Research is a work in progress. Estimated release: 1 December 2026. Our goal is to make it a search engine for trading setups in recorded crypto markets.
Binance USDT-MFLOCKUSDT rose 82% on 2 September 2026
Picked after the rise, on one market.
Next stepWhat happened
Price opened the 22:00 hour at 0.0359 and reached a highest trade of 0.06538 in the 16:00 hour; the tested readings were taken at 21:00.
What stood out at 21:00
- Order book tilt0.6685Tested: 0.66 or higher
- Order book lopsidedness0.9487Tested: 0.94 or higher
- 1-hour range against usual0.4791Tested: 0.48 or lower
21:00 always meets its own rules.
What the record says
Less often than any FLOCK minute, in this sample
Price at least 2% higher after 30 minutes
31 matches in 43,201 minutes checked; 1 missing a 30-minute close, left out.
Picked after the rise, on one market.
Evidence
Does it hold on other dates?
Nothing runs until you press Run.
Exactly what was counted3 conditions · 31 of 43,201 minutes · saved text
- Order book tilt 0.66 or higher. Size at the best bid against the best ask; above 0 means more bids, below 0 more asks.Book imbalance · top levels ≥ 0.66 · feature.book_imbalance
- Order book lopsidedness 0.94 or higher. How lopsided the sizes at the best bid and ask were, either way, against recent readings; low means unusually even.Book imbalance percentile ≥ 0.94 · feature.book_imbalance_pctrank
- 1-hour range against usual 0.48 or lower. The last finished 1-hour candle's high to low range, as a multiple of its usual range.the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline ≤ 0.48 · feature.candle_compression_1h
Read at 1 hour before the move.
Read at 21:00 UTC on 2 September, one hour before the selected 22:00 start.
FLOCK only, 9 August to 7 September 2026 (UTC, ending 8 September 00:00); all 3 readings had values on 43,201 of those minutes.
Reference: every FLOCK minute over the same dates, matches included; it is not a matched control group.
Outcome: the close exactly 30 minutes later, not the highest or lowest price along the way.
The 22:00 start was picked automatically after the move.
FLOCKUSDT stored readings end 2026-09-08 00:00 UTC (exclusive). Prices and tick replay have separate coverage.
The feature manifest spans the lead-up. Individual minutes or inputs can still be unavailable.
This is not a similarity search. Each count matches the exact readings above and nothing else.
Picked in hindsight: the counts include every other time these readings appeared, not just this move.
Fires often arrive as clusters of consecutive minutes, and forward windows overlap. A cluster is one episode, not many independent trials.
If these counts read weaker than the move suggested, that is the tool working: the lead-up of a picked move always looks special until it is counted everywhere else.
Saved study q#f6440239 @ dataset cbaead34, counted 8 Sep 2026 08:28 UTC.
Saved summary text, as written 8 Sep 2026
Written automatically when this study was saved and kept as written; where a line differs from the counts above, the counts govern.
Minutes like this appeared 31 times in the 43,201 minutes searched (<0.1%). What followed was close to a coin flip: 16 rose and 14 fell over the next 30 minutes (30 of the 31 matches have a complete 30 minutes forward).
After 4 hours this setup fell 2% or more in 3 of 30 complete windows (10.0%), against 15.2% with no condition (6,376 of 41,928): 0.66x.
This reports the time frame with the biggest gap from any minute, chosen after counting. At least 1 of its 30 windows overlap the rise.
Best point inside 4 hours reached +5% or more in 6 of 30 complete windows; worst point fell 5% or more in 2 of 30.
About 1 a day, on 18 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
It counts the single minute on 8 September as a day.
The other reading times, as written
From 1 minute before
Minutes like this appeared only 1 time in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed was more often higher: 1 of the 1 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward rose (100%).
1 rose and 0 fell over 1 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
About 0 a day over 31 days, but 2026-09-02 alone holds 100% of them: this is close to a single episode.
From 15 minutes before
Minutes like this appeared only 1 time in the 43,168 minutes searched. What followed was more often higher: 1 of the 1 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward rose (100%).
1 rose and 0 fell over 1 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
About 0 a day over 31 days, but 2026-09-02 alone holds 100% of them: this is close to a single episode.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 31 matches came on 18 of 30 days, 1 during the rise.
When the matches happened18 of 30 days
- 9 Aug1 match
- 11 Aug1 match
- 15 Aug1 match
- 18 Aug1 match
- 19 Aug1 match
- 20 Aug1 match
- 21 Aug3 matches
- 22 Aug3 matches
- 23 Aug1 match
- 24 Aug1 match
- 26 Aug1 match
- 27 Aug1 match
- 28 Aug4 matches
- 29 Aug3 matches
- 30 Aug2 matches
- 31 Aug2 matches
- 2 Sep3 matches
- 3 Sep1 match
No matches on the other 12 days.
Of the 31 matches, 30 came before the rise began, 1 during it and 0 after it.
Neighbouring minutes overlap, so these are not 31 separate trials.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 31 matches came on 18 of 30 days, 1 during the rise.
