Change market, time or detector

All times are UTC. Chart history only changes the display. Historical comparisons use the 30 days before the selected start and measure their own outcome horizon.

Move read

BYDUSDT rose into Sep 17

+5.7%

Move window

Move window: 2026-09-17 02:00 to 2026-09-17 14:00 UTC.

12 hours. The automatic start is the last covered hourly candle touching the bottom 5% of the episode range (top 5% for a fall), measured using the eventual extreme. It is a hindsight anchor, not a detected causal onset. Change the start above to inspect a later acceleration. The end marks the hour containing the price extreme, not an exact tick.

Stored analytical feature coverage for BYDUSDT ends 2026-09-20 00:00 UTC (exclusive). Price candles can continue beyond it; feature availability and tick replay are separate.

The feature manifest spans the lead-up. Individual minutes or inputs can still be unavailable.

16 historical matches for the proposed conditions. This is an exploratory investigation. The combined trendline, compression and microstructure hypothesis still needs validation.

> Full BYDUSDT research page

Explore the move and its lead-up

Price history: lead-up and selected move

Hourly candles. The marked lines are the minutes the readings came from: 1 minute, 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours and 24 hours before the selected start. These five samples test the lead-up only, not the full move. Use the minute inspector to explore during or after the move.

Explore historical state

Current-minute reads are free after sign-in. Pro and Research include historical-minute inspection and comparison with an hour earlier.

Past readings use stored inputs where available. Recent minutes may use the live buffer and are labelled unpinned. Missing minutes remain visible.

Read the available analytical inputs at one minute, including measurements over the preceding windows. Compare with an hour earlier, then take a reading into Research to test it. Dates are UTC.

These additional reads are separate from the five pre-start samples. Observations during or after the selected move describe what had already happened; they are not advance evidence.

Selected time: 2026-09-17 02:00 UTC. During the selected move: hindsight. Choose Read this minute to request it. Missing minutes remain unavailable.

Before the time above:

Follow positioning and flow through the move

Read 17 sampled minutes from the selected start through one hour after the selected end. The peak hour has extra 15-minute samples. The end marks the peak hour, not the exact peak tick. These are separate snapshots, not a continuous tape or an advance-warning test.

Historical access applies. Reads preserve each source revision; missing values stay unavailable. Contract OI, turnover and direct spot basis are not supplied by this table. Published premium is a different measure from direct basis.

No additional reads have run.

The OI score measures absolute USD-notional change, not signed contract growth. Zero 15-second liquidation intensity can coexist with substantial hourly liquidations. Binance liquidation amounts are observed publications, not complete venue totals.

Pre-start evidence: five separate snapshots

Geometry and microstructure, on the same clock

Read left to right: 24h → 4h → 1h → 15m → 1m before the selected start. These are five snapshots, not a continuous tape. Neutral readings stay visible; unavailable values are never zero.

Descending resistance

Reading	-24h	-4h	-1h	-15m	-1m
Time since resistance breakhours	Unavailable	Unavailable	Unavailable	Unavailable	Unavailable
Resistance line spandays	Unavailable	Unavailable	Unavailable	Unavailable	Unavailable
Resistance touchescount	Unavailable	Unavailable	Unavailable	Unavailable	Unavailable
Touches before resistance breakcount	Unavailable	Unavailable	Unavailable	Unavailable	Unavailable
Line ATR contractionmultiple	Unavailable	Unavailable	Unavailable	Unavailable	Unavailable
Resistance line statelabel	Unavailable	Unavailable	Unavailable	Unavailable	Unavailable
Distance to broken resistancemultiple	Unavailable	Unavailable	Unavailable	Unavailable	Unavailable
Distance to resistancemultiple	Unavailable	Unavailable	Unavailable	Unavailable	Unavailable
Support shapelabel	Unavailable	Unavailable	Unavailable	Unavailable	Unavailable

Candle compression

Reading	-24h	-4h	-1h	-15m	-1m
last 15-minute candle range versus its baselinemultiple · Highlight: ≤ 0.5 or ≥ 2	2.625	0	1.2	13	13
last four-hour candle range versus its baselinemultiple · Highlight: ≤ 0.5 or ≥ 2	0.6154	0.6923	0.3429	0.3429	0.3429
last one-hour candle range versus its baselinemultiple	4	0.7273	0.7273	0.7273	0.7273

Order book

Reading	-24h	-4h	-1h	-15m	-1m
Order-book imbalanceratio	-0.1663	0.4693	0.09539	-0.6461	-0.3256
normalized spreadratio	0.1993	0.3972	0.3968	0.4004	0.2001
order-book imbalance rankpercentile	0.7962	0.4492	0.1139	0.7452	0.212

