Read failed0Read failed
Shorts liquidated in the trailing hourusd00Read failed0Read failed
Which side the trailing hour of liquidations fell onratioUnavailableUnavailableRead failedUnavailableRead failed

Highlighted cells meet the printed fixed rule. This does not establish rarity, statistical significance or a cause of the move. Book readings describe the best quotes, not full-depth liquidity; liquidation readings describe what the venue reported.

Highlighted readings and exact search conditions

Highlighted readings meet fixed rules, not a statistical-significance test. The observed value and proposed search condition are different: a condition rounds a value or selects an interval for a repeatable search.

Could not read 1 minute and 1 hour before the move. The engine did not answer for those minutes, so nothing is claimed about them. Reload to try again.

  1. -24h2026-09-13 05:00 UTC

    At 24 hours before the move, 11 of the 65 readings met a highlight rule.

    the descending resistance line active_4hthe distance from price back to the broken descending resistance -0.5 to 0.5how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the descending resistance broke 12 to 720the short descending resistance line active_4hhow many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720the support under the short descending resistance fallinghow many times price has touched the short descending resistance ≥ 3the support under the descending resistance fallinghow many times price has touched the descending resistance ≥ 3
    Show the full readings
    READINGBEFORE THE MOVESEARCHES FOR
    the descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_activeactive_4hactive_4h
    the distance from price back to the broken descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_broken_dist_atr-0.4335-0.5 to 0.5
    how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches6≥ 3
    how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break4412 to 720
    the short descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_short_activeactive_4hactive_4h
    how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches3≥ 3
    how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break4512 to 720
    the support under the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_supportfallingfalling
    how many times price has touched the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_touches4≥ 3
    the support under the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_supportfallingfalling
    how many times price has touched the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_touches4≥ 3
  2. -4h2026-09-14 01:00 UTC

    At 4 hours before the move, 12 of the 65 readings met a highlight rule.

    Containment · 15m insidethe descending resistance line active_boththe distance from price back to the broken descending resistance -0.5 to 0.5how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the descending resistance broke 12 to 720the short descending resistance line active_4hhow many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720the support under the short descending resistance fallinghow many times price has touched the short descending resistance ≥ 3the support under the descending resistance flathow many times price has touched the descending resistance ≥ 3
    Show the full readings
    READINGBEFORE THE MOVESEARCHES FOR
    Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15minsideinside
    the descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_activeactive_bothactive_both
    the distance from price back to the broken descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_broken_dist_atr0.2433-0.5 to 0.5
    how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches6≥ 3
    how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break6412 to 720
    the short descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_short_activeactive_4hactive_4h
    how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches3≥ 3
    how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break6512 to 720
    the support under the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_supportfallingfalling
    how many times price has touched the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_touches4≥ 3
    the support under the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_supportflatflat
    how many times price has touched the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_touches4≥ 3
  3. -15m2026-09-14 04:45 UTC

    At 15 minutes before the move, 18 of the 65 readings met a highlight rule.

    Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.87Compression · 15m ≥ 3.1Engulfing · 15m bullishthe descending resistance line active_boththe distance from price back to the broken descending resistance -0.5 to 0.5how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3the distance from price to the descending resistance 0 to 1how long ago the descending resistance broke 12 to 720the short descending resistance line active_4hhow many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720the support under the short descending resistance fallinghow many times price has touched the short descending resistance ≥ 3the support under the descending resistance flathow many times price has touched the descending resistance ≥ 3Realized vol percentile ≥ 0.99Return · 15m ≥ 0.015Taker buy share · 15m ≥ 0.78
    Show the full readings
    READINGBEFORE THE MOVESEARCHES FOR
    Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance-0.8727≤ -0.87
    Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m3.103≥ 3.1
    Engulfing · 15m feature.candle_engulfing_15mbullishbullish
    the descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_activeactive_bothactive_both
    the distance from price back to the broken descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_broken_dist_atr-0.1613-0.5 to 0.5
    how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches6≥ 3
    the distance from price to the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_dist_atr0.88690 to 1
    how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break67.7512 to 720
    the short descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_short_activeactive_4hactive_4h
    how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches3≥ 3
    how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break68.7512 to 720
    the support under the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_supportfallingfalling
    how many times price has touched the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_touches4≥ 3
    the support under the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_supportflatflat
    how many times price has touched the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_touches4≥ 3
    Realized vol percentile feature.realized_vol_pctrank0.9983≥ 0.99
    Return · 15m feature.ret_15m0.01564≥ 0.015
    Taker buy share · 15m feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m0.7869≥ 0.78

Point the research surface at any past minute yourself PRO

Historical comparison

Exact setup countedContainment · 15m inside and the descending resistance line active_both and the distance from price back to the broken descending resistance -0.5 to 0.5 · Read at 4 hours before the move.These are the printed conditions only. The selected detector family does not change this automatically proposed combination. Edit it before testing the full recipe.

