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Binance USDT-MPOWERUSDT rose 126% on 13 September 2026
Picked after the rise, on one market; all matches came within 13 days.
What happened
Price opened the 00:00 hour at 0.09203 and reached a highest trade of 0.208 in the 05:00 hour; the tested readings were taken at 23:59.
What stood out at 23:59
- Order book tilt-0.556Tested: -0.55 or lower
- Sweep + reclaim (15m)bearishTested: is bearish
- Liquidation bunching0.5984Tested: 0.59 or higher
23:59 always meets its own rules.
What the record says
Less often than any POWER minute, in this sample
Price at least 2% higher after 30 minutes
57 matches in 43,201 minutes checked; 1 missing a 30-minute close, left out.
Picked after the rise, on one market.
Evidence
No test to open
Multiple recorded sectors: sector_alpha, sector_crypto. Choose one explicitly.
Exactly what was counted3 conditions · 57 of 43,201 minutes · saved text
- Order book tilt -0.55 or lower. Size at the best bid against the best ask; above 0 means more bids, below 0 more asks.Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.55 · feature.book_imbalance
- Sweep + reclaim (15m) is bearish.Sweep + reclaim · 15m bearish · feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_15m
- Liquidation bunching 0.59 or higher. How bunched in time recent liquidations were; higher means more bunched, and it stays below 1.Cascade clustering ≥ 0.59 · feature.cascade_clustering_index
Read at 1 minute before the move.
Read at 23:59 UTC on 12 September, one minute before the selected 00:00 start.
POWER only, 19 August to 17 September 2026 (UTC, ending 18 September 00:00); all 3 readings had values on 43,201 of those minutes.
Reference: every POWER minute over the same dates, matches included; it is not a matched control group.
Outcome: the close exactly 30 minutes later, not the highest or lowest price along the way.
The 00:00 start was picked automatically after the move.
POWERUSDT stored readings end 2026-09-18 00:00 UTC (exclusive). Prices and tick replay have separate coverage.
The feature manifest spans the lead-up. Individual minutes or inputs can still be unavailable.
This is not a similarity search. Each count matches the exact readings above and nothing else.
Picked in hindsight: the counts include every other time these readings appeared, not just this move.
Fires often arrive as clusters of consecutive minutes, and forward windows overlap. A cluster is one episode, not many independent trials.
If these counts read weaker than the move suggested, that is the tool working: the lead-up of a picked move always looks special until it is counted everywhere else.
Saved study q#e0070023 @ dataset 8904ef04, counted 18 Sep 2026 09:26 UTC.
Saved summary text, as written 18 Sep 2026
Written automatically when this study was saved and kept as written; where a line differs from the counts above, the counts govern.
Minutes like this appeared 57 times in the 43,201 minutes searched (0.1%). What followed was more often lower: 32 of the 56 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward fell (57%).
After 7 days this setup fell 2% or more in 0 of 36 complete windows (0.0%), against 17.0% with no condition (5,517 of 32,503): 0.00x.
This reports the time frame with the biggest gap from any minute, chosen after counting. At least 16 of its 36 windows overlap the rise.
Best point inside 7 days reached +5% or more in 27 of 36 complete windows; worst point fell 5% or more in 31 of 36.
At least 22 windows did both.
About 1.8 a day, on 13 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
These 13 days are in a row, so the matches are closer to one episode than a spread. It counts the single minute on 18 September as a day.
The other reading times, as written
From 15 minutes before
Minutes like this appeared only 23 times in the 36,602 minutes searched. What followed was more often lower: 14 of the 23 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward fell (61%).
9 rose and 14 fell over 23 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
About 0.7 a day, on 5 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
From 1 hour before
Minutes like this appeared 114 times in the 36,602 minutes searched (0.3%). What followed was more often higher: 63 of the 113 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward rose (56%).
After 30 minutes this setup rose 2% or more in 0 of 113 complete windows (0.0%), against 5.2% with no condition (2,220 of 42,456): 0.00x.
About 3.7 a day, on 7 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
Picked after the rise, on one market; all 57 matches came from 3 September to 15 September, 6 during the rise.
When the matches happened13 days in a row
- 3 Sep5 matches
- 4 Sep3 matches
- 5 Sep6 matches
- 6 Sep6 matches
- 7 Sep6 matches
- 8 Sep3 matches
- 9 Sep2 matches
- 10 Sep5 matches
- 11 Sep7 matches
- 12 Sep7 matches
- 13 Sep3 matches
- 14 Sep3 matches
- 15 Sep1 match
No matches on the other 17 days.
Of the 57 matches, 50 came before the rise began, 6 during it and 1 after it.
Neighbouring minutes overlap, so these are not 57 separate trials.
Picked after the rise, on one market; all 57 matches came from 3 September to 15 September, 6 during the rise.