Trade flow

Reading	-24h	-4h	-1h	-15m	-1m
Informed-trading pressureratio	0.5022	0.4611	0.4624	0.4895	0.4862
Net taker flow over the trailing four hoursratio	0.05625	-0.1547	-0.1052	-0.2813	-0.2165
Net taker flow over the trailing hourratio	-0.02924	-0.6665	-0.4867	-0.3412	-0.2455
large-trade share of recent flowratio	0	0	0	0	0
taker-buy share of recent flowratio	0.3599	1	0.08592	0.1173	0.4608
VPIN regimelabel · Highlight: State other than none or normal	elevated	elevated	elevated	elevated	elevated
Turnover against its recent hoursratio	Unavailable	Unavailable	Unavailable	Unavailable	Unavailable

Funding and positioning

Reading	-24h	-4h	-1h	-15m	-1m
Funding minus premium indexsigned_fraction	-0.002298	0.0003795	0.0003795	-0.003249	-0.003759
Minutes until funding settlesminutes	360	120	420	375	361
Premium index change over 1hsigned_fraction	0.002297	0	0	0.003629	0.004138
Premium index rank over 30dpercentile	Unavailable	Unavailable	Unavailable	Unavailable	Unavailable
Published premium indexsigned_fraction	0.002297	0	0	0.003629	0.004138
funding raterate	-6e-7	0.0003795	0.0003795	0.0003795	0.0003795
global long ratioratio	0.8224	0.8313	0.8301	0.8325	0.832
hourly change in open contractssigned_fraction	0.00408	Unavailable	Unavailable	Unavailable	0.02766
normalized funding rateratio	0.0002	0.1265	0.1265	0.1265	0.1265
open-interest velocity rankpercentile	0.3616	0.3615	0.3605	0.8111	0.5498
top-trader long ratioratio	0.7602	0.7747	0.7757	0.7772	0.7812
top-versus-crowd long skewratio_difference	-0.0622	-0.0566	-0.0544	-0.0553	-0.0508

Liquidations

Reading	-24h	-4h	-1h	-15m	-1m
Cascade clusteringratio · Highlight: ≥ 0.5	0.6241	0.6292	0.6303	0.6318	0.6318
Liquidation intensityratio	0	0	0	0	0
Liquidations in the trailing hourusd	0	0	7.97	614.2	606.2
Longs liquidated in the trailing hourusd	0	0	0	606.2	606.2
Shorts liquidated in the trailing hourusd	0	0	7.97	7.97	0
Which side the trailing hour of liquidations fell onratio	Unavailable	Unavailable	1	-0.974	-1

Highlighted cells meet the printed fixed rule. This does not establish rarity, statistical significance or a cause of the move. Book readings describe the best quotes, not full-depth liquidity; liquidation readings describe what the venue reported.

Highlighted readings and exact search conditions

Highlighted readings meet fixed rules, not a statistical-significance test. The observed value and proposed search condition are different: a condition rounds a value or selects an interval for a repeatable search.

-24h2026-09-16 02:00 UTC

At 24 hours before the move, 7 of the 65 readings met a highlight rule.

Compression · 15m ≥ 2.6Compression · 1h ≥ 3.9Sweep + reclaim · 1h bullishCascade clustering ≥ 0.62Realized vol percentile ≥ 0.98Toxic flow (VPIN) ≥ 0.5VPIN regime elevated

Show the full readings

READING	BEFORE THE MOVE	SEARCHES FOR
Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m	2.625	≥ 2.6
Compression · 1h feature.candle_compression_1h	4	≥ 3.9
Sweep + reclaim · 1h feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_1h	bullish	bullish
Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index	0.6241	≥ 0.62
Realized vol percentile feature.realized_vol_pctrank	0.9859	≥ 0.98
Toxic flow (VPIN) feature.vpin	0.5022	≥ 0.5
VPIN regime feature.vpin_regime	elevated	elevated

-4h2026-09-16 22:00 UTC

At 4 hours before the move, 4 of the 65 readings met a highlight rule.

Compression · 15mCascade clustering ≥ 0.62Taker buy share · 15m ≥ 1VPIN regime elevated

Show the full readings

READING	BEFORE THE MOVE	SEARCHES FOR
Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m	0
Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index	0.6292	≥ 0.62
Taker buy share · 15m feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m	1	≥ 1
VPIN regime feature.vpin_regime	elevated	elevated

-1h2026-09-17 01:00 UTC

At 1 hour before the move, 4 of the 65 readings met a highlight rule.

Compression · 4h ≤ 0.35Cascade clustering ≥ 0.63Taker buy share · 15m ≤ 0.086VPIN regime elevated

Show the full readings

READING	BEFORE THE MOVE	SEARCHES FOR
Compression · 4h feature.candle_compression_4h	0.3429	≤ 0.35
Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index	0.6303	≥ 0.63
Taker buy share · 15m feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m	0.08592	≤ 0.086
VPIN regime feature.vpin_regime	elevated	elevated

-15m2026-09-17 01:45 UTC

At 15 minutes before the move, 7 of the 65 readings met a highlight rule.

Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.64Compression · 15m ≥ 12Compression · 4h ≤ 0.35Cascade clustering ≥ 0.63Return · 15m ≤ -0.011Taker buy share · 15m ≤ 0.12VPIN regime elevated

Show the full readings

READING	BEFORE THE MOVE	SEARCHES FOR
Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance	-0.6461	≤ -0.64
Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m	13	≥ 12
Compression · 4h feature.candle_compression_4h	0.3429	≤ 0.35
Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index	0.6318	≥ 0.63
Return · 15m feature.ret_15m	-0.01188	≤ -0.011
Taker buy share · 15m feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m	0.1173	≤ 0.12
VPIN regime feature.vpin_regime	elevated	elevated

-1m2026-09-17 01:59 UTC

At 1 minute before the move, 5 of the 65 readings met a highlight rule.

Compression · 15m ≥ 12Compression · 4h ≤ 0.35Cascade clustering ≥ 0.63Realized vol percentile ≥ 0.9VPIN regime elevated

Show the full readings

READING	BEFORE THE MOVE	SEARCHES FOR
Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m	13	≥ 12
Compression · 4h feature.candle_compression_4h	0.3429	≤ 0.35
Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index	0.6318	≥ 0.63
Realized vol percentile feature.realized_vol_pctrank	0.9021	≥ 0.9
VPIN regime feature.vpin_regime	elevated	elevated

Point the research surface at any past minute yourself PRO

Historical comparison

Exact setup countedCompression · 4h ≤ 0.35 and Cascade clustering ≥ 0.63 and Taker buy share · 15m ≤ 0.086 · Read at 1 hour before the move.These are the printed conditions only. The selected detector family does not change this automatically proposed combination. Edit it before testing the full recipe.

What the record says

Measure after

The selected move lasts 12 hours. This comparison measures 24 hours after each historical match. Changing it uses the existing result.

Reference unavailable.

Outcome	Matching setup	Same-market reference	Difference
Finished at least 2% higher	Unavailable16 unavailable	Unavailable	Not reported
Finished at least 2% lower	Unavailable16 unavailable	Unavailable	Not reported
Reached +5% at any point	0 / 1 (0.0%)15 unavailable	Unavailable	Not reported
Reached -5% at any point	0 / 1 (0.0%)15 unavailable	Unavailable	Not reported

Reference: eligible minutes in the same market and scan period, without the proposed conditions. The 30-window reporting floor is not a significance test. Overlapping windows and shared market events can reduce independent evidence. Conditions were selected after seeing this move; confirmation needs unseen data.

Does this setup hold across its sector?

Open the proposed study with starting defaults. Review the evidence, refine the idea, then save it or monitor it if useful.

What Research includes

Choose a recorded Binance crypto perpetual market with confirmed instrument classification.

Starting defaults and coverage

Starting defaults: 2026-08-21 to 2026-09-20 UTC; finishes up 2% or more after 1 hour. Review or change the markets, dates, conditions and outcome before running. Current recorded classification and sector tags, not point-in-time membership. Historical membership may differ. Instrument history does not guarantee every setup input or outcome is present; actual study exclusions remain authoritative.

Choose the study population explicitly: All recorded crypto perpetuals

Watch the ignition replay Free replay covers the latest fully archived UTC day on 6 major markets. Pro reaches 90 days; Research reaches the whole recorded order book, which begins 15 May 2026. Earlier days are searchable but hold no book, so they cannot be replayed. Access is checked when you open a replay.

Evidence and counting

feature.candle_compression_4h + feature.cascade_clustering_index + feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m

Read at 1 hour before the move.

Of the 16 fires, 1 came before the move began and 1 happened while it was already under way. A fire during the move sees it; it does not telegraph it.

About 0.5 a day over 31 days, but 2026-09-19 alone holds 88% of them: this is close to a single episode.

q#fc342e77 @ dataset fbafe5a9

This is not a similarity search. Each count matches the exact readings above and nothing else.

Picked in hindsight: the counts include every other time these readings appeared, not just this move.

Fires often arrive as clusters of consecutive minutes, and forward windows overlap. A cluster is one episode, not many independent trials.

If these counts read weaker than the move suggested, that is the tool working: the lead-up of a picked move always looks special until it is counted everywhere else.

Also counted

Compression · 15m ≥ 12 and Compression · 4h ≤ 0.35 and Realized vol percentile ≥ 0.9

feature.candle_compression_15m + feature.candle_compression_4h + feature.realized_vol_pctrank

Read at 1 minute before the move.

This count could not be run just now. The rest of the page stands.

Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.64 and Compression · 15m ≥ 12 and Compression · 4h ≤ 0.35

feature.book_imbalance + feature.candle_compression_15m + feature.candle_compression_4h

Read at 15 minutes before the move.

This count could not be run just now. The rest of the page stands.

Every night the record counts what fired and what usually followed: the daily brief.

No account? Replay a real move tick by tick, free: TUT short squeeze · 9 Aug 2026.