Research is a work in progress. Estimated release: 1 December 2026. Our goal is to make it a search engine for trading setups in recorded crypto markets.
Binance USDT-MFLOCKUSDT rose 92% on 30 August 2026
Picked after the rise, on one market.
Next stepWhat happened
Price opened the 18:00 hour at 0.0341 and reached a highest trade of 0.06538 in the 16:00 hour; the tested readings were taken at 17:00.
What stood out at 17:00
- Order book tilt-0.6315Tested: -0.63 or lower
- 15-minute range against usual4.691Tested: 4.6 or higher
- Volatility rank1Tested: 0.99 or higher
17:00 always meets its own rules.
What the record says
Too few results to compare
Price at least 2% higher after 30 minutes
14 matches in 43,201 minutes checked.
Picked after the rise, on one market.
Evidence
Does it hold on more dates?
Nothing runs until you press Run.
Exactly what was counted3 conditions · 14 of 43,201 minutes · saved text
- Order book tilt -0.63 or lower. Size at the best bid against the best ask; above 0 means more bids, below 0 more asks.Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.63 · feature.book_imbalance
- 15-minute range against usual 4.6 or higher. The last finished 15-minute candle's high to low range, as a multiple of its usual range.Compression · 15m ≥ 4.6 · feature.candle_compression_15m
- Volatility rank 0.99 or higher. How volatile the last hour was against this market's history, on a 0 to 1 scale.Realized vol percentile ≥ 0.99 · feature.realized_vol_pctrank
Read at 1 hour before the move.
Read at 17:00 UTC on 30 August, one hour before the selected 18:00 start.
FLOCK only, 7 August to 5 September 2026 (UTC, ending 6 September 00:00); all 3 readings had values on 43,201 of those minutes.
Reference: every FLOCK minute over the same dates, matches included; it is not a matched control group.
Outcome: the close exactly 30 minutes later, not the highest or lowest price along the way.
The 18:00 start was picked automatically after the move.
FLOCKUSDT stored readings end 2026-09-06 00:00 UTC (exclusive). Prices and tick replay have separate coverage.
The feature manifest spans the lead-up. Individual minutes or inputs can still be unavailable.
This is not a similarity search. Each count matches the exact readings above and nothing else.
Picked in hindsight: the counts include every other time these readings appeared, not just this move.
Fires often arrive as clusters of consecutive minutes, and forward windows overlap. A cluster is one episode, not many independent trials.
If these counts read weaker than the move suggested, that is the tool working: the lead-up of a picked move always looks special until it is counted everywhere else.
Saved study q#41515c10 @ dataset efb3e60c, counted 6 Sep 2026 07:59 UTC.
Saved summary text, as written 6 Sep 2026
Written automatically when this study was saved and kept as written; where a line differs from the counts above, the counts govern.
Minutes like this appeared only 14 times in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed was more often higher: 9 of the 14 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward rose (64%).
9 rose and 5 fell over 14 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
About 0.5 a day, on 10 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
It counts the single minute on 6 September as a day.
The other reading times, as written
From 1 minute before
Minutes like this appeared only 3 times in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed was more often lower: 3 of the 3 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward fell (100%).
0 rose and 3 fell over 3 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
About 0.1 a day, on 3 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
From 15 minutes before
Minutes like this appeared only 3 times in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed was more often lower: 3 of the 3 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward fell (100%).
0 rose and 3 fell over 3 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
About 0.1 a day, on 3 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 14 matches came on 10 of 30 days, 4 during the rise.
When the matches happened10 of 30 days
- 12 Aug1 match
- 21 Aug1 match
- 22 Aug1 match
- 26 Aug2 matches
- 27 Aug1 match
- 30 Aug3 matches
- 2 Sep1 match
- 3 Sep2 matches
- 4 Sep1 match
- 5 Sep1 match
No matches on the other 20 days.
Of the 14 matches, 9 came before the rise began, 4 during it and 1 after it.
Neighbouring minutes overlap, so these are not 14 separate trials.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 14 matches came on 10 of 30 days, 4 during the rise.
Other time frames30 minutes to 7 days
The answer uses 30 minutes, the time frame this study counted by default. Each row counts the same matches at a later close, in both directions. The bars show how often price was 2% or more higher at each time frame: first the matches, then any FLOCK minute.
- 30 minutes
2 of 14 were 2% or more lower; any FLOCK minute 1,261 of 42,031 (3.0%).
Every match has a 30-minute close.
At least 4 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 1 hour
1 of 14 was 2% or more lower; any FLOCK minute 2,039 of 42,012 (4.9%).
Every match has a 1-hour close.
At least 4 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 4 hours
2 of 14 were 2% or more lower; any FLOCK minute 5,148 of 41,826 (12.3%).
Every match has a 4-hour close.
At least 4 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 24 hours
4 of 13 were 2% or more lower; any FLOCK minute 10,131 of 40,632 (24.9%).
1 without a 24-hour close yet, left out.
At least 4 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 72 hours
2 of 10 were 2% or more lower; any FLOCK minute 8,207 of 37,787 (21.7%).
4 without a 72-hour close yet, left out.
- 7 days
3 of 6 were 2% or more lower; any FLOCK minute 4,400 of 32,130 (13.7%).
8 without a 7-day close yet, left out.
At least 3 of these windows overlap the rise.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 14 matches came on 10 of 30 days, 4 during the rise.
Readings at five times before the rise24 hours to 1 minute before · 2 other times tried
Highlights follow fixed rules, not significance tests. Proposed conditions round values or use ranges; inspect them before running.
