TAKEUSDT rose 85% into Aug 3. The record covers the whole lead-up.

Move window: 2026-07-29 09:00 to 2026-08-03 04:00 UTC. The record for TAKEUSDT currently ends 2026-08-03 00:00 UTC.

This move ran past the end of the record, so the counts below cover the lead-up and the covered part of the move. The rest joins the record after tonight’s rebuild.

Upper wick · 15m ≥ 0.67 and Cascade clustering ≥ 0.58

feature.candle_upper_wick_15m + feature.cascade_clustering_index

Read at 1 minute before the move.

Minutes like this appeared 135 times in the 43,201 minutes searched (0.3%). What followed leaned up: 85 of the 135 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward rose (63%).

Of the 135 fires, 109 came before the move began and 26 happened while it was already under way. A fire during the move sees it; it does not telegraph it.

About 4.4 a day, on 29 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.

q#f5eed095 @ dataset b91f2197

WATCH FOR THIS Watch the ignition replay

Best supported: Upper wick · 15m ≥ 0.67 and Cascade clustering ≥ 0.58, the combination with the most fires before the move began.

Opens this exact search in the research tool. Nothing runs until you confirm it there, and arming it as an alert sends a message when it next becomes true.

Picked in hindsight: the counts include every other time these readings appeared, not just this move.

What the minutes before it looked like

Where these readings were taken

Hourly candles. The marked lines are the minutes the readings came from: 1 minute, 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours and 24 hours before the move began. Every one of them sits before the move, never inside it.

A reading stands out when it sits outside the range it usually holds. The rules are fixed: the same ones the moment reader on the research page uses.

At 1 minute before the move, 2 of the 33 readings stood out. 2026-07-29 08:59 UTC

READING	BEFORE THE MOVE	SEARCHES FOR
Upper wick · 15m feature.candle_upper_wick_15m	0.68	≥ 0.67
Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index	0.5848	≥ 0.58

At 15 minutes before the move, 3 of the 33 readings stood out. 2026-07-29 08:45 UTC

READING	BEFORE THE MOVE	SEARCHES FOR
Upper wick · 15m feature.candle_upper_wick_15m	0.68	≥ 0.67
Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index	0.5848	≥ 0.58
VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist	-0.02102	≤ -0.021

At 1 hour before the move, 4 of the 33 readings stood out. 2026-07-29 08:00 UTC

READING	BEFORE THE MOVE	SEARCHES FOR
Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index	0.5849	≥ 0.58
Minutes to funding feature.mins_to_funding	0	≤ 1
Return · 1h feature.ret_1h	-0.0249	≤ -0.024
VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist	-0.02002	≤ -0.02

At 4 hours before the move, 8 of the 33 readings stood out. 2026-07-29 05:00 UTC

READING	BEFORE THE MOVE	SEARCHES FOR
Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance	-0.8842	≤ -0.88
Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m	outside	outside
Sweep + reclaim · 15m feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_15m	bearish	bearish
Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index	0.5849	≥ 0.58
Realized vol percentile feature.realized_vol_pctrank	0.9995	≥ 0.99
Return · 15m feature.ret_15m	-0.0161	≤ -0.016
Taker buy share · 15m feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m	0.3472	≤ 0.35
VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist	0.02019	≥ 0.02

At 24 hours before the move, 7 of the 33 readings stood out. 2026-07-28 09:00 UTC

READING	BEFORE THE MOVE	SEARCHES FOR
Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m	3.892	≥ 3.8
Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m	outside	outside
Sweep + reclaim · 15m feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_15m	bearish	bearish
Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index	0.5849	≥ 0.58
OI velocity percentile feature.oi_velocity_pctrank	0.9411	≥ 0.94
Return · 15m feature.ret_15m	-0.0132	≤ -0.013
Taker buy share · 15m feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m	0.1596	≤ 0.16

Also counted

This is not a similarity search. Each count matches the exact readings above and nothing else.

Upper wick · 15m ≥ 0.67 and Cascade clustering ≥ 0.58 and VWAP distance · day ≤ -0.021

feature.candle_upper_wick_15m + feature.cascade_clustering_index + feature.vwap_dist

Read at 15 minutes before the move.

Minutes like this appeared only 22 times in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed leaned up: 15 of the 22 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward rose (68%).

Of the 22 fires, 17 came before the move began and 5 happened while it was already under way. A fire during the move sees it; it does not telegraph it.

About 0.7 a day, on 14 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.

q#131b91e6 @ dataset b91f2197

Cascade clustering ≥ 0.58 and Minutes to funding ≤ 1 and Return · 1h ≤ -0.024

feature.cascade_clustering_index + feature.mins_to_funding + feature.ret_1h

Read at 1 hour before the move.

Minutes like this appeared only 3 times in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed leaned down: 2 of the 3 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward fell (67%).

Of the 3 fires, 2 came before the move began and 1 happened while it was already under way. A fire during the move sees it; it does not telegraph it.

About 0.1 a day, on 3 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.

q#ef0d5002 @ dataset b91f2197

Fires often arrive as clusters of consecutive minutes, and forward windows overlap. A cluster is one episode, not many independent trials.

If these counts read weaker than the move suggested, that is the tool working: the lead-up of a picked move always looks special until it is counted everywhere else.