Other time frames30 minutes to 7 days
The answer uses 30 minutes, the time frame this study counted by default. Each row counts the same matches at a later close, in both directions. The bars show how often price was 2% or more higher at each time frame: first the matches, then any FLOCK minute.
- 30 minutes
1 of 30 (3.3%) was 2% or more lower; any FLOCK minute 1,705 of 42,132 (4.0%).
1 without a 30-minute close yet, left out.
At least 1 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 1 hour
0 of 29 were 2% or more lower; any FLOCK minute 2,728 of 42,114 (6.5%).
2 without a 1-hour close yet, left out.
At least 1 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 4 hours
3 of 30 (10.0%) were 2% or more lower; any FLOCK minute 6,376 of 41,928 (15.2%).
1 without a 4-hour close yet, left out.
At least 1 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 24 hours
12 of 30 (40.0%) were 2% or more lower; any FLOCK minute 11,094 of 40,717 (27.2%).
1 without a 24-hour close yet, left out.
At least 1 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 72 hours
8 of 30 (26.7%) were 2% or more lower; any FLOCK minute 7,759 of 37,874 (20.5%).
1 without a 72-hour close yet, left out.
At least 3 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 7 days
5 of 26 were 2% or more lower; any FLOCK minute 4,400 of 32,245 (13.6%).
5 without a 7-day close yet, left out.
At least 12 of these windows overlap the rise.
The saved summary picked, after counting, the time frame with the biggest gap from any minute: 4 hours.
After 4 hours this setup fell 2% or more in 3 of 30 complete windows (10.0%), against 15.2% with no condition (6,376 of 41,928): 0.66x.
Only 30 of the 31 matches have a 4-hour close, and at least 1 of those windows ran through the rise itself, so it partly counts the rise as an outcome.
Along the way (the highest and lowest price inside 4 hours, not the close):
Best point inside 4 hours reached +5% or more in 6 of 30 complete windows; worst point fell 5% or more in 2 of 30.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 31 matches came on 18 of 30 days, 1 during the rise.
Readings at five times before the rise24 hours to 1 minute before · 2 other times tried
Highlights follow fixed rules, not significance tests. Proposed conditions round values or use ranges; inspect them before running.
24 hours before · 1 Sep 22:00 UTC · 15 of 58 stood out
Order book tilt -0.82 or lower15-minute range against usual 0.34 or lower4-hour range against usual 0.27 or lowerLiquidation bunching 0.6 or higherThe descending resistance line is active 4hHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720The short descending resistance line is active 4hTouches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursThe support under the short descending resistance is fallingTouches on the resistance 3 or moreThe support under the descending resistance is fallingHow many times price has touched the descending resistance 3 or higherDistance from the day's average price -0.1 or lowerShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance -0.8283 ≤ -0.82 Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m 0.3393 ≤ 0.34 the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_4h 0.2649 ≤ 0.27 Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.602 ≥ 0.6 the descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_active active_4h active_4h how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 21 12 to 720 the short descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_short_active active_4h active_4h how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 21 12 to 720 the support under the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_support falling falling how many times price has touched the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_touches 4 ≥ 3 the support under the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_support falling falling how many times price has touched the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_touches 4 ≥ 3 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist -0.1015 ≤ -0.1 4 hours before · 2 Sep 18:00 UTC · 16 of 58 stood out
15-minute range against usual 0.24 or lower1-hour range against usual 0.5 or lowerContainment (15m) is insideEngulfing (1h) is bearishLiquidation bunching 0.62 or higherThe descending resistance line is active 4hHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720The short descending resistance line is active 4hTouches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursThe support under the short descending resistance is fallingTouches on the resistance 3 or moreThe support under the descending resistance is fallingHow many times price has touched the descending resistance 3 or higherDistance from the day's average price -0.033 or lowerShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m 0.2349 ≤ 0.24 the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_1h 0.4972 ≤ 0.5 Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m inside inside Engulfing · 1h feature.candle_engulfing_1h bearish bearish Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.6229 ≥ 0.62 the descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_active active_4h active_4h how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 41 12 to 720 the short descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_short_active active_4h active_4h how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 41 12 to 720 the support under the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_support falling falling how many times price has touched the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_touches 6 ≥ 3 the support under the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_support falling falling how many times price has touched the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_touches 6 ≥ 3 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist -0.03325 ≤ -0.033 1 hour before · 2 Sep 21:00 UTC · 16 of 58 stood out
Order book tilt 0.66 or higherOrder book lopsidedness 0.94 or higher1-hour range against usual 0.48 or lowerLiquidation bunching 0.61 or higherThe descending resistance line is active 4hHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720The short descending resistance line is active 4hTouches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursThe support under the short descending resistance is fallingTouches on the resistance 3 or moreThe support under the descending resistance is fallingHow many times price has touched the descending resistance 3 or higherTaker buy share (15m) 0.31 or lowerDistance from the day's average price -0.059 or lowerShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance 0.6685 ≥ 0.66 Book imbalance percentile feature.book_imbalance_pctrank 0.9487 ≥ 0.94 the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_1h 0.4791 ≤ 0.48 Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.6138 ≥ 0.61 the descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_active active_4h active_4h how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 44 12 to 720 the short descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_short_active active_4h active_4h how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 44 12 to 720 the support under the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_support falling falling how many times price has touched the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_touches 6 ≥ 3 the support under the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_support falling falling how many times price has touched the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_touches 6 ≥ 3 Taker buy share · 15m feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m 0.3008 ≤ 0.31 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist -0.05907 ≤ -0.059 15 minutes before · 2 Sep 21:45 UTC · 21 of 58 stood out
