Research is a work in progress. Estimated release: 1 December 2026. Our goal is to make it a search engine for trading setups in recorded crypto markets.
Binance USDT-MSKRUSDT rose 201% on 30 August 2026
Picked after the rise, on one market.
Next stepWhat happened
Price opened the 05:00 hour at 0.01158 and reached a highest trade of 0.03486 in the 03:00 hour; the tested readings were taken at 04:59.
What stood out at 04:59
- Order book tilt0.6485Tested: 0.64 or higher
- Sweep + reclaim (1h)bearishTested: is bearish
- Liquidation bunching0.7001Tested: 0.7 or higher
04:59 always meets its own rules.
What the record says
Too few results to compare
Price at least 2% higher after 30 minutes
27 matches in 43,201 minutes checked.
Picked after the rise, on one market.
Evidence
Does it hold on more dates?
Nothing runs until you press Run.
Exactly what was counted3 conditions · 27 of 43,201 minutes · saved text
- Order book tilt 0.64 or higher. Size at the best bid against the best ask; above 0 means more bids, below 0 more asks.Book imbalance · top levels ≥ 0.64 · feature.book_imbalance
- Sweep + reclaim (1h) is bearish.Sweep + reclaim · 1h bearish · feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_1h
- Liquidation bunching 0.7 or higher. How bunched in time recent liquidations were; higher means more bunched, and it stays below 1.Cascade clustering ≥ 0.7 · feature.cascade_clustering_index
Read at 1 minute before the move.
Read at 04:59 UTC on 30 August, one minute before the selected 05:00 start.
SKR only, 7 August to 5 September 2026 (UTC, ending 6 September 00:00); all 3 readings had values on 43,201 of those minutes.
Reference: every SKR minute over the same dates, matches included; it is not a matched control group.
Outcome: the close exactly 30 minutes later, not the highest or lowest price along the way.
The 05:00 start was picked automatically after the move.
SKRUSDT stored readings end 2026-09-06 00:00 UTC (exclusive). Prices and tick replay have separate coverage.
The feature manifest spans the lead-up. Individual minutes or inputs can still be unavailable.
This is not a similarity search. Each count matches the exact readings above and nothing else.
Picked in hindsight: the counts include every other time these readings appeared, not just this move.
Fires often arrive as clusters of consecutive minutes, and forward windows overlap. A cluster is one episode, not many independent trials.
If these counts read weaker than the move suggested, that is the tool working: the lead-up of a picked move always looks special until it is counted everywhere else.
Saved study q#0d1b3b18 @ dataset efb3e60c, counted 6 Sep 2026 07:59 UTC.
Saved summary text, as written 6 Sep 2026
Written automatically when this study was saved and kept as written; where a line differs from the counts above, the counts govern.
Minutes like this appeared only 27 times in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed was more often lower: 20 of the 27 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward fell (74%).
7 rose and 20 fell over 27 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
About 0.9 a day, on 16 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
It counts the single minute on 6 September as a day.
The other reading times, as written
From 15 minutes before
Minutes like this appeared only 24 times in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed was more often lower: 17 of the 23 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward fell (74%).
6 rose and 17 fell over 23 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
About 0.8 a day, on 16 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
From 1 hour before
Minutes like this appeared only 8 times in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed was more often lower: 6 of the 8 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward fell (75%).
2 rose and 6 fell over 8 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
About 0.3 a day, on 8 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 27 matches came on 16 of 30 days.
When the matches happened16 of 30 days
- 7 Aug1 match
- 8 Aug3 matches
- 9 Aug1 match
- 10 Aug3 matches
- 11 Aug1 match
- 14 Aug1 match
- 15 Aug1 match
- 16 Aug1 match
- 17 Aug2 matches
- 18 Aug2 matches
- 19 Aug1 match
- 20 Aug4 matches
- 21 Aug1 match
- 22 Aug1 match
- 29 Aug2 matches
- 30 Aug2 matches
No matches on the other 14 days.
Of the 27 matches, 27 came before the rise began, 0 during it and 0 after it.
Neighbouring minutes overlap, so these are not 27 separate trials.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 27 matches came on 16 of 30 days.
Other time frames30 minutes to 7 days
The answer uses 30 minutes, the time frame this study counted by default. Each row counts the same matches at a later close, in both directions. The bars show how often price was 2% or more higher at each time frame: first the matches, then any SKR minute.
- 30 minutes
0 of 27 were 2% or more lower; any SKR minute 2,343 of 42,507 (5.5%).
Every match has a 30-minute close.
- 1 hour
1 of 27 was 2% or more lower; any SKR minute 3,516 of 42,478 (8.3%).
Every match has a 1-hour close.
- 4 hours
1 of 26 was 2% or more lower; any SKR minute 7,488 of 42,296 (17.7%).
1 without a 4-hour close yet, left out.
- 24 hours
4 of 27 were 2% or more lower; any SKR minute 11,244 of 41,092 (27.4%).
Every match has a 24-hour close.
- 72 hours
8 of 27 were 2% or more lower; any SKR minute 12,216 of 38,211 (32.0%).
Every match has a 72-hour close.
At least 2 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 7 days
9 of 25 were 2% or more lower; any SKR minute 7,805 of 32,535 (24.0%).
