Change market, time or detector

All times are UTC. Chart history only changes the display. Historical comparisons use the 30 days before the selected start and measure their own outcome horizon.

Move read

VRTUSDT fell into Sep 14

−11%

Move window

Move window: 2026-09-13 22:00 to 2026-09-14 13:00 UTC.

15 hours. The automatic start is the last covered hourly candle touching the bottom 5% of the episode range (top 5% for a fall), measured using the eventual extreme. It is a hindsight anchor, not a detected causal onset. Change the start above to inspect a later acceleration. The end marks the hour containing the price extreme, not an exact tick.

Stored analytical feature coverage for VRTUSDT ends 2026-09-20 00:00 UTC (exclusive). Price candles can continue beyond it; feature availability and tick replay are separate.

The feature manifest spans the lead-up. Individual minutes or inputs can still be unavailable.

49 historical matches for the proposed conditions. This is an exploratory investigation. The combined trendline, compression and microstructure hypothesis still needs validation.

> Full VRTUSDT research page

Explore the move and its lead-up

Price history: lead-up and selected move

Hourly candles. The marked lines are the minutes the readings came from: 1 minute, 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours and 24 hours before the selected start. These five samples test the lead-up only, not the full move. Use the minute inspector to explore during or after the move.

Explore historical state

Current-minute reads are free after sign-in. Pro and Research include historical-minute inspection and comparison with an hour earlier.

Past readings use stored inputs where available. Recent minutes may use the live buffer and are labelled unpinned. Missing minutes remain visible.

Read the available analytical inputs at one minute, including measurements over the preceding windows. Compare with an hour earlier, then take a reading into Research to test it. Dates are UTC.

These additional reads are separate from the five pre-start samples. Observations during or after the selected move describe what had already happened; they are not advance evidence.

Selected time: 2026-09-13 22:00 UTC. During the selected move: hindsight. Choose Read this minute to request it. Missing minutes remain unavailable.

Before the time above:

Follow positioning and flow through the move

Read 20 sampled minutes from the selected start through one hour after the selected end. The peak hour has extra 15-minute samples. The end marks the peak hour, not the exact peak tick. These are separate snapshots, not a continuous tape or an advance-warning test.

Historical access applies. Reads preserve each source revision; missing values stay unavailable. Contract OI, turnover and direct spot basis are not supplied by this table. Published premium is a different measure from direct basis.

No additional reads have run.

The OI score measures absolute USD-notional change, not signed contract growth. Zero 15-second liquidation intensity can coexist with substantial hourly liquidations. Binance liquidation amounts are observed publications, not complete venue totals.

Pre-start evidence: five separate snapshots

Geometry and microstructure, on the same clock

Read left to right: 24h → 4h → 1h → 15m → 1m before the selected start. These are five snapshots, not a continuous tape. Neutral readings stay visible; unavailable values are never zero.

Descending resistance

Reading	-24h	-4h	-1h	-15m	-1m
Time since resistance breakhours · Highlight: 12 to 720 (inclusive)	104	124	Read failed	127.8	128
Resistance line spandays	Unavailable	Unavailable	Read failed	Unavailable	Unavailable
Resistance touchescount	Unavailable	Unavailable	Read failed	Unavailable	Unavailable
Touches before resistance breakcount · Highlight: ≥ 3	4	4	Read failed	4	4
Line ATR contractionmultiple	Unavailable	Unavailable	Read failed	Unavailable	Unavailable
Resistance line statelabel	none	none	Read failed	none	none
Distance to broken resistancemultiple	10.88	10.88	Read failed	10.74	10.68
Distance to resistancemultiple	Unavailable	Unavailable	Read failed	Unavailable	Unavailable
Support shapelabel	Unavailable	Unavailable	Read failed	Unavailable	Unavailable

Candle compression

Reading	-24h	-4h	-1h	-15m	-1m
last 15-minute candle range versus its baselinemultiple	Unavailable	Unavailable	Read failed	Unavailable	Unavailable
last four-hour candle range versus its baselinemultiple	0.1545	0.7778	Read failed	0.5042	0.5042
last one-hour candle range versus its baselinemultiple	0.5952	0.3177	Read failed	0.7103	0.7103

Order book

Reading	-24h	-4h	-1h	-15m	-1m
Order-book imbalanceratio · Highlight: ≤ -0.5 or ≥ 0.5	0.9935	-0.3982	Read failed	0.2	-0.9873
normalized spreadratio	0.125	0.2582	Read failed	0.09376	0.1561
order-book imbalance rankpercentile · Highlight: ≤ 0.1 or ≥ 0.9	0.7972	0.3216	Read failed	0.1456	0.9501

