Research is a work in progress. Estimated release: 1 December 2026. Our goal is to make it a search engine for trading setups in recorded crypto markets.
Binance USDT-MPHAUSDT rose 143% on 17 September 2026
Picked after the rise, on one market.
Next stepWhat happened
Price opened the 01:00 hour at 0.02738 and reached a highest trade of 0.06642 in the 10:00 hour; the tested readings were taken at 00:59.
What stood out at 00:59
- Book capturenativeTested: is native
- Containment (15m)insideTested: is inside
- Liquidation bunching0.7502Tested: 0.75 or higher
00:59 always meets its own rules.
What the record says
More often than any PHA minute, in this sample
Price at least 2% higher after 30 minutes
80 matches in 43,201 minutes checked.
Picked after the rise, on one market.
Evidence
Does it hold on other markets?
No result for these markets has been measured; nothing runs until you press Run.
Exactly what was counted3 conditions · 80 of 43,201 minutes · saved text
- Book capture is native.Book capture native · feature.book_source
- Containment (15m) is inside.Containment · 15m inside · feature.candle_containment_15m
- Liquidation bunching 0.75 or higher. How bunched in time recent liquidations were; higher means more bunched, and it stays below 1.Cascade clustering ≥ 0.75 · feature.cascade_clustering_index
Read at 1 minute before the move.
Read at 00:59 UTC on 17 September, one minute before the selected 01:00 start.
PHA only, 24 August to 22 September 2026 (UTC, ending 23 September 00:00); all 3 readings had values on 43,201 of those minutes.
Reference: every PHA minute over the same dates, matches included; it is not a matched control group.
Outcome: the close exactly 30 minutes later, not the highest or lowest price along the way.
The 01:00 start was picked automatically after the move.
PHAUSDT stored readings end 2026-09-23 00:00 UTC (exclusive). Prices and tick replay have separate coverage.
The feature manifest spans the lead-up. Individual minutes or inputs can still be unavailable.
This is not a similarity search. Each count matches the exact readings above and nothing else.
Picked in hindsight: the counts include every other time these readings appeared, not just this move.
Fires often arrive as clusters of consecutive minutes, and forward windows overlap. A cluster is one episode, not many independent trials.
If these counts read weaker than the move suggested, that is the tool working: the lead-up of a picked move always looks special until it is counted everywhere else.
Saved study q#35fc3c06 @ dataset cb0cece4, counted 23 Sep 2026 22:43 UTC.
Saved summary text, as written 23 Sep 2026
Written automatically when this study was saved and kept as written; where a line differs from the counts above, the counts govern.
Minutes like this appeared 80 times in the 43,201 minutes searched (0.2%). What followed was more often higher: 46 of the 80 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward rose (57%).
After 1 hour this setup fell 2% or more in 0 of 79 complete windows (0.0%), against 4.8% with no condition (2,024 of 41,925): 0.00x.
This reports the time frame with the biggest gap from any minute, chosen after counting.
Best point inside 1 hour reached +5% or more in 1 of 80 complete windows; worst point fell 5% or more in 1 of 80.
About 2.6 a day, on 9 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
It counts the single minute on 23 September as a day.
The other reading times, as written
From 1 hour before
Minutes like this are common here: 308 of the 43,201 minutes searched (0.7%), about 9.9 a day. What followed was close to a coin flip: 149 rose and 144 fell over the next 30 minutes (293 of the 308 matches have a complete 30 minutes forward).
After 30 minutes this setup rose 2% or more in 5 of 293 complete windows (1.7%), against 2.9% with no condition (1,217 of 41,947): 0.59x.
About 9.9 a day, on 30 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
From 4 hours before
Minutes like this appeared only 4 times in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed was more often higher: 4 of the 4 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward rose (100%).
4 rose and 0 fell over 4 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
About 0.1 a day, on 4 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 80 matches came on 9 of 30 days.
When the matches happened9 of 30 days
- 10 Sep10 matches
- 11 Sep13 matches
- 12 Sep10 matches
- 13 Sep12 matches
- 14 Sep12 matches
- 15 Sep11 matches
- 16 Sep10 matches
- 17 Sep1 match
- 21 Sep1 match
No matches on the other 21 days.
Of the 80 matches, 79 came before the rise began, 0 during it and 1 after it.
Neighbouring minutes overlap, so these are not 80 separate trials.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 80 matches came on 9 of 30 days.
Other time frames30 minutes to 7 days
The answer uses 30 minutes, the time frame this study counted by default. Each row counts the same matches at a later close, in both directions. The bars show how often price was 2% or more higher at each time frame: first the matches, then any PHA minute.
- 30 minutes
1 of 80 (1.3%) was 2% or more lower; any PHA minute 1,019 of 41,947 (2.4%).
Every match has a 30-minute close.
- 1 hour
0 of 79 (0.0%) were 2% or more lower; any PHA minute 2,024 of 41,925 (4.8%).
1 without a 1-hour close yet, left out.
- 4 hours
12 of 79 (15.2%) were 2% or more lower; any PHA minute 4,638 of 41,728 (11.1%).
1 without a 4-hour close yet, left out.
- 24 hours
24 of 78 (30.8%) were 2% or more lower; any PHA minute 10,246 of 40,536 (25.3%).
2 without a 24-hour close yet, left out.
- 72 hours
9 of 78 (11.5%) were 2% or more lower; any PHA minute 8,080 of 37,676 (21.4%).
2 without a 72-hour close yet, left out.
At least 21 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 7 days
0 of 69 (0.0%) were 2% or more lower; any PHA minute 5,426 of 32,137 (16.9%).
11 without a 7-day close yet, left out.
