Binance USDT-MGIGGLEUSDT rose 122% on 30 July 2026
Picked after the rise, on one market.
Next stepWhat happened
Price opened the 10:00 hour at 25.12 and reached a highest trade of 55.74 in the 05:00 hour; the tested readings were taken at 09:45.
What stood out at 09:45
- Order book lopsidedness0.07595Tested: 0.076 or lower
- Taker buy share (15m)0.7049Tested: 0.7 or higher
09:45 always meets its own rules.
What the record says
No counts were saved to compare, only the summary text
Picked after the rise, on one market.
Evidence
Does it hold on other dates?
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Exactly what was counted2 conditions · 81 of 43,201 minutes · saved text
Saved summary text, as written 3 Aug 2026
Written automatically when this study was saved and kept as written; where a line differs from the counts above, the counts govern.
Minutes like this appeared 81 times in the 43,201 minutes searched (0.2%). What followed was close to a coin flip: 36 rose and 43 fell over the next 30 minutes (79 of the 81 matches have a complete 30 minutes forward).
About 2.6 a day, on 24 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
The other reading times, as written
From 1 minute before
Minutes like this appeared only 3 times in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed leaned up: 2 of the 3 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward rose (67%).
About 0.1 a day, on 3 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
From 1 hour before
Minutes like this appeared only 22 times in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed was close to a coin flip: 11 rose and 11 fell over the next 30 minutes (22 of the 22 matches have a complete 30 minutes forward).
About 0.7 a day, on 15 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
Picked after the rise, on one market.
- Order book lopsidedness 0.076 or lower. How lopsided the sizes at the best bid and ask were, either way, against recent readings; low means unusually even.Book imbalance percentile ≤ 0.076 · feature.book_imbalance_pctrank
- Taker buy share (15m) 0.7 or higher.Taker buy share · 15m ≥ 0.7 · feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m
Read at 15 minutes before the move.
Read at 09:45 UTC on 30 July, 15 minutes before the selected 10:00 start.
GIGGLE only, 4 July to 2 August 2026 (UTC, ending 3 August 00:00); all 2 readings had values on 43,201 of those minutes.
Reference: every GIGGLE minute over the same dates, matches included; it is not a matched control group.
Outcome: the close exactly 30 minutes later, not the highest or lowest price along the way.
The 10:00 start was picked automatically after the move.
GIGGLEUSDT stored readings end 2026-08-03 00:00 UTC (exclusive). Prices and tick replay have separate coverage.
The feature manifest spans the lead-up. Individual minutes or inputs can still be unavailable.
This is not a similarity search. Each count matches the exact readings above and nothing else.
Picked in hindsight: the counts include every other time these readings appeared, not just this move.
Fires often arrive as clusters of consecutive minutes, and forward windows overlap. A cluster is one episode, not many independent trials.
If these counts read weaker than the move suggested, that is the tool working: the lead-up of a picked move always looks special until it is counted everywhere else.
Saved study q#a6f38071 @ dataset b91f2197, counted 3 Aug 2026 06:59 UTC.
When the matches happened
Of the 81 matches, 81 came before the rise began, 0 during it and 0 after it.
Neighbouring minutes overlap, so these are not 81 separate trials.
Picked after the rise, on one market.
Readings at five times before the rise24 hours to 1 minute before · 2 other times tried
Highlights follow fixed rules, not significance tests. Proposed conditions round values or use ranges; inspect them before running.
24 hours before · 29 Jul 10:00 UTC · 3 of 33 stood out
Order book tilt -0.96 or lowerOrder book lopsidedness 0.95 or higherLower wick (15m) 0.83 or higherShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance -0.9669 ≤ -0.96 Book imbalance percentile feature.book_imbalance_pctrank 0.9565 ≥ 0.95 Lower wick · 15m feature.candle_lower_wick_15m 0.8333 ≥ 0.83 4 hours before · 30 Jul 06:00 UTC · 1 of 33 stood out
Taker buy share (15m) 0.81 or higherShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Taker buy share · 15m feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m 0.8187 ≥ 0.81 1 hour before · 30 Jul 09:00 UTC · 2 of 33 stood out
15-minute range against usual 0.37 or lowerTaker buy share (15m) 0.34 or lowerShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m 0.3636 ≤ 0.37 Taker buy share · 15m feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m 0.3347 ≤ 0.34 15 minutes before · 30 Jul 09:45 UTC · 2 of 33 stood out
Order book lopsidedness 0.076 or lowerTaker buy share (15m) 0.7 or higherShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance percentile feature.book_imbalance_pctrank 0.07595 ≤ 0.076 Taker buy share · 15m feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m 0.7049 ≥ 0.7 1 minute before · 30 Jul 09:59 UTC · 2 of 33 stood out
Order book tilt -0.55 or lowerTaker buy share (15m) 0.097 or lowerShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance -0.5589 ≤ -0.55 Taker buy share · 15m feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m 0.0969 ≤ 0.097
Two other reading times we tried 3 and 22 matches
1 minute before (09:59): order book tilt -0.55 or lower, taker buy share (15m) 0.097 or lower.
Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.55 and Taker buy share · 15m ≤ 0.097
3 matches.
Of the 3 matches, 3 came before the rise began, 0 during it and 0 after it.
1 hour before (09:00): 15-minute range against usual 0.37 or lower, taker buy share (15m) 0.34 or lower.
Compression · 15m ≤ 0.37 and Taker buy share · 15m ≤ 0.34
22 matches.
Of the 22 matches, 22 came before the rise began, 0 during it and 0 after it.
Fewer than 30 results, so no rate is printed.
The saved study leads with 09:45 because it is the only set with at least 30 matches before the rise.
Picked after the rise, on one market.
Hourly candles around the risefull context, lead-up, move
The 10:00 start was picked after the move.
Hourly candles, UTC. The marked lines are the minutes the readings came from: 1 minute, 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours and 24 hours before the selected start.
Other ways to test itsame dates
Same 2 conditions on GIGGLE, 4 June to 3 July 2026.
Each opens Review the test.
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