Change market, time or detector

All times are UTC. Chart history only changes the display. Historical comparisons use the 30 days before the selected start and measure their own outcome horizon.

Move read

RVNUSDT rose into Sep 20

+16%

Move window

Move window: 2026-09-16 18:00 to 2026-09-20 00:00 UTC.

78 hours. The automatic start is the last covered hourly candle touching the bottom 5% of the episode range (top 5% for a fall), measured using the eventual extreme. It is a hindsight anchor, not a detected causal onset. Change the start above to inspect a later acceleration. The end marks the hour containing the price extreme, not an exact tick.

Stored analytical feature coverage for RVNUSDT ends 2026-09-20 00:00 UTC (exclusive). Price candles can continue beyond it; feature availability and tick replay are separate.

The feature manifest spans the lead-up. Individual minutes or inputs can still be unavailable.

27 historical matches for the proposed conditions. This is an exploratory investigation. The combined trendline, compression and microstructure hypothesis still needs validation.

> Full RVNUSDT research page

Explore the move and its lead-up

Price history: lead-up and selected move

Hourly candles. The marked lines are the minutes the readings came from: 1 minute, 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours and 24 hours before the selected start. These five samples test the lead-up only, not the full move. Use the minute inspector to explore during or after the move.

Explore historical state

Current-minute reads are free after sign-in. Pro and Research include historical-minute inspection and comparison with an hour earlier.

Past readings use stored inputs where available. Recent minutes may use the live buffer and are labelled unpinned. Missing minutes remain visible.

Read the available analytical inputs at one minute, including measurements over the preceding windows. Compare with an hour earlier, then take a reading into Research to test it. Dates are UTC.

These additional reads are separate from the five pre-start samples. Observations during or after the selected move describe what had already happened; they are not advance evidence.

Selected time: 2026-09-16 18:00 UTC. During the selected move: hindsight. Choose Read this minute to request it. Missing minutes remain unavailable.

Before the time above:

Follow positioning and flow through the move

Read 25 sampled minutes from the selected start through one hour after the selected end. The peak hour has extra 15-minute samples. The end marks the peak hour, not the exact peak tick. These are separate snapshots, not a continuous tape or an advance-warning test.

Historical access applies. Reads preserve each source revision; missing values stay unavailable. Contract OI, turnover and direct spot basis are not supplied by this table. Published premium is a different measure from direct basis.

No additional reads have run.

The OI score measures absolute USD-notional change, not signed contract growth. Zero 15-second liquidation intensity can coexist with substantial hourly liquidations. Binance liquidation amounts are observed publications, not complete venue totals.

Pre-start evidence: five separate snapshots

Geometry and microstructure, on the same clock

Read left to right: 24h → 4h → 1h → 15m → 1m before the selected start. These are five snapshots, not a continuous tape. Neutral readings stay visible; unavailable values are never zero.

Descending resistance

Reading	-24h	-4h	-1h	-15m	-1m
Time since resistance breakhours	Unavailable	Unavailable	Unavailable	Unavailable	Unavailable
Resistance line spandays	Unavailable	Unavailable	Unavailable	Unavailable	Unavailable
Resistance touchescount	Unavailable	Unavailable	Unavailable	Unavailable	Unavailable
Touches before resistance breakcount	Unavailable	Unavailable	Unavailable	Unavailable	Unavailable
Line ATR contractionmultiple	Unavailable	Unavailable	Unavailable	Unavailable	Unavailable
Resistance line statelabel	none	none	none	none	none
Distance to broken resistancemultiple	Unavailable	Unavailable	Unavailable	Unavailable	Unavailable
Distance to resistancemultiple	Unavailable	Unavailable	Unavailable	Unavailable	Unavailable
Support shapelabel	Unavailable	Unavailable	Unavailable	Unavailable	Unavailable

Candle compression

Reading	-24h	-4h	-1h	-15m	-1m
last 15-minute candle range versus its baselinemultiple · Highlight: ≤ 0.5 or ≥ 2	0.7253	0.9302	0.9231	2.557	2.557
last four-hour candle range versus its baselinemultiple · Highlight: ≤ 0.5 or ≥ 2	1.213	0.8036	0.4744	0.4744	0.4744
last one-hour candle range versus its baselinemultiple	0.9552	0.817	0.6842	0.6842	0.6842