24 hours before · 29 Aug 18:00 UTC · 9 of 58 stood out
Order book tilt 0.63 or higherContainment (15m) is insideLiquidation bunching 0.54 or higherHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720Touches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursVolatility rank 0.93 or higherTaker buy share (15m) 0.32 or lowerShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance 0.6309 ≥ 0.63 Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m inside inside Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.5421 ≥ 0.54 how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 237 12 to 720 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 45 12 to 720 Realized vol percentile feature.realized_vol_pctrank 0.9337 ≥ 0.93 Taker buy share · 15m feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m 0.3186 ≤ 0.32 4 hours before · 30 Aug 14:00 UTC · 11 of 58 stood out
4-hour range against usual 4.3 or higherUpper wick (15m) 0.8 or higherLiquidation bunching 0.53 or higherThe descending resistance line is active 1dHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherThe distance from price to the descending resistance between 0 and 1How long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720Touches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursThe support under the descending resistance is fallingHow many times price has touched the descending resistance 3 or higherShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_4h 4.34 ≥ 4.3 Upper wick · 15m feature.candle_upper_wick_15m 0.8 ≥ 0.8 Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.5382 ≥ 0.53 the descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_active active_1d active_1d how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 the distance from price to the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_dist_atr 0.6144 0 to 1 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 257 12 to 720 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 65 12 to 720 the support under the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_support falling falling how many times price has touched the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_touches 4 ≥ 3 1 hour before · 30 Aug 17:00 UTC · 11 of 58 stood out
Order book tilt -0.63 or lower15-minute range against usual 4.6 or higher1-hour range against usual 9.5 or higherLiquidation bunching 0.53 or higherHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherTouches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursVolatility rank 0.99 or higher15-minute price change 0.054 or higher1-hour price change 0.15 or higherDistance from the day's average price 0.085 or higherShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance -0.6315 ≤ -0.63 Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m 4.691 ≥ 4.6 the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_1h 9.516 ≥ 9.5 Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.5318 ≥ 0.53 how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 68 12 to 720 Realized vol percentile feature.realized_vol_pctrank 1 ≥ 0.99 Return · 15m feature.ret_15m 0.05415 ≥ 0.054 Return · 1h feature.ret_1h 0.1577 ≥ 0.15 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist 0.08589 ≥ 0.085 15 minutes before · 30 Aug 17:45 UTC · 10 of 58 stood out
Order book tilt -0.68 or lower1-hour range against usual 9.5 or higherContainment (15m) is insideLiquidation bunching 0.52 or higherThe distance from price back to the broken descending resistance between -0.5 and 0.5How many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherTouches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursVolatility rank 0.99 or higher15-minute price change 0.022 or higherShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance -0.6862 ≤ -0.68 the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_1h 9.516 ≥ 9.5 Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m inside inside Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.5255 ≥ 0.52 the distance from price back to the broken descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_broken_dist_atr -0.0529 -0.5 to 0.5 how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 68.75 12 to 720 Realized vol percentile feature.realized_vol_pctrank 0.9999 ≥ 0.99 Return · 15m feature.ret_15m 0.02208 ≥ 0.022 1 minute before · 30 Aug 17:59 UTC · 11 of 58 stood out
Order book tilt -0.55 or lower1-hour range against usual 9.5 or higherContainment (15m) is insideLiquidation bunching 0.52 or higherThe distance from price back to the broken descending resistance between -0.5 and 0.5How many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherTouches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursVolatility rank 0.99 or higher15-minute price change -0.019 or lower1-hour price change -0.068 or lowerShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance -0.5569 ≤ -0.55 the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_1h 9.516 ≥ 9.5 Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m inside inside Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.5253 ≥ 0.52 the distance from price back to the broken descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_broken_dist_atr 0.1694 -0.5 to 0.5 how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 68.98 12 to 720 Realized vol percentile feature.realized_vol_pctrank 0.9985 ≥ 0.99 Return · 15m feature.ret_15m -0.01952 ≤ -0.019 Return · 1h feature.ret_1h -0.06847 ≤ -0.068
Two other reading times we tried 3 and 3 matches
1 minute before (17:59): order book tilt -0.55 or lower, 1-hour range against usual 9.5 or higher, volatility rank 0.99 or higher.
Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.55 and the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline ≥ 9.5 and Realized vol percentile ≥ 0.99
3 matches: price was 2% or more higher after 30 minutes in 0 of 3, and 2% or more lower in 2 of 3.
Of the 3 matches, 2 came before the rise began, 1 during it and 0 after it.
15 minutes before (17:45): order book tilt -0.68 or lower, 1-hour range against usual 9.5 or higher, volatility rank 0.99 or higher.
Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.68 and the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline ≥ 9.5 and Realized vol percentile ≥ 0.99
3 matches: price was 2% or more higher after 30 minutes in 0 of 3, and 2% or more lower in 1 of 3.
Of the 3 matches, 2 came before the rise began, 1 during it and 0 after it.
Fewer than 30 results, so no rate is printed.
No set had 30 matches before the rise; the saved study leads with the one that had the most.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 14 matches came on 10 of 30 days, 4 during the rise.
Hourly candles around the risefull context, lead-up, move
The 18:00 start was picked after the move.
Hourly candles, UTC. The marked lines are the minutes the readings came from: 1 minute, 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours and 24 hours before the selected start.
Other ways to test itsame dates
- This market only
- The 57 AI sector markets · No result for these markets has been measured.
- Every recorded market
Same 3 conditions on FLOCK, 8 July to 6 August 2026.
Each opens Review the test.
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