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Change market, time or detector

All times are UTC. Chart history only changes the display. Historical comparisons use the 30 days before the selected start and measure their own outcome horizon.

Move read

IONQUSDT rose into Sep 18

+16%

Move window

Move window: 2026-09-14 13:00 to 2026-09-18 08:00 UTC.

91 hours. The automatic start is the last covered hourly candle touching the bottom 5% of the episode range (top 5% for a fall), measured using the eventual extreme. It is a hindsight anchor, not a detected causal onset. Change the start above to inspect a later acceleration. The end marks the hour containing the price extreme, not an exact tick.

Stored analytical feature coverage for IONQUSDT ends 2026-09-20 00:00 UTC (exclusive). Price candles can continue beyond it; feature availability and tick replay are separate.

The feature manifest spans the lead-up. Individual minutes or inputs can still be unavailable.

5 historical matches for the proposed conditions. This is an exploratory investigation. The combined trendline, compression and microstructure hypothesis still needs validation.

> Full IONQUSDT research page

Explore the move and its lead-up

Price history: lead-up and selected move
selected startreadings taken here+16%34.854338.015741.4639Sep 13 11:00Sep 14 13:00Sep 18 12:00UTC · log price scale

Hourly candles. The marked lines are the minutes the readings came from: 1 minute, 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours and 24 hours before the selected start. These five samples test the lead-up only, not the full move. Use the minute inspector to explore during or after the move.

Explore historical state

Current-minute reads are free after sign-in. Pro and Research include historical-minute inspection and comparison with an hour earlier.

Past readings use stored inputs where available. Recent minutes may use the live buffer and are labelled unpinned. Missing minutes remain visible.

Read the available analytical inputs at one minute, including measurements over the preceding windows. Compare with an hour earlier, then take a reading into Research to test it. Dates are UTC.

These additional reads are separate from the five pre-start samples. Observations during or after the selected move describe what had already happened; they are not advance evidence.

Selected time: 2026-09-14 13:00 UTC. During the selected move: hindsight. Choose Read this minute to request it. Missing minutes remain unavailable.

Before the time above:

Follow positioning and flow through the move

Read 24 sampled minutes from the selected start through one hour after the selected end. The peak hour has extra 15-minute samples. The end marks the peak hour, not the exact peak tick. These are separate snapshots, not a continuous tape or an advance-warning test.

Historical access applies. Reads preserve each source revision; missing values stay unavailable. Contract OI, turnover and direct spot basis are not supplied by this table. Published premium is a different measure from direct basis.

No additional reads have run.

The OI score measures absolute USD-notional change, not signed contract growth. Zero 15-second liquidation intensity can coexist with substantial hourly liquidations. Binance liquidation amounts are observed publications, not complete venue totals.

Pre-start evidence: five separate snapshots

Geometry and microstructure, on the same clock

Read left to right: 24h → 4h → 1h → 15m → 1m before the selected start. These are five snapshots, not a continuous tape. Neutral readings stay visible; unavailable values are never zero.

Descending resistance
Reading-24h-4h-1h-15m-1m
Time since resistance breakhoursUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable
Resistance line spandaysUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable
Resistance touchescountUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable
Touches before resistance breakcountUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable
Line ATR contractionmultipleUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable
Resistance line statelabelUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable
Distance to broken resistancemultipleUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable
Distance to resistancemultipleUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable
Support shapelabelUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable
Candle compression
Reading-24h-4h-1h-15m-1m
last 15-minute candle range versus its baselinemultiple0.96771.4771.261.3261.326
last four-hour candle range versus its baselinemultiple1.1181.0521.1931.1931.193
last one-hour candle range versus its baselinemultiple0.58150.83791.0811.0811.081
Order book
Reading-24h-4h-1h-15m-1m
Order-book imbalanceratio · Highlight: ≤ -0.5 or ≥ 0.50.25340.9510.86460.95330.9596
normalized spreadratio0.16290.16810.056350.22610.2263
order-book imbalance rankpercentile0.19090.78720.83640.16080.8159
Trade flow
Reading-24h-4h-1h-15m-1m
Informed-trading pressureratio · Highlight: ≥ 0.50.33070.52590.54570.55050.5678
Net taker flow over the trailing four hoursratio-0.01875-0.1890.066620.160.1373
Net taker flow over the trailing hourratio-0.2699-0.14140.2310.05799-0.02934
large-trade share of recent flowratio00000
taker-buy share of recent flowratio · Highlight: ≤ 0.35 or ≥ 0.650.1140.38430.50.1640.3354
VPIN regimelabel · Highlight: State other than none or normalnormalelevatedelevatedelevatedelevated
Turnover against its recent hoursratioUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable
Funding and positioning
Reading-24h-4h-1h-15m-1m
Funding minus premium indexsigned_fraction0.00045680.00015070.00015070.00015070.0001507
Minutes until funding settlesminutes180420240195181
Premium index change over 1hsigned_fraction0-0.0014700-0.00008198
Premium index rank over 30dpercentileUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable
Published premium indexsigned_fraction00000
funding raterate0.00045680.00015070.00015070.00015070.0001507
global long ratioratio0.70130.72070.71220.70020.7022
hourly change in open contractssigned_fractionUnavailable-0.004583Unavailable-0.01324-0.009793
normalized funding rateratio0.15230.050230.050230.050230.05023
open-interest velocity rankpercentile0.29960.36030.40170.35150.4798
top-trader long ratioratio0.50850.4870.50520.50720.5075
top-versus-crowd long skewratio_difference-0.1928-0.2337-0.207-0.193-0.1947
Liquidations
Reading-24h-4h-1h-15m-1m
Cascade clusteringratio0.46880.470.47060.47060.471
Liquidation intensityratio00000
Liquidations in the trailing hourusd00741.3741.3526
Longs liquidated in the trailing hourusd00741.3741.3526
Shorts liquidated in the trailing hourusd00000
Which side the trailing hour of liquidations fell onratioUnavailableUnavailable-1-1-1