15-minute range against usual 7.7 or higher1-hour range against usual 0.48 or lowerContainment (15m) is outsideLiquidation bunching 0.6 or higherThe descending resistance line is active 4hHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720The short descending resistance line is active 4hTouches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursThe support under the short descending resistance is fallingTouches on the resistance 3 or moreThe support under the descending resistance is fallingHow many times price has touched the descending resistance 3 or higherLiquidation burst size 0.35 or higherOpen interest change rank 1 or higher15-minute price change -0.055 or lower1-hour price change -0.044 or lowerSpread (normalized) 0.87 or higherTaker buy share (15m) 0.22 or lowerDistance from the day's average price -0.096 or lowerShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m 7.755 ≥ 7.7 the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_1h 0.4791 ≤ 0.48 Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m outside outside Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.6041 ≥ 0.6 the descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_active active_4h active_4h how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 44.75 12 to 720 the short descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_short_active active_4h active_4h how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 44.75 12 to 720 the support under the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_support falling falling how many times price has touched the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_touches 6 ≥ 3 the support under the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_support falling falling how many times price has touched the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_touches 6 ≥ 3 Liquidation intensity feature.liq_intensity_norm 0.355 ≥ 0.35 OI velocity percentile feature.oi_velocity_pctrank 1 ≥ 1 Return · 15m feature.ret_15m -0.05556 ≤ -0.055 Return · 1h feature.ret_1h -0.04404 ≤ -0.044 Spread · normalized feature.spread_norm 0.8722 ≥ 0.87 Taker buy share · 15m feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m 0.2153 ≤ 0.22 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist -0.0968 ≤ -0.096 1 minute before · 2 Sep 21:59 UTC · 18 of 58 stood out
15-minute range against usual 7.7 or higher1-hour range against usual 0.48 or lowerContainment (15m) is outsideLiquidation bunching 0.6 or higherThe descending resistance line is active 4hHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720The short descending resistance line is active 4hTouches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursThe support under the short descending resistance is fallingTouches on the resistance 3 or moreThe support under the descending resistance is fallingHow many times price has touched the descending resistance 3 or higherVolatility rank 0.91 or higher15-minute price change -0.016 or lowerTaker buy share (15m) 0.33 or lowerDistance from the day's average price -0.059 or lowerShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m 7.755 ≥ 7.7 the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_1h 0.4791 ≤ 0.48 Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m outside outside Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.6039 ≥ 0.6 the descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_active active_4h active_4h how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 44.98 12 to 720 the short descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_short_active active_4h active_4h how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 44.98 12 to 720 the support under the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_support falling falling how many times price has touched the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_touches 6 ≥ 3 the support under the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_support falling falling how many times price has touched the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_touches 6 ≥ 3 Realized vol percentile feature.realized_vol_pctrank 0.9106 ≥ 0.91 Return · 15m feature.ret_15m -0.01644 ≤ -0.016 Taker buy share · 15m feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m 0.3206 ≤ 0.33 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist -0.05972 ≤ -0.059
Two other reading times we tried 1 and 1 matches
1 minute before (21:59): 15-minute range against usual 7.7 or higher, 1-hour range against usual 0.48 or lower, volatility rank 0.91 or higher.
Compression · 15m ≥ 7.7 and the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline ≤ 0.48 and Realized vol percentile ≥ 0.91
1 match: price was 2% or more higher after 30 minutes in 0 of 1, and 2% or more lower in 0 of 1.
Of the 1 match, 1 came before the rise began, 0 during it and 0 after it.
15 minutes before (21:45): 15-minute range against usual 7.7 or higher, 1-hour range against usual 0.48 or lower, open interest change rank 1 or higher.
Compression · 15m ≥ 7.7 and the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline ≤ 0.48 and OI velocity percentile ≥ 1
1 match: price was 2% or more higher after 30 minutes in 1 of 1, and 2% or more lower in 0 of 1.
Of the 1 match, 1 came before the rise began, 0 during it and 0 after it.
Fewer than 30 results, so no rate is printed.
The saved study leads with 21:00 because it is the only set with at least 30 matches before the rise.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 31 matches came on 18 of 30 days, 1 during the rise.
Hourly candles around the risefull context, lead-up, move
The 22:00 start was picked after the move.
Hourly candles, UTC. The marked lines are the minutes the readings came from: 1 minute, 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours and 24 hours before the selected start.
Other ways to test itsame dates
- This market only
- The 57 AI sector markets · No result for these markets has been measured.
- Every recorded market
Same 3 conditions on FLOCK, 10 July to 8 August 2026.
Each opens Review the test.
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