Research is a work in progress. Estimated release: 1 December 2026. Our goal is to make it a search engine for trading setups in recorded crypto markets.
Binance USDT-MAXTIUSDT rose 85% on 30 July 2026
Picked after the rise, on one market.
Next stepWhat happened
Price opened the 08:00 hour at 37.46 and reached a highest trade of 69.29 in the 13:00 hour; the tested readings were taken at 07:45.
What stood out at 07:45
- Order book tilt0.5728Tested: 0.57 or higher
- Lower wick (15m)0.7241Tested: 0.72 or higher
- Liquidation bunching0.7115Tested: 0.71 or higher
07:45 always meets its own rules.
What the record says
No counts were saved to compare, only the summary text
Picked after the rise, on one market.
Evidence
Does it hold on other dates?
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Exactly what was counted3 conditions · 62 of 43,201 minutes · saved text
Saved summary text, as written 5 Aug 2026
Written automatically when this study was saved and kept as written; where a line differs from the counts above, the counts govern.
Minutes like this appeared 62 times in the 43,201 minutes searched (0.1%). What followed was close to a coin flip: 25 rose and 21 fell over the next 30 minutes (46 of the 62 matches have a complete 30 minutes forward).
About 2 a day, on 21 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
The other reading times, as written
From 1 minute before
Minutes like this appeared only 10 times in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed leaned up: 5 of the 7 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward rose (71%).
About 0.3 a day, on 9 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
From 1 hour before
Minutes like this are common here: 457 of the 43,201 minutes searched (1.1%), about 15 a day. What followed was close to a coin flip: 190 rose and 196 fell over the next 30 minutes (386 of the 457 matches have a complete 30 minutes forward).
About 15 a day, on 22 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
Picked after the rise, on one market.
- Order book tilt 0.57 or higher. Size at the best bid against the best ask; above 0 means more bids, below 0 more asks.Book imbalance · top levels ≥ 0.57 · feature.book_imbalance
- Lower wick (15m) 0.72 or higher.Lower wick · 15m ≥ 0.72 · feature.candle_lower_wick_15m
- Liquidation bunching 0.71 or higher. How bunched in time recent liquidations were; higher means more bunched, and it stays below 1.Cascade clustering ≥ 0.71 · feature.cascade_clustering_index
Read at 15 minutes before the move.
Read at 07:45 UTC on 30 July, 15 minutes before the selected 08:00 start.
AXTI only, 5 July to 3 August 2026 (UTC, ending 4 August 00:00); all 3 readings had values on 43,201 of those minutes.
Reference: every AXTI minute over the same dates, matches included; it is not a matched control group.
Outcome: the close exactly 30 minutes later, not the highest or lowest price along the way.
The 08:00 start was picked automatically after the move.
AXTIUSDT stored readings end 2026-08-04 00:00 UTC (exclusive). Prices and tick replay have separate coverage.
The feature manifest spans the lead-up. Individual minutes or inputs can still be unavailable.
This is not a similarity search. Each count matches the exact readings above and nothing else.
Picked in hindsight: the counts include every other time these readings appeared, not just this move.
Fires often arrive as clusters of consecutive minutes, and forward windows overlap. A cluster is one episode, not many independent trials.
If these counts read weaker than the move suggested, that is the tool working: the lead-up of a picked move always looks special until it is counted everywhere else.
Saved study q#7e570b00 @ dataset 461da594, counted 5 Aug 2026 02:50 UTC.
When the matches happened
Of the 62 matches, 51 came before the rise began, 2 during it and 9 after it.
Neighbouring minutes overlap, so these are not 62 separate trials.
Picked after the rise, on one market.
Readings at five times before the rise24 hours to 1 minute before · 2 other times tried
Highlights follow fixed rules, not significance tests. Proposed conditions round values or use ranges; inspect them before running.
24 hours before · 29 Jul 08:00 UTC · 2 of 39 stood out
Liquidation bunching 0.71 or higherMinutes to funding 1 or lowerShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.7154 ≥ 0.71 Minutes to funding feature.mins_to_funding 0 ≤ 1 4 hours before · 30 Jul 04:00 UTC · 3 of 39 stood out
Order book lopsidedness 0.94 or higherContainment (15m) is insideLiquidation bunching 0.71 or higherShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance percentile feature.book_imbalance_pctrank 0.944 ≥ 0.94 Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m inside inside Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.7115 ≥ 0.71 1 hour before · 30 Jul 07:00 UTC · 2 of 39 stood out
Order book tilt 0.75 or higherLiquidation bunching 0.71 or higherShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance 0.753 ≥ 0.75 Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.7115 ≥ 0.71 15 minutes before · 30 Jul 07:45 UTC · 4 of 39 stood out
Order book tilt 0.57 or higherLower wick (15m) 0.72 or higherLiquidation bunching 0.71 or higherMinutes to funding 15 or lowerShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance 0.5728 ≥ 0.57 Lower wick · 15m feature.candle_lower_wick_15m 0.7241 ≥ 0.72 Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.7115 ≥ 0.71 Minutes to funding feature.mins_to_funding 15 ≤ 15 1 minute before · 30 Jul 07:59 UTC · 3 of 39 stood out
Lower wick (15m) 0.72 or higherLiquidation bunching 0.71 or higherMinutes to funding 1 or lowerShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Lower wick · 15m feature.candle_lower_wick_15m 0.7241 ≥ 0.72 Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.7115 ≥ 0.71 Minutes to funding feature.mins_to_funding 1 ≤ 1
Two other reading times we tried 10 and 457 matches
1 minute before (07:59): lower wick (15m) 0.72 or higher, liquidation bunching 0.71 or higher, minutes to funding 1 or lower.
Lower wick · 15m ≥ 0.72 and Cascade clustering ≥ 0.71 and Minutes to funding ≤ 1
10 matches.
Of the 10 matches, 9 came before the rise began, 0 during it and 1 after it.
1 hour before (07:00): order book tilt 0.75 or higher, liquidation bunching 0.71 or higher.
Book imbalance · top levels ≥ 0.75 and Cascade clustering ≥ 0.71
457 matches.
Of the first 400 of 457 matches checked, 303 came before the rise began, 21 during it and 76 after it.
Fewer than 30 results, so no rate is printed.
The saved study leads with 07:45: the narrowest set with at least 30 matches before the rise.
Picked after the rise, on one market.
Hourly candles around the risefull context, lead-up, move
The 08:00 start was picked after the move, and the hour before was already rising.
Hourly candles, UTC. The marked lines are the minutes the readings came from: 1 minute, 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours and 24 hours before the selected start.
Other ways to test itsame dates
Same 3 conditions on AXTI, 5 June to 4 July 2026.
Each opens Review the test.
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