Research is a work in progress. Estimated release: 1 December 2026. Our goal is to make it a search engine for trading setups in recorded crypto markets.
Binance USDT-MTSTUSDT rose 132% on 7 August 2026
Picked after the rise, on one market.
Next stepWhat happened
Price opened the 08:00 hour at 0.01147 and reached a highest trade of 0.02656 in the 10:00 hour; the tested readings were taken at 07:00.
What stood out at 07:00
- Containment (15m)insideTested: is inside
- Liquidation bunching0.5407Tested: 0.54 or higher
- Taker buy share (15m)0.6864Tested: 0.68 or higher
07:00 always meets its own rules.
What the record says
No counts were saved to compare, only the summary text
Picked after the rise, on one market.
Evidence
Does it hold on other dates?
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Exactly what was counted3 conditions · 90 of 43,201 minutes · saved text
Saved summary text, as written 15 Aug 2026
Written automatically when this study was saved and kept as written; where a line differs from the counts above, the counts govern.
Minutes like this appeared 90 times in the 43,201 minutes searched (0.2%). What followed leaned up: 47 of the 85 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward rose (55%).
About 2.9 a day, on 21 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
The other reading times, as written
From 1 minute before
Minutes like this appeared only 7 times in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed leaned up: 6 of the 7 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward rose (86%).
About 0.2 a day, on 7 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
From 15 minutes before
Minutes like this appeared only 10 times in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed leaned up: 7 of the 10 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward rose (70%).
About 0.3 a day, on 8 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
Picked after the rise, on one market.
- Containment (15m) is inside.Containment · 15m inside · feature.candle_containment_15m
- Liquidation bunching 0.54 or higher. How bunched in time recent liquidations were; higher means more bunched, and it stays below 1.Cascade clustering ≥ 0.54 · feature.cascade_clustering_index
- Taker buy share (15m) 0.68 or higher.Taker buy share · 15m ≥ 0.68 · feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m
Read at 1 hour before the move.
Read at 07:00 UTC on 7 August, one hour before the selected 08:00 start.
TST only, 15 July to 13 August 2026 (UTC, ending 14 August 00:00); all 3 readings had values on 43,201 of those minutes.
Reference: every TST minute over the same dates, matches included; it is not a matched control group.
Outcome: the close exactly 30 minutes later, not the highest or lowest price along the way.
The 08:00 start was picked automatically after the move.
TSTUSDT stored readings end 2026-08-14 00:00 UTC (exclusive). Prices and tick replay have separate coverage.
The feature manifest spans the lead-up. Individual minutes or inputs can still be unavailable.
This is not a similarity search. Each count matches the exact readings above and nothing else.
Picked in hindsight: the counts include every other time these readings appeared, not just this move.
Fires often arrive as clusters of consecutive minutes, and forward windows overlap. A cluster is one episode, not many independent trials.
If these counts read weaker than the move suggested, that is the tool working: the lead-up of a picked move always looks special until it is counted everywhere else.
Saved study q#0ab78d62 @ dataset de1f6756, counted 15 Aug 2026 02:45 UTC.
When the matches happened
Of the 90 matches, 88 came before the rise began, 0 during it and 2 after it.
Neighbouring minutes overlap, so these are not 90 separate trials.
Picked after the rise, on one market.
Readings at five times before the rise24 hours to 1 minute before · 2 other times tried
Highlights follow fixed rules, not significance tests. Proposed conditions round values or use ranges; inspect them before running.
24 hours before · 6 Aug 08:00 UTC · 3 of 39 stood out
15-minute range against usual 0.45 or lowerLiquidation bunching 0.54 or higherMinutes to funding 1 or lowerShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m 0.4419 ≤ 0.45 Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.5407 ≥ 0.54 Minutes to funding feature.mins_to_funding 0 ≤ 1 4 hours before · 7 Aug 04:00 UTC · 2 of 39 stood out
15-minute range against usual 0.45 or lowerLiquidation bunching 0.54 or higherShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m 0.448 ≤ 0.45 Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.5407 ≥ 0.54 1 hour before · 7 Aug 07:00 UTC · 3 of 39 stood out
Containment (15m) is insideLiquidation bunching 0.54 or higherTaker buy share (15m) 0.68 or higherShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m inside inside Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.5407 ≥ 0.54 Taker buy share · 15m feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m 0.6864 ≥ 0.68 15 minutes before · 7 Aug 07:45 UTC · 4 of 39 stood out
Liquidation bunching 0.54 or higherMinutes to funding 15 or lower1-hour price change 0.025 or higherTaker buy share (15m) 0.73 or higherShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.5407 ≥ 0.54 Minutes to funding feature.mins_to_funding 15 ≤ 15 Return · 1h feature.ret_1h 0.0255 ≥ 0.025 Taker buy share · 15m feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m 0.7361 ≥ 0.73 1 minute before · 7 Aug 07:59 UTC · 7 of 39 stood out
Order book lopsidedness 0.94 or higherLiquidation bunching 0.54 or higherMinutes to funding 1 or lower15-minute price change 0.017 or higher1-hour price change 0.048 or higherTaker buy share (15m) 0.66 or higherDistance from the day's average price 0.033 or higherShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance percentile feature.book_imbalance_pctrank 0.9488 ≥ 0.94 Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.5405 ≥ 0.54 Minutes to funding feature.mins_to_funding 1 ≤ 1 Return · 15m feature.ret_15m 0.01778 ≥ 0.017 Return · 1h feature.ret_1h 0.04853 ≥ 0.048 Taker buy share · 15m feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m 0.6671 ≥ 0.66 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist 0.03353 ≥ 0.033
Two other reading times we tried 7 and 10 matches
1 minute before (07:59): order book lopsidedness 0.94 or higher, liquidation bunching 0.54 or higher, minutes to funding 1 or lower.
Book imbalance percentile ≥ 0.94 and Cascade clustering ≥ 0.54 and Minutes to funding ≤ 1
7 matches.
Of the 7 matches, 6 came before the rise began, 1 during it and 0 after it.
15 minutes before (07:45): liquidation bunching 0.54 or higher, minutes to funding 15 or lower, 1-hour price change 0.025 or higher.
Cascade clustering ≥ 0.54 and Minutes to funding ≤ 15 and Return · 1h ≥ 0.025
10 matches.
Of the 10 matches, 6 came before the rise began, 4 during it and 0 after it.
Fewer than 30 results, so no rate is printed.
The saved study leads with 07:00 because it is the only set with at least 30 matches before the rise.
Picked after the rise, on one market.
Hourly candles around the risefull context, lead-up, move
The 08:00 start was picked after the move, and the hour before was already rising.
Hourly candles, UTC. The marked lines are the minutes the readings came from: 1 minute, 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours and 24 hours before the selected start.
Other ways to test itsame dates
Same 3 conditions on TST, 15 June to 14 July 2026.
Each opens Review the test.
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