Binance USDT-MKOMAUSDT rose 269% on 30 July 2026
Picked after the rise, on one market.
Next stepWhat happened
Price opened the 03:00 hour at 0.009095 and reached a highest trade of 0.0336 in the 22:00 hour; the tested readings were taken at 02:00.
What stood out at 02:00
- Engulfing (1h)bullishTested: is bullish
- Taker buy share (15m)0.6634Tested: 0.66 or higher
02:00 always meets its own rules.
What the record says
No counts were saved to compare, only the summary text
Picked after the rise, on one market.
Evidence
Does it hold on other dates?
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Exactly what was counted2 conditions · 29 of 43,201 minutes · saved text
Saved summary text, as written 3 Aug 2026
Written automatically when this study was saved and kept as written; where a line differs from the counts above, the counts govern.
Minutes like this appeared only 29 times in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed leaned down: 16 of the 29 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward fell (55%).
About 0.9 a day, on 17 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
The other reading times, as written
From 1 minute before
Minutes like this appeared only 9 times in the 43,199 minutes searched. What followed leaned down: 6 of the 9 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward fell (67%).
About 0.3 a day, on 9 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
From 15 minutes before
Minutes like this appeared only 2 times in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed was close to a coin flip: 1 rose and 1 fell over the next 30 minutes (2 of the 2 matches have a complete 30 minutes forward).
About 0.1 a day over 31 days, but 2026-07-08 alone holds 50% of them: this is close to a single episode.
Picked after the rise, on one market.
- Engulfing (1h) is bullish.Engulfing · 1h bullish · feature.candle_engulfing_1h
- Taker buy share (15m) 0.66 or higher.Taker buy share · 15m ≥ 0.66 · feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m
Read at 1 hour before the move.
Read at 02:00 UTC on 30 July, one hour before the selected 03:00 start.
KOMA only, 4 July to 2 August 2026 (UTC, ending 3 August 00:00); all 2 readings had values on 43,201 of those minutes.
Reference: every KOMA minute over the same dates, matches included; it is not a matched control group.
Outcome: the close exactly 30 minutes later, not the highest or lowest price along the way.
The 03:00 start was picked automatically after the move.
KOMAUSDT stored readings end 2026-08-03 00:00 UTC (exclusive). Prices and tick replay have separate coverage.
The feature manifest spans the lead-up. Individual minutes or inputs can still be unavailable.
This is not a similarity search. Each count matches the exact readings above and nothing else.
Picked in hindsight: the counts include every other time these readings appeared, not just this move.
Fires often arrive as clusters of consecutive minutes, and forward windows overlap. A cluster is one episode, not many independent trials.
If these counts read weaker than the move suggested, that is the tool working: the lead-up of a picked move always looks special until it is counted everywhere else.
Saved study q#72606029 @ dataset b91f2197, counted 3 Aug 2026 06:59 UTC.
When the matches happened
Of the 29 matches, 29 came before the rise began, 0 during it and 0 after it.
Neighbouring minutes overlap, so these are not 29 separate trials.
Picked after the rise, on one market.
Readings at five times before the rise24 hours to 1 minute before · 2 other times tried
Highlights follow fixed rules, not significance tests. Proposed conditions round values or use ranges; inspect them before running.
24 hours before · 29 Jul 03:00 UTC · 3 of 33 stood out
Order book tilt 0.63 or higherLower wick (15m) 0.62 or higherSweep + reclaim (1h) is bullishShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance 0.6311 ≥ 0.63 Lower wick · 15m feature.candle_lower_wick_15m 0.625 ≥ 0.62 Sweep + reclaim · 1h feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_1h bullish bullish 4 hours before · 29 Jul 23:00 UTC · 5 of 33 stood out
Order book tilt -0.53 or lowerOrder book lopsidedness 0.94 or higherContainment (15m) is outsideUpper wick (15m) 0.62 or higherTaker buy share (15m) 0.8 or higherShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance -0.5313 ≤ -0.53 Book imbalance percentile feature.book_imbalance_pctrank 0.9441 ≥ 0.94 Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m outside outside Upper wick · 15m feature.candle_upper_wick_15m 0.6296 ≥ 0.62 Taker buy share · 15m feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m 0.8059 ≥ 0.8 1 hour before · 30 Jul 02:00 UTC · 2 of 33 stood out
Engulfing (1h) is bullishTaker buy share (15m) 0.66 or higherShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Engulfing · 1h feature.candle_engulfing_1h bullish bullish Taker buy share · 15m feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m 0.6634 ≥ 0.66 15 minutes before · 30 Jul 02:45 UTC · 7 of 33 stood out
Order book lopsidedness 0.046 or lower15-minute range against usual 10 or higherEngulfing (1h) is bullishVolatility rank 0.99 or higher15-minute price change 0.063 or higher1-hour price change 0.12 or higherDistance from the day's average price 0.02 or higherShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance percentile feature.book_imbalance_pctrank 0.045 ≤ 0.046 Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m 10.96 ≥ 10 Engulfing · 1h feature.candle_engulfing_1h bullish bullish Realized vol percentile feature.realized_vol_pctrank 1 ≥ 0.99 Return · 15m feature.ret_15m 0.06327 ≥ 0.063 Return · 1h feature.ret_1h 0.1237 ≥ 0.12 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist 0.02013 ≥ 0.02 1 minute before · 30 Jul 02:59 UTC · 9 of 33 stood out
Order book lopsidedness 0.92 or higher15-minute range against usual 10 or higherEngulfing (1h) is bullishOpen interest change rank 0.99 or higherVolatility rank 0.99 or higher15-minute price change 0.027 or higher1-hour price change 0.14 or higherVPIN regime is elevatedDistance from the day's average price 0.029 or higherShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance percentile feature.book_imbalance_pctrank 0.9248 ≥ 0.92 Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m 10.96 ≥ 10 Engulfing · 1h feature.candle_engulfing_1h bullish bullish OI velocity percentile feature.oi_velocity_pctrank 0.9956 ≥ 0.99 Realized vol percentile feature.realized_vol_pctrank 1 ≥ 0.99 Return · 15m feature.ret_15m 0.02736 ≥ 0.027 Return · 1h feature.ret_1h 0.1456 ≥ 0.14 VPIN regime feature.vpin_regime elevated elevated VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist 0.02928 ≥ 0.029
Two other reading times we tried 9 and 2 matches
1 minute before (02:59): order book lopsidedness 0.92 or higher, open interest change rank 0.99 or higher, volatility rank 0.99 or higher.
Book imbalance percentile ≥ 0.92 and OI velocity percentile ≥ 0.99 and Realized vol percentile ≥ 0.99
9 matches.
Of the 9 matches, 8 came before the rise began, 0 during it and 1 after it.
15 minutes before (02:45): order book lopsidedness 0.046 or lower, 15-minute range against usual 10 or higher, volatility rank 0.99 or higher.
Book imbalance percentile ≤ 0.046 and Compression · 15m ≥ 10 and Realized vol percentile ≥ 0.99
2 matches.
Of the 2 matches, 2 came before the rise began, 0 during it and 0 after it.
Fewer than 30 results, so no rate is printed.
No set had 30 matches before the rise; the saved study leads with the one that had the most.
Picked after the rise, on one market.
Hourly candles around the risefull context, lead-up, move
The 03:00 start was picked after the move, and the hour before was already rising.
Hourly candles, UTC. The marked lines are the minutes the readings came from: 1 minute, 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours and 24 hours before the selected start.
Other ways to test itsame dates
Same 2 conditions on KOMA, 4 June to 3 July 2026.
Each opens Review the test.
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