Other time frames30 minutes to 7 days
The answer uses 30 minutes, the time frame this study counted by default. Each row counts the same matches at a later close, in both directions. The bars show how often price was 2% or more higher at each time frame: first the matches, then any POWER minute.
- 30 minutes
1 of 56 (1.8%) was 2% or more lower; any POWER minute 1,855 of 42,456 (4.4%).
1 without a 30-minute close yet, left out.
At least 6 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 1 hour
2 of 57 (3.5%) were 2% or more lower; any POWER minute 2,510 of 42,428 (5.9%).
Every match has a 1-hour close.
At least 6 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 4 hours
4 of 55 (7.3%) were 2% or more lower; any POWER minute 4,163 of 42,243 (9.9%).
2 without a 4-hour close yet, left out.
At least 6 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 24 hours
7 of 57 (12.3%) were 2% or more lower; any POWER minute 7,530 of 41,047 (18.3%).
Every match has a 24-hour close.
At least 6 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 72 hours
4 of 56 (7.1%) were 2% or more lower; any POWER minute 9,295 of 38,159 (24.4%).
1 without a 72-hour close yet, left out.
At least 14 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 7 days
0 of 36 (0.0%) were 2% or more lower; any POWER minute 5,517 of 32,503 (17.0%).
21 without a 7-day close yet, left out.
At least 16 of these windows overlap the rise.
The saved summary picked, after counting, the time frame with the biggest gap from any minute: 7 days.
After 7 days this setup fell 2% or more in 0 of 36 complete windows (0.0%), against 17.0% with no condition (5,517 of 32,503): 0.00x.
Only 36 of the 57 matches have a 7-day close, all from 3 to 10 September, and at least 16 of those windows ran through the rise itself, so it partly counts the rise as an outcome.
Along the way (the highest and lowest price inside 7 days, not the close):
Best point inside 7 days reached +5% or more in 27 of 36 complete windows; worst point fell 5% or more in 31 of 36.
At least 22 windows did both, so this describes a very jumpy stretch, not a direction.
Picked after the rise, on one market; all 57 matches came from 3 September to 15 September, 6 during the rise.
Readings at five times before the rise24 hours to 1 minute before · 2 other times tried
Highlights follow fixed rules, not significance tests. Proposed conditions round values or use ranges; inspect them before running.
24 hours before · 12 Sep 00:00 UTC · 13 of 65 stood out
Order book tilt 0.69 or higherOrder book lopsidedness 0.93 or higher4-hour range against usual 0.33 or lowerLiquidation bunching 0.6 or higherThe descending resistance line is active 1dThe short descending resistance line is active 4hTouches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursThe support under the short descending resistance is flatTouches on the resistance 3 or moreThe support under the descending resistance is flatHow many times price has touched the descending resistance 3 or higherMinutes to funding 1 or lowerShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance 0.6923 ≥ 0.69 Book imbalance percentile feature.book_imbalance_pctrank 0.9346 ≥ 0.93 Compression · 4h feature.candle_compression_4h 0.3246 ≤ 0.33 Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.6009 ≥ 0.6 the descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_active active_1d active_1d the short descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_short_active active_4h active_4h how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 5 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 53 12 to 720 the support under the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_support flat flat how many times price has touched the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_touches 4 ≥ 3 the support under the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_support flat flat how many times price has touched the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_touches 4 ≥ 3 Minutes to funding feature.mins_to_funding 0 ≤ 1 4 hours before · 12 Sep 20:00 UTC · 11 of 65 stood out
Order book tilt -0.96 or lowerSweep + reclaim (15m) is bullishLiquidation bunching 0.59 or higherThe distance from price back to the broken descending resistance between -0.5 and 0.5How many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720The short descending resistance line is active 4hTouches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursThe support under the short descending resistance is risingTouches on the resistance 3 or moreShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance -0.9681 ≤ -0.96 Sweep + reclaim · 15m feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_15m bullish bullish Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.5984 ≥ 0.59 the distance from price back to the broken descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_broken_dist_atr -0.1768 -0.5 to 0.5 how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 15 12 to 720 the short descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_short_active active_4h active_4h how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 19 12 to 720 the support under the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_support rising rising how many times price has touched the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_touches 3 ≥ 3 1 hour before · 12 Sep 23:00 UTC · 11 of 65 stood out
Order book tilt -0.54 or lowerLiquidation bunching 0.59 or higherThe distance from price back to the broken descending resistance between -0.5 and 0.5How many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720The short descending resistance line is active 4hTouches on the broken resistance 3 or moreThe distance from price to the short descending resistance between 0 and 1Time since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursThe support under the short descending resistance is risingTouches on the resistance 3 or moreShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance -0.5477 ≤ -0.54 Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.5984 ≥ 0.59 the distance from price back to the broken descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_broken_dist_atr -0.2566 -0.5 to 0.5 how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 18 12 to 720 the short descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_short_active active_4h active_4h how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 the distance from price to the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_dist_atr 0.9963 0 to 1 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 22 12 to 720 the support under the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_support rising rising how many times price has touched the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_touches 3 ≥ 3 15 minutes before · 12 Sep 23:45 UTC · 13 of 65 stood out