2 without a 7-day close yet, left out.
At least 2 of these windows overlap the rise.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 27 matches came on 16 of 30 days.
Readings at five times before the rise24 hours to 1 minute before · 2 other times tried
Highlights follow fixed rules, not significance tests. Proposed conditions round values or use ranges; inspect them before running.
24 hours before · 29 Aug 05:00 UTC · 11 of 58 stood out
Order book tilt 0.86 or higherOrder book lopsidedness 0.04 or lower1-hour range against usual 2.6 or higherUpper wick (15m) 0.78 or higherLiquidation bunching 0.78 or higherHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720Touches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hours1-hour price change 0.035 or higherDistance from the day's average price 0.032 or higherShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance 0.8685 ≥ 0.86 Book imbalance percentile feature.book_imbalance_pctrank 0.03902 ≤ 0.04 the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_1h 2.62 ≥ 2.6 Upper wick · 15m feature.candle_upper_wick_15m 0.7895 ≥ 0.78 Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.7859 ≥ 0.78 how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 41 12 to 720 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 41 12 to 720 Return · 1h feature.ret_1h 0.03526 ≥ 0.035 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist 0.03229 ≥ 0.032 4 hours before · 30 Aug 01:00 UTC · 11 of 58 stood out
Order book tilt -0.69 or lowerOrder book lopsidedness 0.064 or lower1-hour range against usual 3 or higherSweep + reclaim (1h) is bearishLiquidation bunching 0.72 or higherHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720Touches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursVolatility rank 0.99 or higherDistance from the day's average price -0.026 or lowerShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance -0.6975 ≤ -0.69 Book imbalance percentile feature.book_imbalance_pctrank 0.06349 ≤ 0.064 the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_1h 3.099 ≥ 3 Sweep + reclaim · 1h feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_1h bearish bearish Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.7275 ≥ 0.72 how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 61 12 to 720 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 61 12 to 720 Realized vol percentile feature.realized_vol_pctrank 0.9997 ≥ 0.99 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist -0.02655 ≤ -0.026 1 hour before · 30 Aug 04:00 UTC · 10 of 58 stood out
Order book tilt 0.85 or higherSweep + reclaim (15m) is bearishSweep + reclaim (1h) is bearishLiquidation bunching 0.71 or higherHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720Touches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hours15-minute price change 0.021 or higherDistance from the day's average price 0.034 or higherShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance 0.8557 ≥ 0.85 Sweep + reclaim · 15m feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_15m bearish bearish Sweep + reclaim · 1h feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_1h bearish bearish Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.7127 ≥ 0.71 how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 64 12 to 720 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 64 12 to 720 Return · 15m feature.ret_15m 0.02118 ≥ 0.021 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist 0.03482 ≥ 0.034 15 minutes before · 30 Aug 04:45 UTC · 7 of 58 stood out
Sweep + reclaim (1h) is bearishLiquidation bunching 0.7 or higherHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720Touches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hours15-minute price change -0.022 or lowerShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Sweep + reclaim · 1h feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_1h bearish bearish Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.7001 ≥ 0.7 how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 64.75 12 to 720 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 64.75 12 to 720 Return · 15m feature.ret_15m -0.02252 ≤ -0.022 1 minute before · 30 Aug 04:59 UTC · 8 of 58 stood out
Order book tilt 0.64 or higherSweep + reclaim (1h) is bearishLiquidation bunching 0.7 or higherHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720Touches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hours1-hour price change -0.03 or lowerShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance 0.6485 ≥ 0.64 Sweep + reclaim · 1h feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_1h bearish bearish Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.7001 ≥ 0.7 how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 64.98 12 to 720 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 64.98 12 to 720 Return · 1h feature.ret_1h -0.03028 ≤ -0.03
Two other reading times we tried 24 and 8 matches
15 minutes before (04:45): sweep + reclaim (1h) is bearish, liquidation bunching 0.7 or higher, how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higher.
Sweep + reclaim · 1h bearish and Cascade clustering ≥ 0.7 and how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3
24 matches: price was 2% or more higher after 30 minutes in 0 of 23, and 2% or more lower in 2 of 23.
Of the 24 matches, 24 came before the rise began, 0 during it and 0 after it.
1 hour before (04:00): order book tilt 0.85 or higher, sweep + reclaim (15m) is bearish, sweep + reclaim (1h) is bearish.
Book imbalance · top levels ≥ 0.85 and Sweep + reclaim · 15m bearish and Sweep + reclaim · 1h bearish
8 matches: price was 2% or more higher after 30 minutes in 1 of 8, and 2% or more lower in 2 of 8.
Of the 8 matches, 6 came before the rise began, 1 during it and 1 after it.
Fewer than 30 results, so no rate is printed.
No set had 30 matches before the rise; the saved study leads with the one that had the most.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 27 matches came on 16 of 30 days.
Hourly candles around the risefull context, lead-up, move
The 05:00 start was picked after the move.
Hourly candles, UTC. The marked lines are the minutes the readings came from: 1 minute, 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours and 24 hours before the selected start.
Other ways to test itsame dates
- This market only
- The 71 sector alpha markets · No result for these markets has been measured.
- Every recorded market
Same 3 conditions on SKR, 8 July to 6 August 2026.
Each opens Review the test.
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