Research is a work in progress. Estimated release: 1 December 2026. Our goal is to make it a search engine for trading setups in recorded crypto markets.
Binance USDT-MFLOCKUSDT rose 82% on 2 September 2026
Picked after the rise, on one market.
Next stepWhat happened
Price opened the 21:00 hour at 0.03601 and reached a highest trade of 0.06538 in the 16:00 hour; the tested readings were taken at 17:00.
What stood out at 17:00
- Order book tilt-0.6238Tested: -0.62 or lower
- 15-minute range against usual0.4494Tested: 0.45 or lower
- 1-hour range against usual0.4991Tested: 0.5 or lower
17:00 always meets its own rules.
What the record says
Too few results to compare
Price at least 2% higher after 30 minutes
28 matches in 43,201 minutes checked.
Picked after the rise, on one market.
Evidence
Does it hold on more dates?
Nothing runs until you press Run.
Exactly what was counted3 conditions · 28 of 43,201 minutes · saved text
- Order book tilt -0.62 or lower. Size at the best bid against the best ask; above 0 means more bids, below 0 more asks.Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.62 · feature.book_imbalance
- 15-minute range against usual 0.45 or lower. The last finished 15-minute candle's high to low range, as a multiple of its usual range.Compression · 15m ≤ 0.45 · feature.candle_compression_15m
- 1-hour range against usual 0.5 or lower. The last finished 1-hour candle's high to low range, as a multiple of its usual range.the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline ≤ 0.5 · feature.candle_compression_1h
Read at 4 hours before the move.
Read at 17:00 UTC on 2 September, four hours before the selected 21:00 start.
FLOCK only, 8 August to 6 September 2026 (UTC, ending 7 September 00:00); all 3 readings had values on 43,201 of those minutes.
Reference: every FLOCK minute over the same dates, matches included; it is not a matched control group.
Outcome: the close exactly 30 minutes later, not the highest or lowest price along the way.
The 21:00 start was picked automatically after the move.
FLOCKUSDT stored readings end 2026-09-07 00:00 UTC (exclusive). Prices and tick replay have separate coverage.
The feature manifest spans the lead-up. Individual minutes or inputs can still be unavailable.
This is not a similarity search. Each count matches the exact readings above and nothing else.
Picked in hindsight: the counts include every other time these readings appeared, not just this move.
Fires often arrive as clusters of consecutive minutes, and forward windows overlap. A cluster is one episode, not many independent trials.
If these counts read weaker than the move suggested, that is the tool working: the lead-up of a picked move always looks special until it is counted everywhere else.
Saved study q#2276ed6e @ dataset c5654b7b, counted 7 Sep 2026 08:34 UTC.
Saved summary text, as written 7 Sep 2026
Written automatically when this study was saved and kept as written; where a line differs from the counts above, the counts govern.
Minutes like this appeared only 28 times in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed was more often lower: 16 of the 28 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward fell (57%).
12 rose and 16 fell over 28 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
About 0.9 a day, on 16 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
It counts the single minute on 7 September as a day.
The other reading times, as written
From 1 minute before
Minutes like this appeared only 2 times in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed was close to a coin flip: 1 rose and 1 fell over the next 30 minutes (2 of the 2 matches have a complete 30 minutes forward).
1 rose and 1 fell over 2 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
About 0.1 a day over 31 days, but 2026-09-02 alone holds 100% of them: this is close to a single episode.
From 1 hour before
Minutes like this appeared only 1 time in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed was more often lower: 1 of the 1 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward fell (100%).
0 rose and 1 fell over 1 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
About 0 a day over 31 days, but 2026-09-02 alone holds 100% of them: this is close to a single episode.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 28 matches came on 16 of 30 days, 4 during the rise.
When the matches happened16 of 30 days
- 9 Aug1 match
- 10 Aug1 match
- 15 Aug1 match
- 16 Aug1 match
- 20 Aug2 matches
- 21 Aug1 match
- 22 Aug2 matches
- 23 Aug1 match
- 28 Aug1 match
- 29 Aug1 match
- 30 Aug1 match
- 31 Aug2 matches
- 1 Sep2 matches
- 2 Sep5 matches
- 3 Sep4 matches
- 5 Sep2 matches
No matches on the other 14 days.