Highlighted cells meet the printed fixed rule. This does not establish rarity, statistical significance or a cause of the move. Book readings describe the best quotes, not full-depth liquidity; liquidation readings describe what the venue reported.

Highlighted readings and exact search conditions

Highlighted readings meet fixed rules, not a statistical-significance test. The observed value and proposed search condition are different: a condition rounds a value or selects an interval for a repeatable search.

  1. -24h2026-09-13 13:00 UTC

    At 24 hours before the move, 2 of the 65 readings met a highlight rule.

    Engulfing · 1h bearishTaker buy share · 15m ≤ 0.12
    Show the full readings
    READINGBEFORE THE MOVESEARCHES FOR
    Engulfing · 1h feature.candle_engulfing_1hbearishbearish
    Taker buy share · 15m feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m0.114≤ 0.12
  2. -4h2026-09-14 09:00 UTC

    At 4 hours before the move, 5 of the 65 readings met a highlight rule.

    Book imbalance · top levels ≥ 0.95Containment · 15m outsideSweep + reclaim · 1h bullishToxic flow (VPIN) ≥ 0.52VPIN regime elevated
    Show the full readings
    READINGBEFORE THE MOVESEARCHES FOR
    Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance0.951≥ 0.95
    Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15moutsideoutside
    Sweep + reclaim · 1h feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_1hbullishbullish
    Toxic flow (VPIN) feature.vpin0.5259≥ 0.52
    VPIN regime feature.vpin_regimeelevatedelevated
  3. -1h2026-09-14 12:00 UTC

    At 1 hour before the move, 5 of the 65 readings met a highlight rule.

    Book imbalance · top levels ≥ 0.86Sweep + reclaim · 15m bullishSweep + reclaim · 1h bullishToxic flow (VPIN) ≥ 0.54VPIN regime elevated
    Show the full readings
    READINGBEFORE THE MOVESEARCHES FOR
    Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance0.8646≥ 0.86
    Sweep + reclaim · 15m feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_15mbullishbullish
    Sweep + reclaim · 1h feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_1hbullishbullish
    Toxic flow (VPIN) feature.vpin0.5457≥ 0.54
    VPIN regime feature.vpin_regimeelevatedelevated
  4. -15m2026-09-14 12:45 UTC

    At 15 minutes before the move, 6 of the 65 readings met a highlight rule.

    Book imbalance · top levels ≥ 0.95Sweep + reclaim · 15m bullishSweep + reclaim · 1h bullishTaker buy share · 15m ≤ 0.17Toxic flow (VPIN) ≥ 0.55VPIN regime elevated
    Show the full readings
    READINGBEFORE THE MOVESEARCHES FOR
    Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance0.9533≥ 0.95
    Sweep + reclaim · 15m feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_15mbullishbullish
    Sweep + reclaim · 1h feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_1hbullishbullish
    Taker buy share · 15m feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m0.164≤ 0.17
    Toxic flow (VPIN) feature.vpin0.5505≥ 0.55
    VPIN regime feature.vpin_regimeelevatedelevated
  5. -1m2026-09-14 12:59 UTC

    At 1 minute before the move, 6 of the 65 readings met a highlight rule.