Order book

Reading	-24h	-4h	-1h	-15m	-1m
Order-book imbalanceratio · Highlight: ≤ -0.5 or ≥ 0.5	-0.3841	0.7328	0.06957	0.6332	-0.777
normalized spreadratio	0.09392	0.09778	0.0983	0.09978	0.09899
order-book imbalance rankpercentile · Highlight: ≤ 0.1 or ≥ 0.9	0.04516	0.7568	0.05449	0.7897	0.9288

Trade flow

Reading	-24h	-4h	-1h	-15m	-1m
Informed-trading pressureratio	0.363	0.3232	0.3201	0.3412	0.3369
Net taker flow over the trailing four hoursratio	-0.03462	-0.02161	-0.008814	-0.19	-0.1567
Net taker flow over the trailing hourratio	0.1327	0.1346	-0.06857	-0.43	-0.3132
large-trade share of recent flowratio	0	0	0	0	0
taker-buy share of recent flowratio	0.3901	0.5419	0.6634	0.18	0.5962
VPIN regimelabel	normal	normal	normal	normal	normal
Turnover against its recent hoursratio	0.3354	0.5823	0.5062	1.182	1.417

Funding and positioning

Reading	-24h	-4h	-1h	-15m	-1m
Funding minus premium indexsigned_fraction	-0.0009164	0.0005378	-0.0001732	-0.0001732	-0.0001732
Minutes until funding settlesminutes	360	120	420	375	361
Premium index change over 1hsigned_fraction	0.001527	0.0006229	0.003248	0.0001407	0
Premium index rank over 30dpercentile	0.8194	0.4604	0.8187	0.8187	0.8187
Published premium indexsigned_fraction	0	-0.0008299	0	0	0
funding raterate	-0.0009164	-0.0002921	-0.0001732	-0.0001732	-0.0001732
global long ratioratio	0.4963	0.5075	0.5084	0.5095	0.5112
hourly change in open contractssigned_fraction	-0.003183	0.002545	-0.0002173	0.002943	0.004307
normalized funding rateratio	0.3055	0.09737	0.05774	0.05774	0.05774
open-interest velocity rankpercentile · Highlight: ≤ 0.1 or ≥ 0.9	0.4409	0.2878	0.1699	0.9901	0.9999
top-trader long ratioratio	0.5146	0.5093	0.5082	0.5089	0.5041
top-versus-crowd long skewratio_difference	0.0183	0.0018	-0.0002	-0.0006	-0.0071

Liquidations

Reading	-24h	-4h	-1h	-15m	-1m
Cascade clusteringratio · Highlight: ≥ 0.5	0.6992	0.6404	0.6264	0.6139	0.6126
Liquidation intensityratio	0	0	0	0	0
Liquidations in the trailing hourusd	34.04	398.1	290.5	936.9	949.6
Longs liquidated in the trailing hourusd	34.04	398.1	290.5	936.9	949.6
Shorts liquidated in the trailing hourusd	0	0	0	0	0
Which side the trailing hour of liquidations fell onratio	-1	-1	-1	-1	-1

Highlighted cells meet the printed fixed rule. This does not establish rarity, statistical significance or a cause of the move. Book readings describe the best quotes, not full-depth liquidity; liquidation readings describe what the venue reported.

Highlighted readings and exact search conditions

Highlighted readings meet fixed rules, not a statistical-significance test. The observed value and proposed search condition are different: a condition rounds a value or selects an interval for a repeatable search.

-24h2026-09-15 18:00 UTC

At 24 hours before the move, 6 of the 65 readings met a highlight rule.

Book imbalance percentile ≤ 0.046Containment · 15m insideUpper wick · 15m ≥ 0.81Cascade clustering ≥ 0.69how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720

Show the full readings

READING	BEFORE THE MOVE	SEARCHES FOR
Book imbalance percentile feature.book_imbalance_pctrank	0.04516	≤ 0.046
Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m	inside	inside
Upper wick · 15m feature.candle_upper_wick_15m	0.8182	≥ 0.81
Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index	0.6992	≥ 0.69
how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches	4	≥ 3
how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break	235	12 to 720

-4h2026-09-16 14:00 UTC

At 4 hours before the move, 6 of the 65 readings met a highlight rule.