Trade flow

Reading	-24h	-4h	-1h	-15m	-1m
Informed-trading pressureratio · Highlight: ≥ 0.5	0.4288	0.5214	Read failed	0.5214	0.516
Net taker flow over the trailing four hoursratio	-0.09229	0.04929	Read failed	-0.1393	0.2494
Net taker flow over the trailing hourratio	0.5622	0.2005	Read failed	0.2526	0.6506
large-trade share of recent flowratio	0	Unavailable	Read failed	0	0
taker-buy share of recent flowratio · Highlight: ≤ 0.35 or ≥ 0.65	0.343	Unavailable	Read failed	0.4127	0.8575
VPIN regimelabel · Highlight: State other than none or normal	normal	elevated	Read failed	elevated	elevated
Turnover against its recent hoursratio	Unavailable	Unavailable	Read failed	Unavailable	Unavailable

Funding and positioning

Reading	-24h	-4h	-1h	-15m	-1m
Funding minus premium indexsigned_fraction	0.0000416	0.0000416	Read failed	0.0000416	0.0000416
Minutes until funding settlesminutes	120	360	Read failed	135	121
Premium index change over 1hsigned_fraction	0	0	Read failed	0	0
Premium index rank over 30dpercentile	0.3792	0.3785	Read failed	0.3785	0.3785
Published premium indexsigned_fraction	0	0	Read failed	0	0
funding raterate	0.0000416	0.0000416	Read failed	0.0000416	0.0000416
global long ratioratio	0.6992	0.6864	Read failed	0.6906	0.6875
hourly change in open contractssigned_fraction	0.0007333	Unavailable	Read failed	Unavailable	Unavailable
normalized funding rateratio	0.01387	0.01387	Read failed	0.01387	0.01387
open-interest velocity rankpercentile	0.2918	Unavailable	Read failed	0.349	0.3237
top-trader long ratioratio	0.6121	0.6449	Read failed	0.6461	0.6476
top-versus-crowd long skewratio_difference	-0.0871	-0.0415	Read failed	-0.0445	-0.0399

Liquidations

Reading	-24h	-4h	-1h	-15m	-1m
Cascade clusteringratio	0.321	0.3274	Read failed	0.3274	0.3274
Liquidation intensityratio	0	0	Read failed	0	0
Liquidations in the trailing hourusd	0	0	Read failed	0	0
Longs liquidated in the trailing hourusd	0	0	Read failed	0	0
Shorts liquidated in the trailing hourusd	0	0	Read failed	0	0
Which side the trailing hour of liquidations fell onratio	Unavailable	Unavailable	Read failed	Unavailable	Unavailable

Highlighted cells meet the printed fixed rule. This does not establish rarity, statistical significance or a cause of the move. Book readings describe the best quotes, not full-depth liquidity; liquidation readings describe what the venue reported.

Highlighted readings and exact search conditions

Highlighted readings meet fixed rules, not a statistical-significance test. The observed value and proposed search condition are different: a condition rounds a value or selects an interval for a repeatable search.

Could not read 1 hour before the move. The engine did not answer for those minutes, so nothing is claimed about them. Reload to try again.

-24h2026-09-12 22:00 UTC

At 24 hours before the move, 9 of the 65 readings met a highlight rule.

Book imbalance · top levels ≥ 0.99Compression · 4h ≤ 0.16Containment · 15m outsideLower wick · 15m ≥ 0.84how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the descending resistance broke 12 to 720how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720Taker buy share · 15m ≤ 0.35

Show the full readings

READING	BEFORE THE MOVE	SEARCHES FOR
Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance	0.9935	≥ 0.99
Compression · 4h feature.candle_compression_4h	0.1545	≤ 0.16
Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m	outside	outside
Lower wick · 15m feature.candle_lower_wick_15m	0.8421	≥ 0.84
how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches	4	≥ 3
how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break	104	12 to 720
how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches	4	≥ 3
how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break	104	12 to 720
Taker buy share · 15m feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m	0.343	≤ 0.35

-4h2026-09-13 18:00 UTC

At 4 hours before the move, 7 of the 65 readings met a highlight rule.

Compression · 1h ≤ 0.32how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the descending resistance broke 12 to 720how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720Toxic flow (VPIN) ≥ 0.52VPIN regime elevated

Show the full readings

READING	BEFORE THE MOVE	SEARCHES FOR
Compression · 1h feature.candle_compression_1h	0.3177	≤ 0.32
how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches	4	≥ 3
how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break	124	12 to 720
how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches	4	≥ 3
how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break	124	12 to 720
Toxic flow (VPIN) feature.vpin	0.5214	≥ 0.52
VPIN regime feature.vpin_regime	elevated	elevated

-15m2026-09-13 21:45 UTC

At 15 minutes before the move, 7 of the 65 readings met a highlight rule.

Lower wick · 15m ≥ 0.76how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the descending resistance broke 12 to 720how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720Toxic flow (VPIN) ≥ 0.52VPIN regime elevated

Show the full readings

READING	BEFORE THE MOVE	SEARCHES FOR
Lower wick · 15m feature.candle_lower_wick_15m	0.7667	≥ 0.76
how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches	4	≥ 3
how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break	127.8	12 to 720
how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches	4	≥ 3
how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break	127.8	12 to 720
Toxic flow (VPIN) feature.vpin	0.5214	≥ 0.52
VPIN regime feature.vpin_regime	elevated	elevated

-1m2026-09-13 21:59 UTC

At 1 minute before the move, 10 of the 65 readings met a highlight rule.

Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.98Book imbalance percentile ≥ 0.95Lower wick · 15m ≥ 0.76how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the descending resistance broke 12 to 720how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720Taker buy share · 15m ≥ 0.85Toxic flow (VPIN) ≥ 0.51VPIN regime elevated

Show the full readings

READING	BEFORE THE MOVE	SEARCHES FOR
Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance	-0.9873	≤ -0.98
Book imbalance percentile feature.book_imbalance_pctrank	0.9501	≥ 0.95
Lower wick · 15m feature.candle_lower_wick_15m	0.7667	≥ 0.76
how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches	4	≥ 3
how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break	128	12 to 720
how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches	4	≥ 3
how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break	128	12 to 720
Taker buy share · 15m feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m	0.8575	≥ 0.85
Toxic flow (VPIN) feature.vpin	0.516	≥ 0.51
VPIN regime feature.vpin_regime	elevated	elevated

Point the research surface at any past minute yourself PRO

Historical comparison

Exact setup countedLower wick · 15m ≥ 0.76 and how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3 and how long ago the descending resistance broke 12 to 720 · Read at 15 minutes before the move.These are the printed conditions only. The selected detector family does not change this automatically proposed combination. Edit it before testing the full recipe.

What the record says

Measure after

The selected move lasts 15 hours. This comparison measures 24 hours after each historical match. Changing it uses the existing result.

Too few completed windows for a directional generalization.

Outcome	Matching setup	Same-market reference	Difference
Finished at least 2% higher	1 / 9 (11.1%)40 unavailable	1,896 / 7,815 (24.3%)35386 unavailable	Not reported
Finished at least 2% lower	4 / 9 (44.4%)40 unavailable	1,991 / 7,815 (25.5%)35386 unavailable	Not reported
Reached +5% at any point	0 / 21 (0.0%)28 unavailable	1,392 / 16,911 (8.2%)26290 unavailable	Not reported
Reached -5% at any point	6 / 21 (28.6%)28 unavailable	2,507 / 16,911 (14.8%)26290 unavailable	Not reported

Reference: eligible minutes in the same market and scan period, without the proposed conditions. The 30-window reporting floor is not a significance test. Overlapping windows and shared market events can reduce independent evidence. Conditions were selected after seeing this move; confirmation needs unseen data.

Does this setup hold across its sector?

Open the proposed study with starting defaults. Review the evidence, refine the idea, then save it or monitor it if useful.

What Research includes

Choose a recorded Binance crypto perpetual market with confirmed instrument classification.

Starting defaults and coverage

Starting defaults: 2026-08-21 to 2026-09-20 UTC; finishes down 2% or more after 1 hour. Review or change the markets, dates, conditions and outcome before running. Current recorded classification and sector tags, not point-in-time membership. Historical membership may differ. Instrument history does not guarantee every setup input or outcome is present; actual study exclusions remain authoritative.

Choose the study population explicitly: All recorded crypto perpetuals

Watch the ignition replay Free replay covers the latest fully archived UTC day on 6 major markets. Pro reaches 90 days; Research reaches the whole recorded order book, which begins 15 May 2026. Earlier days are searchable but hold no book, so they cannot be replayed. Access is checked when you open a replay.

Evidence and counting

feature.candle_lower_wick_15m + feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches + feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break

Read at 15 minutes before the move.

Of the 49 fires, 25 came before the move began and 4 happened while it was already under way. A fire during the move sees it; it does not telegraph it.

About 1.6 a day, on 11 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.

q#2bad6df2 @ dataset fbafe5a9

This is not a similarity search. Each count matches the exact readings above and nothing else.

Picked in hindsight: the counts include every other time these readings appeared, not just this move.

Fires often arrive as clusters of consecutive minutes, and forward windows overlap. A cluster is one episode, not many independent trials.

If these counts read weaker than the move suggested, that is the tool working: the lead-up of a picked move always looks special until it is counted everywhere else.

Also counted

Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.98 and Book imbalance percentile ≥ 0.95 and Lower wick · 15m ≥ 0.763 matches

feature.book_imbalance + feature.book_imbalance_pctrank + feature.candle_lower_wick_15m

Read at 1 minute before the move.

No forward window has completed yet, so no direction is claimed. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.

Of the 3 fires, 3 came before the move began; none were during it.

About 0.1 a day, on 3 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.

q#ee237aaf @ dataset fbafe5a9

Compression · 1h ≤ 0.32 and how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3 and how long ago the descending resistance broke 12 to 72019 matches, 2 rose, 1 fell

feature.candle_compression_1h + feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches + feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break

Read at 4 hours before the move.

2 rose and 1 fell over 3 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.

Of the 19 fires, 12 came before the move began; none were during it.

About 0.6 a day, on 10 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.

q#500e6a83 @ dataset fbafe5a9

Every night the record counts what fired and what usually followed: the daily brief.

No account? Replay a real move tick by tick, free: TUT short squeeze · 9 Aug 2026.