Of the 28 matches, 22 came before the rise began, 4 during it and 2 after it.
Neighbouring minutes overlap, so these are not 28 separate trials.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 28 matches came on 16 of 30 days, 4 during the rise.
Other time frames30 minutes to 7 days
The answer uses 30 minutes, the time frame this study counted by default. Each row counts the same matches at a later close, in both directions. The bars show how often price was 2% or more higher at each time frame: first the matches, then any FLOCK minute.
- 30 minutes
1 of 28 was 2% or more lower; any FLOCK minute 1,449 of 42,099 (3.4%).
Every match has a 30-minute close.
At least 4 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 1 hour
2 of 28 were 2% or more lower; any FLOCK minute 2,303 of 42,080 (5.5%).
Every match has a 1-hour close.
At least 4 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 4 hours
8 of 28 were 2% or more lower; any FLOCK minute 5,439 of 41,896 (13.0%).
Every match has a 4-hour close.
At least 4 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 24 hours
5 of 28 were 2% or more lower; any FLOCK minute 10,131 of 40,684 (24.9%).
Every match has a 24-hour close.
At least 4 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 72 hours
5 of 26 were 2% or more lower; any FLOCK minute 8,207 of 37,837 (21.7%).
2 without a 72-hour close yet, left out.
At least 4 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 7 days
2 of 13 were 2% or more lower; any FLOCK minute 4,400 of 32,205 (13.7%).
15 without a 7-day close yet, left out.
At least 3 of these windows overlap the rise.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 28 matches came on 16 of 30 days, 4 during the rise.
Readings at five times before the rise24 hours to 1 minute before · 2 other times tried
Highlights follow fixed rules, not significance tests. Proposed conditions round values or use ranges; inspect them before running.
24 hours before · 1 Sep 21:00 UTC · 15 of 58 stood out
15-minute range against usual 0.46 or lower4-hour range against usual 0.27 or lowerContainment (15m) is insideLiquidation bunching 0.6 or higherThe descending resistance line is active 4hHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720The short descending resistance line is active 4hTouches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursThe support under the short descending resistance is fallingTouches on the resistance 3 or moreThe support under the descending resistance is fallingHow many times price has touched the descending resistance 3 or higherDistance from the day's average price -0.089 or lowerShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m 0.4538 ≤ 0.46 the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_4h 0.2649 ≤ 0.27 Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m inside inside Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.6017 ≥ 0.6 the descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_active active_4h active_4h how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 20 12 to 720 the short descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_short_active active_4h active_4h how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 20 12 to 720 the support under the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_support falling falling how many times price has touched the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_touches 4 ≥ 3 the support under the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_support falling falling how many times price has touched the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_touches 4 ≥ 3 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist -0.08953 ≤ -0.089 4 hours before · 2 Sep 17:00 UTC · 15 of 58 stood out
Order book tilt -0.62 or lower15-minute range against usual 0.45 or lower1-hour range against usual 0.5 or lowerContainment (15m) is insideLiquidation bunching 0.62 or higherThe descending resistance line is active 4hHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720The short descending resistance line is active 4hTouches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursThe support under the short descending resistance is fallingTouches on the resistance 3 or moreThe support under the descending resistance is fallingHow many times price has touched the descending resistance 3 or higherShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance -0.6238 ≤ -0.62 Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m 0.4494 ≤ 0.45 the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_1h 0.4991 ≤ 0.5 Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m inside inside Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.6246 ≥ 0.62 the descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_active active_4h active_4h how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 40 12 to 720 the short descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_short_active active_4h active_4h how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 40 12 to 720 the support under the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_support falling falling how many times price has touched the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_touches 6 ≥ 3 the support under the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_support falling falling how many times price has touched the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_touches 6 ≥ 3 1 hour before · 2 Sep 20:00 UTC · 16 of 58 stood out
