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Change market, time or detector

All times are UTC. Chart history only changes the display. Historical comparisons use the 30 days before the selected start and measure their own outcome horizon.

Move read

CYPHUSDT rose into Sep 19

+33%

Move window

Move window: 2026-09-18 13:00 to 2026-09-19 05:00 UTC.

16 hours. The automatic start is the last covered hourly candle touching the bottom 5% of the episode range (top 5% for a fall), measured using the eventual extreme. It is a hindsight anchor, not a detected causal onset. Change the start above to inspect a later acceleration. The end marks the hour containing the price extreme, not an exact tick.

Stored analytical feature coverage for CYPHUSDT ends 2026-09-20 00:00 UTC (exclusive). Price candles can continue beyond it; feature availability and tick replay are separate.

1 historical matches for the proposed conditions. This is an exploratory investigation. The combined trendline, compression and microstructure hypothesis still needs validation.

> Full CYPHUSDT research page

Explore the move and its lead-up

Price history: lead-up and selected move
selected startreadings taken here+33%2.90893.43334.0523Sep 18 09:00Sep 18 13:00Sep 19 09:00UTC · log price scale

Hourly candles. The marked lines are the minutes the readings came from: 1 minute, 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours and 24 hours before the selected start. These five samples test the lead-up only, not the full move. Use the minute inspector to explore during or after the move.

Explore historical state

Current-minute reads are free after sign-in. Pro and Research include historical-minute inspection and comparison with an hour earlier.

Past readings use stored inputs where available. Recent minutes may use the live buffer and are labelled unpinned. Missing minutes remain visible.

Read the available analytical inputs at one minute, including measurements over the preceding windows. Compare with an hour earlier, then take a reading into Research to test it. Dates are UTC.

These additional reads are separate from the five pre-start samples. Observations during or after the selected move describe what had already happened; they are not advance evidence.

Selected time: 2026-09-18 13:00 UTC. During the selected move: hindsight. Choose Read this minute to request it. Missing minutes remain unavailable.

Before the time above:

Follow positioning and flow through the move

Read 21 sampled minutes from the selected start through one hour after the selected end. The peak hour has extra 15-minute samples. The end marks the peak hour, not the exact peak tick. These are separate snapshots, not a continuous tape or an advance-warning test.

Historical access applies. Reads preserve each source revision; missing values stay unavailable. Contract OI, turnover and direct spot basis are not supplied by this table. Published premium is a different measure from direct basis.

No additional reads have run.

The OI score measures absolute USD-notional change, not signed contract growth. Zero 15-second liquidation intensity can coexist with substantial hourly liquidations. Binance liquidation amounts are observed publications, not complete venue totals.

Pre-start evidence: five separate snapshots

Geometry and microstructure, on the same clock

Read left to right: 24h → 4h → 1h → 15m → 1m before the selected start. These are five snapshots, not a continuous tape. Neutral readings stay visible; unavailable values are never zero.

