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HFTUSDT rose 422% into Aug 7. The record covers the whole lead-up.

Move window: 2026-08-03 21:00 to 2026-08-07 08:00 UTC. The record for HFTUSDT currently ends 2026-08-09 00:00 UTC.

Counted on 2026-08-10, against a record covering to 2026-08-09 00:00 UTC. These numbers are frozen: this page will always say what it said the day it was written.

This move is in the event archive as a volatility spike on 2026-08-03. Open the archived event

Containment · 15m inside and Cascade clustering ≥ 0.53 and VWAP distance · day ≥ 0.02

feature.candle_containment_15m + feature.cascade_clustering_index + feature.vwap_dist

Read at 1 minute before the move.

Minutes like this appeared 49 times in the 41,761 minutes searched (0.1%). What followed was close to a coin flip: 22 rose and 25 fell over the next 30 minutes (47 of the 49 matches have a complete 30 minutes forward).

Of the 49 fires, 18 came before the move began and 31 happened while it was already under way. A fire during the move sees it; it does not telegraph it.

About 1.6 a day, on 13 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.

q#60042432 @ dataset 34c2a990

WATCH FOR THIS Watch the ignition replay

Best supported: Containment · 15m inside and Cascade clustering ≥ 0.53 and VWAP distance · day ≥ 0.02, the combination with the most fires before the move began.

Opens this exact search in the research tool. Nothing runs until you confirm it there, and arming it as an alert sends a message when it next becomes true.

No account? Replay a real move tick by tick, free: EVAA short squeeze · 8 Jul 2026.

Picked in hindsight: the counts include every other time these readings appeared, not just this move.

What the minutes before it looked like

Where these readings were taken

Hourly candles. The marked lines are the minutes the readings came from: 1 minute, 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours and 24 hours before the move began. Every one of them sits before the move, never inside it.

A reading stands out when it sits outside the range it usually holds. The rules are fixed: the same ones the moment reader on the research page uses.

At 1 minute before the move, 3 of the 39 readings stood out. 2026-08-03 20:59 UTC

READING	BEFORE THE MOVE	SEARCHES FOR
Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m	inside	inside
Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index	0.5395	≥ 0.53
VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist	0.02032	≥ 0.02

At 15 minutes before the move, 5 of the 39 readings stood out. 2026-08-03 20:45 UTC

READING	BEFORE THE MOVE	SEARCHES FOR
Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance	-0.5339	≤ -0.53
Book imbalance percentile feature.book_imbalance_pctrank	0.04696	≤ 0.047
Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m	inside	inside
Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index	0.5395	≥ 0.53
VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist	0.02761	≥ 0.027

At 1 hour before the move, 6 of the 39 readings stood out. 2026-08-03 20:00 UTC

READING	BEFORE THE MOVE	SEARCHES FOR
Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m	0.4909	≤ 0.5
Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m	inside	inside
Lower wick · 15m feature.candle_lower_wick_15m	0.6667	≥ 0.66
Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index	0.5395	≥ 0.53
Taker buy share · 15m feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m	0.6857	≥ 0.68
VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist	0.02657	≥ 0.026

At 4 hours before the move, 5 of the 39 readings stood out. 2026-08-03 17:00 UTC

READING	BEFORE THE MOVE	SEARCHES FOR
Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance	0.7425	≥ 0.74
Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index	0.5381	≥ 0.53
Return · 15m feature.ret_15m	-0.03074	≤ -0.03
Return · 1h feature.ret_1h	-0.1143	≤ -0.11
VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist	0.07328	≥ 0.073

At 24 hours before the move, 3 of the 39 readings stood out. 2026-08-02 21:00 UTC

READING	BEFORE THE MOVE	SEARCHES FOR
Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance	0.8383	≥ 0.83
Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m	0.3288	≤ 0.33
Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index	0.5275	≥ 0.52

Also counted

This is not a similarity search. Each count matches the exact readings above and nothing else.

Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.53 and Book imbalance percentile ≤ 0.047 and Containment · 15m inside

feature.book_imbalance + feature.book_imbalance_pctrank + feature.candle_containment_15m

Read at 15 minutes before the move.

Minutes like this appeared only 11 times in the 41,761 minutes searched. What followed leaned up: 7 of the 11 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward rose (64%).

Of the 11 fires, 7 came before the move began and 4 happened while it was already under way. A fire during the move sees it; it does not telegraph it.

About 0.4 a day, on 8 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.

q#511927fa @ dataset 34c2a990

Compression · 15m ≤ 0.5 and Containment · 15m inside and Lower wick · 15m ≥ 0.66

feature.candle_compression_15m + feature.candle_containment_15m + feature.candle_lower_wick_15m

Read at 1 hour before the move.

Minutes like this appeared only 10 times in the 41,761 minutes searched. What followed leaned up: 6 of the 8 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward rose (75%).

Of the 10 fires, 10 came before the move began; none were during it.

About 0.3 a day, on 9 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.

q#1f49e86c @ dataset 34c2a990

Fires often arrive as clusters of consecutive minutes, and forward windows overlap. A cluster is one episode, not many independent trials.

If these counts read weaker than the move suggested, that is the tool working: the lead-up of a picked move always looks special until it is counted everywhere else.

Every night the record counts what fired and what usually followed: the daily brief.