What the record says

The selected move lasts 36 hours. This comparison measures 72 hours after each historical match. Changing it uses the existing result.

Too few completed windows for a directional generalization.

OutcomeMatching setupSame-market referenceDifference
Finished at least 2% higher2 / 11 (18.2%)0 unavailable12,119 / 38,148 (31.8%)5053 unavailableNot reported
Finished at least 2% lower4 / 11 (36.4%)0 unavailable17,068 / 38,148 (44.7%)5053 unavailableNot reported
Reached +5% at any point5 / 11 (45.5%)0 unavailable24,084 / 38,504 (62.5%)4697 unavailableNot reported
Reached -5% at any point11 / 11 (100.0%)0 unavailable26,178 / 38,504 (68.0%)4697 unavailableNot reported

Reference: eligible minutes in the same market and scan period, without the proposed conditions. The 30-window reporting floor is not a significance test. Overlapping windows and shared market events can reduce independent evidence. Conditions were selected after seeing this move; confirmation needs unseen data.

Does this setup hold across its sector?

Open the proposed study with starting defaults. Review the evidence, refine the idea, then save it or monitor it if useful.

Multiple recorded sectors: sector_ai, sector_crypto. Choose one explicitly.

Starting defaults and coverage

Starting defaults: 2026-08-21 to 2026-09-20 UTC; finishes up 2% or more after 1 hour. Review or change the markets, dates, conditions and outcome before running. Current recorded classification and sector tags, not point-in-time membership. Historical membership may differ. Instrument history does not guarantee every setup input or outcome is present; actual study exclusions remain authoritative.

Choose a different recorded sector

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Choose the study population explicitly: This market only · All recorded crypto perpetuals

Watch the ignition replay Free replay covers the latest fully archived UTC day on 6 major markets. Pro reaches 90 days; Research reaches the whole recorded order book, which begins 15 May 2026. Earlier days are searchable but hold no book, so they cannot be replayed. Access is checked when you open a replay.

Evidence and counting
feature.candle_containment_15m + feature.desc_resistance_active + feature.desc_resistance_broken_dist_atr

Read at 4 hours before the move.

Of the 11 fires, 10 came before the move began and 1 happened while it was already under way. A fire during the move sees it; it does not telegraph it.

About 0.4 a day over 31 days, but 2026-08-21 alone holds 73% of them: this is close to a single episode.

q#06121c07 @ dataset fbafe5a9

This is not a similarity search. Each count matches the exact readings above and nothing else.

Picked in hindsight: the counts include every other time these readings appeared, not just this move.

Fires often arrive as clusters of consecutive minutes, and forward windows overlap. A cluster is one episode, not many independent trials.

If these counts read weaker than the move suggested, that is the tool working: the lead-up of a picked move always looks special until it is counted everywhere else.

Also counted

Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.87 and Compression · 15m ≥ 3.1 and Realized vol percentile ≥ 0.998 matches, 5 rose, 3 fell
feature.book_imbalance + feature.candle_compression_15m + feature.realized_vol_pctrank

Read at 15 minutes before the move.

5 rose and 3 fell over 8 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.

Of the 8 fires, 6 came before the move began; none were during it.

About 0.3 a day, on 8 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.

q#8fd15777 @ dataset fbafe5a9
the descending resistance line active_4h and the distance from price back to the broken descending resistance -0.5 to 0.5 and how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested ≥ 34 matches, 1 rose, 3 fell
feature.desc_resistance_active + feature.desc_resistance_broken_dist_atr + feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches

Read at 24 hours before the move.

1 rose and 3 fell over 4 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.

Of the 4 fires, 4 came before the move began; none were during it.

About 0.1 a day over 31 days, but 2026-09-12 alone holds 75% of them: this is close to a single episode.

q#768bc1ac @ dataset fbafe5a9

Every night the record counts what fired and what usually followed: the daily brief.

No account? Replay a real move tick by tick, free: TUT short squeeze · 9 Aug 2026.