BTWUSDT rose 58% into Aug 1. The record covers the whole lead-up.

Move window: 2026-07-31 09:00 to 2026-08-01 10:00 UTC. The record for BTWUSDT currently ends 2026-08-07 00:00 UTC.

Counted on 2026-08-08, against a record covering to 2026-08-07 00:00 UTC. These numbers are frozen: this page will always say what it said the day it was written.

Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.63 and Cascade clustering ≥ 0.58 and Minutes to funding ≤ 1

feature.book_imbalance + feature.cascade_clustering_index + feature.mins_to_funding

Read at 1 hour before the move.

Minutes like this appeared only 4 times in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed leaned up: 3 of the 4 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward rose (75%).

Of the 4 fires, 3 came before the move began; none were during it.

About 0.1 a day, on 4 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.

q#316e3ebd @ dataset 84e561d5

Best supported: Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.63 and Cascade clustering ≥ 0.58 and Minutes to funding ≤ 1, the combination with the most fires before the move began.

Opens this exact search in the research tool. Nothing runs until you confirm it there, and arming it as an alert sends a message when it next becomes true.

No account? Replay a real move tick by tick, free: EVAA short squeeze · 8 Jul 2026.

Picked in hindsight: the counts include every other time these readings appeared, not just this move.

What the minutes before it looked like

Where these readings were taken
the move beginsreadings taken here0.128810.077160.101150.13260Jul 30 23:00Jul 31 09:00Aug 1 14:00UTC · log price scale

Hourly candles. The marked lines are the minutes the readings came from: 1 minute, 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours and 24 hours before the move began. Every one of them sits before the move, never inside it.

A reading stands out when it sits outside the range it usually holds. The rules are fixed: the same ones the moment reader on the research page uses.

At 1 minute before the move, 4 of the 39 readings stood out. 2026-07-31 08:59 UTC
READINGBEFORE THE MOVESEARCHES FOR
Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance0.8228≥ 0.82
Upper wick · 15m feature.candle_upper_wick_15m0.774≥ 0.77
Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index0.5873≥ 0.58
VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist-0.02026≤ -0.02
At 15 minutes before the move, 4 of the 39 readings stood out. 2026-07-31 08:45 UTC
READINGBEFORE THE MOVESEARCHES FOR
Upper wick · 15m feature.candle_upper_wick_15m0.774≥ 0.77
Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index0.5873≥ 0.58
OI velocity percentile feature.oi_velocity_pctrank0.9545≥ 0.95
VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist-0.02811≤ -0.028
At 1 hour before the move, 4 of the 39 readings stood out. 2026-07-31 08:00 UTC
READINGBEFORE THE MOVESEARCHES FOR
Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance-0.6346≤ -0.63
Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index0.5873≥ 0.58
Minutes to funding feature.mins_to_funding0≤ 1
VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist-0.03722≤ -0.037
At 4 hours before the move, 4 of the 39 readings stood out. 2026-07-31 05:00 UTC
READINGBEFORE THE MOVESEARCHES FOR
Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15moutsideoutside
Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index0.5905≥ 0.59
Return · 15m feature.ret_15m-0.01217≤ -0.012
VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist-0.02064≤ -0.02
At 24 hours before the move, 3 of the 39 readings stood out. 2026-07-30 09:00 UTC
READINGBEFORE THE MOVESEARCHES FOR
Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance0.5737≥ 0.57
Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index0.6055≥ 0.6
VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist-0.04109≤ -0.041

Also counted

This is not a similarity search. Each count matches the exact readings above and nothing else.

Book imbalance · top levels ≥ 0.82 and Upper wick · 15m ≥ 0.77 and Cascade clustering ≥ 0.58

feature.book_imbalance + feature.candle_upper_wick_15m + feature.cascade_clustering_index

Read at 1 minute before the move.

Minutes like this appeared only 3 times in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed leaned up: 2 of the 3 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward rose (67%).

Of the 3 fires, 2 came before the move began; none were during it.

About 0.1 a day, on 3 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.

q#c8068e4d @ dataset 84e561d5

Upper wick · 15m ≥ 0.77 and Cascade clustering ≥ 0.58 and OI velocity percentile ≥ 0.95

feature.candle_upper_wick_15m + feature.cascade_clustering_index + feature.oi_velocity_pctrank

Read at 15 minutes before the move.

Minutes like this appeared only 2 times in the 43,181 minutes searched. What followed leaned up: 2 of the 2 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward rose (100%).

Of the 2 fires, 1 came before the move began; none were during it.

About 0.1 a day over 31 days, but 2026-07-31 alone holds 50% of them: this is close to a single episode.

q#880acafe @ dataset 84e561d5

Fires often arrive as clusters of consecutive minutes, and forward windows overlap. A cluster is one episode, not many independent trials.

If these counts read weaker than the move suggested, that is the tool working: the lead-up of a picked move always looks special until it is counted everywhere else.

Every night the record counts what fired and what usually followed: the daily brief.