Book imbalance · top levels ≥ 0.73Sweep + reclaim · 15m bearishUpper wick · 15m ≥ 0.7Cascade clustering ≥ 0.64how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720

Show the full readings

READING	BEFORE THE MOVE	SEARCHES FOR
Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance	0.7328	≥ 0.73
Sweep + reclaim · 15m feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_15m	bearish	bearish
Upper wick · 15m feature.candle_upper_wick_15m	0.7	≥ 0.7
Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index	0.6404	≥ 0.64
how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches	4	≥ 3
how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break	255	12 to 720

-1h2026-09-16 17:00 UTC

At 1 hour before the move, 7 of the 65 readings met a highlight rule.

Book imbalance percentile ≤ 0.055Compression · 4h ≤ 0.48Sweep + reclaim · 1h bullishCascade clustering ≥ 0.62how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720Taker buy share · 15m ≥ 0.66

Show the full readings

READING	BEFORE THE MOVE	SEARCHES FOR
Book imbalance percentile feature.book_imbalance_pctrank	0.05449	≤ 0.055
Compression · 4h feature.candle_compression_4h	0.4744	≤ 0.48
Sweep + reclaim · 1h feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_1h	bullish	bullish
Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index	0.6264	≥ 0.62
how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches	4	≥ 3
how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break	258	12 to 720
Taker buy share · 15m feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m	0.6634	≥ 0.66

-15m2026-09-16 17:45 UTC

At 15 minutes before the move, 11 of the 65 readings met a highlight rule.

Book imbalance · top levels ≥ 0.63Compression · 15m ≥ 2.5Compression · 4h ≤ 0.48Sweep + reclaim · 1h bullishCascade clustering ≥ 0.61how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720OI change magnitude score ≥ 0.99Return · 15m ≤ -0.01Taker buy share · 15m ≤ 0.19VWAP distance · day ≤ -0.029

Show the full readings

READING	BEFORE THE MOVE	SEARCHES FOR
Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance	0.6332	≥ 0.63
Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m	2.557	≥ 2.5
Compression · 4h feature.candle_compression_4h	0.4744	≤ 0.48
Sweep + reclaim · 1h feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_1h	bullish	bullish
Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index	0.6139	≥ 0.61
how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches	4	≥ 3
how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break	258.8	12 to 720
OI change magnitude score feature.oi_velocity_pctrank	0.9901	≥ 0.99
Return · 15m feature.ret_15m	-0.01085	≤ -0.01
Taker buy share · 15m feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m	0.18	≤ 0.19
VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist	-0.02972	≤ -0.029

-1m2026-09-16 17:59 UTC

At 1 minute before the move, 10 of the 65 readings met a highlight rule.

Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.77Book imbalance percentile ≥ 0.92Compression · 15m ≥ 2.5Compression · 4h ≤ 0.48Sweep + reclaim · 1h bullishCascade clustering ≥ 0.61how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720OI change magnitude score ≥ 0.99VWAP distance · day ≤ -0.021

Show the full readings

READING	BEFORE THE MOVE	SEARCHES FOR
Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance	-0.777	≤ -0.77
Book imbalance percentile feature.book_imbalance_pctrank	0.9288	≥ 0.92
Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m	2.557	≥ 2.5
Compression · 4h feature.candle_compression_4h	0.4744	≤ 0.48
Sweep + reclaim · 1h feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_1h	bullish	bullish
Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index	0.6126	≥ 0.61
how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches	4	≥ 3
how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break	259	12 to 720
OI change magnitude score feature.oi_velocity_pctrank	0.9999	≥ 0.99
VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist	-0.02148	≤ -0.021

Point the research surface at any past minute yourself PRO

Historical comparison

Exact setup countedBook imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.77 and Book imbalance percentile ≥ 0.92 and OI change magnitude score ≥ 0.99 · Read at 1 minute before the move.These are the printed conditions only. The selected detector family does not change this automatically proposed combination. Edit it before testing the full recipe.

