BMTUSDT rose 80% into Aug 26. The record covers the whole lead-up.
Counted on 2026-09-01, against a record covering to 2026-09-01 00:00 UTC. These numbers are frozen: this page will always say what it said the day it was written.
This move is in the event archive as a volatility spike on 2026-08-25. Open the archived event
Exact setup countedCascade clustering ≥ 0.57 and OI velocity percentile ≥ 0.98 and Realized vol percentile ≥ 0.98 · Read at 1 hour before the move.
Minutes like this appeared only 20 times in the 43,168 minutes searched. What followed leaned up: 15 of the 20 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward rose (75%).
Opens this exact search in the research tool. Nothing runs until you confirm it there, and arming it as an alert sends a message when it next becomes true.
Evidence and counting
Read at 1 hour before the move.
Of the 20 fires, 10 came before the move began and 5 happened while it was already under way. A fire during the move sees it; it does not telegraph it.
About 0.6 a day, on 10 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
This is not a similarity search. Each count matches the exact readings above and nothing else.
Picked in hindsight: the counts include every other time these readings appeared, not just this move.
Fires often arrive as clusters of consecutive minutes, and forward windows overlap. A cluster is one episode, not many independent trials.
If these counts read weaker than the move suggested, that is the tool working: the lead-up of a picked move always looks special until it is counted everywhere else.
What the minutes before it looked like
Hourly candles. The marked lines are the minutes the readings came from: 1 minute, 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours and 24 hours before the move began. Every one of them sits before the move, never inside it.
A reading stands out when it sits outside the range it usually holds. The rules are fixed: the same ones the moment reader on the research page uses.
No recorded readings at 1 minute, 15 minutes, 4 hours, 24 hours before the move.
- -1h2026-08-25 14:00 UTC
At 1 hour before the move, 4 of the 39 readings stood out.
Cascade clustering ≥ 0.57OI velocity percentile ≥ 0.98Realized vol percentile ≥ 0.98VWAP distance · day ≥ 0.026Show the full readings
READING BEFORE THE MOVE SEARCHES FOR Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.575 ≥ 0.57 OI velocity percentile feature.oi_velocity_pctrank 0.98 ≥ 0.98 Realized vol percentile feature.realized_vol_pctrank 0.9871 ≥ 0.98 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist 0.02693 ≥ 0.026
Also counted
Every night the record counts what fired and what usually followed: the daily brief.
No account? Replay a real move tick by tick, free: TUT short squeeze · 9 Aug 2026.