Descending resistance
Reading-24h-4h-1h-15m-1m
Time since resistance breakhoursRead failedUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable
Resistance line spandaysRead failedUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable
Resistance touchescountRead failedUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable
Touches before resistance breakcountRead failedUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable
Line ATR contractionmultipleRead failedUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable
Resistance line statelabelRead failedUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable
Distance to broken resistancemultipleRead failedUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable
Distance to resistancemultipleRead failedUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable
Support shapelabelRead failedUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable
Candle compression
Reading-24h-4h-1h-15m-1m
last 15-minute candle range versus its baselinemultipleRead failedUnavailableUnavailable1.2211.221
last four-hour candle range versus its baselinemultipleRead failedUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable
last one-hour candle range versus its baselinemultipleRead failedUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable
Order book
Reading-24h-4h-1h-15m-1m
Order-book imbalanceratio · Highlight: ≤ -0.5 or ≥ 0.5Read failedUnavailable0.1372-0.9673-0.6892
normalized spreadratioRead failedUnavailable0.32270.19860.4004
order-book imbalance rankpercentileRead failedUnavailable0.033690.84060.6823
Trade flow
Reading-24h-4h-1h-15m-1m
Informed-trading pressureratioRead failedUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable
Net taker flow over the trailing four hoursratioRead failedUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable
Net taker flow over the trailing hourratioRead failedUnavailable0.1319-0.0648-0.09158
large-trade share of recent flowratioRead failedUnavailable000
taker-buy share of recent flowratioRead failedUnavailable0.56010.50030.4715
VPIN regimelabelRead failedUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable
Turnover against its recent hoursratioRead failedUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable
Funding and positioning
Reading-24h-4h-1h-15m-1m
Funding minus premium indexsigned_fractionRead failedUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable
Minutes until funding settlesminutesRead failed420240195181
Premium index change over 1hsigned_fractionRead failed0-0.001359-0.0033040.0004974
Premium index rank over 30dpercentileRead failedUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable
Published premium indexsigned_fractionRead failed000.0011230.0004974
funding raterateRead failedUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable
global long ratioratioRead failedUnavailable0.52990.61480.5549
hourly change in open contractssigned_fractionRead failedUnavailableUnavailable0.51390.5407
normalized funding rateratioRead failedUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable
open-interest velocity rankpercentileRead failedUnavailable0.064350.49660.1759
top-trader long ratioratioRead failedUnavailable0.64970.65660.5716
top-versus-crowd long skewratio_differenceRead failedUnavailable0.11980.04180.0167
Liquidations
Reading-24h-4h-1h-15m-1m
Cascade clusteringratioRead failedUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable
Liquidation intensityratioRead failedUnavailable000
Liquidations in the trailing hourusdRead failed0430.3588.8595.3
Longs liquidated in the trailing hourusdRead failed0430.3588.8595.3
Shorts liquidated in the trailing hourusdRead failed0000
Which side the trailing hour of liquidations fell onratioRead failedUnavailable-1-1-1

Highlighted cells meet the printed fixed rule. This does not establish rarity, statistical significance or a cause of the move. Book readings describe the best quotes, not full-depth liquidity; liquidation readings describe what the venue reported.

Highlighted readings and exact search conditions

Highlighted readings meet fixed rules, not a statistical-significance test. The observed value and proposed search condition are different: a condition rounds a value or selects an interval for a repeatable search.

Could not read 24 hours before the move. The engine did not answer for those minutes, so nothing is claimed about them. Reload to try again.

  1. -4h2026-09-18 09:00 UTC

    At 4 hours before the move, none of the 65 readings met a highlight rule.

  2. -1h2026-09-18 12:00 UTC

    At 1 hour before the move, 6 of the 65 readings met a highlight rule.

    Book imbalance percentile ≤ 0.034Lower wick · 15m ≥ 0.69OI change magnitude score ≤ 0.065Realized vol percentile ≥ 0.99Return · 1h ≤ -0.03VWAP distance · day ≤ -0.033
    Show the full readings
    READINGBEFORE THE MOVESEARCHES FOR
    Book imbalance percentile feature.book_imbalance_pctrank0.03369≤ 0.034
    Lower wick · 15m feature.candle_lower_wick_15m0.6981≥ 0.69
    OI change magnitude score feature.oi_velocity_pctrank0.06435≤ 0.065
    Realized vol percentile feature.realized_vol_pctrank0.9998≥ 0.99
    Return · 1h feature.ret_1h-0.03004≤ -0.03
    VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist-0.03379≤ -0.033
  3. -15m2026-09-18 12:45 UTC

    At 15 minutes before the move, 4 of the 65 readings met a highlight rule.

    Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.96Realized vol percentile ≥ 0.99Return · 1h ≤ -0.028VWAP distance · day ≤ -0.046
    Show the full readings
    READINGBEFORE THE MOVESEARCHES FOR
    Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance-0.9673≤ -0.96
    Realized vol percentile feature.realized_vol_pctrank0.9971≥ 0.99
    Return · 1h feature.ret_1h-0.02895≤ -0.028
    VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist-0.04668≤ -0.046
  4. -1m2026-09-18 12:59 UTC

    At 1 minute before the move, 4 of the 65 readings met a highlight rule.

    Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.68Realized vol percentile ≥ 0.99Return · 1h ≤ -0.032VWAP distance · day ≤ -0.045
    Show the full readings
    READINGBEFORE THE MOVESEARCHES FOR
    Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance-0.6892≤ -0.68
    Realized vol percentile feature.realized_vol_pctrank0.9908≥ 0.99
    Return · 1h feature.ret_1h-0.03258≤ -0.032
    VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist-0.046≤ -0.045

Point the research surface at any past minute yourself PRO

Historical comparison

Exact setup countedBook imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.68 and Realized vol percentile ≥ 0.99 and Return · 1h ≤ -0.032 · Read at 1 minute before the move.These are the printed conditions only. The selected detector family does not change this automatically proposed combination. Edit it before testing the full recipe.

What the record says

The selected move lasts 16 hours. This comparison measures 24 hours after each historical match. Changing it uses the existing result.

Too few completed windows for a directional generalization.

OutcomeMatching setupSame-market referenceDifference
Finished at least 2% higher1 / 1 (100.0%)0 unavailable654 / 696 (94.0%)42505 unavailableNot reported
Finished at least 2% lower0 / 1 (0.0%)0 unavailable0 / 696 (0.0%)42505 unavailableNot reported
Reached +5% at any point1 / 1 (100.0%)0 unavailable772 / 837 (92.2%)42364 unavailableNot reported
Reached -5% at any point0 / 1 (0.0%)0 unavailable304 / 837 (36.3%)42364 unavailableNot reported

Reference: eligible minutes in the same market and scan period, without the proposed conditions. The 30-window reporting floor is not a significance test. Overlapping windows and shared market events can reduce independent evidence. Conditions were selected after seeing this move; confirmation needs unseen data.

Does this setup hold across its sector?

Open the proposed study with starting defaults. Review the evidence, refine the idea, then save it or monitor it if useful.

What Research includes

Choose a recorded Binance crypto perpetual market with confirmed instrument classification.

Starting defaults and coverage

Starting defaults: 2026-08-21 to 2026-09-20 UTC; finishes up 2% or more after 1 hour. Review or change the markets, dates, conditions and outcome before running. Current recorded classification and sector tags, not point-in-time membership. Historical membership may differ. Instrument history does not guarantee every setup input or outcome is present; actual study exclusions remain authoritative.

Choose the study population explicitly: All recorded crypto perpetuals

Watch the ignition replay Free replay covers the latest fully archived UTC day on 6 major markets. Pro reaches 90 days; Research reaches the whole recorded order book, which begins 15 May 2026. Earlier days are searchable but hold no book, so they cannot be replayed. Access is checked when you open a replay.

Evidence and counting
feature.book_imbalance + feature.realized_vol_pctrank + feature.ret_1h

Read at 1 minute before the move.

Its one fire came before the move began.

About 0 a day over 31 days, but 2026-09-18 alone holds 100% of them: this is close to a single episode.

q#b5a5ee62 @ dataset fbafe5a9

This is not a similarity search. Each count matches the exact readings above and nothing else.

Picked in hindsight: the counts include every other time these readings appeared, not just this move.

Fires often arrive as clusters of consecutive minutes, and forward windows overlap. A cluster is one episode, not many independent trials.

If these counts read weaker than the move suggested, that is the tool working: the lead-up of a picked move always looks special until it is counted everywhere else.

Also counted

Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.96 and Realized vol percentile ≥ 0.99 and Return · 1h ≤ -0.0281 match, 1 rose, 0 fell
feature.book_imbalance + feature.realized_vol_pctrank + feature.ret_1h

Read at 15 minutes before the move.

1 rose and 0 fell over 1 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.

Its one fire came before the move began.

About 0 a day over 31 days, but 2026-09-18 alone holds 100% of them: this is close to a single episode.

q#f0fb692a @ dataset fbafe5a9
Book imbalance percentile ≤ 0.034 and OI change magnitude score ≤ 0.065 and Realized vol percentile ≥ 0.991 match
feature.book_imbalance_pctrank + feature.oi_velocity_pctrank + feature.realized_vol_pctrank

Read at 1 hour before the move.

No forward window has completed yet, so no direction is claimed. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.

Its one fire came before the move began.

About 0 a day over 31 days, but 2026-09-18 alone holds 100% of them: this is close to a single episode.

q#cfd3fe1f @ dataset fbafe5a9

Every night the record counts what fired and what usually followed: the daily brief.

No account? Replay a real move tick by tick, free: TUT short squeeze · 9 Aug 2026.