Sweep + reclaim (15m) is bearishLiquidation bunching 0.59 or higherThe distance from price back to the broken descending resistance between -0.5 and 0.5How many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720The short descending resistance line is active 4hTouches on the broken resistance 3 or moreThe distance from price to the short descending resistance between 0 and 1Time since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursThe support under the short descending resistance is risingTouches on the resistance 3 or moreMinutes to funding 15 or lowerTaker buy share (15m) 0.24 or lowerShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Sweep + reclaim · 15m feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_15m bearish bearish Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.5984 ≥ 0.59 the distance from price back to the broken descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_broken_dist_atr -0.3533 -0.5 to 0.5 how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 18.75 12 to 720 the short descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_short_active active_4h active_4h how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 the distance from price to the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_dist_atr 0.6793 0 to 1 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 22.75 12 to 720 the support under the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_support rising rising how many times price has touched the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_touches 3 ≥ 3 Minutes to funding feature.mins_to_funding 15 ≤ 15 Taker buy share · 15m feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m 0.2389 ≤ 0.24 1 minute before · 12 Sep 23:59 UTC · 14 of 65 stood out
Order book tilt -0.55 or lowerSweep + reclaim (15m) is bearishLiquidation bunching 0.59 or higherThe distance from price back to the broken descending resistance between -0.5 and 0.5How many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720The short descending resistance line is active 4hTouches on the broken resistance 3 or moreThe distance from price to the short descending resistance between 0 and 1Time since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursThe support under the short descending resistance is risingTouches on the resistance 3 or moreMinutes to funding 1 or lowerTaker buy share (15m) 0.3 or lowerShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance -0.556 ≤ -0.55 Sweep + reclaim · 15m feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_15m bearish bearish Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.5984 ≥ 0.59 the distance from price back to the broken descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_broken_dist_atr -0.4438 -0.5 to 0.5 how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 18.98 12 to 720 the short descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_short_active active_4h active_4h how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 the distance from price to the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_dist_atr 0.3802 0 to 1 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 22.98 12 to 720 the support under the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_support rising rising how many times price has touched the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_touches 3 ≥ 3 Minutes to funding feature.mins_to_funding 1 ≤ 1 Taker buy share · 15m feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m 0.2908 ≤ 0.3
Two other reading times we tried 23 and 114 matches
15 minutes before (23:45): sweep + reclaim (15m) is bearish, liquidation bunching 0.59 or higher, the distance from price back to the broken descending resistance between -0.5 and 0.5.
Sweep + reclaim · 15m bearish and Cascade clustering ≥ 0.59 and the distance from price back to the broken descending resistance -0.5 to 0.5
23 matches: price was 2% or more higher after 30 minutes in 0 of 23, and 2% or more lower in 0 of 23.
Of the 23 matches, 23 came before the rise began, 0 during it and 0 after it.
1 hour before (23:00): order book tilt -0.54 or lower, liquidation bunching 0.59 or higher, the distance from price back to the broken descending resistance between -0.5 and 0.5.
Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.54 and Cascade clustering ≥ 0.59 and the distance from price back to the broken descending resistance -0.5 to 0.5
114 matches: price was 2% or more higher after 30 minutes in 0 of 113 (0.0%), and 2% or more lower in 0 of 113 (0.0%).
Of the 114 matches, 114 came before the rise began, 0 during it and 0 after it.
Rows with fewer than 30 results print counts only.
The saved study leads with 23:59: the narrowest set with at least 30 matches before the rise.
Picked after the rise, on one market; all 57 matches came from 3 September to 15 September, 6 during the rise.
Hourly candles around the risefull context, lead-up, move
The 00:00 start was picked after the move, and the hour before was already rising.
Hourly candles, UTC. The marked lines are the minutes the readings came from: 1 minute, 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours and 24 hours before the selected start.
Other ways to test itsame dates
Multiple recorded sectors: sector_alpha, sector_crypto. Choose one explicitly.
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Starting defaults and coverage
Starting defaults: 2026-08-19 to 2026-09-18 UTC; finishes up 2% or more after 1 hour. Review or change the markets, dates, conditions and outcome before running. Current recorded classification and sector tags, not point-in-time membership. Historical membership may differ. Instrument history does not guarantee every setup input or outcome is present; actual study exclusions remain authoritative.