AKEUSDT rose into Sep 2
+338%
Counted on 2026-09-05, against a record covering to 2026-09-04 00:00 UTC. These numbers are frozen: this page will always say what it said the day it was written.
This move is in the event archive as a crash 4h on 2026-09-02. Open the archived event
Exact setup countedBook imbalance percentile ≤ 0.048 and Cascade clustering ≥ 0.54 and how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3 · Read at 1 hour before the move.
After 72 hours this setup rose 2% or more in 45 of 62 complete windows (72.6%), against 40.7% with no condition (15,836 of 38,881): 1.78x.
Best point inside 72 hours reached +5% or more in 55 of 62 complete windows; worst point fell 5% or more in 46 of 62.
Counts above cover this market only. The proposed Research handoff expands to 71 sector alpha markets; its counts have not been computed here. This market only · Every recorded market
Both are true: these readings sat before this rise, and the other times they appeared, what followed more often fell. That disagreement is the finding: a lead-up that looks special is not the same as one that usually comes before rises.
Evidence and counting
Read at 1 hour before the move.
Of the 111 fires, 91 came before the move began and 5 happened while it was already under way. A fire during the move sees it; it does not telegraph it.
About 3.6 a day, on 7 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
This is not a similarity search. Each count matches the exact readings above and nothing else.
Picked in hindsight: the counts include every other time these readings appeared, not just this move.
Fires often arrive as clusters of consecutive minutes, and forward windows overlap. A cluster is one episode, not many independent trials.
If these counts read weaker than the move suggested, that is the tool working: the lead-up of a picked move always looks special until it is counted everywhere else.
What the minutes before it looked like
Hourly candles. The marked lines are the minutes the readings came from: 1 minute, 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours and 24 hours before the move began. Every one of them sits before the move, never inside it.
Highlighted readings and exact search conditions
Highlighted readings meet fixed rules, not a statistical-significance test. The observed value and proposed search condition are different: a condition rounds a value or selects an interval for a repeatable search.
- -24h2026-09-01 14:00 UTC
At 24 hours before the move, 5 of the 58 readings met a highlight rule.
Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.95the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline ≤ 0.36Cascade clustering ≥ 0.57how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720Show the full readings
READING BEFORE THE MOVE SEARCHES FOR Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance -0.9595 ≤ -0.95 the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_1h 0.3567 ≤ 0.36 Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.5766 ≥ 0.57 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 92 12 to 720 - -4h2026-09-02 10:00 UTC
At 4 hours before the move, 9 of the 58 readings met a highlight rule.
Book imbalance · top levels ≥ 0.56the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline ≥ 3.7the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline ≤ 0.5Cascade clustering ≥ 0.54how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720Realized vol percentile ≥ 0.98Return · 15m ≤ -0.011Return · 1h ≥ 0.058Show the full readings
READING BEFORE THE MOVE SEARCHES FOR Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance 0.5602 ≥ 0.56 the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_1h 3.727 ≥ 3.7 the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_4h 0.4981 ≤ 0.5 Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.5469 ≥ 0.54 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 112 12 to 720 Realized vol percentile feature.realized_vol_pctrank 0.9836 ≥ 0.98 Return · 15m feature.ret_15m -0.01146 ≤ -0.011 Return · 1h feature.ret_1h 0.05809 ≥ 0.058 - -1h2026-09-02 13:00 UTC
At 1 hour before the move, 4 of the 58 readings met a highlight rule.
Book imbalance percentile ≤ 0.048Cascade clustering ≥ 0.54how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720Show the full readings
READING BEFORE THE MOVE SEARCHES FOR Book imbalance percentile feature.book_imbalance_pctrank 0.04788 ≤ 0.048 Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.5459 ≥ 0.54 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 115 12 to 720 - -15m2026-09-02 13:45 UTC
At 15 minutes before the move, 11 of the 58 readings met a highlight rule.
Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.7Book imbalance percentile ≤ 0.06Compression · 15m ≥ 8.2Cascade clustering ≥ 0.54how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720OI velocity percentile ≥ 0.99Realized vol percentile ≥ 0.98Return · 15m ≥ 0.09Return · 1h ≥ 0.11VWAP distance · day ≥ 0.1Show the full readings
READING BEFORE THE MOVE SEARCHES FOR Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance -0.7057 ≤ -0.7 Book imbalance percentile feature.book_imbalance_pctrank 0.0595 ≤ 0.06 Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m 8.202 ≥ 8.2 Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.5401 ≥ 0.54 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 115.8 12 to 720 OI velocity percentile feature.oi_velocity_pctrank 1 ≥ 0.99 Realized vol percentile feature.realized_vol_pctrank 0.9865 ≥ 0.98 Return · 15m feature.ret_15m 0.09003 ≥ 0.09 Return · 1h feature.ret_1h 0.1101 ≥ 0.11 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist 0.1025 ≥ 0.1 - -1m2026-09-02 13:59 UTC
At 1 minute before the move, 8 of the 58 readings met a highlight rule.
Compression · 15m ≥ 8.2Cascade clustering ≥ 0.54how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720Realized vol percentile ≥ 0.99Return · 15m ≥ 0.066Return · 1h ≥ 0.18VWAP distance · day ≥ 0.12Show the full readings
READING BEFORE THE MOVE SEARCHES FOR Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m 8.202 ≥ 8.2 Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.5417 ≥ 0.54 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 116 12 to 720 Realized vol percentile feature.realized_vol_pctrank 1 ≥ 0.99 Return · 15m feature.ret_15m 0.06691 ≥ 0.066 Return · 1h feature.ret_1h 0.1824 ≥ 0.18 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist 0.1245 ≥ 0.12
Also counted
Compression · 15m ≥ 8.2 and Cascade clustering ≥ 0.54 and Realized vol percentile ≥ 0.997 matches, 3 rose, 4 fell
Read at 1 minute before the move.
3 rose and 4 fell over 7 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
Of the 7 fires, 6 came before the move began; none were during it.
About 0.2 a day, on 5 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
Book imbalance percentile ≤ 0.06 and OI velocity percentile ≥ 0.99 and Realized vol percentile ≥ 0.9812 matches, 7 rose, 5 fell
Read at 15 minutes before the move.
7 rose and 5 fell over 12 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
Of the 12 fires, 12 came before the move began; none were during it.
About 0.4 a day, on 8 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
Every night the record counts what fired and what usually followed: the daily brief.
No account? Replay a real move tick by tick, free: TUT short squeeze · 9 Aug 2026.