Order book lopsidedness 0.93 or higher1-hour range against usual 0.23 or lowerLower wick (15m) 0.66 or higherSweep + reclaim (15m) is bullishLiquidation bunching 0.61 or higherThe descending resistance line is active 4hHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720The short descending resistance line is active 4hTouches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursThe support under the short descending resistance is fallingTouches on the resistance 3 or moreThe support under the descending resistance is fallingHow many times price has touched the descending resistance 3 or higherDistance from the day's average price -0.042 or lowerShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance percentile feature.book_imbalance_pctrank 0.9336 ≥ 0.93 the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_1h 0.2248 ≤ 0.23 Lower wick · 15m feature.candle_lower_wick_15m 0.6667 ≥ 0.66 Sweep + reclaim · 15m feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_15m bullish bullish Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.6196 ≥ 0.61 the descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_active active_4h active_4h how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 43 12 to 720 the short descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_short_active active_4h active_4h how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 43 12 to 720 the support under the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_support falling falling how many times price has touched the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_touches 6 ≥ 3 the support under the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_support falling falling how many times price has touched the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_touches 6 ≥ 3 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist -0.04239 ≤ -0.042 15 minutes before · 2 Sep 20:45 UTC · 14 of 58 stood out
1-hour range against usual 0.23 or lowerContainment (15m) is insideLiquidation bunching 0.61 or higherThe descending resistance line is active 4hHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720The short descending resistance line is active 4hTouches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursThe support under the short descending resistance is fallingTouches on the resistance 3 or moreThe support under the descending resistance is fallingHow many times price has touched the descending resistance 3 or higherDistance from the day's average price -0.056 or lowerShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_1h 0.2248 ≤ 0.23 Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m inside inside Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.6148 ≥ 0.61 the descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_active active_4h active_4h how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 43.75 12 to 720 the short descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_short_active active_4h active_4h how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 43.75 12 to 720 the support under the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_support falling falling how many times price has touched the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_touches 6 ≥ 3 the support under the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_support falling falling how many times price has touched the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_touches 6 ≥ 3 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist -0.05662 ≤ -0.056 1 minute before · 2 Sep 20:59 UTC · 15 of 58 stood out
1-hour range against usual 0.23 or lowerContainment (15m) is insideLiquidation bunching 0.61 or higherThe descending resistance line is active 4hHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720The short descending resistance line is active 4hTouches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursThe support under the short descending resistance is fallingTouches on the resistance 3 or moreThe support under the descending resistance is fallingHow many times price has touched the descending resistance 3 or higherTaker buy share (15m) 0.3 or lowerDistance from the day's average price -0.059 or lowerShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_1h 0.2248 ≤ 0.23 Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m inside inside Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.6138 ≥ 0.61 the descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_active active_4h active_4h how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 43.98 12 to 720 the short descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_short_active active_4h active_4h how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 43.98 12 to 720 the support under the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_support falling falling how many times price has touched the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_touches 6 ≥ 3 the support under the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_support falling falling how many times price has touched the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_touches 6 ≥ 3 Taker buy share · 15m feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m 0.2987 ≤ 0.3 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist -0.0596 ≤ -0.059
Two other reading times we tried 2 and 1 matches
1 minute before (20:59): 1-hour range against usual 0.23 or lower, containment (15m) is inside, liquidation bunching 0.61 or higher.
the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline ≤ 0.23 and Containment · 15m inside and Cascade clustering ≥ 0.61
2 matches: price was 2% or more higher after 30 minutes in 0 of 2, and 2% or more lower in 0 of 2.
Of the 2 matches, 2 came before the rise began, 0 during it and 0 after it.
1 hour before (20:00): order book lopsidedness 0.93 or higher, 1-hour range against usual 0.23 or lower, lower wick (15m) 0.66 or higher.
Book imbalance percentile ≥ 0.93 and the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline ≤ 0.23 and Lower wick · 15m ≥ 0.66
1 match: price was 2% or more higher after 30 minutes in 0 of 1, and 2% or more lower in 0 of 1.
Of the 1 match, 1 came before the rise began, 0 during it and 0 after it.
Fewer than 30 results, so no rate is printed.
No set had 30 matches before the rise; the saved study leads with the one that had the most.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 28 matches came on 16 of 30 days, 4 during the rise.
Hourly candles around the risefull context, lead-up, move
The 21:00 start was picked after the move.
Hourly candles, UTC. The marked lines are the minutes the readings came from: 1 minute, 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours and 24 hours before the selected start.
Other ways to test itsame dates
- This market only
- The 57 AI sector markets · No result for these markets has been measured.
- Every recorded market
Same 3 conditions on FLOCK, 9 July to 7 August 2026.
Each opens Review the test.
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