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ADAUSDT liquidation cascade on October 29, 2026

ADAUSDT fell as much as 11.1% and finished 6.7% below its recorded baseline.

Investigate ADAUSDT →Research the setup at 01:01 UTC →Arm this alert →Current ADA liquidation heatmap →🔒 Replay with Pro →

Free replays cover the last 7 days and selected events.

The replay covers Oct 29 01:05 to Oct 30 06:22 UTC, the main stretch of the move.

Peak move
-11.1%
Net move
-6.7%
Reported liquidations
$4.5M
Largest liquidation
$310K
Duration
41h 40m
Volume
$443M
Liquidation cascadeBinance
10-28 14:36 to 10-31 05:06 UTC · 30m candles
Key moments
Estimated liquidation zones

Candle-based estimates, not observed liquidation orders. As of 2026-10-31 04:55 UTC.

Key moments

Times in UTC. Select one inside the replay window to replay from that minute. Phase totals and extremes are retrospective; sequence details show when the closed-minute reading was known.
Fall to the lowRetrospective phase · $144K shorts reported liquidated · $4.1M longs reported liquidated · contract OI -5.6% · -11.1%
Largest liquidationlongs liquidated · $310KLarge rejecting wick1.0% of closeVolume climax$6.5MLargest long-liquidation minuteReported total over one minute; selected retrospectively · $725KPattern breaktriple top · 76%
6 more momentsFlash move-2.4%Range break with expanding participationDownward move · reference $0.1889 · trades 3.2×, volume 8.1× (5m average / prior 60m median) · known at 00:19:00 UTC close · $0.1844Range brokenDownward move · reference $0.1889 · trades 3.2×, volume 8.1× (5m average / prior 60m median) · known at 00:19:00 UTC close · $0.1844Largest short-liquidation minuteReported total over one minute; selected retrospectively · $27KLow$0.1821After the extremeRetrospective phase · $51K shorts reported liquidated · $227K longs reported liquidated · contract OI -0.2% · +4.9%

Research markers

Why the liquidation cascade label?

These observations support the label. They do not show what caused the move or who started it.

Label confidence 0.90 of 1longs liquidated 96%liquidations $4.5Mchart pattern confirmedcontagion cluster

Other ADAUSDT events

Examples, not a historical success rate.

Short squeezePeak +5.1%Liquidation cascadePeak -10.9%Liquidation cascadePeak -7.2%
3 more eventsShort squeezePeak +9.0%Liquidation cascadePeak -12.8%Liquidation cascadePeak -6.3%
Browse all ADAUSDT events →

Similar events in other markets

2 other markets sold off in the same window, grouped because their order-flow toxicity (VPIN) moved together, not by price correlation.
AVAAVAXUSDT cascadePeak -10.5%NEANEARUSDT cascadePeak -5.7%
More like this
AKEAKEUSDT cascadePeak -57.9%UAIUAIUSDT cascadePeak -54.5%BLEBLESSUSDT cascadePeak -36.5%
2 more eventsRUNRUNEUSDT cascadePeak -23.9%APRAPRUSDT cascadePeak -25.1%
More liquidation cascade events →

How these numbers are measured

Peak and net moves start from the recorded baseline, which can differ from the replay's first price.

Liquidations are reported venue snapshots; orders a venue left out are not rebuilt.

Exact definitions
  • Replay window: 2026-10-29T01:05:00.000Z to 2026-10-30T06:22:00.000Z.
  • Event window: 2026-10-29T01:01:00.000Z to 2026-10-30T18:41:00.000Z. The figures on this page cover the whole event; the replay was trimmed to the main stretch of the move.
  • Recorded baseline: $0.2049. High: $0.2087. End: $0.1911.
  • Detected Oct 30, 2026 · 14:45 UTC. Episode baseline $0.2049 at Oct 29, 2026 · 01:01 UTC.
  • The liquidation cascade label describes the detected event class, so a later reversal changes the net move without silently changing the classification.
  • Price-extreme and wick times mark the source candle, not the exact tick.
Data provenance and methodology →
What the replay includes

The replay covers Oct 29 01:05 to Oct 30 06:22 UTC, the main stretch of the move. The figures above cover the whole event.

Recorded streams
Order book (L2)2.5MTrades / tape163KLiquidations515Liquidation heatmapVPIN / toxicityOI & positioningFull snapshots1.8K
What you will see
  1. ADAUSDT fell as much as 11.1% and finished 6.7% below its recorded baseline. The event lasted 41h 40m.
  2. Forced selling tripping liquidation levels in sequence: a cascade, not one seller.
  3. Moved with 2 other symbols in the same window: possible contagion.
  4. $4.5M liquidated, largest reported liquidation $310K.
  5. Capitulation wick of 1.0% at 20:43 UTC.
  6. A triple top broke out at 20:52 UTC (76% confidence).