Change market, time or detector

All times are UTC. Chart history only changes the display. Historical comparisons use the 30 days before the selected start and measure their own outcome horizon.

Move read

SOPHUSDT fell into Sep 14

−30%

Move window

Move window: 2026-09-13 00:00 to 2026-09-14 21:00 UTC.

45 hours. The automatic start is the last covered hourly candle touching the bottom 5% of the episode range (top 5% for a fall), measured using the eventual extreme. It is a hindsight anchor, not a detected causal onset. Change the start above to inspect a later acceleration. The end marks the hour containing the price extreme, not an exact tick.

Stored analytical feature coverage for SOPHUSDT ends 2026-09-20 00:00 UTC (exclusive). Price candles can continue beyond it; feature availability and tick replay are separate.

The feature manifest spans the lead-up. Individual minutes or inputs can still be unavailable.

17 historical matches for the proposed conditions. This is an exploratory investigation. The combined trendline, compression and microstructure hypothesis still needs validation.

> Full SOPHUSDT research page

Explore the move and its lead-up

Price history: lead-up and selected move

Hourly candles. The marked lines are the minutes the readings came from: 1 minute, 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours and 24 hours before the selected start. These five samples test the lead-up only, not the full move. Use the minute inspector to explore during or after the move.

Explore historical state

Current-minute reads are free after sign-in. Pro and Research include historical-minute inspection and comparison with an hour earlier.

Past readings use stored inputs where available. Recent minutes may use the live buffer and are labelled unpinned. Missing minutes remain visible.

Read the available analytical inputs at one minute, including measurements over the preceding windows. Compare with an hour earlier, then take a reading into Research to test it. Dates are UTC.

These additional reads are separate from the five pre-start samples. Observations during or after the selected move describe what had already happened; they are not advance evidence.

Selected time: 2026-09-13 00:00 UTC. During the selected move: hindsight. Choose Read this minute to request it. Missing minutes remain unavailable.

Before the time above:

Follow positioning and flow through the move

Read 20 sampled minutes from the selected start through one hour after the selected end. The peak hour has extra 15-minute samples. The end marks the peak hour, not the exact peak tick. These are separate snapshots, not a continuous tape or an advance-warning test.

Historical access applies. Reads preserve each source revision; missing values stay unavailable. Contract OI, turnover and direct spot basis are not supplied by this table. Published premium is a different measure from direct basis.

No additional reads have run.

The OI score measures absolute USD-notional change, not signed contract growth. Zero 15-second liquidation intensity can coexist with substantial hourly liquidations. Binance liquidation amounts are observed publications, not complete venue totals.

Pre-start evidence: five separate snapshots

Geometry and microstructure, on the same clock

Read left to right: 24h → 4h → 1h → 15m → 1m before the selected start. These are five snapshots, not a continuous tape. Neutral readings stay visible; unavailable values are never zero.

Descending resistance

Reading	-24h	-4h	-1h	-15m	-1m
Time since resistance breakhours · Highlight: 12 to 720 (inclusive)	230	Read failed	Read failed	253.8	254
Resistance line spandays	Unavailable	Read failed	Read failed	Unavailable	Unavailable
Resistance touchescount	Unavailable	Read failed	Read failed	Unavailable	Unavailable
Touches before resistance breakcount · Highlight: ≥ 3	5	Read failed	Read failed	5	5
Line ATR contractionmultiple	Unavailable	Read failed	Read failed	Unavailable	Unavailable
Resistance line statelabel	none	Read failed	Read failed	none	none
Distance to broken resistancemultiple	-1.649	Read failed	Read failed	-2.517	-2.624
Distance to resistancemultiple	Unavailable	Read failed	Read failed	Unavailable	Unavailable
Support shapelabel	Unavailable	Read failed	Read failed	Unavailable	Unavailable

Candle compression

Reading	-24h	-4h	-1h	-15m	-1m
last 15-minute candle range versus its baselinemultiple	0.7224	Read failed	Read failed	1.257	1.257
last four-hour candle range versus its baselinemultiple · Highlight: ≤ 0.5 or ≥ 2	0.5713	Read failed	Read failed	0.4838	0.4838
last one-hour candle range versus its baselinemultiple	0.7225	Read failed	Read failed	0.9527	0.9527

Order book

Reading	-24h	-4h	-1h	-15m	-1m
Order-book imbalanceratio	0.1704	Read failed	Read failed	-0.4502	0.4525
normalized spreadratio	0.04449	Read failed	Read failed	0.0843	0.04189
order-book imbalance rankpercentile	0.8114	Read failed	Read failed	0.03644	0.4336