    Book imbalance · top levels ≥ 0.95Sweep + reclaim · 15m bullishSweep + reclaim · 1h bullishTaker buy share · 15m ≤ 0.34Toxic flow (VPIN) ≥ 0.56VPIN regime elevated
    Show the full readings
    READINGBEFORE THE MOVESEARCHES FOR
    Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance0.9596≥ 0.95
    Sweep + reclaim · 15m feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_15mbullishbullish
    Sweep + reclaim · 1h feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_1hbullishbullish
    Taker buy share · 15m feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m0.3354≤ 0.34
    Toxic flow (VPIN) feature.vpin0.5678≥ 0.56
    VPIN regime feature.vpin_regimeelevatedelevated

Point the research surface at any past minute yourself PRO

Historical comparison

Exact setup countedBook imbalance · top levels ≥ 0.86 and Sweep + reclaim · 15m bullish and Sweep + reclaim · 1h bullish · Read at 1 hour before the move.These are the printed conditions only. The selected detector family does not change this automatically proposed combination. Edit it before testing the full recipe.

What the record says

The selected move lasts 91 hours. This comparison measures 168 hours after each historical match. Changing it uses the existing result.

Too few completed windows for a directional generalization.

OutcomeMatching setupSame-market referenceDifference
Finished at least 2% higher1 / 2 (50.0%)3 unavailable2,316 / 6,473 (35.8%)36728 unavailableNot reported
Finished at least 2% lower1 / 2 (50.0%)3 unavailable3,148 / 6,473 (48.6%)36728 unavailableNot reported
Reached +5% at any point2 / 2 (100.0%)3 unavailable6,639 / 11,051 (60.1%)32150 unavailableNot reported
Reached -5% at any point1 / 2 (50.0%)3 unavailable8,983 / 11,051 (81.3%)32150 unavailableNot reported

Reference: eligible minutes in the same market and scan period, without the proposed conditions. The 30-window reporting floor is not a significance test. Overlapping windows and shared market events can reduce independent evidence. Conditions were selected after seeing this move; confirmation needs unseen data.

Does this setup hold across its sector?

Open the proposed study with starting defaults. Review the evidence, refine the idea, then save it or monitor it if useful.

What Research includes

Choose a recorded Binance crypto perpetual market with confirmed instrument classification.

Starting defaults and coverage

Starting defaults: 2026-08-21 to 2026-09-20 UTC; finishes up 2% or more after 1 hour. Review or change the markets, dates, conditions and outcome before running. Current recorded classification and sector tags, not point-in-time membership. Historical membership may differ. Instrument history does not guarantee every setup input or outcome is present; actual study exclusions remain authoritative.

Choose the study population explicitly: All recorded crypto perpetuals

Watch the ignition replay Free replay covers the latest fully archived UTC day on 6 major markets. Pro reaches 90 days; Research reaches the whole recorded order book, which begins 15 May 2026. Earlier days are searchable but hold no book, so they cannot be replayed. Access is checked when you open a replay.

Evidence and counting
feature.book_imbalance + feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_15m + feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_1h

Read at 1 hour before the move.

Of the 5 fires, 4 came before the move began; none were during it.

About 0.2 a day over 31 days, but 2026-09-14 alone holds 40% of them: this is close to a single episode.

q#cba9cbb5 @ dataset fbafe5a9

This is not a similarity search. Each count matches the exact readings above and nothing else.

Picked in hindsight: the counts include every other time these readings appeared, not just this move.

Fires often arrive as clusters of consecutive minutes, and forward windows overlap. A cluster is one episode, not many independent trials.

If these counts read weaker than the move suggested, that is the tool working: the lead-up of a picked move always looks special until it is counted everywhere else.

Also counted

Book imbalance · top levels ≥ 0.95 and Sweep + reclaim · 15m bullish and Sweep + reclaim · 1h bullish4 matches, 2 rose, 0 fell
feature.book_imbalance + feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_15m + feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_1h

Read at 1 minute before the move.

2 rose and 0 fell over 2 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.

Of the 4 fires, 3 came before the move began; none were during it.

About 0.1 a day, on 4 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.

q#541a9be9 @ dataset fbafe5a9
Book imbalance · top levels ≥ 0.95 and Containment · 15m outside and Sweep + reclaim · 1h bullish6 matches, 3 rose, 1 fell
feature.book_imbalance + feature.candle_containment_15m + feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_1h

Read at 4 hours before the move.

3 rose and 1 fell over 4 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.

Of the 6 fires, 4 came before the move began and 1 happened while it was already under way. A fire during the move sees it; it does not telegraph it.

About 0.2 a day, on 6 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.

q#acb8eba9 @ dataset fbafe5a9

Every night the record counts what fired and what usually followed: the daily brief.

No account? Replay a real move tick by tick, free: TUT short squeeze · 9 Aug 2026.