BULLAUSDT rose into Sep 9
+82%
Counted on 2026-09-13, against a record covering to 2026-09-13 00:00 UTC. These numbers are frozen: this page will always say what it said the day it was written.
This move is in the event archive as a pump 4h on 2026-09-06. Open the archived event
Exact setup countedBook imbalance · top levels ≥ 0.94 and Sweep + reclaim · 15m bullish and Cascade clustering ≥ 0.54 · Read at 15 minutes before the move.
After 30 minutes this setup fell 2% or more in 5 of 32 complete windows (15.6%), against 6.8% with no condition (2,914 of 43,123): 2.31x.
Best point inside 30 minutes reached +5% or more in 4 of 32 complete windows; worst point fell 5% or more in 5 of 32.
Multiple recorded sectors: sector_alpha, sector_crypto. Choose one explicitly.
Starting defaults and coverage
Starting defaults: 2026-08-14 to 2026-09-13 UTC; finishes up 2% or more after 1 hour. Review or change the markets, dates, conditions and outcome before running. Current recorded classification and sector tags, not point-in-time membership. Historical membership may differ. Instrument history does not guarantee every setup input or outcome is present; actual study exclusions remain authoritative.
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Evidence and counting
Read at 15 minutes before the move.
Of the 32 fires, 17 came before the move began and 8 happened while it was already under way. A fire during the move sees it; it does not telegraph it.
About 1 a day, on 13 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
This is not a similarity search. Each count matches the exact readings above and nothing else.
Picked in hindsight: the counts include every other time these readings appeared, not just this move.
Fires often arrive as clusters of consecutive minutes, and forward windows overlap. A cluster is one episode, not many independent trials.
If these counts read weaker than the move suggested, that is the tool working: the lead-up of a picked move always looks special until it is counted everywhere else.
Explore the move and its lead-up
Hourly candles. The marked lines are the minutes the readings came from: 1 minute, 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours and 24 hours before the selected start. These five samples test the lead-up only, not the full move. Use the minute inspector to explore during or after the move.
Explore historical state
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Read the available analytical inputs at one minute, including measurements over the preceding windows. Compare with an hour earlier, then take a reading into Research to test it. Dates are UTC.
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Selected time: 2026-09-06 08:00 UTC. During the selected move: hindsight. Choose Read this minute to request it. Missing minutes remain unavailable.
Follow positioning and flow through the move
Read 24 sampled minutes from the selected start through one hour after the selected end. The peak hour has extra 15-minute samples. The end marks the peak hour, not the exact peak tick. These are separate snapshots, not a continuous tape or an advance-warning test.
Historical access applies. Reads preserve each source revision; missing values stay unavailable. Contract OI, turnover and direct spot basis are not supplied by this table. Published premium is a different measure from direct basis.
No additional reads have run.
The OI score measures absolute USD-notional change, not signed contract growth. Zero 15-second liquidation intensity can coexist with substantial hourly liquidations. Binance liquidation amounts are observed publications, not complete venue totals.
Pre-start evidence: five separate snapshots
Highlighted readings and exact search conditions
Highlighted readings meet fixed rules, not a statistical-significance test. The observed value and proposed search condition are different: a condition rounds a value or selects an interval for a repeatable search.
- -24h2026-09-05 08:00 UTC
At 24 hours before the move, 13 of the 63 readings met a highlight rule.
Book imbalance · top levels ≥ 0.84the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline ≥ 2.3Sweep + reclaim · 15m bearishSweep + reclaim · 1h bearishUpper wick · 15m ≥ 0.68Cascade clustering ≥ 0.73how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720Minutes to funding ≤ 1OI change magnitude score ≥ 0.91Return · 15m ≥ 0.028Return · 1h ≥ 0.059VWAP distance · day ≥ 0.31Show the full readings
READING BEFORE THE MOVE SEARCHES FOR Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance 0.8473 ≥ 0.84 the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_4h 2.321 ≥ 2.3 Sweep + reclaim · 15m feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_15m bearish bearish Sweep + reclaim · 1h feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_1h bearish bearish Upper wick · 15m feature.candle_upper_wick_15m 0.6888 ≥ 0.68 Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.7366 ≥ 0.73 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 74 12 to 720 Minutes to funding feature.mins_to_funding 0 ≤ 1 OI change magnitude score feature.oi_velocity_pctrank 0.9126 ≥ 0.91 Return · 15m feature.ret_15m 0.02859 ≥ 0.028 Return · 1h feature.ret_1h 0.05999 ≥ 0.059 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist 0.3112 ≥ 0.31 - -4h2026-09-06 04:00 UTC
At 4 hours before the move, 9 of the 63 readings met a highlight rule.