What the record says

Measure after

The selected move lasts 78 hours. This comparison measures 168 hours after each historical match. Changing it uses the existing result.

Too few completed windows for a directional generalization.

Outcome	Matching setup	Same-market reference	Difference
Finished at least 2% higher	2 / 22 (9.1%)5 unavailable	6,888 / 32,437 (21.2%)10764 unavailable	Not reported
Finished at least 2% lower	18 / 22 (81.8%)5 unavailable	21,395 / 32,437 (66.0%)10764 unavailable	Not reported
Reached +5% at any point	1 / 22 (4.5%)5 unavailable	9,512 / 32,774 (29.0%)10427 unavailable	Not reported
Reached -5% at any point	20 / 22 (90.9%)5 unavailable	26,879 / 32,774 (82.0%)10427 unavailable	Not reported

Reference: eligible minutes in the same market and scan period, without the proposed conditions. The 30-window reporting floor is not a significance test. Overlapping windows and shared market events can reduce independent evidence. Conditions were selected after seeing this move; confirmation needs unseen data.

Does this setup hold across its sector?

Open the proposed study with starting defaults. Review the evidence, refine the idea, then save it or monitor it if useful.

What Research includes

Multiple recorded sectors: sector_crypto, sector_pow. Choose one explicitly.

Starting defaults and coverage

Starting defaults: 2026-08-21 to 2026-09-20 UTC; finishes up 2% or more after 1 hour. Review or change the markets, dates, conditions and outcome before running. Current recorded classification and sector tags, not point-in-time membership. Historical membership may differ. Instrument history does not guarantee every setup input or outcome is present; actual study exclusions remain authoritative.

Choose a different recorded sector

520 sector crypto markets

15 sector pow markets

Choose the study population explicitly: This market only · All recorded crypto perpetuals

Watch the ignition replay Free replay covers the latest fully archived UTC day on 6 major markets. Pro reaches 90 days; Research reaches the whole recorded order book, which begins 15 May 2026. Earlier days are searchable but hold no book, so they cannot be replayed. Access is checked when you open a replay.

This move ran past the end of the record, so the counts below cover the lead-up and the covered part of the move. Later minutes become available only after successful extraction; check the displayed coverage timestamp.

Evidence and counting

feature.book_imbalance + feature.book_imbalance_pctrank + feature.oi_velocity_pctrank

Read at 1 minute before the move.

Of the 27 fires, 24 came before the move began and 3 happened while it was already under way. A fire during the move sees it; it does not telegraph it.

About 0.9 a day, on 20 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.

q#f76056fb @ dataset fbafe5a9

This is not a similarity search. Each count matches the exact readings above and nothing else.

Picked in hindsight: the counts include every other time these readings appeared, not just this move.

Fires often arrive as clusters of consecutive minutes, and forward windows overlap. A cluster is one episode, not many independent trials.

If these counts read weaker than the move suggested, that is the tool working: the lead-up of a picked move always looks special until it is counted everywhere else.

Also counted

Book imbalance · top levels ≥ 0.63 and Compression · 15m ≥ 2.5 and OI change magnitude score ≥ 0.9922 matches, 15 rose, 7 fell

feature.book_imbalance + feature.candle_compression_15m + feature.oi_velocity_pctrank

Read at 15 minutes before the move.

15 rose and 7 fell over 22 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.

Of the 22 fires, 18 came before the move began and 4 happened while it was already under way. A fire during the move sees it; it does not telegraph it.

About 0.7 a day, on 16 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.

q#174d957a @ dataset fbafe5a9

Book imbalance percentile ≤ 0.055 and Compression · 4h ≤ 0.48 and Sweep + reclaim · 1h bullish4 matches, 1 rose, 3 fell

feature.book_imbalance_pctrank + feature.candle_compression_4h + feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_1h

Read at 1 hour before the move.

1 rose and 3 fell over 4 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.

Of the 4 fires, 4 came before the move began; none were during it.

About 0.1 a day over 31 days, but 2026-08-22 alone holds 50% of them: this is close to a single episode.

q#8a7b32d0 @ dataset fbafe5a9

Every night the record counts what fired and what usually followed: the daily brief.

No account? Replay a real move tick by tick, free: TUT short squeeze · 9 Aug 2026.