Trade flow

Reading	-24h	-4h	-1h	-15m	-1m
Informed-trading pressureratio	0.1333	Read failed	Read failed	0.1579	0.1589
Net taker flow over the trailing four hoursratio	-0.05524	Read failed	Read failed	-0.02857	-0.02654
Net taker flow over the trailing hourratio	0.09828	Read failed	Read failed	0.007585	0.03035
large-trade share of recent flowratio	0	Read failed	Read failed	0	0
taker-buy share of recent flowratio	0.5584	Read failed	Read failed	0.528	0.4986
VPIN regimelabel	normal	Read failed	Read failed	normal	normal
Turnover against its recent hoursratio	Unavailable	Read failed	Read failed	1.131	1.322

Funding and positioning

Reading	-24h	-4h	-1h	-15m	-1m
Funding minus premium indexsigned_fraction	0.003166	Read failed	Read failed	-0.00005915	0.001779
Minutes until funding settlesminutes · Highlight: ≤ 30	0	Read failed	Read failed	15	1
Premium index change over 1hsigned_fraction	-0.002643	Read failed	Read failed	0.0008849	0.00001786
Premium index rank over 30dpercentile	0.03819	Read failed	Read failed	0.1986	0.07778
Published premium indexsigned_fraction	-0.003267	Read failed	Read failed	-0.00009626	-0.001935
funding raterate	-0.0001006	Read failed	Read failed	-0.0001554	-0.0001554
global long ratioratio	0.4947	Read failed	Read failed	0.4997	0.5001
hourly change in open contractssigned_fraction	-0.01125	Read failed	Read failed	-0.00421	-0.003586
normalized funding rateratio	0.03354	Read failed	Read failed	0.0518	0.0518
open-interest velocity rankpercentile	0.3346	Read failed	Read failed	0.4559	0.8841
top-trader long ratioratio	0.599	Read failed	Read failed	0.6052	0.6052
top-versus-crowd long skewratio_difference	0.1043	Read failed	Read failed	0.1055	0.1051

Liquidations

Reading	-24h	-4h	-1h	-15m	-1m
Cascade clusteringratio · Highlight: ≥ 0.5	0.5493	Read failed	Read failed	0.5776	0.5777
Liquidation intensityratio	0	Read failed	Read failed	0	0
Liquidations in the trailing hourusd	0	Read failed	Read failed	6371	6180
Longs liquidated in the trailing hourusd	0	Read failed	Read failed	6371	6180
Shorts liquidated in the trailing hourusd	0	Read failed	Read failed	0	0
Which side the trailing hour of liquidations fell onratio	Unavailable	Read failed	Read failed	-1	-1

Highlighted cells meet the printed fixed rule. This does not establish rarity, statistical significance or a cause of the move. Book readings describe the best quotes, not full-depth liquidity; liquidation readings describe what the venue reported.

Highlighted readings and exact search conditions

Highlighted readings meet fixed rules, not a statistical-significance test. The observed value and proposed search condition are different: a condition rounds a value or selects an interval for a repeatable search.

Could not read 1 hour and 4 hours before the move. The engine did not answer for those minutes, so nothing is claimed about them. Reload to try again.

-24h2026-09-12 00:00 UTC

At 24 hours before the move, 7 of the 65 readings met a highlight rule.

Cascade clustering ≥ 0.54how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the descending resistance broke 12 to 720how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720Minutes to funding ≤ 1VWAP distance · day ≥ 0.029

Show the full readings

READING	BEFORE THE MOVE	SEARCHES FOR
Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index	0.5493	≥ 0.54
how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches	5	≥ 3
how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break	230	12 to 720
how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches	5	≥ 3
how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break	230	12 to 720
Minutes to funding feature.mins_to_funding	0	≤ 1
VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist	0.02919	≥ 0.029

-15m2026-09-12 23:45 UTC

At 15 minutes before the move, 8 of the 65 readings met a highlight rule.

Book imbalance percentile ≤ 0.037Compression · 4h ≤ 0.49Cascade clustering ≥ 0.57how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the descending resistance broke 12 to 720how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720Minutes to funding ≤ 15

Show the full readings

READING	BEFORE THE MOVE	SEARCHES FOR
Book imbalance percentile feature.book_imbalance_pctrank	0.03644	≤ 0.037
Compression · 4h feature.candle_compression_4h	0.4838	≤ 0.49
Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index	0.5776	≥ 0.57
how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches	5	≥ 3
how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break	253.8	12 to 720
how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches	5	≥ 3
how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break	253.8	12 to 720
Minutes to funding feature.mins_to_funding	15	≤ 15

-1m2026-09-12 23:59 UTC

At 1 minute before the move, 7 of the 65 readings met a highlight rule.