Book imbalance · top levels ≥ 0.92Engulfing · 15m bullishCascade clustering ≥ 0.58how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720OI change magnitude score ≤ 0.1Return · 15m ≥ 0.018Return · 1h ≥ 0.036VWAP distance · day ≥ 0.026Show the full readings
READING BEFORE THE MOVE SEARCHES FOR Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance 0.9267 ≥ 0.92 Engulfing · 15m feature.candle_engulfing_15m bullish bullish Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.5833 ≥ 0.58 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 94 12 to 720 OI change magnitude score feature.oi_velocity_pctrank 0.09948 ≤ 0.1 Return · 15m feature.ret_15m 0.01884 ≥ 0.018 Return · 1h feature.ret_1h 0.03663 ≥ 0.036 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist 0.02685 ≥ 0.026 - -1h2026-09-06 07:00 UTC
At 1 hour before the move, 8 of the 63 readings met a highlight rule.
Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.99Engulfing · 15m bearishCascade clustering ≥ 0.53how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720Return · 15m ≤ -0.021Return · 1h ≤ -0.039VWAP distance · day ≤ -0.034Show the full readings
READING BEFORE THE MOVE SEARCHES FOR Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance -0.9989 ≤ -0.99 Engulfing · 15m feature.candle_engulfing_15m bearish bearish Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.5398 ≥ 0.53 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 97 12 to 720 Return · 15m feature.ret_15m -0.02103 ≤ -0.021 Return · 1h feature.ret_1h -0.03995 ≤ -0.039 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist -0.03452 ≤ -0.034 - -15m2026-09-06 07:45 UTC
At 15 minutes before the move, 9 of the 63 readings met a highlight rule.
Book imbalance · top levels ≥ 0.94Sweep + reclaim · 15m bullishCascade clustering ≥ 0.54how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720Minutes to funding ≤ 15Return · 15m ≤ -0.041Return · 1h ≤ -0.17VWAP distance · day ≤ -0.15Show the full readings
READING BEFORE THE MOVE SEARCHES FOR Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance 0.9453 ≥ 0.94 Sweep + reclaim · 15m feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_15m bullish bullish Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.5412 ≥ 0.54 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 97.75 12 to 720 Minutes to funding feature.mins_to_funding 15 ≤ 15 Return · 15m feature.ret_15m -0.04147 ≤ -0.041 Return · 1h feature.ret_1h -0.1767 ≤ -0.17 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist -0.1598 ≤ -0.15 - -1m2026-09-06 07:59 UTC
At 1 minute before the move, 10 of the 63 readings met a highlight rule.
Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.5Sweep + reclaim · 15m bullishCascade clustering ≥ 0.54how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720Minutes to funding ≤ 1Realized vol percentile ≥ 0.93Return · 15m ≥ 0.056Return · 1h ≤ -0.1VWAP distance · day ≤ -0.1Show the full readings
READING BEFORE THE MOVE SEARCHES FOR Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance -0.5055 ≤ -0.5 Sweep + reclaim · 15m feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_15m bullish bullish Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.5428 ≥ 0.54 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 97.98 12 to 720 Minutes to funding feature.mins_to_funding 1 ≤ 1 Realized vol percentile feature.realized_vol_pctrank 0.9345 ≥ 0.93 Return · 15m feature.ret_15m 0.05641 ≥ 0.056 Return · 1h feature.ret_1h -0.1077 ≤ -0.1 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist -0.1029 ≤ -0.1
Also counted
Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.5 and Sweep + reclaim · 15m bullish and Realized vol percentile ≥ 0.9315 matches, 13 rose, 2 fell
Read at 1 minute before the move.
13 rose and 2 fell over 15 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
Of the 15 fires, 11 came before the move began and 3 happened while it was already under way. A fire during the move sees it; it does not telegraph it.
About 0.5 a day, on 12 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.99 and Engulfing · 15m bearish and Cascade clustering ≥ 0.539 matches, 3 rose, 6 fell
Read at 1 hour before the move.
3 rose and 6 fell over 9 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
Of the 9 fires, 6 came before the move began and 2 happened while it was already under way. A fire during the move sees it; it does not telegraph it.
About 0.3 a day, on 8 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
Every night the record counts what fired and what usually followed: the daily brief.
No account? Replay a real move tick by tick, free: TUT short squeeze · 9 Aug 2026.