At least 58 of these windows overlap the rise.
The saved summary picked, after counting, the time frame with the biggest gap from any minute: 1 hour.
After 1 hour this setup fell 2% or more in 0 of 79 complete windows (0.0%), against 4.8% with no condition (2,024 of 41,925): 0.00x.
Only 79 of the 80 matches have a 1-hour close.
Along the way (the highest and lowest price inside 1 hour, not the close):
Best point inside 1 hour reached +5% or more in 1 of 80 complete windows; worst point fell 5% or more in 1 of 80.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 80 matches came on 9 of 30 days.
Readings at five times before the rise24 hours to 1 minute before · 2 other times tried
Highlights follow fixed rules, not significance tests. Proposed conditions round values or use ranges; inspect them before running.
24 hours before · 16 Sep 01:00 UTC · 11 of 88 stood out
Book capture is native1-hour range against usual 0.45 or lowerLiquidation bunching 0.75 or higherDepth capture is liveHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720The short descending resistance line is active 4hTouches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursThe support under the short descending resistance is fallingTouches on the resistance 3 or moreShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book capture feature.book_source native native Compression · 1h feature.candle_compression_1h 0.4406 ≤ 0.45 Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.7598 ≥ 0.75 Depth capture feature.depth_source live live how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 235 12 to 720 the short descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_short_active active_4h active_4h how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 6 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 239 12 to 720 the support under the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_support falling falling how many times price has touched the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_touches 3 ≥ 3 4 hours before · 16 Sep 21:00 UTC · 10 of 88 stood out
Book capture is native15-minute range against usual 0.3 or lowerContainment (15m) is insideSweep + reclaim (1h) is bearishLiquidation bunching 0.75 or higherDepth capture is liveHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720Touches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book capture feature.book_source native native Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m 0.2993 ≤ 0.3 Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m inside inside Sweep + reclaim · 1h feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_1h bearish bearish Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.7523 ≥ 0.75 Depth capture feature.depth_source live live how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 255 12 to 720 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 6 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 259 12 to 720 1 hour before · 17 Sep 00:00 UTC · 11 of 88 stood out
Order book tilt -0.92 or lowerOrder book lopsidedness 0.91 or higherBook capture is nativeLiquidation bunching 0.75 or higherDepth capture is liveHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720Touches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursMinutes to funding 1 or lowerDistance from the day's average price 0.032 or higherShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance -0.9202 ≤ -0.92 Book imbalance percentile feature.book_imbalance_pctrank 0.9144 ≥ 0.91 Book capture feature.book_source native native Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.7502 ≥ 0.75 Depth capture feature.depth_source live live how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 258 12 to 720 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 6 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 262 12 to 720 Minutes to funding feature.mins_to_funding 0 ≤ 1 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist 0.03252 ≥ 0.032 15 minutes before · 17 Sep 00:45 UTC · 9 of 88 stood out
Book capture is nativeContainment (15m) is insideLiquidation bunching 0.75 or higherDepth capture is liveHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720Touches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursTaker buy share (15m) 0.31 or lowerShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book capture feature.book_source native native Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m inside inside Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.7502 ≥ 0.75 Depth capture feature.depth_source live live how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 258.8 12 to 720 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 6 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 262.8 12 to 720 Taker buy share · 15m feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m 0.3085 ≤ 0.31 1 minute before · 17 Sep 00:59 UTC · 9 of 88 stood out
Book capture is nativeContainment (15m) is insideLiquidation bunching 0.75 or higherDepth capture is liveHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720Touches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursTaker buy share (15m) 0.23 or lowerShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book capture feature.book_source native native Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m inside inside Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.7502 ≥ 0.75 Depth capture feature.depth_source live live how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 259 12 to 720 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 6 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 263 12 to 720 Taker buy share · 15m feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m 0.2238 ≤ 0.23
Two other reading times we tried 308 and 4 matches
1 hour before (00:00): order book tilt -0.92 or lower, order book lopsidedness 0.91 or higher, book capture is native.
Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.92 and Book imbalance percentile ≥ 0.91 and Book capture native
308 matches: price was 2% or more higher after 30 minutes in 5 of 293 (1.7%), and 2% or more lower in 6 of 293 (2.0%).
Of the 308 matches, 261 came before the rise began, 42 during it and 5 after it.
4 hours before (21:00): book capture is native, 15-minute range against usual 0.3 or lower, containment (15m) is inside.
Book capture native and Compression · 15m ≤ 0.3 and Containment · 15m inside
4 matches: price was 2% or more higher after 30 minutes in 0 of 4, and 2% or more lower in 0 of 4.
Of the 4 matches, 3 came before the rise began, 0 during it and 1 after it.
Rows with fewer than 30 results print counts only.
The saved study leads with 00:59: the narrowest set with at least 30 matches before the rise.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 80 matches came on 9 of 30 days.
Hourly candles around the risefull context, lead-up, move
The 01:00 start was picked after the move, and the hour before was already rising.
Hourly candles, UTC. The marked lines are the minutes the readings came from: 1 minute, 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours and 24 hours before the selected start.
Other ways to test itsame dates
- This market only
- The 539 eligible crypto markets · No result for these markets has been measured.
- Every recorded market
- 57 AI sector markets
- 520 sector crypto markets
Each opens Review the test.
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Starting defaults and coverage
Starting defaults: 2026-08-24 to 2026-09-23 UTC; finishes up 2% or more after 1 hour. Review or change the markets, dates, conditions and outcome before running. Current recorded classification and sector tags, not point-in-time membership. Historical membership may differ. Instrument history does not guarantee every setup input or outcome is present; actual study exclusions remain authoritative.