Compression · 4h ≤ 0.49Cascade clustering ≥ 0.57how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the descending resistance broke 12 to 720how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720Minutes to funding ≤ 1

Show the full readings

READING	BEFORE THE MOVE	SEARCHES FOR
Compression · 4h feature.candle_compression_4h	0.4838	≤ 0.49
Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index	0.5777	≥ 0.57
how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches	5	≥ 3
how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break	254	12 to 720
how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches	5	≥ 3
how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break	254	12 to 720
Minutes to funding feature.mins_to_funding	1	≤ 1

Point the research surface at any past minute yourself PRO

Historical comparison

Exact setup countedCompression · 4h ≤ 0.49 and Cascade clustering ≥ 0.57 and how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3 · Read at 1 minute before the move.These are the printed conditions only. The selected detector family does not change this automatically proposed combination. Edit it before testing the full recipe.

What the record says

Measure after

The selected move lasts 45 hours. This comparison measures 72 hours after each historical match. Changing it uses the existing result.

Too few completed windows for a directional generalization.

Outcome	Matching setup	Same-market reference	Difference
Finished at least 2% higher	7 / 14 (50.0%)3 unavailable	18,290 / 38,800 (47.1%)4401 unavailable	Not reported
Finished at least 2% lower	5 / 14 (35.7%)3 unavailable	14,988 / 38,800 (38.6%)4401 unavailable	Not reported
Reached +5% at any point	9 / 14 (64.3%)3 unavailable	29,474 / 38,835 (75.9%)4366 unavailable	Not reported
Reached -5% at any point	9 / 14 (64.3%)3 unavailable	24,027 / 38,835 (61.9%)4366 unavailable	Not reported

Reference: eligible minutes in the same market and scan period, without the proposed conditions. The 30-window reporting floor is not a significance test. Overlapping windows and shared market events can reduce independent evidence. Conditions were selected after seeing this move; confirmation needs unseen data.

Does this setup hold across its sector?

Open the proposed study with starting defaults. Review the evidence, refine the idea, then save it or monitor it if useful.

What Research includes

Multiple recorded sectors: sector_crypto, sector_layer_2. Choose one explicitly.

Starting defaults and coverage

Starting defaults: 2026-08-21 to 2026-09-20 UTC; finishes down 2% or more after 1 hour. Review or change the markets, dates, conditions and outcome before running. Current recorded classification and sector tags, not point-in-time membership. Historical membership may differ. Instrument history does not guarantee every setup input or outcome is present; actual study exclusions remain authoritative.

Choose a different recorded sector

520 sector crypto markets

21 layer 2 sector markets

Choose the study population explicitly: This market only · All recorded crypto perpetuals

Watch the ignition replay Free replay covers the latest fully archived UTC day on 6 major markets. Pro reaches 90 days; Research reaches the whole recorded order book, which begins 15 May 2026. Earlier days are searchable but hold no book, so they cannot be replayed. Access is checked when you open a replay.

Evidence and counting

feature.candle_compression_4h + feature.cascade_clustering_index + feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches

Read at 1 minute before the move.

Of the 17 fires, 9 came before the move began and 3 happened while it was already under way. A fire during the move sees it; it does not telegraph it.

About 0.5 a day, on 13 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.

q#1b458c6c @ dataset fbafe5a9

This is not a similarity search. Each count matches the exact readings above and nothing else.

Picked in hindsight: the counts include every other time these readings appeared, not just this move.

Fires often arrive as clusters of consecutive minutes, and forward windows overlap. A cluster is one episode, not many independent trials.

If these counts read weaker than the move suggested, that is the tool working: the lead-up of a picked move always looks special until it is counted everywhere else.

Also counted

Book imbalance percentile ≤ 0.037 and Compression · 4h ≤ 0.49 and Cascade clustering ≥ 0.5715 matches, 11 rose, 4 fell

feature.book_imbalance_pctrank + feature.candle_compression_4h + feature.cascade_clustering_index

Read at 15 minutes before the move.

11 rose and 4 fell over 15 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.

Of the 15 fires, 8 came before the move began and 2 happened while it was already under way. A fire during the move sees it; it does not telegraph it.

About 0.5 a day, on 7 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.

q#106859d8 @ dataset fbafe5a9

Cascade clustering ≥ 0.54 and how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3 and how long ago the descending resistance broke 12 to 7203 matches, 1 rose, 2 fell

feature.cascade_clustering_index + feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches + feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break

Read at 24 hours before the move.

1 rose and 2 fell over 3 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.

Of the 3 fires, 3 came before the move began; none were during it.

About 0.1 a day, on 3 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.

q#70d62acd @ dataset fbafe5a9

Every night the record counts what fired and what usually followed: the daily brief.

No account? Replay a real move tick by tick, free: TUT short squeeze · 9 Aug 2026.