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BTWUSDT rose 68% into Aug 1. The record covers the whole lead-up.

Move window: 2026-07-28 01:00 to 2026-08-01 10:00 UTC. The record for BTWUSDT currently ends 2026-08-04 00:00 UTC.

Counted on 2026-08-05, against a record covering to 2026-08-04 00:00 UTC. These numbers are frozen: this page will always say what it said the day it was written.

Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.6 and Sweep + reclaim · 1h bullish and Cascade clustering ≥ 0.57

feature.book_imbalance + feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_1h + feature.cascade_clustering_index

Read at 1 minute before the move.

Minutes like this appeared 30 times in the 43,201 minutes searched (<0.1%). What followed was close to a coin flip: 14 rose and 16 fell over the next 30 minutes (30 of the 30 matches have a complete 30 minutes forward).

Of the 30 fires, 27 came before the move began and 2 happened while it was already under way. A fire during the move sees it; it does not telegraph it.

About 1 a day, on 11 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.

q#80cff8a9 @ dataset 461da594

WATCH FOR THIS Watch the ignition replay

Best supported: Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.6 and Sweep + reclaim · 1h bullish and Cascade clustering ≥ 0.57, the combination with the most fires before the move began.

Opens this exact search in the research tool. Nothing runs until you confirm it there, and arming it as an alert sends a message when it next becomes true.

Picked in hindsight: the counts include every other time these readings appeared, not just this move.

What the minutes before it looked like

Where these readings were taken

Hourly candles. The marked lines are the minutes the readings came from: 1 minute, 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours and 24 hours before the move began. Every one of them sits before the move, never inside it.

A reading stands out when it sits outside the range it usually holds. The rules are fixed: the same ones the moment reader on the research page uses.

At 1 minute before the move, 5 of the 39 readings stood out. 2026-07-28 00:59 UTC

READING	BEFORE THE MOVE	SEARCHES FOR
Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance	-0.6086	≤ -0.6
Sweep + reclaim · 1h feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_1h	bullish	bullish
Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index	0.5782	≥ 0.57
Return · 15m feature.ret_15m	-0.01185	≤ -0.011
Return · 1h feature.ret_1h	0.03439	≥ 0.034

At 15 minutes before the move, 5 of the 39 readings stood out. 2026-07-28 00:45 UTC

READING	BEFORE THE MOVE	SEARCHES FOR
Sweep + reclaim · 1h feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_1h	bullish	bullish
Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index	0.5788	≥ 0.57
Return · 15m feature.ret_15m	0.0218	≥ 0.021
Return · 1h feature.ret_1h	0.06241	≥ 0.062
VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist	0.02293	≥ 0.022

At 1 hour before the move, 8 of the 39 readings stood out. 2026-07-28 00:00 UTC

READING	BEFORE THE MOVE	SEARCHES FOR
Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance	-0.6357	≤ -0.63
Sweep + reclaim · 15m feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_15m	bullish	bullish
Sweep + reclaim · 1h feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_1h	bullish	bullish
Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index	0.5803	≥ 0.58
Minutes to funding feature.mins_to_funding	0	≤ 1
OI velocity percentile feature.oi_velocity_pctrank	0.9484	≥ 0.94
Return · 15m feature.ret_15m	0.01366	≥ 0.013
VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist	-0.2458	≤ -0.24

At 4 hours before the move, 5 of the 39 readings stood out. 2026-07-27 21:00 UTC

READING	BEFORE THE MOVE	SEARCHES FOR
Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance	0.8442	≥ 0.84
Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index	0.6098	≥ 0.6
OI velocity percentile feature.oi_velocity_pctrank	0.9623	≥ 0.96
Return · 15m feature.ret_15m	-0.02131	≤ -0.021
VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist	-0.2351	≤ -0.23

At 24 hours before the move, 6 of the 39 readings stood out. 2026-07-27 01:00 UTC

READING	BEFORE THE MOVE	SEARCHES FOR
Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance	-0.5288	≤ -0.52
Book imbalance percentile feature.book_imbalance_pctrank	0.08518	≤ 0.086
Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m	2.106	≥ 2.1
Return · 15m feature.ret_15m	0.01813	≥ 0.018
Return · 1h feature.ret_1h	0.06645	≥ 0.066
VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist	0.02512	≥ 0.025

Also counted

This is not a similarity search. Each count matches the exact readings above and nothing else.

Sweep + reclaim · 1h bullish and Cascade clustering ≥ 0.57 and Return · 15m ≥ 0.021

feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_1h + feature.cascade_clustering_index + feature.ret_15m

Read at 15 minutes before the move.

Minutes like this appeared only 11 times in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed leaned down: 7 of the 11 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward fell (64%).

Of the 11 fires, 10 came before the move began and 1 happened while it was already under way. A fire during the move sees it; it does not telegraph it.

About 0.4 a day, on 6 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.

q#c2268497 @ dataset 461da594

Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.63 and Sweep + reclaim · 15m bullish and OI velocity percentile ≥ 0.94

feature.book_imbalance + feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_15m + feature.oi_velocity_pctrank

Read at 1 hour before the move.

Minutes like this appeared only 26 times in the 43,181 minutes searched. What followed leaned up: 15 of the 26 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward rose (58%).

Of the 26 fires, 20 came before the move began and 3 happened while it was already under way. A fire during the move sees it; it does not telegraph it.

About 0.8 a day, on 22 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.

q#7178b3d5 @ dataset 461da594

Fires often arrive as clusters of consecutive minutes, and forward windows overlap. A cluster is one episode, not many independent trials.

If these counts read weaker than the move suggested, that is the tool working: the lead-up of a picked move always looks special until it is counted everywhere else.